This match is brutal to watch. Wish my book had a line on the doubles so I can go big against the Williams'
Stacocakes Australian Open Thread
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AgiosGerasimosRestricted User
- 01-07-10
- 152
#456Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#457Really getting sick of this 30% effort from Serena. What a disgrace this is to the game of tennis and to think these women get paid the same amount as men who play best of five sets and actually try on the court. Just frustrating watching this match.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#4583 match points missed by Serena. Hope this doesn't come back to haunt her
Just end this match alreadyComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#459Geez a tiebreak now
Serena has blown 4 match points
Hope this doesn't go a third set.Serena is not moving much at allComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#460Serena finally wins the match. Onto number two with Henin. Wasn't expecting this match to be 2 and a half hours
Going to be another late nightComment -
FischnastySBR MVP
- 02-10-09
- 1931
#461staco give me some doubles winners.
and what the **** is up with henin's serve so far?
lines at betus are way out of control so no plays tonight for me. will try to get some good plays in for the finals and for some of the doubles shit.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#462I am scared to look at the doubles lines.Haven't even bothered.Am sure they are huge.
Henins serve is horrible though she did have two aces in the first game. This is going to be a long sloppy match I am sureComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#463Break Henin good girlComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#464Henin up 2 breaks. Attacking the slow serve of Zheng.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#465Wow Henin playing really good tennis destroying Zheng. First set done now lets get the second finished upComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#466Geez the murray match is set for 2 and a half hours from nowComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#467As per usual, I predict the Serena match under & Henin over an it's opposite. Only thing I know for the final is if Henin is getting a decent underdog price, I'll hit that. Serena looks gassed.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#468Wow just saw the line on pinnacle for the womens final Serena -101 and Henin -107. Wasn't expecting that at all. This has to be the market adjusting the line for Henins great form tonight and Serena's poor uninspired performance. I thought Henin might be a good play at a decent underdog price but didn't really expect this line at all.
Any plays for the Murray match?Hit the first two legs of the parlay tonight so just waiting on Murray to win to cash it. Debating if I should A) Let it ride B) hedge it out and guarantee a profit or C) live bet the match and hope Murray is doing well but if he is doing poorly I can hedge out. If Cilic wins the first set Murray would still be the favorite so there is some leeway with this as far as hedging goes.Still trying to think.Wish it wasn't so long until the match.Still another hourComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#469Murray playing really bad today.Has no answers for Cilic
Murray lost the first set as well
Live odds right now still have Cilic as a +105 dog or so. I am going to go another service game by Cilic and if murray continues to do nothing on Cilic's serve I might just hedge out my parlay and walk away with no profit.Better then losing it all on this if Murray losesComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#470Huge break Murray.Amazing point
Cilic at +157
Going to wait to hedge out.Hopefully I won't regret thisComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#471Cilic is +625 right now with Murray up a break in the third.He has already blown one break in this set. Debating on whether or not to hedge the parlay at this point. Maybe after the setComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#472Murray wins the third set to go up 2 sets to 1. Hedged out my parlay with +800 Cilic.Time to head to bed haha. Hope you guys made some money on this matchComment -
emekaRestricted User
- 01-12-10
- 454
#473In your opinion wich bet is better: Federer -2,5 at 2.20 or Over 36,5 games at 1.70 ???Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#474Hmm tough call Emeka. I think Federer will win the match but I expect Tsonga to get at least 1 set. As long as the sets are close a four set match should get you your over 36.5 games. The only thing that worries me about that is that the odds for the over bet are 1.7 and the odds for the Fed handicap are 2.20. If Federer wins it would likely cover the -2.5 handicap. Federer would win the 3 sets and if he loses one set but keeps it really close then he should be able to cover the handicap. Also have to factor in if the match turns out like most of the matches are and the last set ends 6-2 then that is a big help to your handicap and a big detriment to your over bet. With that in mind I would probably take the Fed -2.5 handicap over the over 36.5 games bet.
Best of luck to what you choose EmekaComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#475Still have the Federer outright at +300. Going to hold onto it for tonights match and hope Federer makes it through to the finals.At that point I will probably hedge it out for some profit.
Big fav parlay hit last night which wasn't surprising.Was really the only play you could do last night unless you wanted to bet the big favs individually.
Federer is -535 and I am just going to pass on that match tonight. Not worth betting at that price in my opinion. Its going to be interesting to see what physical tole the back to back 5 set matches has taken on TsongaComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#476Yeah you should get a decent dog price on Murray in the final hopefully to hedge.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#477Anyone making any bets on the Federer match tonight besides Emeka?Comment -
Dr.GonzoSBR MVP
- 12-05-09
- 4660
#478Booked Over 34.5 8/11 & 37.5 11/10
I can see 5/1 Tsonga which is temptingComment -
tailmypicksSBR MVP
- 11-09-09
- 1005
#479took fed 3-1, fed 3-2 and tsonga MLBaba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me ayaComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#480Holding on Federer to hit future vs. future. Pretty simple for me. When I wake up if tennis isn't on at 8:30am ET, favorite won.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#481Good luck guys. I can also see this match going 4 sets and over games. Not going to make a play on it though.Comment -
raydogSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-07-07
- 6984
#482laying the chalk..fukk itComment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#483Williams sisters win the doubles final. Pretty much expected. Those girls they played were winning titles because they didn't have to play the williams sisters. They are just to powerful and good to lose when playing together. I think the match was about 1.25 odds or so for the williams sisters to win.Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#486Federer wins easily over Tsonga. I'm hedging my Federer outright with Murray +145. Just going to sit back and watch these two finals. I lean towards Serena tonight but the match is a complete toss up. Figured Serena would be more of a favorite then the current line of -114. Probably going to be a tight three set matchComment -
smitch124SBR Posting Legend
- 05-19-08
- 12566
#487Jeez this thing isn't over yet? Its almost time for the start of the 2011 Australian OpenComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#488Good luck Staco. Nice picking. I guess I need more majors in tennis. I've actually done nicely picking apart the draw and getting at least one finalist in 3/4 it seems like per year. Of course during the tournament, I pick like crap to make up for getting a futures win.
Comment -
StacocakesSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-10-08
- 7126
#489Who do you guys like in the finals tonight?Serena or Henin?
Picking outrights this tournament doesn't really mean much .WHen I took Federer to win the tournament I wasn't really going out on a limb or anything haha.Comment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#490True, like I said to start - the price was way too good to pass, +300 is what I had. Murray at +600.
What I don't understand is the price for tonight. Serena's been bought into the firm favorite's role, but everywhere I read on the net - Henin is everyone's pick. So why the price disparity then? Figured Henin the sheer number of supposed Henin backers would have kept this more like a pick 'em. Seems fishy. I'm thinking about betting on both sides in the number of sets to win, IF you can pick the correct number of sets it's an easy profit. I'm thinking hard though because it's a tough call to gauge if this will be straight sets or 3. If you read enough, you find arguments for Serena in straights because of her power and head-2-head against Henin on hard courts (4-1). If you read enough, you can find it for Henin because of Serena's fatigue/injuries, etc. Both players do not like each other too and the lingering thought I have is of Serena losing to Clijsters in the US Open. Does she really want people talking about her losing to two players who came out of retirement and won majors? I'd lean to Serena outright, but am a bit too worried about her condition to probably do it at the current price.Comment
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