Air Force vs. Navy Prediction: College Football Week 6 Early Picks
Our college football predictions for Week 6 continue with my early Air Force vs. Navy prediction for the year's first service academies matchup.
Navy is a 10-point favorite to win the Commander-in-Chief’s trophy on Saturday at Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Md. (noon ET, CBS).
I'm targeting the total instead with my college football picks, expecting these teams to top 49.5 points.
🏈 Early Air Force vs. Navy prediction & best bet
Stay ahead with the rest of our early college football predictions for Week 6.
⬆️ Over 49.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Air Force and Navy would have to combine for 50-plus points for this Over to cash, something not done in any of the last five meetings in this rivalry, and just twice in the last 10. However, with Navy moving away from its more traditional flexbone triple-option attack into more spread looks, it has an explosive offense to get the job done.
Air Force and Hawaii just combined for 78 points and more than 1,000 yards of total offense last week. The two teams combined for 41 points in the fourth quarter alone, and the Falcons allowed the Rainbow Warriors to convert 14 of 19 third downs.
Since 2023, all three service academies have cashed the Over in more than 50% of their games. The Over is also a combined 7-1 in these two teams’ eight games.
The line has come down quite a bit from its opening number, as bettors are well aware of the trend that Unders in service academy games are 51-12-3 (80.9%) since 2003. But I am bucking that trend given what I have seen out of both offenses (and defenses) so far this season.
The best early number and price is at DraftKings, as it is the only one of our best sports betting sites offering a total as low as 49.5 with less than the standard -110 juice to back the Over. Its -108 odds carry a 51.92% implied probability, and would net $9.26 on a winning $10 wager.
📊 Air Force vs. Navy odds: Week 6
Latest college football odds updated live in real time.
📈 Air Force vs. Navy opening odds
- Moneyline: Air Force +310 | Navy -400
- Spread: Air Force +11.5 (-105) | Navy -11.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110)
🔍 Air Force vs. Navy odds analysis
Most of our best sports betting apps have Navy squarely on the key number at -10, while a select few are a half-point higher at -10.5. The favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings between these teams, including in last year’s 34-7 Navy win when the Midshipmen were 9.5-point favorites.
Because of that dominating win last year and with this game being at home, the spread should never dip below the key number of 10 all week.
How to watch Air Force vs. Navy
- When: Saturday, Oct. 4
- Time: Noon ET
- Where: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Md.)
- TV: CBS
💡 College football Week 6 predictions
- Kentucky vs. Georgia prediction
- Air Force vs. Navy prediction
- Wisconsin vs. Michigan prediction
- Texas vs. Florida prediction
- Miami vs. Florida State prediction
- Penn State vs. UCLA prediction
- Boise State vs. Notre Dame prediction
- Vanderbilt vs. Alabama prediction
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