dRavidC's Tennis 2012

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  • dRavidC
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-11
    • 2516

    #1
    dRavidC's Tennis 2012
    Hey guys i'm back after a successful and profitable tennis 2011 season.

    Here are my picks for the Australian Open Day 1 and due to the unpredictability of day 1/round 1 grand slam tennis i'm gonna keep my unit size low to start off with. I may be adding more plays later during the day so stay tuned

    Day 1 Australian Open

    1* Huta Galung M/L vs Berlocq LOSS (-1 unit)

    1* Fish vs Muller O 39.5 LOSS (-1 unit)

    1* Tomic M/L vs Verdasco WON (+0.61 units)

    Live in-game Bet: 2* Tomic M/L @ 3.10x WON (+2.1 units)

    added parlay (1*): pays 10.81x LOSS (-1 unit)

    del Potro M/L

    A. Radwanska M/L

    Huta Galung M/L

    Tomic M/L

    Melzer M/L

    Fish Over 39.5

    adding another parlay (1*): pays 3.02x LOSS (-1 unit)

    Nalbandian M/L

    Federer U 26.5

    Australian Open 2012 Record: 2 - 4 (33.33%) -1.29 units
    Last edited by dRavidC; 01-16-12, 05:10 AM.
  • dredmahawkus
    SBR MVP
    • 12-26-09
    • 1803

    #2
    I think Fish might be hurt....I am going to start fading him! so he will probably get to the semis.
    Comment
    • dRavidC
      SBR MVP
      • 01-22-11
      • 2516

      #3
      wow fish didn't look hurt in that match breezed against muller, the player whose played the most tie-break sets of 2011.
      Comment
      • dRavidC
        SBR MVP
        • 01-22-11
        • 2516

        #4
        what a comeback by tomic from 2 sets down!!!
        Comment
        • dRavidC
          SBR MVP
          • 01-22-11
          • 2516

          #5
          adding another parlay ==> http://forum.sbrforum.com/showpost.p...27&postcount=1
          Comment
          • kingsr
            SBR MVP
            • 01-23-10
            • 1983

            #6
            A link to your thread?
            Comment
            • dRavidC
              SBR MVP
              • 01-22-11
              • 2516

              #7
              Originally posted by kingsr
              A link to your thread?
              just in case ppl miss the 1st post
              Comment
              • dRavidC
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-11
                • 2516

                #8
                Day 2 Australian Open

                2* Tipsarevic vs Tursunov U 30.5 LOSS (-2 units)

                2* Djokovic vs Lorenzi O 24.5 LOSS (-2 units)

                2* Malisse M/L vs Roger-vasselin PUSH (malisse retired )

                Australian Open 2012 Record: 2 - 6 - 1 (22.22%) -5.29 units
                Last edited by dRavidC; 01-17-12, 05:32 AM.
                Comment
                • dRavidC
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-22-11
                  • 2516

                  #9
                  Day 3 Australian Open

                  3* Fish vs Falla U 33.5 LOSS (-3 units)

                  3* Anderson -5 vs Stakhovsky WON (+2.85 units)

                  adding parlay (1*): pays 5.02x LOSS (-1 unit)

                  Karlovic -5

                  Young M/L

                  Tomic M/L
                  Last edited by dRavidC; 01-18-12, 02:17 AM.
                  Comment
                  • dRavidC
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-22-11
                    • 2516

                    #10
                    falla is really taking it up to the fish - though that's partly due to fish playing so shit! now i have to root for falla to win this match in straight sets without playing a 7-5, 7-6 type set...
                    Comment
                    • benrama
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-19-11
                      • 1499

                      #11
                      Fish hasn't been the same since his hamstring injury troubles, I think you are a chance here for the under to hit - could also be done by a retirement, I just got done by that in the Kohlscreiber/Riba match - grrrr
                      Comment
                      • dRavidC
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-22-11
                        • 2516

                        #12
                        unlucky on the riba match. that guy always retires unless he's winning. it didn't look to be troubling him too much against muller in the 1st round guess i was wrong.

                        falla has the break!
                        Comment
                        • dRavidC
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-11
                          • 2516

                          #13
                          then gets broken next game...
                          Comment
                          • dRavidC
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-22-11
                            • 2516

                            #14
                            Originally posted by dRavidC
                            Day 3 Australian Open 3* Fish vs Falla U 33.5 LOSS (-3 units) 3* Anderson -5 vs Stakhovsky WON (+2.85 units) adding parlay (1*): pays 5.02x LOSS (-1 unit) Karlovic -5 Young M/L Tomic M/L
                            Australian Open 2012 Record: 2 - 6 - 1 (22.22%) -6.44 units
                            Comment
                            • dRavidC
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-22-11
                              • 2516

                              #15
                              Day 4 Australian Open

                              3* Bolgomolov M/L vs Llodra LOSS (-3 units)

                              3* Ito +4.5 WON (+2.25 units)

                              3* Roddick Over 37.5 PUSH

                              3* Kukushkin +6 WON (+2.25 units)

                              Australian Open 2012 Record: 4 - 6 - 2 (40.00%) -4.94 units
                              Last edited by dRavidC; 01-19-12, 07:07 AM.
                              Comment
                              • dRavidC
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-22-11
                                • 2516

                                #16
                                Day 5 Australian Open

                                1* Lacko +9.5 vs Nadal LOSS

                                The last time these two players met, Lacko took a set off Nadal. Not only did he take a set off the spainiard but he took it 6-0! But bare in mind that was a fatigued banged up Nadal that was even considering pulling out. Don't think that will happen this time round but I really think Lacko does have the game to at least test Nadal here if he's consistent enough. The scoreline in Nadal's last match against Haas may look as though it was a comfortable victory but in actual fact, Haas was actually dominating and outplaying Nadal in a lot of the points from the point Nadal lead 4-0 in the first set to the end of the match. Haas just couldn't come up with the goods come crunch time and that was where Nadal took advantage. I still think Nadal will win this in straight sets but I think Lacko can make a match out of it and win 9 or more games.

                                1* Anderson +6.5 vs Berdych LOSS

                                Australian Open 2012 Record: 4 - 8 - 2 (33.33%) -6.94 units
                                Last edited by dRavidC; 01-20-12, 01:43 AM.
                                Comment
                                • Bbr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-17-10
                                  • 3900

                                  #17
                                  Really like karlovic + 6. Take the ML as well
                                  Comment
                                  • horja1
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 5646

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by dRavidC

                                    Just a thought:
                                    Karlovic is at 14.00 to win against Fed yet the handicap is set at only 6?!?!??! Call me crazy but i think Karlovic +6 is the play.
                                    The ML is at 14 (TI shows it at 17) because Karlovic will prob not break Federer's serve, so the only way he could win a set is in tiebrak - and I'm not seing Karlovic winning 3 tiebreaks in a row or going 4-5 sets against Federer.

                                    The handicap is only at +6 because Karlovic is a very good server, but, in my opinion, Federer will win this in 3 sets and might even cover the -6 games handicap ...

                                    PS: so far these two have played 10 matches (9-1 for Federer), 28 sets (24-4 for Federer), 13 tiebreaks !!!!! (11-2 for Federer)
                                    Comment
                                    • dRavidC
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-22-11
                                      • 2516

                                      #19
                                      scrapped 2 plays adding in a new one. card finalized
                                      Comment
                                      • dRavidC
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-22-11
                                        • 2516

                                        #20
                                        i'm so glad young didn't win the other day. if young was playing instead of lacko score would of been 6-0 by now...
                                        Comment
                                        • dRavidC
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-22-11
                                          • 2516

                                          #21
                                          both losses by a single game in both matches
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #22
                                            Day 6 Australian Open

                                            3* Djokovic U 26 WON (+2.1 units)

                                            2* Ferrer to win 3-0 (tailing EaglesPhan36 =D) WON (+1.14 units)

                                            3* Ferrer U30.5 WON (+2.4 units)

                                            Australian Open 2012 Record: 7 - 8 - 2 (46.67%) -1.3 units
                                            Last edited by dRavidC; 01-21-12, 05:42 AM.
                                            Comment
                                            • dRavidC
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 2516

                                              #23
                                              Day 7 Australian Open

                                              3* Nadal vs Lopez U 31.5 WON (+2.7 units)

                                              past h2h encounters:
                                              12 May 2011 Third Round Internazionali BNL dItalia Clay Nadal 6-4 6-2
                                              29 March 2011 Third Round Sony Ericsson Open Hard Nadal 6-3 6-3
                                              08 September 2010 Fourth Round US Open Hard Nadal 6-3 6-4 6-4
                                              11 June 2010 Quarter Final AEGON Championships Grass Lopez 77-65 6-4
                                              17 October 2009 Semi Final Shanghai ATP Masters Hard Nadal 6-1 3-0
                                              18 October 2008 Quarter Final ATP Masters Series Madrid Hard Nadal 6-4 6-4
                                              02 May 2008 Third Round Open Seat Clay Nadal 6-4 6-3
                                              21 July 2007 Semi Final Mercedes Cup Clay Nadal 6-1 7-5
                                              25 April 2006 Second Round Open Seat 2006 Clay Nadal 6-4 6-2
                                              20 October 2003 First Round Davidoff Swiss Indoors Hard Lopez 3-6 6-3 7-6

                                              2* Li 1st set winner vs Clijsters WON (+2 units)

                                              2* Federer vs Tomic U 32.5 WON (+1.7 units)

                                              Australian Open 2012 Record: 10 - 8 - 2 (55.56%) +5.1 units
                                              Last edited by dRavidC; 01-22-12, 05:10 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • dRavidC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-22-11
                                                • 2516

                                                #24
                                                Tomic's had a great run this tournament but I think a tough 5-setter, a 2-0 sets down-come-from-behind win and a tight 4 setter catches up with him and Federer cleans him up in straights. I expect it to be similar to how Murray dealt with Tomic. Tomic's gonna be a star no doubt but at the moment he is still a level below Fed. Don't read too much into that davis cup match where Tomic took a set off Fed. Fed was not playing at 100% treated it more like an exhibition more than anything.
                                                Comment
                                                • dRavidC
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                  • 2516

                                                  #25
                                                  BOOM fantastic day of tennis!!!! back in the positives.

                                                  CONGRATS TO ANY FOLLOWERS OUT THERE!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dRavidC
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                    • 2516

                                                    #26
                                                    Day 8 Australian Open

                                                    3* Murray vs Kukushkin U26.5 PUSH

                                                    3* Ferrer vs Gasquet U38.5WON (+2.55 unts)

                                                    Past h2h ecounters:
                                                    12 October 2009 First Round Shanghai ATP Masters Hard Ferrer 6-4 6-3
                                                    28 February 2009 Semi Final Dubai Tennis Championships Hard Ferrer 6-2 6-2
                                                    24 July 2008 Third Round ATP Masters Series Canada Hard Gasquet 6-3 6-3
                                                    15 November 2007 Round Robin Tennis Masters Cup Hard Ferrer 6-1 6-1
                                                    07 October 2007 Final AIG Japan Open Tennis Championships Hard Ferrer 6-1 6-2
                                                    12 July 2004 Third Round Mercedes Cup Clay Ferrer 6-4 6-2 Ferrer leads the h2h 5-1 overall and 4-1 on hardcourts. However the most interesting trend here is that all matches have been won quite easily and in straight sets. 38.5 is a pretty high number and I think Ferrer will be the one walking away with the W in 3 sets, 4 sets tops!

                                                    3* Djokovic vs Hewitt U27
                                                    LOSS (-3 unts)
                                                    Expect Djokovic to ease past Hewitt similar to how Federer eased past Tomic. There is really nothing in Hewitt's game that can or will trouble the number one player here. Sure the past h2h encounters between these two players have been close with their most recent meeting resulting in a tough 4 set win for the Novak 7-5 6-4 3-6 6-4 but that was in 2010 and on grass. Djokovic is just a BEAST right now and I see a 6-2 6-3 6 - 1 type scoreline. To be frank, Hewitt is lucky to even be in the tournament this long. His first match was against a challenger circuit qualifier who melted down towards the end. His second match was against a banged up Roddick. And his third match was a little more impressive against Raonic but let's be honest, Raonic was off his game and pretty much gift-wrapped that match to Hewitt with his countless unforced errors. Don't expect any freebies from Djokovic.

                                                    Australian Open 2012 Record: 11 - 9 - 3 (55.56%) +4.65 units
                                                    Last edited by dRavidC; 01-23-12, 08:17 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dRavidC
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 2516

                                                      #27
                                                      Analysis added for Ferrer and Djokovic play
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dRavidC
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                        • 2516

                                                        #28
                                                        Day 9 Australian Open

                                                        3* Nadal -5.5 & U 37.5 vs Berdych LOSS (-3 units)

                                                        Was gonna make a play on Nadal 3-0 sets but found more value in this.

                                                        5* Nadal M/L in-game Live bet @ 1.70 WON (+3.5 units)

                                                        Australian Open 2012 Record: 12 - 10 - 3 (54.54%) +5.15 units
                                                        Last edited by dRavidC; 01-24-12, 08:38 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dRavidC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 2516

                                                          #29
                                                          added Nadal M/L in-game Live bet @ 1.70 for 5 units!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dRavidC
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-22-11
                                                            • 2516

                                                            #30
                                                            Day 10 Australian Open

                                                            3* Murray U 30.5 WON (+2.61 units)

                                                            Australian Open 2012 Record: 13 - 10 - 3 (56.52%) +7.76 units

                                                            Last edited by dRavidC; 01-25-12, 02:15 AM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • dRavidC
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-22-11
                                                              • 2516

                                                              #31
                                                              adding:

                                                              2* Djokovic M/L & Over 31.5
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dRavidC
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-22-11
                                                                • 2516

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                                adding: 2* Djokovic M/L & Over 31.5
                                                                LOSS


                                                                Australian Open 2012 Record: 13 - 11 - 3 (54.17%) +5.76 units

                                                                Comment
                                                                • dRavidC
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 2516

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Day 13 Australian Open

                                                                  3* Parlay (pays 3.12x) LOSS

                                                                  Azarenka vs Sharapova - 3 Set Match

                                                                  Bryan/Bryan M/L vs Paes/Stephanek


                                                                  Australian Open 2012 Record: 13 - 12 - 3 (52.00%) +2.76 units

                                                                  Last edited by dRavidC; 01-28-12, 05:26 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • dRavidC
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                                    • 2516

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Day 2 Roland Garros

                                                                    Hey guys been a while but i've decided to return to the tennis world betting world. At this moment it way too risky to put in too many units so i'll play it safe for now.

                                                                    2* Chardy vs Lu +8.5 WON

                                                                    2* Ferrer vs Lacko U 25.5 LOSS

                                                                    2* Kvitova -7.5 vs Barty WON

                                                                    2* Hradecka +3.5 vs Goerges WON

                                                                    Tennis Record: 16 - 12 - 3 (57.14%) +9.22 units

                                                                    Roland Garros 2012 Record: 3 - 1 - 0 (75.00%) +3.46 units
                                                                    Last edited by dRavidC; 05-29-12, 11:39 PM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dRavidC
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                                      • 2516

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Day 3 Roland Garros

                                                                      2* Ungur +10.5

                                                                      2* Ferrero +2.5

                                                                      2* Kukushkin +5.5

                                                                      2* Baker +5.5

                                                                      2* Fognini M/L @ 1.80
                                                                      Comment
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