Alabama vs. Indiana Predictions for College Football Playoff | Rose Bowl Odds & Best Bets
In what's supposed to be a rare bad-weather Rose Bowl, my Alabama vs. Indiana predictions expect the Hoosiers and their Heisman-winning QB to be better equipped to handle the elements in the College Football Playoff.
Indiana is a 6.5-point betting favorite for today's 4 p.m. ET (ESPN) matchup from the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, Calif., in the third College Football Playoff quarterfinal of our college bowl game predictions.
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🏈 Alabama vs. Indiana predictions: College Football Playoff
See the latest college football odds and our college football picks for every bowl game.
| Predictions | Odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Indiana -6.5 | -125 via BetMGM | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Omar Cooper Jr. anytime TD | +155 via Caesars | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Alabama vs. Indiana best bet for Rose Bowl
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Indiana -6.5 (-125) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Alabama is in trouble against the No. 1 team in the country, with the weather being a factor. The Crimson Tide have a one-dimensional offense, averaging the eighth-fewest rushing yards per game in the Power Four (109.9), and Indiana's defense is ranked No. 2 by SP+.
If Alabama's run game can't help take pressure off Ty Simpson in bad weather, Indiana's ball-hawking secondary is in for a treat.
The Hoosiers are in far better shape, both because Fernando Mendoza is the best QB in the country and because they're ranked No. 2 in EPA per rush.
Score prediction: Indiana 27, Alabama 17
🙌 Best Alabama vs. Indiana touchdown pick: Rose Bowl
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Omar Cooper Jr., WR, Utah: Anytime TD (+155) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
While the weather could impact both passing attacks, I don't expect either to shy away from going to the air with their star QBs. However, I think Indiana could look to take pressure off Mendoza by manufacturing touches for Omar Cooper Jr. even more than they already do.
Cooper has done damage all season in the screen game, and even as a weapon in the run game. He's proven to be among the best wide receivers in the country with the ball in his hands, ranking top 20 in the P4 in YAC (414).
Against an Alabama defense that missed 11 tackles against Oklahoma, Cooper is bound to do damage. He leads the Hoosiers with 12 touchdowns this season, and has scored in nine games this season.
📝 Top NFL draft prospects for Rose Bowl
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| Player | Position | Key stats | NFL draft grade |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza, Indiana | QB | 2nd-most TD passes in the country (33) | Top 10 |
| Ty Simpson, Alabama | QB | Leads country in big-time throws (30) | Round 1 |
| Kadyn Proctor, Alabama | OT | 2 sacks, 21 pressures allowed | Round 1 |
| Germie Bernard, Alabama | WR | 903 scrimmage yards, 9 TDs | Round 1-2 |
| Carter Smith, Indiana | OT | 0 sacks, 6 pressures allowed | Round 2-3 |
| Omar Cooper Jr., Indiana | WR | 878 scrimmage yards, 12 TDs | Round 2-3 |
| Bray Hubbard, Alabama | SAF | 71 tackles, 4 INTs | Round 2-3 |
| Elijah Sarratt, Indiana | WR | 687 receiving yards, 12 TDs | Round 2-4 |
| D'Angelo Ponds, Indiana | CB | Allowing a 56.7 NFL QB rating in coverage | Round 3-4 |
| LT Overton, Alabama | DL | 25 pressures, 6 TFLs, 4 sacks | Round 3-4 |
📊 Live Alabama vs. Indiana odds: Rose Bowl
Alabama vs. Indiana opening odds
- Moneyline: Alabama +205 | Indiana -250
- Spread: Alabama +6.5 (-105) | Indiana -6.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: Over 49 (+100) | Under 49 (-137)
📈 Alabama vs. Indiana betting trends
| Alabama | Statistic | Indiana |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | W-L record | 13-0 |
| 8-4-2 | ATS record | 8-5 |
| 5-9 | O/U record | 7-5-1 |
| 5.7 | Yards per play | 7.1 |
| 4.8 | Yards allowed per play | 4.6 |
| +0.5 | Turnover margin | +1.3 |
| 3-2 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
| W, 34-24 vs. Oklahoma | Previous result | W, 13-10 vs. Ohio State |
📺 How to watch Alabama vs. Indiana: Rose Bowl
- Date: Thursday, Jan. 1
- Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Rose Bowl (Pasadena, Calif.)
- TV: ESPN
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