TennisBabe's '10 Picks

**TennisBabe** · 04-15-10, 08:46 PM

I won't be around late night today to make picks for tennis therefore baring I wake up in the middle of the night I won't be making a play in the Ferrer match and Nadal match. I do think Ferrer will win although the juice noted about is a bit high. Also like Nadal to win, but I am shocked to see that type of line against a decent player. Curious to see what the Greek puts up.

Probably will be making a play in the Nalbandian match and leading towards him with the plus money depending on how juicy the odds are. Like Verdasco in the final match although the line is higher than I expected. Should be back on around 6am ET

**Salmon Steak** · 04-15-10, 09:56 PM

It's a Spain-off! Ferrero +800! Could really make it interesting. That is what I will be on. GL with your other picks.

**vmchockey** · 04-15-10, 10:22 PM

+1100 now on 5dimes.

**MathewXB** · 04-15-10, 10:54 PM

You guys are really on ferrero? +1100 are very unlikely odds.

**beefcake** · 04-15-10, 11:26 PM

hard to see nadal losing but you never know

**Petman** · 04-16-10, 12:45 AM

I guess I need to open at another book so I can get some tennis plays in.

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 01:16 AM

there's no points in laying -485 on verdasco who's the most inconsistent person in the world. putting up 485 to win a hundo on a guy that could easily fall apart and have a mental breakdown? He's not even worth putting in a parlay at -500, i can't even believe the odds are like this he should be -250 max.

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 01:23 AM

4-0 last 2 today in tennis. TB is terrin it up too.

Here's what I'm looking at right now TB: Ferrero/Nadal o18½ -140 I can see Nadal winning this match 6-4 ,6-3. I can also see him winning in 3, or two high 2 setters like 7-6, 6-4.

Also not liking Nalby. Djokavic faced a mental challenge in that Wawrinka match and he kept his composure and fought back. I think Wawrinka was a bigger test for him than Nalby and he handled Wawr in 2. He's playing some of the best tennis since he won the us open in 08.

I never bet Ferrer only because i wouldnt be surprised one bit if he choked, which he usually does right around this point in these tournys.

I would honestly lean towards betting Monte. Maybe Mont can do in this tourny what Berdych did in the last and Ljubicic before. Prolly not though. Verdasco playing great but he definitely could fall apart here, I dunno, maybe a match I stay away from, unless your going to bet Mont, because there's no value in Verdasco at that price. It's not like it's betting Federer or Nadal at -500 it's fvcken Verdasco

**XxericexX** · 04-16-10, 01:45 AM

I agree..never bet Ferrer

**shari91** · 04-16-10, 02:27 AM

I had thought I'd made my mind up to take the over in the Ferrer match but decided to look at some of the little kooky bets available as well. The odds turned out to be not as high in Ferrer's favour as I had thought ie how many sets total in the match, will Ferrer win 2-0 or 2-1, etc...

So I think I'll just stick to my over on this one, although I'm starting to wonder about that too, and then take a quick nap before it starts.

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 03:17 AM

J.C Ferrero Games Won/R.Nadal Games Won Over 18½ -125*

**shari91** · 04-16-10, 03:32 AM

This Nadal line is insane. And Goat, I agree with you on the possibility of Ferrer choking but I really, really want to take him.

Ah, stuff it. Will stick with an over bet in both matches.

**Pride** · 04-16-10, 03:51 AM

Ferrer has been broken already

edit - and he broke right back.

**jonblayze8** · 04-16-10, 03:58 AM

Ferrer!

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 04:10 AM

Juan Carlos Ferrero +1000
Risking 1.00 units to win 10.00

Juan Carlos Ferrero +6 Games
Risking 1.20 to win 1.00

David Nalbandien +175
Risking 1.00 units to win 1.75

More to come maybe...

**elcho** · 04-16-10, 04:24 AM

Thanks TB!

**brko** · 04-16-10, 04:26 AM

you do like dogs today. best of luck

**Pride** · 04-16-10, 04:31 AM

ferrer takes the first set

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 04:37 AM

Originally posted by TennisBabe

Juan Carlos Ferrero +1000
Risking 1.00 units to win 10.00

Juan Carlos Ferrero +6 Games
Risking 1.20 to win 1.00

David Nalbandien +175
Risking 1.00 units to win 1.75

More to come maybe...

You want to bet 25 sbr points on the djok nalbi match just for kicks? I'll take Djok str8 up

**Tommy_de1st** · 04-16-10, 04:39 AM

Morning everyone

**Tommy_de1st** · 04-16-10, 04:40 AM

I also think Djoko will have it done

**shari91** · 04-16-10, 04:42 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

You want to bet 25 sbr points on the djok nalbi match just for kicks? I'll take Djok str8 up

Aw don't say that Goat. I had already booked Nalbandian before TB posted and now you're adamant he doesn't have a shot.

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 04:57 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Aw don't say that Goat. I had already booked Nalbandian before TB posted and now you're adamant he doesn't have a shot.

Only one bet for me thus far and that's that OVER I have posted above. Haven't bet Djok so I'm not completely confident, but I still may decide to bet him before the match starts. Still not sure though.

**jashtonrich** · 04-16-10, 05:01 AM

good morning my fellow people just woke up to the sounds of cheers in the tennis match
hopefully a good start so far to what should be a positive day and hopefully very lucrative for everyone except the books, today is " FIGHT BACK FRIDAY" dogs today and those that shouldn't have lost yesterday will win today! Shari did you stock up on bread and upgrade to the 6 slot toaster we might need it.

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:02 AM

% wise Djokovic should win, but I don't have him as a -210 favorite so the value is on Nalbandian

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:03 AM

Same thing holds true in the Nadal bet. Favorites have done well this tournaments and now the books are overpricing them.

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:05 AM

Originally posted by TennisBabe

Juan Carlos Ferrero +1000
Risking 1.00 units to win 10.00

Juan Carlos Ferrero +6 Games
Risking 1.20 to win 1.00

David Nalbandien +175
Risking 1.00 units to win 1.75

More to come maybe...

ADDING:
Ferrero-Nadal OVER 18.5 Games
Risking 1.20 to win 1.00

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 05:07 AM

Originally posted by TennisBabe

Same thing holds true in the Nadal bet. Favorites have done well this tournaments and now the books are overpricing them.

Yeah like fvckin Verdasco at -485. That's a line you give to Nadal or Fed facing Mont not fricken Verdasco. Anyway do you want to take Nalb and I got Djok?

**Checkerboard** · 04-16-10, 05:22 AM

odds on the ferrero/nadad o climbing ...

**Pride** · 04-16-10, 05:24 AM

oh lord ferrer for the choke is a legit possibility

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:25 AM

Sorry already put my points in the sbrbook

**Checkerboard** · 04-16-10, 05:25 AM

any one taken/taking nadal to win fr open? (pinn -164 current)

**Goat Milk** · 04-16-10, 05:26 AM

Originally posted by Pride

oh lord ferrer for the choke is a legit possibility

na he'll probably win, but he definitely wasn't worth the bet today. The over was much better bet.

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:30 AM

Time for Nadal match!

**TennisBabe** · 04-16-10, 05:31 AM

Originally posted by Checkerboard

any one taken/taking nadal to win fr open? (pinn -164 current)

Already did! -150 once it came out