Georgia vs. Auburn Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 7

I’m here to make my Georgia vs. Auburn prediction for an intriguing Week 7 slate as part of our college football picks series. This SEC matchup presents an opportunity for both sides to make a statement after imperfect starts to the season. The action is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Ala.

Georgia is a slimmer than usual 3.5-point betting favorite for Saturday’s game. Make sure to check out the rest of our college football predictions for Week 7 so that you don’t miss out on any additional winning plays, including the below player prop for Jackson Arnold.

🏈 Georgia vs. Auburn prediction

College football expert picks for Week 7; odds subject to change.

• Game prediction: Auburn ML (+148 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 46.5 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Jackson Arnold Over 173.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Georgia vs. Auburn?

This isn’t the Georgia of yesteryear. The Bulldogs have limped to a 4-1 record and sit at No. 10 in the AP Poll. While they still rank an impressive third in the Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) and eighth in Jeff Sagarin’s ratings, the narrow win over Tennessee and brutal home loss to Alabama raise serious red flags. The Bulldogs now go on the road to play an unranked Auburn team that comes in at 23rd in the FEI and 20th in Sagarin’s ratings.

Several other factors reveal how this Georgia team is worse than previous iterations. The Bulldogs sit at 1-4 against the spread, and they failed to cover in their lone road game thus far. The secondary, once a strength, now ranks 71st in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.3), which could be a major liability against a talented Auburn receiving room. The offense also comes in dead last among SEC teams in explosiveness. 

Strange things happen in Jordan-Hare Stadium, but it wouldn’t be that strange to see an Auburn upset on Saturday evening. The Tigers haven’t lived up to their offensive potential, but a difficult schedule to start the season could be to blame with road trips to Baylor, Oklahoma, and Texas A&M. Quarterback Jackson Arnold has posted a solid 160 passing efficiency score across his two home starts with four touchdowns and no interceptions, and I’m betting on him and the Tigers to pop against this questionable Georgia team.

Prediction: Auburn 27, Georgia 21

✅ Georgia vs. Auburn best bet

Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.

🐯 Auburn ML (+148) ⭐⭐⭐

Let’s get some exposure to the Auburn Tigers to win this one outright at +148 (40.3%) on FanDuel, where a $10 bet will earn you a tidy profit of $14.80. While Auburn hasn’t put it all together under head coach Hugh Freeze, the one-score road losses to Oklahoma and Texas A&M – two top 15 teams – are at least a step in the right direction. The Tigers’ solid defense kept each game competitive until late, but the offense couldn’t get enough on the board in tough road environments to win.

The Tigers now return to Jordan-Hare Stadium and are coming off a bye for this game. Since Freeze’s arrival in 2023, Auburn is a solid 5-2 straight up with a rest advantage. While Georgia is a similar 3-0 with a rest disadvantage over that sample size, that also corresponds to an 0-3 record against the spread. Because the Bulldogs routinely disappoint the market when playing at a rest disadvantage, fading them here is a savvy choice. 

Finally, I’m genuinely excited to see what this Auburn offense looks like at home. The lack of crowd noise means more communication between Freeze, his quarterback, and the rest of the offense, which could (and, in the limited home games we’ve seen so far, has) produce stronger results. Auburn poached the No. 1 wide receiver in the transfer class, Eric Singleton Jr., in the offseason, but they haven’t quite gotten their money’s worth yet. That could all change with a big game from him and Arnold on Saturday.

💰 Best Georgia vs. Auburn player prop bet

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Jackson Arnold Over 173.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

We’re getting Arnold at a rock-bottom price following a bad performance against Texas A&M. Arnold threw for only 125 yards in that contest on 33 attempts. That game dropped his season average to 169.2 passing yards per contest, so we’ll need him to improve that on Saturday to cash the Over. He should get that done versus this worse-than-usual Georgia secondary that ranks 99th in passing yards allowed per contest (251.3).

Getting Arnold in a friendly home environment is also a big needle-mover for me. He is averaging 196.5 passing yards per contest over a two-game sample at Jordan-Hare. That includes an impressive 251-yard game in a blowout win over Ball State. While he may need his talented receivers to make a splash play or two to reach this number, that’s very possible. Georgia’s defense gave up a 38-yard gain to Kentucky’s Kendrick Law last week and multiple deep touchdowns to Tennessee’s receivers.

Lock Arnold in for Over 173.5 passing yards for -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM to score an $8.70 profit on a $10 bet.

📊 Georgia vs. Auburn odds

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Georgia vs. Auburn: Week 7

• Date: Saturday, Oct. 11
• Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium (Auburn, Ala.)
• TV: ABC