1. #1
    Jeff_Black
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    2020 (and some of 2019) Tennis Season Picks & Analysis

    ATP Abu Dhabi, R1
    Stefanos Tsistipas vs Andrey Rublev
    Moneyline Andrey Rublev, 2.73 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    For a tournament where the opposition player is equally as motivated as his highly touted favourite, I think Rublev showed in 2019 that he is not afraid of the big name players, and coming into Abu Dhabi is probably a good preparation for him as he continues his Australian Open pre-tournaments in Doha on the third of January.
    I see enough value in the odds for an exhibition tournament to take the less favoured player where the expectation is that Tsitsipas continues his run. It is worth noting that players who have finished in London in recent years on a high such as Grigor Dimitrov and Sascha Zverev have not exactly taken the next step in their careers.
    Tsitsipas had less then spectacular form in the second half of the season at the Majors and I think he will be aiming for a little bit more consistency in his tennis season. Rublev also had a solid finish to the 2019 season at the Davis Cup, as well as at the US Open beating Tsitsipas and Kyrgios.
    There are already plenty of articles pumping his tyres about his (Tsitsipas') aspirations to win a Major in 2020 so I think his goals in Abu Dhabi won't a tournament where he goes all out. He is scheduled to play in Sydney in the ATP Cup and I feel his concentration will be geared towards that inaugural tournament.
    First matches are always a tough gauge even though they are technically not apart of the Win and Loss record but even with that said the break hasn't felt like it has been as long as usual with Spain winning the Davis Cup a few weeks ago.
    Looking at Rublev to make an early statement in this tournament.

  2. #2
    leetreaper
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    On Rublev +3.5

    Cheers.

  3. #3
    Jeff_Black
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    Not the ideal result. Rublev had his chances in the second set, and was actually playing aggressive tennis but was unfortunately not aggressive enough on the break points to convert.

    0 - 1 - 0 (-1u)

    ATP Abu Dhabi
    Andrey Rublev vs Hyeon Chung
    Handicap: Andrey Rublev -2.5, 1.80 on Bet365
    Stake: 2u play

    I saw plenty of positive signs against a superior opponent that make me confident against his next inferior opponent for Rublev. He was definately a different player when he lost those matches against Chung in 2017 in comparison to now. Two of those were in a different format as well so it's not as fair of a comparison. His comments after his match suggested he was upbeat about his performance and doesn't plan on fading away in this tournament.
    It's interesting to note that between the first and second game (and during the second game) the temperature dropped which made it a bit of a slower game for Chung against Khachanov, so it will be interesting to see how he handles the earlier, more warmer and faster temperature. Rublev probably did not serve as well as he would have liked against Tsitsipas but I think with a match under his belt he can turn that around.

  4. #4
    Jeff_Black
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    0 - 2 - 0 (-3u)

    Not ideal to be broken when serving for the match, but that's the way it is some times. Rublev didn't really look like losing that match at any point, even when Chung was up a break, but he looked very well in control of that second set, so it's a surprise he managed to only win it in a tiebreak.

    ATP Abu Dhabi, 3rd place play-off
    Novak Djokovic vs Karen Khachanov
    Handicap: Novak Djokovic -4.5, 1.83 on Bet365
    Stake: 2u play

    An excellent match between Djokovic and Tsitsipas to start the season with both guys not really treating the tournament like an exhibition match. Novak got pretty complacent and committed some uncharacteristic errors when trying to press for opportunities but even with that said, his game should be too much for Khachanov to handle. He is also working with a new coach on top of his pre-existing coach so I'm not sure what their plan is going forward. Djokovic had quite a few tricks up his sleeve against Tsitsipas and despite not being as polished if he is able to cut down on the errors he should be hard to handle.

    ATP Abu Dhabi, Final
    Rafael Nadal vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Moneyline: Stefanos Tsitsipas, 2.90 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    As mentioned the SF between Tsitsipas and Djokovic was highly entertaining, and Tsitsipas despite not being perfect handled Djokovic's deep shots pretty well and countered with some of his own. He will probably have to be better to beat Nadal but he has the confidence and form to win the trophy as well as a nice cool $250k in prizemoney (last time I checked it was anyway)
    Tsitsipas seems to be a player who responds well to a loss. He beat Nadal on clay at home in Madrid after losing in the Australian Open, and he beat Djokovic in Shanghai after falling to him in the Madrid Final, as well as beating him here in Abu Dhabi after falling to him in Paris.
    Even though previous indicators aren't an indicator when it comes to Nadal because he gives it his all I feel like Tsitsipas will be up for this one with a chance to beat 2 of the big three here in Abu Dhabi.

  5. #5
    DoctorStrong
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    gl this season

  6. #6
    Conqueror
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    Hard to figure out player motivation levels at this time of year.

  7. #7
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    Hard to figure out player motivation levels at this time of year.
    Definitely, just easing my way back into things.

    Also worth noting but im sure yourself and others know this already but the ATP Cup does have rankings points and prize money on offer for its attendees depending on results.
    Last edited by Jeff_Black; 01-03-20 at 12:39 AM.

  8. #8
    Jeff_Black
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    1 - 3 (-2.34u)

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    USA vs Norway
    John Isner vs Casper Ruud
    Money line: Casper Ruud, 2.70 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Canada vs Greece
    Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsipas -2, 1.98 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

  9. #9
    Jeff_Black
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    2 - 4 (-1.64u)

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Germany vs Australia
    Nick Kyrgios vs Jan Lennard Struff
    Set Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -1.5 sets, 2.26 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Ugh, this should end well but Kyrgios has actually got a respectable run of games going into this tournament when the format are these team/country battles.
    He has been quoted many times saying he enjoys this format and I think it may bring the best of him here.
    Heís 11-5 in Davis Cup as well as well as 6-1 in the Hopman Cup.
    He will be in hot water the moment he steps out of line so I think he will embrace the idea of playing at home and come up with some good matches after coming out on social media trying to encourage a charity match to raise funds for the Australian Bushfires the way they did several years ago with Hit for Haiti.

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Great Britain vs Bulgaria
    Dan Evans vs Grigor Dimitrov
    Money line: Dan Evans, 2.41 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Think Dimitrov might be over valued going into 2020 after a remarkable Us open run amongst a few other tournaments. Did like him initially but Evans also had a solid 2019 and doesnít mind playing on the Australian Hardcourts either.
    There shouldnít be much between these two but I think with the odds on hand it presents enough value for me to believe Evans can get it done.

  10. #10
    beefcake
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    Lovin this cup so far man.Thanks for the picks jeff

    Lol norway was +650 to win the tie..and they did

  11. #11
    beefcake
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    Jeff di minaur looks like an aussie version of a rafa nadal.Guy runs down everything and has boundless energy.

    He might win majors in the future.

  12. #12
    Jeff_Black
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    Highly entertaining tie between Germany and Australia. Zverev had no business losing that game, but 11 double faults begs to differ. You could feel even up in the second set after only just being able to close out the first set that if De Minaur hung in there he would have a shot. Zverev is a bit like his mate courtside Boris on what he used to be like back when he played in a way. A great front runner, but if you just leave the door open a little bit and frustrate him, he could have a collapse and fall apart.
    De Minaur probably would struggle to push a competitive match with the big three, mainly due to the fact that he still struggles to get enough out of his serve and free points wise. And this match is evident of that. But the hard yards has definately paid off for him it seems.

    Kyrgios didn't do much wrong either. Served well and weathered his opponents serve well. Didn't crack under pressure. Could have been like Zverev here but wasn't.

    3 - 4 (-0.38u)

    ATP Cup, Group Stages
    France vs Chile
    Benoit Paire vs Nicolas Jarry
    Moneyline: Nicolas Jarry, 2.75 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    I think Chile can grab one of the singles rubbers in this tie, but rather then do both i'll just take one and see how it pans out. Jarry has been working out at the IMG Academy over the off-season with new coaching and after reaching new heights in his career including a title, it will be interesting to see where he goes to from here. His opponent on the other hand has always been a floater, happy to hang around the top 50, sometimes enjoying rare purple patches of form where he can make it deep in a draw, other times losing very comfortably, on the border line of a fix. Both guys are known for being clay grinders and while Paire has the slight advantage on hards I feel coming into 2020 that Jarry is the guy who will look to make a move closer to the top.

    ATP Cup, Group Stages
    Argentina vs Poland
    Diego Sebastien Schwartzman vs Hubert Hurkacz
    Moneyline: Hubert Hurkacz, 2.33 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Despite the odds, I think at this point I give the edge to Hurkacz being the better player on hard courts. It would be normal to assume that Pella does enough and grabs the first singles rubber pushing the motivation on the young polish to get the 2nd rubber win here in a matchup he wouldn't mind considering they haven't played each other. He has had a solid run on challengers on Hard Courts over the past few years and has made that transition onto hard court, pushing himself to a ranking 37 as opposed to being outside the top 200 in 2018. In that process he beat a few notable names and picked up his first title in Winston Salem too. Looking for him to try and get a win in this tie for his country.

  13. #13
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    Lovin this cup so far man.Thanks for the picks jeff
    Lol norway was +650 to win the tie..and they did
    Yeah USA are tough to predict. Their players don't seem to do as well here in Australia, not sure what it is. Even guys like Roddick, Fish and Blake had a bit of success here being able to make it to the QF. Doubles is probably tough to pick as well with some of the ties.

    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    Jeff di minaur looks like an aussie version of a rafa nadal.Guy runs down everything and has boundless energy.

    He might win majors in the future.
    It's funny he gets similar comparisons to Hewitt as well being out there with him and the team. I've spoken with guys who have been following the sport for decades and do worry about his size/lack of weapons despite the fact he plays with heart. In fact 15 years ago he would have fitted in perfectly.

    Between him and Alexei Popyrin the contrarian in me honestly thinks that Popyrin has the higher ceiling out of the two for various reasons. But also at his young age is that he has shown the kind of weapons he has and can develop, equipped with his high tennis IQ.
    He is actually better then Kyrgios in most aspects, except for two aspects, serve and backhand. And those are fixable things, easily. He is fast and is a great mover as well, equipped with his height, he can also develop into a better volleyer.
    His problem has been a bit maturity for reasons that are kept private, and that was showcased in his round three match in Australia last year, I think it was against Simon.

    The Berreteni match at the US Open shows he's on the right path, but a work in progress, and to expect a leap in the rankings at some point over the next 12-18 months.
    He's a couple of steps behind atm, but when he catches up, we'll see...it'll be interesting to see their careers at the end I think...

  14. #14
    Don_Omarion
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    Fucsovics M. - Gerasimov E.

    why Fucsovics @-160 ? is he injured ? or it’s because the 1st game @season ?

  15. #15
    Jeff_Black
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    Wrong thread bud?

  16. #16
    Jeff_Black
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    3 - 6 (-2.38u)

    Ugh, two guys that faltered.

    ATP Cup, Group Stages
    Japan vs Uruguay
    Yoshihito Nishioka vs Pablo Cuevas
    Moneyline: Pablo Cuevas, 2.59 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    With the likelyness of Japan taking the opening rubber it is up to Cuevas to keep the tie alive in the second one. Despite some inconsistent form from both players Cuevas has been a reliable Davis Cup stallion winning his last 9. Despite this I'm not sure if Nishioka has addressed his fitness problems and Cuevas is one to not mind going the distance and grinding out a win. I don't think there is as much as between these guys as the odds suggest and on his day Cuevas is a tough guy to crack on serve. Not sure how Nishioka will handle the conditions either but with the odds on present there is enough value to take the veteran.

  17. #17
    Conqueror
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    BOL this year!

  18. #18
    nuxx??
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    Cuevas still vacationing

  19. #19
    Don_Omarion
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Black View Post
    Wrong thread bud?
    I was asking you why Fucso has this value against Gerasimov , but you did not understand
    anyway no problem , I placed the bet before you respond correctly .. keep up the good work though

  20. #20
    Jeff_Black
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don_Omarion View Post
    I was asking you why Fucso has this value against Gerasimov , but you did not understandanyway no problem , I placed the bet before you respond correctly .. keep up the good work though
    Oh I see, my bad. I actually hadn't been looking at Doha Qualifiers, well not the point of wanting to wager on them.

    Quote Originally Posted by nuxx?? View Post
    Cuevas still vacationing
    Yeah that was a shocker. Just didn't want to be there hey. Bit annoying.
    Points Awarded:

    Don_Omarion gave Jeff_Black 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  21. #21
    Jeff_Black
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    4 - 7 (-3.05u)

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Italy vs Norway
    Fabio Fognini vs Casper Ruud
    Handicap: Fabio Fognini -2, 1.97 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Both guys played some nice tennis in their previous matches and I think there were some definately solid elements of Fognini's game against Medvedev, but I can't see Ruud backing up his win against Isner with Norway scoring the upset over the USA. It probably won't be as much of a serving battle between these two and Fognini is a much better returner and mover then Isner. I think he will be too much to handle for the young Norweigan.

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Belgium vs Great Britain
    David Goffin vs Dan Evans
    Handicap: Dan Evans -4, 1.934 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Was disappointed with how Evans handled the finish to the game against Dimitrov and in a better in form player with Goffin I think he should handle him comfortably. Goffin has been a solid representative for his country in team tournaments and I expect that continue today.



  22. #22
    Jeff_Black
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    4 - 9 (-5.05u)

    ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R16
    Milos Raonic vs Corentin Moutet
    Moneyline: Corentin Moutet, 3.35 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    This is a bit overs for my liking considering Raonic's steady decline since his breakout season in 2016, and especially last year. In 2019 he did not win a title, or back to back matches since London and has steadily fallen outside the top 30. Raonic has had multiple injury setbacks and with his opponent playing a few qualifier matches, and his first round match on top of some promising results in 2019 I think he can cause an upset having watched his qualifying matches. Raonic is not a great returner and Moutet has had a solid winning percentage on serve in this tournament so far, so as long as he is able to take care of things on his side with his rhythm on serve he has a great chance of scoring an upset here in Doha.

    ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R16
    Marton Fuscovics vs Cem IIkel
    Total Games: Under 21 Games, 1.909 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Fuscovics performed well in Doha last year against Djokovic and he has battled through in this section of the draw as well. But I think he will be too much for his opponent who has notched up some impressive wins. With that said prior to that he had not registered a tour level win and was 1-14 against top 100 opposition. Fuscovics is a different level to his opponents and should advance further then he did last year. With the line at 4.5 I'm taking the extra insurance in the under expecting it to be two sets.

    ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R16
    Fernando Verdasco vs Filip Krajinovic
    Total Games: Over 23 Games, 2.01 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Both players have been pretty inconsistent on hardcourts in 2019 and despite being a local Verdasco has only made it past the second round once in his time here. While Krajinovic is better then Verdasco's previous opponent he is also capable of inconsistency and dropping a set, as well as Verdasco who also seems to struggle in these matches as well. Expecting a three set match in this one.

  23. #23
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Georgia vs Uruguay
    Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Pablo Cuevas
    Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili -3.5, 1.98 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Last tie of these Group Stages, both countries and players playing for a bit of pride here. Basilashvili has come up a bit short in he's matches but he's put up a bit of a fight and at least tried to win. As documented earlier Cuevas looks like he doesn't want to be there and just watching some errors made me feel like that too. I expect the Georgian to salvage this last matchup.

    ATP Cup, Group Stage
    Croatia vs Argentina
    Borna Coric vs Diego Sebastien Schwartzman
    Moneyline: Borna Coric, 2.26 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Giving Borna a go here despite being poor against Hurkacz. I don't trust Diego on HC's as much and I think Coric has the power to compete with his opponent. With the odds at hand I won't mind taking the dog here despite the form.

  24. #24
    Jeff_Black
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    7 - 11 (-2.781)

    Ugh Undid all the good work from Doha with two sub par picks.

    ATP Cup, QF
    Great Britain vs Australia
    Nick Kyrgios vs Cameron Norrie
    Handicap: Nick Kyrgios -4, 2.16 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Probably could have taken a smaller line but the hit in juice is way too much for my liking. That said at this inaugural event at his home country I think Kyrgios has been playing well, and should notch up a comfortable win against Norrie who has had some sub par matches here against inferior opponents.

    ATP Cup, QF
    Great Britain vs Australia
    Dan Evans vs Alex De Minaur
    Money line: Dan Evans, 3.12 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    I am surprised at myself for thinking of taking this but I feel there might be a chink here in De Minaurís form even though his odds suggest it is not as much of an easy win as we should think.
    Evans has had some good match practice playing some decent tennis and for him I feel the odds are a bit overs. He lost to Dimitrov in three sets and beat Goffin who was playing very good and had the power and ground strokes to keep up with them. He can definitely over power Alex as well. Provided mentally he holds it together unlike some of Alexís opponents.

  25. #25
    Jeff_Black
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    9 - 11 (+0.499u)

    ATP Cup, Menís Singles
    Argentina vs Russia
    Guido Pella vs Karen Khachanov
    Money line: Guido Pella, 3.38 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Another matchup where I feel itís a bit mis priced with both players looking good on singles despite Pellas bizarre loss despite being up 6-0.
    I donít think Khachanov should be that heavily favoured as he didnít look too convincing against his two opponents (he was down 2-5 against Travalgia) before winning in straights.
    If Pella can get this into a gruelling battle of rallies he can certainly go the distance against a sometimes mentally unstable Khachanov.

  26. #26
    Jeff_Black
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    9 - 12 (-0.501u)

    Took Pella a while to find his groove in that game, but was too late. Shame some shoddy serving cost him in that tiebreak.

    ATP Cup, Mens Singles, QF
    Daniil Medvedev vs Diego Sebastien Schwartzman
    Total Games: Under 21.5 Games, 2.07 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 2u play

    I have the line about right with Medvedev being better by 4 games, so I'll take the under with the expectation that he wins this in two sets. With Khachanov sealing the early win he will want to make it 2-0 to give Russia an early SF berth from this tie. I'm not looking into the Coric win too much as he was pretty garbage and looked like he had conceded pretty early being broken at 40 multiple times. Medvedev has won his matches comfortable and isn't a great matchup for the smaller Schwartzman. Expecting him to continue his run in this rubber.

  27. #27
    Jeff_Black
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    9 - 13 (-2.501u)

    ATP Cup, Menís Singles, QF
    Serbia vs Canada
    Dusan Lajovic vs Felix Auger Alissime
    Money line: Dusan Lajovic 2.25 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Going with a bit of form here and a lot more on the line as these two meet. Felix hasnít exactly had a tough draw but heís struggled in this tournament and conditions so far.

  28. #28
    Jeff_Black
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    10 - 13 (-0.801u)

    ATP Cup, Menís Singles, QF
    Serbia vs Canada
    Novak Djokovic vs Denis Shapovalov
    Total Games: Denis Shapovalov Over 8.5 Games, 1.90 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    This should be an interesting match as Shapovalov has given Djokovic a few issues in the past, I expect it to be a bit closer then the lines suggest and he has played well in the team stages to date. Being down 0-1 he should be keen to give this a good fight to level things out.

  29. #29
    Jeff_Black
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    11 - 13 (+0.099u)

    ATP Cup, Mens Singles, QF
    Spain vs Belgium
    Roberto Bautista Agut vs Steve Darcis
    Total Games: Under 18.5 Games, 2.02 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Steve Darcis in his long career has struggled to record wins against top 10 players. He did famously beat Nadal in Wimbledon in Round 1 in 2013 in one of the biggest upsets at the time. It was Nadal's first loss in the opening round of a slam.
    He is much older now at 35, and planning to retire after the Australian Open, so this tournament has been a nice little way of honouring his career from both his and his countries point of view.
    But match up wise Bautista should be too much for him to handle. This is primarly because he has played mostly Challenger Level events after the ATP Tour has long passed him by.
    I think he will struggle to break down Bautista's game, and from them I think Bautista will do enough to win this comfortably.

    EDIT: Errrgghh last minute change with the line ups and Bautista is playing someone else so that's gonna be voided. Bautista should still cover the line/go unders for those who want to go in live.
    Last edited by Jeff_Black; 01-10-20 at 12:52 AM.

  30. #30
    Jeff_Black
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    11 - 13 - 1 (+0.099u)

    ATP Cup, Mens Singles, QF
    Spain vs Belgium
    David Goffin vs Rafael Nadal
    Moneyline: David Goffin, 8.05 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Last few Nadal matches haven't exactly been easy wins and now with a lot more on the line it'll be interesting to see how opponents go. As we saw earlier today Denis Shapovalov took it to Djokovic before coming short and Schwartzman also made it a tight contest with Medvedev. Not suggesting the same will happen but there is enough value for my liking to take Goffin as I've seen him improve in every match he's played against Nadal. And he's already played some pretty physical players here at the ATP Cup in preparation for that. If Belgium are able to tie it up 1-1 they'll like their chances in the doubles and Goffin will I think give it his best shot to make that happen.

  31. #31
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, QF
    Corentin Moutet vs Fernando Verdasco
    Moneyline: Corentin Moutet, 2.50 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Think there is enough value to take him again here in this spot, one that Verdasco hasn't handled too well in this tournament and in general in 2019 where he lost all four of his Quarter Final matches. It seems like he is steadily declining and I am not sure what is motivation will be like. And for legal reasons it's probably not ideal to specify some of the other controversies surrounding some of his performances in the past.
    Despite being less experienced i'll go with Moutet's form having to go through qualifying as well. He chased down every ball and fought hard for his points. Verdasco had some great ball striking against Krajinovic I don't trust him this heavily favoured. The young takes out the old here in my opinion.

    ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, QF
    Stan Wawrinka vs Aljaz Bedene
    Handicap: Stan Wawrinka -3.5, 1.952 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    An ideal matchup for Stan going into this QF against an opponent who prefers to play on the clay surface. I can't see Bedene troubling Stan much, and it seems like based off results in 2019 Stan has recovered well from his injury set backs and is looking to put himself back in the contenders conversation. I expect Stan to continue his dominance both here and against his opponent.

  32. #32
    nuxx??
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff_Black View Post
    11 - 13 - 1 (+0.099u)

    ATP Cup, Mens Singles, QF
    Spain vs Belgium
    David Goffin vs Rafael Nadal
    Moneyline: David Goffin, 8.05 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Last few Nadal matches haven't exactly been easy wins and now with a lot more on the line it'll be interesting to see how opponents go. As we saw earlier today Denis Shapovalov took it to Djokovic before coming short and Schwartzman also made it a tight contest with Medvedev. Not suggesting the same will happen but there is enough value for my liking to take Goffin as I've seen him improve in every match he's played against Nadal. And he's already played some pretty physical players here at the ATP Cup in preparation for that. If Belgium are able to tie it up 1-1 they'll like their chances in the doubles and Goffin will I think give it his best shot to make that happen.
    Was on it as well. Nice hit


  33. #33
    stepaside777
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    same. we all take wawa? I'm having doubts

  34. #34
    Jeff_Black
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    14 - 13 - 1 (+10.601u)

    ATP Adelaide 250, Mens Singles, Qualifiers
    Alex Bolt vs Lloyd George Harris
    Moneyline: Alex Bolt, 2.40 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Alex Bolt had one of the best summers in 2019, he had it to the 3R of the Australian Open in 2019 (beating Gilles Simon on the way) and is looking to try and defend those points as best he can. He looks like he has recovered from the injury set backs he had late last year to try and reach the main draw of the Australian Open. He has a good opportunity to try and go as far as he can in Adelaide and from what I have read he is motivated to give it a go. His serve should bounce on this surface and if he can take advantage of that he should be in with a shot. Harris was uninspiring in his ATP Cup matches and has had a lot of his challengers success in Africa before winning some titles in the States. He seems to do better in Europe/The States so it will be interesting to see how he responds but I think there is clearly some uncertainty with how likely he is to win.

  35. #35
    Jeff_Black
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    ATP Cup, Mens Singles, SF
    Serbia vs Russia
    Dusan Lajovic vs Karen Khachanov
    Moneyline: Dusan Lajovic, 3.79 on Pinnacle
    Stake: 1u play

    Some serious drifting going on with the odds making, but that's okay. He's been reliable here in the ATP Cup and he's also drawn from his experience playing at Davis Cup level showing he can perform outside of clay as well, beating some decent players in the process. I think there is enough overs on the opposition to make this a worthwhile play.
    Khachanov has also played well here but he's shown lapses of concentration where other opponents have failed to take advantage of. Lajovic has a different style to the guys Khachanov has played and this style has helped him obtain a 2-0 h2h so far.
    Think there is enough value to hope for an upset and give his country a 1-0 lead in this tie.

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