EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #421
    Yeah I mean this is what I am saying. The kid deserves credit because he's not getting down on himself, but Youzhny has done what no one else could do in breaking him, but then he can't hold for his life. Raonic is just hitting big and it's working again.
    Comment
    • Tsonga
      SBR MVP
      • 10-12-09
      • 2349

      #422
      Youzhny looks like crap.
      Comment
      • Tsonga
        SBR MVP
        • 10-12-09
        • 2349

        #423
        small hiccup from the canadian - lets see what youzhny does with it this time.
        Comment
        • Tsonga
          SBR MVP
          • 10-12-09
          • 2349

          #424
          i'm really hoping youzhny can take this set....but for different reasons than you guys....i need the over.
          Comment
          • kingsr
            SBR MVP
            • 01-23-10
            • 1983

            #425
            Come on Youz!
            Comment
            • Tsonga
              SBR MVP
              • 10-12-09
              • 2349

              #426
              thank God. Raonic can take this now...i don't care who wins anymore...sorry eaglesphan.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #427
                It's cool. Hoping the kid doesn't cope well with a little pressure now. Finally lost a set. Surprised Youzhny held when he got more breaks.
                Comment
                • kmarinouofm
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 8437

                  #428
                  rooting for youz but this kid is amazing.. holds the current record for aces now..
                  Comment
                  • kingsr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-23-10
                    • 1983

                    #429
                    No pressure, he wins 1st game of 4th set to love.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #430
                      Well good for Raonic. Youzhny did not deserve to win today, played like a retard. You break this kid's serve five of six times, you should be up in the match. Raonic 64 winners, 54 unforced errors, 31 aces. He's pretty much the prototype for hit big and go for it. If it's on, it's like Tipsarevic at the US Open against Roddick. Next match should be one of the most interesting to me - Ferrer likely vs. Raonic. One of the best retrievers on tour against one of the biggest serves.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #431
                        PENNETTA-PEER OVER 21.5 [-110]
                        Sat on this for awhile, but the way these two have gone in their head-2-head meetings, a three set match seems like it might be possible here. I THINK both are superb defensive players who can have service yips. I'd expect plenty of break opps here and momentum swings. Three of the five career meetings have gone to three sets. The two that did not make it were tight 6-4, 6-4 matches. You could try and split hairs here on which one of these girls is going to step up today ... I won't because I THINK it's going to be a barn burner and a potential OVER.
                        Comment
                        • kingsr
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-23-10
                          • 1983

                          #432
                          Damn Youzny and now Pavly! Fuk
                          Comment
                          • Mikail
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-19-09
                            • 21689

                            #433
                            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                            PENNETTA-PEER OVER 21.5 [-110]
                            Sat on this for awhile, but the way these two have gone in their head-2-head meetings, a three set match seems like it might be possible here. I THINK both are superb defensive players who can have service yips. I'd expect plenty of break opps here and momentum swings. Three of the five career meetings have gone to three sets. The two that did not make it were tight 6-4, 6-4 matches. You could try and split hairs here on which one of these girls is going to step up today ... I won't because I THINK it's going to be a barn burner and a potential OVER.
                            Looked this one over. I like your write up and reasoning. Gonna tail the over 21.5 here. All we need is a tiebreaker and this one goes over I think.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #434
                              Well I won't go 0-fer today. Doubles play hits! Trying to power through the night here until Stosur-Kvitova. That's my biggie for the day. I'm either a prophet or a putz ... pretty easy to decipher.
                              Comment
                              • Paddee
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-18-10
                                • 102

                                #435
                                You've been screwed big time there.

                                ul
                                Comment
                                • Mikail
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-19-09
                                  • 21689

                                  #436
                                  Cash the Pennetta/Peer over 21.5
                                  Comment
                                  • Paddee
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-18-10
                                    • 102

                                    #437
                                    Or not!

                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #438
                                      That was a major sweat. Break break break break break. Thank the Lawwwd Peer sucks on serve as bad as Pennetta.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #439
                                        Pennetta ultimately wins in 3. Good. I hate Peer's game so much. Probably got burned by her somewhere in the past. Hoping Isner puts Cilic down. Just for US pride I suppose.
                                        Comment
                                        • DigBick86
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-06-10
                                          • 1930

                                          #440
                                          Do you se any value in this match would appriciate a fast answer

                                          Groth sis/brother are playing Benesova/Dlouhy,benesova had that big win earlier today so i dont think she will be so focused in this and Groth have homeadvantage they give +162 you see any value there?
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #441
                                            Well I waited all night and got Kvitova at +180 now. So boom goes the dynamite.

                                            Said in Shari's thread, don't automatically think because someone played earlier that they have a disadvantage. I honestly don't know enough about mixed doubles because they don't play them except for Slams for the most part. Dlouhy is a solid doubles player, but I don't know anything about Groth's doubles record.
                                            Comment
                                            • DigBick86
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-06-10
                                              • 1930

                                              #442
                                              Ok ty,i skipped i their recorded wasent the best and Dlouh had a very good record the last games hes 8-0 and benesova have shoved her form so only Meltzer for me gl on Kvitova
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #443
                                                That was one fukk of a tie break by Kvitova! Down -3, wins it 7-5! Yeaaaaaah lefty powa!
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #444
                                                  Mirror image of the first set. Stosur goes down 0-40, but fights back. Damn it.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #445
                                                    Man Isner looks broken in his presser. I feel for the kid. Losing like that sucks, but it is the natural result of the way he plays.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Paddee
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-18-10
                                                      • 102

                                                      #446
                                                      0-40 again.

                                                      She has to take advantage this time, surely?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #447
                                                        Yep. Finally. Consolidate and this is OVER baby.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #448


                                                          Kvitova b-yotch. Watch for her to crash the party again for a possible semifinal appearance. Another example as well why line movement in tennis isn't something you need to factor in. Cap your match and pick your pick.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • beefcake
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 14029

                                                            #449
                                                            Nice to be rewarded by staying up late.. Nice hit!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kmarinouofm
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 8437

                                                              #450
                                                              nice hit on the +180 eagles!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brandoc
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-18-10
                                                                • 386

                                                                #451
                                                                Yeah, great call on Kvitova EP - please keep the gems and words of wisdom coming!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Boner_18
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-24-08
                                                                  • 8301

                                                                  #452
                                                                  I know you are focusing a lot on wta but im looking forward to hearing any thoughts you have on roddick v. Wawrinka EP. Flip a coin?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #453
                                                                    1.22.11 AUSTRALIAN OPEN

                                                                    DEUCE
                                                                    I THINK when crafting the DEUCE today, I looked at men's doubles first. The duo of Kubot-Marach has a favorable match-up against the Italians, Starace-Bracciali. Kubot-Marach staggered out of the gate a bit in 2011 with a couple of tough super breaker losses in the Sydney and Brisbane tournaments. This is a team with solid Slam experience though as they have teamed up in ten Slams together. They made the quarters of both the US and French last season and the 4th round in Melbourne in 2010. They made the semis in 2009. Starace-Bracciali won an indoor hard court tournament late in the season in 2010, but it was lacking in solid teams. They are experienced, but more suited to clay and that has shown in their choice of tournaments to play and results in the few outdoor hard court tourneys they play. Kubot-Marach have been serving well with very few break opps given, contrasting the Italians who have offered up 15 in their first two matches but seen only four of them converted. If Kubot-Marach convert break opps today, they should win. Pair with Kuznetsova. The Russian should have plenty of confidence after beating Henin for just the third time in 19 career meetings. She draws the often talked about injury, Schiavone. Schiavone has been able to survive here in spite of her leg issue, but Kuznetsova's power game has what it takes to trouble her - much like the young Canadian Marino did a couple rounds ago. Kuznetsova must serve well to start and she needs to keep the forehand errors in-check. Still, I THINK this is the opponent to put Schiavone on the shelf after a warrior-like work rate through to this point. Pair at -105.

                                                                    AZARENKA +100
                                                                    Azarenka and Li pits two very different styles. Li loves to use her speed and footwork on defense to run down shots and win points by frustrating her opponent. Azarenka is more from the big hitter school, at least with her forehand which is her best weapon. Neither has had much trouble to this point. Their last head-2-head meeting came last Summer in Montreal where Azarenka won rather easily. The thing I THINK that Azarenka must jump on is Li's serve. Despite getting in a high percentage on 1st serve, Li doesn't always win a high percentage of those points. Azarenka has to like where she's at right now, playing good tennis and NOT being talked about. This year there is no Serena to beat her, it's all mental I THINK. She has the game to beat Li, but she's got to bring her lunch pail and prepared to do work today. The weather is going to be warmer today, so she knows going into this that people are going to be talking up her retirement vs. Serena. I THINK Azarenka must use that as something to pump herself up. F the world so-to-speak. I THINK she is focused to turn her fortunes around to start this year off after a tough go in 2010. If she can keep her errors and frustration level down, I THINK she rates a chance to advance.

                                                                    SEVASTOVA +6 [-130]
                                                                    Just a hunch play here. They played last year in the Fed Cup and Wozniacki dumped the Latvian, 6-2, 6-2. However, Sevastova is playing much better tennis a year later. Her ascent began late last year in Beijing when she knocked off Stosur and Cibulkova and then played Na Li tough in losing the final, 7-6, 6-3. Wozniacki has had a fairly easy time of it in Melbourne, but outside of her 2nd round route ... she has only won by five games in each of the other two matches. Sevastova has a solid forehand and a fairly solid serve. If she can serve well early and not get down to Wozniacki, I THINK she's going to keep it fairly close even in likely losing this match.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • shari91
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                                      • 32661

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Love the Sevastova play. I got her at 5.5 which may come back and bite me in the ass. Here's hoping to a nice 6-4 6-4 win by Woz.

                                                                      Best of luck today EP!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #455
                                                                        Thanks, you too! Handicaps I always look at last and that one just stuck out to me.
                                                                        Comment
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