Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds: College Football Week 8

My best Arkansas State vs. South Alabama prediction ahead of Tuesday’s 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2) game at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala., focuses on South Alabama’s rushing attack against Arkansas State’s run defense.

South Alabama is a 7-point betting favorite. Jaguars running back Kentrel Bullock has already rushed for 100 yards twice this season, and him approaching that mark again is one of my best college football picks for this game.

Our college football predictions for Week 8 feature plays for the biggest games of the week, including the side and player prop highlighted below.

🏈 Arkansas State vs. South Alabama predictions

College football expert picks for Week 8; odds subject to change.

• Game prediction: South Alabama -7 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Under 60 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Kentrel Bullock Over 93.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Arkansas State vs. South Alabama?

Seeing a 1-5 team favored by a touchdown may shock some, but South Alabama has faced a brutal schedule yet remained mostly competitive. The Jaguars have actually gained more yards than they’ve allowed this season, and they’ve lost just one game by more than two possessions.

Meanwhile, Arkansas State’s defense has been destroyed by opponents, allowing 474.3 yards per game. The rush defense has been particularly bad, allowing 212.8 yards per game. This will be the difference in the game, as South Alabama is averaging 202.5 ground yards per contest.

Prediction: South Alabama 35, Arkansas State 24

✅ Arkansas State vs. South Alabama expert pick

Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.

🐆 South Alabama -7 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

South Alabama has been a different team at home than on the road. Its lone win came in Mobile, and the Jaguars very nearly upset Tulane, ultimately falling 33-31. South Alabama lost by 18 to Coastal Carolina, but that was an eight-point game with just over six minutes remaining.

Meanwhile, Arkansas State is 0-3 away from home and has been outscored 112-51. With a run defense allowing 5.7 yards per carry, I struggle to see how Arkansas State can slow down a rushing attack that managed 190 yards against Tulane’s defense, which is allowing just 149.7 rushing yards per game.

South Alabama has rarely played from ahead this season, but the team is still averaging 44.8 rushes per game and 4.5 yards per carry. This price at FanDuel implies a 52.38% chance that South Alabama covers. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.

💰 Best Arkansas State vs. South Alabama player prop bet

Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Kentrel Bullock Over 93.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bullock hasn’t rushed for more than 86 yards since Week 2, when he ran for 107 against Tulane. While this number may initially seem high, there are a lot of reasons to back the running back who is averaging 4.6 yards per carry.

Bullock leads the team with 108 carries and 496 yards. Though South Alabama has four key pieces to its rushing attack, Bullock has 46 more carries than the next closest rusher. Bullock has averaged at least 4.1 yards per carry in all but one game this season. Considering Arkansas State is allowing nearly six yards per carry, Bullock will easily hit this number with 20 carries, a milestone he’s already hit in three games this season.

The price of -114 at FanDuel implies a 53.27% chance that Bullock hits this Over. A $10 bet would pay $8.77.

📊 Arkansas State vs. South Alabama odds

Latest college football odds updated live in real time.

📺 How to watch Arkansas State vs. South Alabama: Week 8

• Date: Tuesday, Oct. 14
• Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Ala.)
• TV: ESPN2