Florida State vs. Virginia Player Prop Picks: Morris to Shine at Home

It’s a Friday night battle of unbeatens, and as part of our college football predictions for Week 5, I have a trio of Florida State vs. Virginia player prop picks for a key early-season ACC clash from Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Va. (7 p.m. ET, ESPN).

Although both teams have winning records, the eighth-ranked Seminoles are 7-point betting favorites and a popular target for this week's college football picks.

We also have a full breakdown for this game, including the latest live odds in our Florida State vs. Virginia prediction.

🏈 Best Florida State vs. Virginia player prop picks: Week 5

College football player prop bets odds subject to change.

• Chandler Morris Over 1.5 passing TDs (+110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Duce Robinson Under 49.5 receiving yards (-114 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
• J'Mari Taylor Under 60.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐

💰 Florida State vs. Virginia prop bets

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Chandler Morris Over 1.5 passing TDs (+110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Over the past three seasons, Chandler Morris has started 23 games for TCU, North Texas, and Virginia. The sixth-year senior has thrown multiple touchdowns in 16 of those contests, including four in last week’s 48-20 beatdown of Stanford. That’s one more aerial TD than the Cardinal allowed in their first three games combined.

What about the fact that Florida State has yielded just three total touchdowns in three season-opening wins? Well, two of those came off the arm of Alabama’s Ty Simpson in Week 1. The Seminoles’ other two foes have been East Texas A&M and Kent State, and the Golden Flashes’ lone touchdown came through the air.

Play this Florida State vs. Virginia prop at FanDuel, where the optimum price of +110 translates to a 47.62% implied win probability. Risk $10 to profit $11.

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⬇️ Duce Robinson Under 49.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

Duce Robinson leads Florida State in receptions (eight), receiving yards (199), and receiving touchdowns (two). Not bad in just three games - except for the fact Robinson’s damage is confined to one game: He had five catches, 173 yards, and both touchdowns in a 77-3 rout of … East Texas A&M. Robinson’s numbers in his other two contests: two catches, 18 yards versus Alabama; one catch, eight yards versus Kent State.

Going back to his time at USC, Robinson has had receptions in 20 of 26 collegiate games. Number of times he’s finished with 50-plus receiving yards? Six. Number of times he’s done it on the road? One. So we’ll call for Virginia’s secondary to roll coverage to (and shut down) Robinson on Friday night.

Caesars offers the Under on this Florida State vs. Virginia player at -114 odds, which implies a 53.27% win probability. A $10 bet could return $8.77.

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⬇️ J'Mari Taylor Under 60.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐

NC Central transfer J’Mari Taylor has been impressive, rushing for 298 yards and six touchdowns on 48 carries (all team highs). He was particularly productive against NC State (150 yards) and Stanford (85 yards). So why fade Taylor on Friday, especially at a relatively low number? Because the Seminoles’ defensive front has resembled a brick wall in the early going.

Take out the game against East Texas A&M, and Florida State gave up 130 total ground yards to Alabama and Kent State on 57 carries. That’s 2.3 yards per tote. The high-water rushing mark for a Seminoles opponent so far: 40 yards by Kent State’s Gavin Garcia. If Taylor beats that, it won’t be by much.

BetMGM has the highest rushing projection on this Florida State vs. Virginia prop, so play the Under there at -115 odds. The implied win probability is 53.49%, and a successful $10 bet pays $8.70.

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📺 Florida State vs. Virginia game info

• When: Friday, Sept. 26
• Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Scott Stadium (Charlottesville, Va.)
• How to watch: ESPN

❓ Florida State vs. Virginia FAQs

What are the best Florida State vs. Virginia player props?

The best Florida State vs. Virginia player props are Virginia’s Chandler Morris Over 1.5 passing touchdowns, Florida State’s Duce Robinson Under 49.5 receiving yards, and Virginia’s J’Mari Taylor Under 58.5 rushing yards.

When is the Florida State vs. Virginia game?

The Florida State vs. Virginia game kicks off at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, Sept. 26, and will be televised nationally on ESPN.

How do college football player props work?

Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more college football odds markets.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

Are college player props legal?

College player props are a legal and regulated betting market in most states with sports betting. See our guide to college player prop betting by state to see what's available in your region.

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