Georgia vs. Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Picks: College Football Week 3 Best Bets
In arguably the top matchup of our college football predictions for Week 3, my Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction expects these two defensive juggernauts to give viewers a classic SEC fistfight on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tenn.
Although the Bulldogs are a 3.5-point betting favorite, one of my top college football picks for this conference duel is fading Georgia QB Gunner Stockton, even with Tennessee down two starting cornerbacks.
🏈 Georgia vs. Tennessee prediction
College football expert picks for Saturday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Georgia (-175 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
- Against the spread pick: Georgia -3.5 (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 50.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best bet: Gunner Stockton Under 240.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📝 Georgia vs. Tennessee best bet
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
⬇️ Under 50.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
As well-known as Tennessee's veer-and-shoot offense under Josh Heupel, the Volunteers' defense carried them to the College Football Playoff last season and has been the more impressive aspect of their 2-0 start. Tennessee is ranked No. 3 in SP+ on defense, and Georgia isn't much further behind at No. 6 - both teams rank outside the top 10 in SP+ on offense.
Even with Tennessee down cornerbacks Jermod McCoy and Rickey Gibson, it still has players like pass rusher Joshua Josephs, linebacker Arion Carter, and defensive back Boo Carter. The Bulldogs are equally stocked up with linebacker CJ Allen, defensive tackle Christen Miller, and safety KJ Bolden among the best players at their positions in the country.
This game should be a slugfest between two ferocious defenses, and genius defensive coordinators in Tim Banks (Tennessee) and Glenn Schumann (Georgia), especially with the sheer amount of defensive talent taking the field. Last season, these two teams combined for 47 points, and if they go Under 50.5 again, a $10 bet pays a $9.09 profit.
💰 Best Georgia vs. Tennessee player prop bet
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬇️ Gunner Stockton Under 240.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This prop is a must-play at bet365, with our other best college football betting sites listing Stockton's passing yards line between 227.5 and 228.5. While that number is still too high for my liking, the 240.5 line is priced the same (-115), with a $10 winning bet paying an $8.70 profit.
It's shocking that Stockton's passing yards line is so high, and it must be tied to the fact that the Volunteers are down McCoy and Gibson. But Tennessee has looked just fine without them, with defensive backs Ty Redmond, Colton Hood, and Boo Carter each holding opposing QBs to an NFL passer rating of 70.1 or worse.
Stockton also failed to throw for more than 227 yards against Marshall and Austin Peay to start the season, and accounted for zero big-time throws against either opponent. Meanwhile, Tennessee is allowing 220.5 passing yards per game, largely due to Syracuse and East Tennessee State trailing them for much of their matchups against the Vols, leading to a high number of passes (35.5 per game).
📊 Georgia vs. Tennessee odds: Week 3
Georgia vs. Tennessee odds update live in real time.
📈 Georgia vs. Tennessee opening odds
- Moneyline: Georgia -250| Tennessee +200
- Spread: Georgia -7.5 (-110) | Tennessee +7.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 50.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110)
🔍 Georgia vs. Tennessee odds analysis
With this being a marquee matchup, odds have been available since July, with Georgia initially opening as a major favorite at -7.5. Given Tennessee's hot start to the season with Aguilar, the line has shifted drastically, with the Bulldogs now just a 3.5-point betting favorite.
Georgia's inconsistent offensive showing against Austin Peay last week, and the Volunteers having one of the most electric home stadiums in the country, definitely played a role in this line movement, too. However, I don't suspect it will move much more before kickoff, but the Over/Under could certainly drop another point by Saturday afternoon.
🚑 Georgia vs. Tennessee key injuries
| Georgia | Tennessee |
|---|---|
| Juan Gaston, OL (questionable) | Jermod McCoy, CB (out) |
| Earnest Greene, OL (probable) | Rickey Gibson, CB (out) |
| Jaxson Moi, DL (questionable) | |
| David Sanders, OL (questionable) |
🔢 Georgia vs. Tennessee stats
Season stats courtesy of Sports Reference.
| Georgia (2-0) | Statistic (per game) | Tennessee (2-0) |
|---|---|---|
| 36.5 | Points | 58.5 |
| 6.5 | Points allowed | 21.5 |
| -0.5 | Turnover margin | 0.0 |
| 240.0 | Passing yards | 352.5 |
| 214.5 | Rushing yards | 252.5 |
| 140.0 | Passing yards allowed | 220.5 |
| 61.5 | Rushing yards allowed | 76.0 |
| +2.1 | Net yards per play | +3.1 |
📺 Georgia vs. Tennessee game info
- When: Friday, Sept. 12
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tenn.)
- How to watch: ABC
❓ Georgia vs. Tennessee FAQs
Who is favored to win Georgia vs. Tennessee?
Georgia is a -175 moneyline favorite against Tennessee.
What is the spread for Georgia vs. Tennessee?
Georgia is a 3.5-point betting favorite against Tennessee.
What is the Over/Under for Georgia vs. Tennessee?
The Over/Under for Georgia vs. Tennessee is 50.5.
What are the best bets for Georgia vs. Tennessee?
The best bets for Georgia vs. Tennessee are Under 50.5 (-110) and Under 240.5 passing yards for Bulldogs QB Gunner Stockton (-115).
When is the Georgia vs. Tennessee game?
The Georgia vs. Tennessee game is Saturday, Sept. 12, at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tenn., with kickoff slated for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC).
How do college football odds work?
When betting on college football, the point spread shows how many points the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -3 must win by more than 3 points to cover the spread, while an underdog at +3 must win outright or lose by fewer than 3 points to cover the spread.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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