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Robredo serving for third set.Comment -
I need to quit adding these late plays, just go with my original thoughts and let it ride. Giving stupid money back at the end of the night too many days this week. Robredo up 2-1.Comment -
I never can trust Robredo ever. Even when he looks comfortable.Comment -
What do you think about monfils tonight EP. I think he can get the job done.Comment -
Robredo
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That Wawrinka-Monfils match is a bit tough to get a handle on. Seems like almost everyone likes Wawrinka. Monfils certainly has the game to win, but I THINK if he doesn't get off to a quick start that it could be a quick match. Wawrinka has been pretty solid so far this year on this surface. I'm not playing anything in the late matches tonight, but my leans are as such:
Wawrinka-Monfils UNDER
Nishikori Wins 1st Set Prop
Venus-Petkovic - NO PLAYComment -
Thank you, EP36! Really wasn´t sure about Robredo until I read your post earlier. So I had Sevastova, Almagro plus Robredo -----> nice win
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I was surprised Almagro dominated like that. Thought it was going to be a tougher fight, but he's a little under rated in these hard court Slams when he plays a similar player where he's not going to be pushed to be a complete player. His serve can carry him against plenty of people.
Some good looking matches tomorrow. Melzer-Baghdatis, Dologpolov-Tsonga, Stosur-Kvitova. Tomorrow's the night I may stay up to watch the "Australian prime time" matches since I can sleep on Saturday.Comment -
Ball and the Gucci =
....MONEY!!!
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Yeah saw that. Nice one you picked out there. Probably be looking more at doubles now with the main draws in singles starting to whittle down.Comment -
1.21.11 AUSTRALIAN OPEN
DEUCE
Droppin' the DEUCE to start the action. I THINK a solid spot to start is with the young Russian, Pavlyuchenkova. She's up against Benesova who struck the upset over Kirilenko last round. Something was fishy with that match though as the line dropped heavily prior to the match in favor of Benesova who is just below .500 on this surface lifetime. Her dominance in scorelines in the 1st two rounds may trap some bettors into taking another stab, but the Russian is the talent on this surface. Pavlyuchenkova already has a couple titles on this surface and has started off 2011 with a 5-2 mark on hard courts. She'll need to get her 1st serve in at a higher percentage, but if she does then she has all it takes to win this. Pair her with Youzhny. Yes, it's a Double Rooskie Deuce! As much as I love the hard hitting game of Milos Raonic, I THINK this is where he exits after a great showing. Youzhny inexplicably dropped off after bursting out to a two set lead over Kavcic last round, before finding himself and rolling in the 5th set. Raonic has not dropped a set and has only been broken once thus far. His big serve is a powerful weapon along with huge groundstrokes. Youzhny though has seen it all and has beaten players with similar styles on the biggest of stages - Isner last year at the US Open sticks out. Raonic is very reliant still on his serve to get him through as evidenced by four tie breakers in six sets in Melbourne. He's won all four breakers, but comes up against Youzhny who knows how to cope with those pressure situations. I THINK Raonic will rate a shot if he can hold that serve, but his margin for error is much slimmer than Youzhny's and I think the Russian's better all-around game gets him through in a tough four or five setter. Parlay at -115.
KVITOVA +163
This was one of the ladies I thought going into this tournament could surprise with a deep run and she'll earn that run if she can get by Stosur to start. Being a lefty is a big boon to Kvitova's chances as Stosur's coach has admitted they struggled to find someone competent to help train for this match. Kvitova hits the ball flat which should keep the balls out of Stosur's wheelhouse if she can connect consistently. Both have been solid here this week, but Kvitova I THINK has the extra confidence of having won the Brisbane tournament this season and not having the pressure of winning "at home" where Stosur has never made it past the 4th round. For as solid as Stosur has been the past few years, she has shown some inconsistency on this surface. Both can be dominant on serve, so expect the one who is shakier in that department to be watching the rest of the tournament on TV.Comment -
EP, what do you think about Peer @ even money against Pennetta?Comment -
i agree with the assessment of raonic/youhzny...wouldn't mind a 5 set upset though.Comment -
Think the prices are about right on that one. Lots of people I think like Peer because she beat Pennetta twice on this surface in 2010. I hate Peer because she can be locked in a zone and beat quality opponents on this surface or she can have a weak ass serve and get killed. Pretty much a coin flip I think.Comment -
I think Murray is going to have a lot tougher time vs GG Lopez than everyone thinks...Murray in 5 or a 4 setter with 2 breakers..Comment -
No clue about that one. I originally liked the UNDER 31.5, but I don't know GGL enough to really know enough. Murray has looked great though. GGL cannot afford to start how he did against Schwank though. He's lucky Schwank is a schmuck because I think Schwank had him 3-0 or so in the 1st and wound up losing the set. You go down 3-0 Murray, you might not win a game in that set.Comment -
Think Im going to take flyer on GG lopez to win 1st set at +500..Bet US..Comment -
And call me a fool sucker..But roddicks price cant be beat at -115..no matter how much a tease he is...Comment -
Thanks for the winner last night EP. Keep up the sick work mate.Comment -
MEN'S DOUBLES: PHAU-TIPSAREVIC +120
Earmarked this one after being on the wrong end of the opener for this duo's opponents today in Xavier Malisse & Jamie Murray. Malisse-Murray crushed the veteran duo of Norman-Moodie who I wrongly tipped to win. For me, it was a case of the old men simply not being prepared/sucking ass more-so than Malisse-Murray being totally dominant. Phau-Tipsarevic won against an outclassed combo Ljubicic-Zovko, converted several break opps and only offering up two break opps. I THINK Malisse-Murray deserve credit for dismantling a pretty good tag duo, but one that had not played a match yet in 2011. Phau-Tipsarevic are not a normal pairing, but they showed decent chemistry in their opener. Murray is the best doubles player amongst this foursome, but Tipsarevic showed some ability in doubles in 2010 with a couple finals appearances with Troicki & Lu as partners. The combo of his power and Phau's speed is intriguing. I THINK Malisse-Murray are getting a lot of respect from the bookies for their first round win. So getting some plus money for what probably should be a pick 'em type match makes sense to try for me.
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First set Raonic...this kid can ball..Comment -
Wow Raonic! He is fukn good! One to watch for the future!Comment -
Bad time for Youzhny to suck. Serves held easy by both guys and then Youzhny blows it. Didn't expect Youzhny would win in straights, so this is not surprising - this is going to be a battle. Don't be surprised if Youzhny wins a lopsided set next. Youngsters have that habit of losing concentration when they get a big set win early. Well that and I need it to happen.
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Yep already that break in the first game..Right call..Comment -
wow Raonic and his 11 aces...Comment -
Wow. Youzhny broke him twice in this set. Maybe he can f-ing hold this time.Comment -
Hold youz ffs!Comment -
Cripes. What a fukk nut. WTA set. Raonic will win this. Kid has to have confidence that dipwad Yoozh cant hold serve now.Comment -
Agree Raonic in 3. Fuk you youzhny! Never again!Comment -
Russians! I swear!Comment -
Giving Raonic props for sticking in this, but Youzhny is playing horribly - not Raonic playing all that great. 0-2 rally caps?
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A repeat of the second set here in the 3rd. Youzhny breaks Raonic 1st game of the set. Does Youzhny roll in this set or does he buckle?Comment -
Buckle it is! Youzhny go play womens tennis! You're a dud!Comment
