EP36's Tennis Elbow

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-12-12, 03:26 PM

She might pull this one out yet. I know for sure, don't back here in Australia. Usually the summer hard court series she is pretty solid.

**MUHerd37** · 03-12-12, 03:47 PM

It's like Stosur fixes matches. Breaks and serves for the match and gets blitzed. I don't trust her one bit.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-12-12, 04:09 PM

This tournament is getting pretty wonky. Apparently there is a stomach virus running rampant as well. Too bad we don't have someone inside the locker room who could give us a heads up.

**MUHerd37** · 03-12-12, 06:55 PM

You were right on Ebden taking out Fish. Fish is pissed because he basically got broken in the 2nd set for yelling "come on" before Ebden hit a shot and so Ebden won the point instead of Fish, giving Ebden advantage instead of Fish.

**sharlataans** · 03-13-12, 01:41 AM

Today I like:
Knittel -105

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 05:20 AM

Originally posted by MUHerd37

You were right on Ebden taking out Fish. Fish is pissed because he basically got broken in the 2nd set for yelling "come on" before Ebden hit a shot and so Ebden won the point instead of Fish, giving Ebden advantage instead of Fish.

Hah. That is great. I just don't see any point in backing Fish until he shows something ... and I'm not sure that's going to come any time soon.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 07:17 AM

Indian Wells, Tuesday March 13th

Bellucci +185
Flake on flake w/Davydenko & Bellucci. As I said yesterday, the slower conditions here do help Bellucci who can play some decent tennis on slower hard courts like this. Davydenko is still always an iffy proposition at higher chalk and his form of late is so-so at best. He's rolled through two rounds here without having to play high quality. He may not have to do that today either, but he's also not made it past this point @ Indian Wells since 2007. If Bellucci can manage to serve well, he rates a shot.

Baghdatis -135
Baghdatis v. Dolgpolov. Typical Dolgopolov match for his first up with Darcis. Epic tie break in the opener to Darcis, then Dolgpolov rights the ship 6-3 before a tough 7-5 end to the 3rd set. Baghdatis has been solid and simple in two straight sets wins in Indian Wells. Very efficient. Obviously consistency is key and that isn't necessarily a great word to associate with either of these two. I think Baghdatis has the better form recently and if he can continue to serve solidly, I think he grinds one out here.

**beefcake** · 03-13-12, 08:14 AM

Love baggy today.Worse ranked and a fav.Books telling you something.

And in other news"Paycheck" won in China...!! Crazy thing is this idiot bet on him..

**beefcake** · 03-13-12, 08:15 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Indian Wells, Tuesday March 13th

Bellucci +185
Flake on flake w/Davydenko & Bellucci. As I said yesterday, the slower conditions here do help Bellucci who can play some decent tennis on slower hard courts like this. Davydenko is still always an iffy proposition at higher chalk and his form of late is so-so at best. He's rolled through two rounds here without having to play high quality. He may not have to do that today either, but he's also not made it past this point @ Indian Wells since 2007. If Bellucci can manage to serve well, he rates a shot.

Baghdatis -135
Baghdatis v. Dolgpolov. Typical Dolgopolov match for his first up with Darcis. Epic tie break in the opener to Darcis, then Dolgpolov rights the ship 6-3 before a tough 7-5 end to the 3rd set. Baghdatis has been solid and simple in two straight sets wins in Indian Wells. Very efficient. Obviously consistency is key and that isn't necessarily a great word to associate with either of these two. I think Baghdatis has the better form recently and if he can continue to serve solidly, I think he grinds one out here.

Well maybe baggy is finally finding his form and looking to make a top 15 run?

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by beefcake

Love baggy today.Worse ranked and a fav.Books telling you something.

And in other news"Paycheck" won in China...!! Crazy thing is this idiot bet on him..

Nice! I am waiting to see how this Dallas Challenger shakes down. Also waiting to see if I want to buy tickets to go later in the week.

**sharlataans** · 03-13-12, 08:32 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Indian Wells, Tuesday March 13th

Bellucci +185
Flake on flake w/Davydenko & Bellucci. As I said yesterday, the slower conditions here do help Bellucci who can play some decent tennis on slower hard courts like this. Davydenko is still always an iffy proposition at higher chalk and his form of late is so-so at best. He's rolled through two rounds here without having to play high quality. He may not have to do that today either, but he's also not made it past this point @ Indian Wells since 2007. If Bellucci can manage to serve well, he rates a shot.

Baghdatis -135
Baghdatis v. Dolgpolov. Typical Dolgopolov match for his first up with Darcis. Epic tie break in the opener to Darcis, then Dolgpolov rights the ship 6-3 before a tough 7-5 end to the 3rd set. Baghdatis has been solid and simple in two straight sets wins in Indian Wells. Very efficient. Obviously consistency is key and that isn't necessarily a great word to associate with either of these two. I think Baghdatis has the better form recently and if he can continue to serve solidly, I think he grinds one out here.

Thanks, good picks!

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 11:24 AM

He should rightfully get smoked, but if a big dog is gonna eat today ...

Stepanek +348

Tsonga's effort during this swing is always a little questionable. Stepanek has never done a damn thing here, in fact he won only his second match all-time here when he beat Malisse. Still, the slower surface could allow him to work that serve & volley and challenge Tsonga to want to play a longer match. Maybe he smokes him, but I'll take my stupid/dumb shit/dartboard shot here likely.

**MoreWaysThanOne** · 03-13-12, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

He should rightfully get smoked, but if a big dog is gonna eat today ...

Stepanek +348

Tsonga's effort during this swing is always a little questionable. Stepanek has never done a damn thing here, in fact he won only his second match all-time here when he beat Malisse. Still, the slower surface could allow him to work that serve & volley and challenge Tsonga to want to play a longer match. Maybe he smokes him, but I'll take my stupid/dumb shit/dartboard shot here likely.

Man the only way I see Tsonga losing this is if he breaks down mentally. I think you have a much better opportunity in taking the spread here. I got Tsonga in a parlay FTW but now I'm looking at Verdasco +4.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 01:45 PM

Don't know if Dayvdenko got the virus floating around or what, but he's out. Bellucci gets the walkover.

**FR3SH like UgHH** · 03-13-12, 02:24 PM

yo EP i was gonna take Tsonga -300 1st set....i know ur on the other end, but can Stepanek win the 2nd n 3rd set? LOL wut u think?

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 03:19 PM

Not a big fan of 1st set betting particularly.

**MUHerd37** · 03-13-12, 03:24 PM

Ferrer just got plowed in straight sets by Istomin. Shitty.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 03:28 PM

Ferrer ousted by Istomin.

**beefcake** · 03-13-12, 06:47 PM

Radek gave it a good run..

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-13-12, 08:00 PM

Baghdatis did not. Figured this match would go like this for one or the other with someone folding like a bitch in the 3rd. Happens to be Baggy who is the bitch.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 06:04 AM

Not sure, but feeling one of these wins.

Nalbandian +190
Almagro +310

And even though it's on the cusp or slightly above the price I like to play for singles ...

Dallas Challenger: Sela -150
Good form and I don't trust Sweeting for shit. He's just not there as far as consistency. Sela almost always competes well on this surface against similarly ranked players and often against higher ranked guys - see Simon this past week in Indian Wells.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 10:54 AM

Decided to do a parlay w/Sela instead of doing the total chalk:

Dallas Challenger Parlay: Sela + Cilic

**Dmoneytx** · 03-14-12, 12:42 PM

This message is for EP. I have been following your thread for a few months now. I greatly appreciate all the help you give people on this thread. I am somewhat like you. I follow WAY too much tennis, at every level. I have been teaching in North Houston for 12 years and I play the Texas USTA Section, Open level singles (don't know if you live in big D, but I play 2 tments here a year). I live, eat and sleep tennis

I just opened an account, finally, and might start my own thread soon. Until then, I hope you don't mind if I continue to follow you and just add my insight and comments.

Also, I am in Dallas right now. My girlfriend, pictured with me, is trying out for that American Ninja Warrior couse. She runs it on Thursday. Looks freaking crazy!! I also might go to Los Colinas to watch some matches. IF I DO, I will let you know when we will go over. Maybe we connect and hang out for a match or so. ALSO, don't forget the River Oaks tment in Houston. I go every year and it is such a blast!!! Watching Dr Ivo kick a ball over D Youngs head in the finals of qualies last year was HILARIOUS!!! I look forward to being a regular on here and any advice or insight or comments I will greatly appreciate. I am not always on the rights side of a play, but I know A LOT about almost every player and it NEVER hurts to have another loyal follower on your side helping the best he can

PS. My girl is a model & I will ask her if I can post a better picture for everyone to enjoy

**Dmoneytx** · 03-14-12, 01:15 PM

I was skeptical to take Sela here in US, but I have seen Sweeting play live 3 or 4 times. It looked like Sela just wanted to catch his flight home. Down a set and break?? Can't believe he won second set! Then down break in third set?? What a come back by Sela and ANOTHER choke by Sweeting. I can honestly say, I would NEVER put money on Ryan bec I have personally seen him completely break down against average players. GOOD call on Sela EP!!! Now, lets go Cilic and cash this ticket!!!!!!

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 01:41 PM

Yeah Sweeting choked like a mofo, exactly why I don't trust the dude. Yeah I have been wanting to get to the Houston one. I have family down there, not sure if I can get off enough time to visit ... but always wanted to go.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-14-12, 01:56 PM

EP, if you DO decide to go to River Oaks, let me know bro. I will treat you to a Becks prime burger and try to get into the locker room again. It was pretty cool last year talking to some of the guys. TONS of fun!
The FEW perks of being a tennis pro. Besides 10 pairs of shoes a year and raquets. LOL.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 02:05 PM

Sweet. Beck's is my Dad's favorite burger joint. Almagro has a real shot to win this sucker against Berdych. Took the opening set and he's had a lot of break opps already ... needs to convert better and not let Berdych off the hook. He had double break point to open the 2nd set and let them slip away. He had triple break point on one of Berdych's service games in the 1st set and let it slip away. Berdy obviously not at his best today ...

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 02:06 PM

Boom, got the break to open. Follow it up now.

**Living The Dream** · 03-14-12, 02:19 PM

Thanks for the picks, I tailed ya. just hope Berdych doesnt retire and make my bet a push before he gets finished off this set.

**MUHerd37** · 03-14-12, 03:24 PM

Can't believe Djokovic is struggling with Andujar like this. Bageled him in the first set and then loses the second in a tie break. Up a break in the third but damn this is close.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 03:37 PM

He wound up winning pretty comfortably. Maybe Andujar was just decent this week ... very shocked by his run.

**MUHerd37** · 03-14-12, 03:48 PM

Yeah, right after I posted that Djokovic got the double break. What do you think about taking Istomin tonight against Del Potro? I just still don't totally don't trust Del Potro that much. Kind of think about taking Istomin +5 if nothing else.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 04:33 PM

Del Potro beats him IMO. Ferrer apparently had the virus going around, so I'm not going to read too much into Istomin beating him badly yesterday. Istomin runs as hot and cold as anyone, but I haven't seen him do dick against a top notch player to suggest he'll win today. Not sure the handicap even yields more than a push in most cases in this match-up. Could be wrong, but I think Delpo wins comfortably.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-14-12, 05:42 PM

I can't believe someone hasn't stepped up and beat Tsonga's ass yet. Nalbandian has blown a ton of chances, but given it's deep in a tournament - Fat Dave in effect. Good day though hitting Almagro + the parlay. I'll take it.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-14-12, 06:23 PM

Just got back to hotel, had no phone. Cilic won!!! Also had small parlay with him & Mahut. CASH EM BOTH!!!
Great call on Almagro too EP!! Wish I tailed ya on that play bro.

Good work so far today!!!