Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds Tonight: College Football Week 8
There's a prime opportunity for the Jaguars' rushing attack to thrive on Tuesday, and I'm diving in as part of my best Arkansas State vs. South Alabama prediction.
Jaguars running back Kentrel Bullock has been excelling this campaign while logging two 100-plus-yard rushing games, and my best college football picks for this contest suggest he could produce another standout performance.
It's all part of our college football predictions for Week 8 as a new week begins.
🏈 Arkansas State vs. South Alabama predictions Tonight
College football expert picks for Week 8; odds subject to change.
- Game prediction: South Alabama -7 (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 60 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Kentrel Bullock Over 93.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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🆚 Who will win Arkansas State vs. South Alabama?
Seeing a 1-5 team favored by a touchdown may shock some, but South Alabama has faced a brutal schedule yet remained mostly competitive. The Jaguars have actually gained more yards than they’ve allowed this season, and they’ve lost just one game by more than two possessions.
Meanwhile, Arkansas State’s defense has been destroyed by opponents, allowing 474.3 yards per game. The rush defense has been particularly bad, allowing 212.8 yards per game. This will be the difference in the game, as South Alabama is averaging 202.5 ground yards per contest.
Prediction: South Alabama 35, Arkansas State 24
✅ Arkansas State vs. South Alabama expert pick tonight
Track the latest college football scores for line movement and matchup info.
🐆 South Alabama -7 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
South Alabama has been a different team at home than on the road. Its lone win came in Mobile, and the Jaguars very nearly upset Tulane, ultimately falling 33-31. South Alabama lost by 18 to Coastal Carolina, but that was an eight-point game with just over six minutes remaining.
Meanwhile, Arkansas State is 0-3 away from home and has been outscored 112-51. With a run defense allowing 5.7 yards per carry, I struggle to see how Arkansas State can slow down a rushing attack that managed 190 yards against Tulane’s defense, which is allowing just 149.7 rushing yards per game.
South Alabama has rarely played from ahead this season, but the team is still averaging 44.8 rushes per game and 4.5 yards per carry. This price at FanDuel implies a 52.38% chance that South Alabama covers. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.
💰 Best Arkansas State vs. South Alabama player prop bet
Our college football player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Kentrel Bullock Over 93.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Bullock hasn’t rushed for more than 86 yards since Week 2, when he ran for 107 against Tulane. While this number may initially seem high, there are a lot of reasons to back the running back who is averaging 4.6 yards per carry.
Bullock leads the team with 108 carries and 496 yards. Though South Alabama has four key pieces to its rushing attack, Bullock has 46 more carries than the next closest rusher. Bullock has averaged at least 4.1 yards per carry in all but one game this season. Considering Arkansas State is allowing nearly six yards per carry, Bullock will easily hit this number with 20 carries, a milestone he’s already hit in three games this season.
The price of -114 at FanDuel implies a 53.27% chance that Bullock hits this Over. A $10 bet would pay $8.77.
🎟️ Arkansas State vs. South Alabama betting insights tonight
Here are some betting insights in the hours prior to kickoff:
- South Alabama is getting a slight edge to cover -7.5, with the Jaguars receiving 55% of the action from spread bettors
- There's a larger gap on the total, with the Under on 58.5 points getting 58% of the action
- The spread has been around the key number of 7 since it opened, briefly dropping to -6.5 in favor of South Alabama before shifting down to -7.5
📊 Arkansas State vs. South Alabama odds tonight
Latest college football odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Arkansas State vs. South Alabama: Week 8
- Date: Tuesday, Oct. 14
- Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Ala.)
- TV: ESPN2
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