EP36's Tennis Elbow

**tevari** · 03-25-12, 08:17 AM

zheng down to -135. i guess i'll pass. just tempting because i don't think anyone else (besides gilles muller, maybe) has made me as much money over the last year

**shimeon40** · 03-25-12, 08:24 AM

good old plonk on zheng..triad money or clown money i wonder?

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 11:05 AM

I would say Triad since she's getting her ass handed to her.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 12:27 PM

Is Dimitrov finally going to score a big scalp? Serving for the match against BerdShit.

**MoreWaysThanOne** · 03-25-12, 12:39 PM

What do you think of wozniak vs v williams? I think there is value on woz, these odds seem off at -580 for a rusty venus.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 12:47 PM

Never know with WTA, but I don't think Wozniak matches up well against Venus. Only thing that could wear on Venus is her match fitness after the long layoff. Playing match after match will be her biggest test.

**Judgejoebrwn** · 03-25-12, 01:30 PM

Can't believe Berdych lost. Crazy.

**MUHerd37** · 03-25-12, 01:32 PM

Berdych losing wasn't that big a deal. The guy scares me. He struggled early against Mahut but was able to pull it out. Berdych always worries me.

**MUHerd37** · 03-25-12, 01:39 PM

Eagle I have a big decision here. I have a 25 team open parlay going (mostly chalk). The first 24 have already won so I need just 1 more to finish it off. It's mostly chalk but it still pays more than 25x my risk. I'm not sure who to use to finish it because it's a little worrying. I was thinking about using either Nadal against Stepanek or Azarenka vs Heather Watson. I prefer using a guy because the WTA is just too crazy. Nadal just worries me even tho he should beat Stepanek. Stepanek has been playing everyone tough lately. Azarenka does have the easier competition tho and hasn't lost a single match all year. What do ya think?

Edit: Actually I think I'm gonna use Azarenka and then put a small play on Watson just in case.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 01:46 PM

Yeah why not go with the most trustworthy WTA player at this point.

**baskets** · 03-25-12, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

And a stab at one that I liked pre-tourney to make a run.

ATP Miami: Dolgopolov +170 over Tipsarevic

at it again, I see

DOLGOPOLOV A. (UKR)

TIPSAREVIC J. (SRB)

4-6

7-5

2-6

**baskets** · 03-25-12, 02:09 PM

DOLGOPOLOV A. (UKR)

TIPSAREVIC J. (SRB)

4-6

7-5

2-6

(first one was a little too big)

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 03:08 PM

Looks like Venus is definitely wilting in the heat and the length of playing another three setter.

**shimeon40** · 03-25-12, 04:00 PM

very true muherd37 about berdych..always shaky at short odds...always has been..for years...dolgopolov mentally weak against more experienced opponents..bad to follow him until he matures a year or two

**MUHerd37** · 03-25-12, 04:00 PM

Venus pulled it out. She did just about everything she could to lose. She made error after error. Wozniack just plain sucked. Should have just been trying to get the ball in and let Venus make the mistake.

**shimeon40** · 03-25-12, 04:08 PM

eaglephan u need a tip to offset dolgopolov

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-25-12, 04:20 PM

Tsonga/Simon parlay cashes. So a tiny profit on the day since that was plus odds as well.

**Demonata** · 03-25-12, 09:06 PM

When Does the John Isner game start?

**TheWu** · 03-25-12, 10:40 PM

Somone needs to teach Isner a drop shot

**Demonata** · 03-25-12, 11:22 PM

Ya Isner played horrible. Looked like he was injured.

**Brian891** · 03-26-12, 05:53 AM

ep hows ferrer looked? should he handle benneteau?

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 06:15 AM

Monday, March 26th

ATP Miami: Anderson +110
I'll continue to go against Fish until he proves he can string together back-2-back wins. That is something he has not done since the Kooyong Exhibition tournament in January. Both players were solid in their openers. Both guys are defending points here, so effort should be at a max level. Anderson made the QFs last year, Fish made the SFs. This should be a close, tight match that realistically could go either way.

WTA Miami: Kirilenko +150
Kirilenko has looked good [duh] this week with a couple of efficient wins, especially the last round against Pervak. Bartoli has had to put in the tougher work against a bit tougher competition as she won in three against Hercog in her opener and then had to rally from a deficit in the 2nd set to finish off Halep in a tie breaker. I don't know. Both have good hard court pedigrees, just something about heat + humidity + Fatty Boom Bartoli makes me want to go with Kirilenko here.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 06:16 AM

Originally posted by Brian891

ep hows ferrer looked? should he handle benneteau?

I would think so, but the price is ridiculous. Not even worth a parlay option really unless you're rolling with one of those multiple high chalkers today. You'd probably have to have 4-5 of them to make it pay without a bigger risk.

**tevari** · 03-26-12, 09:29 AM

EP, does 5D cap your totals wager at 250.00? I kinda want to throw down on Fed/Roddick under.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 09:41 AM

Yeah I am pretty sure that is one of their things with the low limits on the perceived non Major sports like tennis. Hell, they even limit props to $100 for any sport I think.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-26-12, 09:50 AM

In case it helps, I have called 5Dimes before and had them up my limit when they wouldn't allow me to put over 250 on a play. I had the reduced option also & it always capped me around 100 for a play. Its worth a shot, just a quick phone call and ask to speak to a line manager. The phone operators can't do anything to help.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-26-12, 09:54 AM

I actually like the Anderson play EP. When Kevin is serving well, he has a ton of confidence. AND, I am also on the Rotten Fish tour this year. I hope he bombs out at River Oaks!! I like Anderson personally, hung out with him a few times. Good kid, def has his priorities in check. I was not surprised he moved up the rankings quickly. I think it will be a VERY close match & I hope Kevin comes out on top.

I hate Bartoli and almost refuse to play anything she is involved in. I have seen her play lights out! And also like a freaking complete chump! She bothers me in MORE ways than one.

Good luck on both of those brotha!! Might tail ya on the Anderson

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 10:49 AM

Well he was up an early break, but gave it back. Good notes on 5Dimes & Anderson.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 10:57 AM

Was up 4-2 on-serve and going to lose the 1st set 6-4. Adios Anderson.

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 01:31 PM

Well at least you make a pretty corpse Kirlienko.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-26-12, 02:28 PM

I just got to check the Anderson score. DAMN!! He had the early break & LOST the first set??!! Wow.......
He had 7 double faults & only 3 or 4 aces for the match??? That is a HORRIBLE serving day for Kevin. Didn't see that coming at all. How could we?? He had freaking 13 Aces & only ONE double fault last match!!!

**Demonata** · 03-26-12, 02:29 PM

Man Eaglesphan did you see how many aces serena williams got? Like 23. Was crazy for womens tennis.

**Dmoneytx** · 03-26-12, 02:35 PM

And I always stay away from Bartoli. I can't stand her dawg, she makes me want to punch a hole in the wall when I watch her take those shadow strokes before she returns serve, EVERYTIME! She looks like she is on MAJOR ADHD meds. Just so u know, I have been posting my parlays on Nikis site. I like your site bec u take a lot of slight underdogs & I value that, bigtime. I tend to take more favorites without putting too many together, bec too many in a parlay will get you busted!! Keep up the good work EP!
If you don't mind, I will post my play or two each day on here as well. I really do appreciate you and Niki allowing me to tag along with ya'll with my comments and plays.
And don't forget, if you come to River Oaks, u gotta let me know. I am pumped already to go watch Fish AND Bogomolov lose EARLY!!! LOL!! Burger & beer on me brotha

**EaglesPhan36** · 03-26-12, 03:26 PM

Yeah I feel you on Bartoli. She's good on hard courts when she gets hot, but seems like she's a hot dog away from running out of gas every match.

The last two weeks have been pretty chalky. Dogs hitting a little bit, but a lot of chalk winning. Tough to find good parlays too with the high prices, you wind up having to put 3-4-5 players in there and something like Isner yesterday happens to screw something like that. Gonna try to find a solid 2 player parlay tomorrow and stick to those. Seem to be about the only thing I hit routinely. Dogs run way hot and cold and icy right now.

**Demonata** · 03-26-12, 03:28 PM

Ya man what was the deal with Isner?