Heisman Trophy Power Rankings Week 12: Best College Football Props for Heisman Contenders

Check out our Heisman Trophy power rankings for Week 12 with our best player props for Heisman contenders, including Julian Sayin and Fernando Mendoza.
Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin is the focus of our Heisman Trophy power rankings and player prop bets for Week 12
Pictured: Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin is the focus of our Heisman Trophy power rankings and player prop bets for Week 12. Photo by Samantha Madar via Imagn Images.

As the college football regular season winds down, it's becoming increasingly clear which two Big Ten stars should sit atop the Heisman Trophy power rankings; however, heading into a loaded Week 12 slate, will either QB pull away from the other? Will any SEC stars rise into the conversation?

My Heisman Trophy power rankings look at the top 15 contenders for the sport's most prestigious award and provide a best bet for every Heisman contender taking the field this week, as part of our college football Week 12 predictions.


🏆 Heisman Trophy power rankings & odds

Our Heisman Trophy power rankings are based on a combination of performance and Heisman Trophy odds to rank our top 15 Heisman contenders this season.

Rank Player Matchup Bet bet
1 Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana vs. Wisconsin Over 237.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
2 Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State vs. UCLA Over 2.5 passing TDs (+130 via BetMGM)
3 Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama vs. Oklahoma Under 268.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
4 Marcel Reed, QB, Texas A&M vs. South Carolina Over 33.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
5 Byrum Brown, QB, South Florida vs. Navy Over 2.5 passing TDs (+162 via FanDuel)
6 Jacob Rodriguez, LB, Texas Tech vs. UCF UCF Under 87.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
7 Diego Pavia, QB, Vanderbilt Bye week N/A
8 Gunner Stockton, QB, Georgia vs. Texas Over 1.5 passing TDs (+150 via BetMGM)
9 Trinidad Chambliss, QB, Ole Miss vs. Florida Over 270.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
10 David Bailey, EDGE, Texas Tech vs. UCF UCF Under 253.5 total yards (-114 via FanDuel)
11 Jeremiah Smith, WR, Ohio State vs. UCLA 2+ TDs (+230 via FanDuel)
12 Jeremiyah Love, RB, Notre Dame vs. Pitt Under 93.5 rushing yards (-135 via BetMGM)
13 Arvell Reese, LB, Ohio State vs. UCLA Nico Iamaleava Under 29.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
14 Rueben Bain Jr., DL, Miami vs. NC State CJ Bailey Under 230.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel)
15 Emmett Johnson, RB, Nebraska Bye week N/A

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💰 Best Heisman player prop bet

See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 12 based on the latest college football odds.

🌰 Julian Sayin, QB, Ohio State: Over 2.5 passing TDs (+130)

There are just a few games left until we likely get an Indiana vs. Ohio State Big Ten Championship on Dec. 6 between the two QBs atop the Heisman Trophy odds. With ballots not due until the next day, Dec. 7, there's a chance the outcome of that matchup will dictate who takes home the Heisman between Fernando Mendoza and Julian Sayin.

And while Sayin (+170) is the Heisman favorite over Mendoza (+190) coming out of Week 11, my Heisman Trophy odds breakdown argued that the Indiana star is the better bet. He's racked up massive "Heisman moments" for a non-traditional power, and that's going to impress the voters more than another Ohio State QB lighting up mediocre Big Ten defenses.

With that said, Sayin's counting numbers are jaw-dropping, and if he continues to add to them, he'll make it impossible for some voters to choose against him with the Buckeyes being viewed as the college football national championship odds favorite. He and receiver Jeremiah Smith should add to those numbers in Week 12 against a lackluster UCLA defense, even if wideout Carnell Tate doesn't play.

The Bruins' temporary Cinderella story in La-La Land has been completely derailed in recent weeks, with UCLA giving up 84 points in its last two games to Indiana and Nebraska. In those two games, the opposing QBs (Mendoza and Nebraska backup QB TJ Lateef) both threw three touchdowns.

With Sayin putting together one of the most efficient passing seasons in college football history - he leads the country in QBR (91.1), adjusted completion rate (86.3%), and has Ohio State's offense No. 1 in EPA per pass - he should have no problem picking apart a UCLA defense that's No. 82 in EPA per pass. 

Sayin has thrown Over 2.5 passing TDs in five games this season, including three of his last five, and if he does it again (43.48% probability), a $10 bet pays a $13 profit. 

💡 More Week 12 predictions

Want more college football betting advice? Check out all of our college football analysis and expert predictions for Week 12.


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