Stacocakes Australian Open Thread

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  • kingsr
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-10
    • 1983

    #316
    Davydenko looks like he's tanking!
    Comment
    • raydog
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-07-07
      • 6984

      #317
      oh boy..get ready for fish to come up with a brilliant remark about serena
      Comment
      • Fischnasty
        SBR MVP
        • 02-10-09
        • 1931

        #318
        im on djoko/kubot over 30.5 at -130 basically need kubot to win a set.

        also on serena/stosur over 19 at -135. stosur has the crowd behind her and it should be a close match. stosur should be able to pull off a set and this thing should go over easily.
        Comment
        • Stacocakes
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-10-08
          • 7126

          #319
          Verdasco with the break in the fourth. Match is turning out to be really good.
          Should be a good fifth set. Still think Davy pulls this match off
          Comment
          • Stacocakes
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-10-08
            • 7126

            #320
            Agree with the Serena match Fisch. I think its going to be a really close match and I think that stosur may have a chance to pull the upset which is why I hedged out my future
            Comment
            • Stacocakes
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-10-08
              • 7126

              #321
              break point davy. Uh oh.Verdasco choke possibly coming
              Comment
              • kingsr
                SBR MVP
                • 01-23-10
                • 1983

                #322
                Originally posted by Stacocakes
                Verdasco with the break in the fourth. Match is turning out to be really good. Should be a good fifth set. Still think Davy pulls this match off
                They both playing like donkeys IMO. I like Verdasco for the 5th but my money is on Davydicko...I hope you're right!
                Comment
                • sjm5122
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-22-08
                  • 4213

                  #323
                  Do you guys think Hewitt or Stosur have a legitimate shot at pulling off the upset?
                  Comment
                  • emeka
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-12-10
                    • 454

                    #324
                    What happened with Zvonareva??? But i am glad that i bet on the OVER 21,5 HUH , 10u happppppppppppppy,tnx for information
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #325
                      I told you something was fishy with that Zvonareva line. The books were begging for action on Zvonareva at the big dog price. Azarenka wins 6-0 in the 3rd. Again, first rule of tennis don't trust Russians and/or bet on them when the line looks too good to be true. Serena slaughtered Stosur, title is hers to lose.
                      Comment
                      • hedgejob
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-21-09
                        • 2561

                        #326
                        Amazing. That friggin Zvonareva had the game sown up 1 set and break up 3-1 in 2nd and something like 40-15 on serve then she decides she's going to stop holding her serve for the rest of the match. Crazy. Agree with Serena.
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82815

                          #327
                          Originally posted by sjm5122
                          Do you guys think Hewitt or Stosur have a legitimate shot at pulling off the upset?
                          not likely
                          Comment
                          • Stacocakes
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-10-08
                            • 7126

                            #328
                            Cant' believe Zvonareva wins the first set, keeps it close in the second and then 6-0 in the third.... I didn't watch the match but something is not right with that.Was she tired in the third or something?Suspicious match. Another match with two Russian players that goes the distance.
                            Looks like the Tsonga/Almagro match was a good one.Wish I had watched it now.TSonga barely gets by
                            Federer easily beats Hewitt.Not sure what the line closed at but I actually saw it in the high -700's at one point.Lots of money was coming in on Hewitt
                            Serena Williams wins easily.Wish I hadn't hedged that outright now. Didn't think it would be that easy

                            Looking ahead to tonight I am probably going to pass on the Roddick match but I have already bet Nadal +108 last night. Nadal is 7-3 lifetime vs Murray. Nadal has won here before and is a proven winner in majors while Murray has the track record of never being able to get it done in the majors. Can't wait to see this match tonight.Should be really good.

                            Henin is 13-2 vs Petrova having won the last 4 matches. The line is -229 and it is kinda high but I am going to take it. I think Henin will make it to the finals here. Only girl I saw in her way was Clijsters but she is gone. Going to wait a couple hours though and hope that line creeps a little closer to -200.

                            Passing on the Zheng match
                            Comment
                            • emeka
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-10
                              • 454

                              #329
                              About Rafael game- i think really good bet is A.Murray over 13,5 aces, Murray have a great serve and in this AO he gets average 19,5 aces per games, and all games has been played in 3 sets, there will be 4 or more sets.... Ideas?
                              Comment
                              • Stacocakes
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-10-08
                                • 7126

                                #330
                                Against Isner Murray had only 5 aces. As far as the ace leaders of the tournament go, Murray is not even in the top 10, granted his matches haven't been 5 set matches so he hasn't had as many oppurotunities to get aces as some of these other players have. Murray's ace count so far has been 9,10,14,5. I agree that this match with Nadal will be longer then the other three set matches that he has played which means he will have many more chances to get aces.
                                Kohlshreiber got 11 aces vs Nadal in four sets. Karlovic got 28 aces in 4 sets but that is expected since he is such a big server. Peter Luczak got 7 aces against Nadal in 3 sets. Lacko got 2 aces against Nadal in 3 sets. I don't really picture Murray as an ace machine but I really think that 13.5 aces is doable Emeka. If you take it best of luck with that.
                                Comment
                                • Stacocakes
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-10-08
                                  • 7126

                                  #331
                                  Lines up for tomorrow and Federer is -236 over Davydenko. Federer will not lose this match. Federer is 12-2 lifetime vs Davy and I know you are going to tell me that those two wins by Davy came the last two times they played but those are non slam best of 3 matches. Another thing not helping Davydenko is the fact that he barely scraped by in a five set match against verdasco last night which is going to take alot out of him. I know Davy is in really good form and if this was his chance to win a major this time would be as good as any but I can't see him beating Federer in this match. At odds of +215 in a non-major, you can maybe get me to consider backing him but not at the Australian Open.
                                  Comment
                                  • Stacocakes
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-10-08
                                    • 7126

                                    #332
                                    In the Tsonga/Djokovic I loved Tsonga BUT Tsonga just played a five set marathon match against Almagro and that is really making me have second thoughts on this match.Still love the price on Tsonga of +200 though. Tsonga is 4-2 lifetime vs Djokovic. Still going to think about this one. I think it is definately Tsonga or no play
                                    Comment
                                    • Stacocakes
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-10-08
                                      • 7126

                                      #333
                                      Plays for today:

                                      Nadal +108
                                      Henin -215
                                      Comment
                                      • Stacocakes
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-10-08
                                        • 7126

                                        #334
                                        1st set to Henin but down a break in the second
                                        Horrible serving by Henin.I lost count as to how many dfs she has
                                        Poor tennis from both really
                                        Comment
                                        • beefcake
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-26-09
                                          • 14029

                                          #335
                                          henin looks gassed?
                                          Comment
                                          • Stacocakes
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-10-08
                                            • 7126

                                            #336
                                            Henin has not been playing well going down 2 breaks in the second set but she has one of them back and possibly the other.
                                            Both players have been playing horribly. Can't keep the ball in play. Justine's serve has been horrible
                                            Not sure if she is gassed she is just hitting the ball poorly.I've watched most of her matches at the Aussie Open here and she has been an error machine
                                            Comment
                                            • beefcake
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-26-09
                                              • 14029

                                              #337
                                              Henin wins 4 in a row..Such is the MINDFU^K that is womens tennis for bettors.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #338
                                                Ya womens tennis is so stressful to watch. Henin up 5-4 hopefully she breaks here and ends this match. Don't really want to watch it anymore.Can't wait for the mens matches tonight. To bad the murray/nadal match is so late
                                                Comment
                                                • Stacocakes
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                  • 7126

                                                  #339
                                                  Henin wins in two sets.Nice
                                                  Really poor play from Henin but I guess she did what she had to to win
                                                  Kirilenko match is next.Passing on that but will watch it to see Maria
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #340
                                                    Took Kirilenko to try and split taking two underdogs with Petrova. Really disappointed in Petrova. She just didn't come up with the big points. Thought going into tonight taking the two Russians would get a profit ... but uh, when does that happen? LoL. You passing on Roddick-Cilic too?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                      • 7126

                                                      #341
                                                      Ya I am passing on Roddick/Cilic.To close to call. If I had to pick someone I would pick Roddick but I am going to pass. Could possibly see the match being 5 sets though.Should be a good battle
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #342
                                                        Well I'm bored to death with this WTA BS. I took Roddick for a little action because I had him in the final when the draws came out. We'll see how far off I am. Kirilenko is playing a typical WTA Russian match.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #343
                                                          Zheng wins. Russians blow.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stacocakes
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-10-08
                                                            • 7126

                                                            #344
                                                            Hope Roddick hits for you.I think he will win
                                                            Are you taking Nadal later?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Stacocakes
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-10-08
                                                              • 7126

                                                              #345
                                                              Roddick match going as expected. Both players will have a tough time breaking this match
                                                              Comment
                                                              • revnecro1273
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-25-09
                                                                • 1698

                                                                #346
                                                                how the hell did murray only manage 5 aces against isner? isner isn't known as a good mover
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Fischnasty
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-10-09
                                                                  • 1931

                                                                  #347
                                                                  got burialed on totals last night.

                                                                  loving nadal tonight, especially as the dog. already on moneyline.

                                                                  already hit on zheng and i also have roddick pending for 2 units. would be nice if he stopped playing like tommy dwan.

                                                                  thanks for the henin winner staco.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                                    • 7126

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Nadal is the play Fisch. Going to be a great match

                                                                    Roddick gets broken but breaks back immediately when Cilic CHOKED
                                                                    Cilic up in the tiebreak so lets see if he bottles this to
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                                      • 7126

                                                                      #349
                                                                      Cilic takes the first set. This match is starting to look like the henin match. Sloppy tennis
                                                                      Still think Roddick comes back and wins this match though
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Roddick has the trainer out
                                                                        Comment
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