Well that Clijsters loss sure came out of nowhere. These Belgian women returning from absense definitely aren't in top form this early in the season. I'm gonna have to thik long and hard before I back either in outright in major tourneys now. I thought they were going to be easy money and get back on top of the WTA rankings.
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Originally posted by StraitShooterComment -
hype machine got us.Comment -
Something wasn't right with the Clijsters match yesterday. Every ball she hit in the first set went out of bounds and in the second set it got a bit better but still she was all over the place. There is no way that you can cap for something like that to happen. Women players are so mentally fragile that you can't really back any of the players with any certainty. Something stunk about the match last night and all I am going to say is that if you aren't trying to win you should probably make it a little less obvious.
Whoever was asking about the Safina outrights yesterday at +1750, you can hedge that out right now at Safina not to win at around -900 and make some good profit. Outright market numbers crashed big yesterday and for those of use who still have our players alive, we got a huge break. I've been trying to hedge my +400 serena with -200 not to win on Matchbook today but have had no takers thus far. If no one takes it I am just going to let it ride past the Suarez Navarro match and hedge it off tomorrow or sunday
Looking ahead in the brackets I am seeing some good matches coming up. Might be taking some chances with big dogs like possibly Karlovic over Nadal ..... with a big serve anything can happen really.
I have locked in Hewitt at +102 as my only play so far earlier. Nothing else as of yetComment -
Shit rain in Australia. Delayed right now while they close the roof
Shouldn't they have seen that rain was going to come and then maybe close the roof beforehand...Comment -
Youzhny withdrew with a wrist injury. F*cker. I took Kubot at +270 just for a little action, had a feeling the Russian weirdness was starting today.Comment -
Brianti with the early break of Stosur. A stosur loss here and Serena's odds are going to go down even further. Hope this girl can keep it up
Azarenka up a break as well.She will probably easily win that match
Zvonreva beating on Dulko as well. Might go up two breaks soon in the first setComment -
Youz withdrew how come?? He wasn't going to go much further but still to withdraw at this point is kinda strange...Comment -
Supposedly it was something personal with his family I guessComment -
I see wrist soreness listed as why he withdrew. Supposedly he tried to play through it and was risking further injury or perhaps the mob has other ideas.Comment -
haha who knows
Stosur came back and won the first set bah
azarenka and Zvonareva destroying their opponents.Nothing exciting yetComment -
staco what are you thinking about the monaco/davydenko match?
looking to put a little on monaco +8.5 and +700. seeing any totals you like out there tonight?Comment -
Fisch Davy is 3-1 lifetime vs monaco though all four matches have been fairly close. I would rather take the +8.5 then the +700 because I still think Davey wins. Question is will Monaco play the match till the end or if he is losing fold up shop. Would hate to lose a 8.5 handicap when a player loses the final set 6-2. Lots of games though to play with .If Monaco can just take one set you should be good.Comment -
No upsets or anything yet today...is this the calm before the storm......Comment -
Great start Serena breaking Suarez Navarro twice in the first three gamesComment -
haha 6-0 davy first set over monaco.Guess monaco isn't showing up.Hope you didn't take that bet FischComment -
I don't remember seeing this many bagels on the board ever at a major.
9 games in Monaco hasn't even won one yetComment -
Serena wins in two sets. Federer cruising
Both outrights still aliveComment -
Going to have to stay up really late to see the end of the Hewitt matchComment -
what do you think about hewitt at -115 or tsonga -300? perhaps a hewitt/tsonga 2 teamer?Comment -
I've already taken Hewitt.I think Tsonga's price has gone up to much for my liking.Will pass on himComment -
Figured that Hewitt would be bet heavily but I was completely wrong. Got Hewitt at +102 and now he is at +111. Not good.Comment -
Baghdatis is a media darling right now and that usually gets Joe Public's money. If Almagro can actually NOT f*ck things up and point me in a direction that he might win before that one starts, I will be playing it because I was left on my own this evening and will be staying up to watch some! When it's this close, I think you always go with the better price. Baghdatis has a more potent serve, but his serve can also give more breakers if it's not popping correctly. Hewitt's key will be to convert break opps and to maintain his own serve.Comment -
Hewitt bagels Baghdatis in the first set. Lots of that is happening today
Tsonga serving out the first set over Haas nicelyComment -
Both Hewitt and Baghdatis are playing conservative so the rallies are taking forever and not much is happening.Its like they are practicing ground strokesComment -
Unbelievable Baghdatis retires and of course I bet this BEFORE the match started so my bet is void because it didn't go two full sets.Had I just bet Hewitt at the start of the match live then it would have been one set and then I would have had the wager stand.Comment -
to be honest i dont know if my bet is going to cancelled or i lose, i HOPE ITS cancelled!
edit: bet cancelled, thank god he was going to get smoked!
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Nice.Seems when these retirements happen it hurts some people and helps others.Wish I was helped a bit more by these retirements...they usually go against me
Some good matches tomorrow can't wait. I am thinking about taking Karlovic over Nadal. Hope the price doesn't move to much before tomorrow
Hope you guys made some money tonightComment -
When someone retires they should not be allowed to enter the next 3 scheduled tour tournaments
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I think Isner over Murray is a better longshot. Isner has more game too and they've never met before which might help Isner.Comment -
Trying to hedge my Serena Williams outright on matchbook for a second day now and no one is taking it.I have a competitive number up there to so you would think someone would take it. Kinda have a bad feeling about Williams against stosur eventhough Serena is a -700 favorite or whatever it is.
Leans for today, though I haven't pulled the trigger on any of them are:
Isner +606 over Murray Line has gone up for Isner. People pounding murray though the price is so poor
Karlovic +599 over Nadal
Kuznetsova -154 over Petrova. Like the experience of Kuz in majors here. Two russians so this match will go 3 sets
Kirilenko/Safina will go three sets probably two with the two russians.Possibly an over 21 play on this match
I like Henin to beat wickmayer but after henin's last performance I will pass on taking her at -300
Will have my plays in a couple hours.Just thinking about these nowComment -
Plays for today:
Roddick/Gonzalez over 40 -110
Karlovic +628 wow line has gone up alot in the last hour
Isner +620
Kuz -144 came down nice
Kirilenko/Safina over 21 -101
Best of luck tonight guysComment -
Hey cakes,What is your opinion on bondarenko getting through to the semis...Cant see safina any worse than -200 vs her if they play and she would be aslight fav vs maria k me thinks..Comment -
Bondarenko is playing some of the best tennis on the women's side right now. She should be able to beat Zheng which should set her up with a match with Safina probably in the quarter finals. Safina is only -260 against Kirilenko and Bondarenko is a better player then Kirilenko so you would think Safina would have to be under -200 favorite over Bondarenko. Would be good to have Bondarenko as a dog vs Safina because that match to me would be a toss up. We are getting to the point of the tournament when everyone is saying WHEN will Safina blow it not IF. Just takes a player to get an early start on her and Safina to get mad which she always does and then it will all go downhill for her. If Bondarenko happens to make it to the semi's I don't think she will beat Henin or Kuznetsova but a semi final finish would be good for Bondarenko.
Tough to cap womens tennis. YOu look at a match from all these different angles and figure there is no way that the player will lose and then you have a match like Clijsters the other night that makes you paranoid and makes you realize why you shouldn't be betting womens tennis. Pretty much anything is possible. If Zheng won the Australian Open I would be a bit surprised but I wouldn't think its the most shocking win ever in the history of sports. Really anything is possible here. Mens side is a bit more easier to capComment -
lucky u got Kuzz -144, got it for -170, GL!Comment
