Stacocakes US Open Thread

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #176
    I am on Berdych at +135 (underway) and I really like Clijsters. I had that one circled when the draws came out. Know you're on Venus, but I really like Clijsters today. Also probably taking Zvonareva tonight at +150 ... outstanding price and she's quietly been playing really well. I think she might be back on track from her injury. Pennetta has been playing really well, but I'm not passsing that one.
    Comment
    • Stacocakes
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-10-08
      • 7126

      #177
      Totally agree with Zvonreva.She will win that match

      I think deep down that Clijsters will win because she can keep the ball in play and wont choke like the other players playing venus did. Only reason I took venus is because I coudlnt pass up on her at plus odds. I made some good money with the JCF match so if Clijsters wins for you im still good for the day. I do think Kim wins
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #178
        Also took Schiavone small at +165. Li is a solid player, but she shouldn't be that big a favorite in my mind.
        Comment
        • Stacocakes
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-10-08
          • 7126

          #179
          Sorry to hear with the Berdych and Schiavonne picks Eagles. Berdych is so inconsistant..gonzo is to... thats why I stayed away from the match. Either player winning would not have surprised me
          Best of luck with the night matches.Get some of that money back
          Comment
          • Stacocakes
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-10-08
            • 7126

            #180
            Not looking good for Venus.Broken already.should have went with my gut feeling on this one
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #181
              WTA again at its finest. Venus gets bageled, then about to bagel Clijsters. WTF.
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #182
                Crazy match.Left it at 6-0 figuring it was over. Big turnaround though clijsters is trying to serve it out
                Comment
                • Stacocakes
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-10-08
                  • 7126

                  #183
                  Good hit on Clijsters. Her winning doesnt surprise me at all. Going to be hard to beat her in this tournament

                  Tsonga up 2 sets to 0 and up a break in the third which is good
                  Comment
                  • Stacocakes
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-10-08
                    • 7126

                    #184
                    Supposedly Nadal is injured which scares me with my outright bet. He won against Almagro but it was by no means a good win. He was broken many times which shouldnt be happening.The injury seems to be affecting his serve the most. Some say knee some say stomach muscle... no matter what it is it cant be good.Just something to keep an eye out for with Nadals future matches next week
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #185
                      CBS was saying it was a strained abdominal muscle. Sorry for your outright if that effects his play, but I've got Tsonga at +330 to make the semis out of that draw, so that might help me - but Tsonga is gonna have problems getting past Gonzalez. I'll definitely be on Gonzo for a small amount as my first hedge. I got really lucky today. Berdych sucked and I lost, but the Simon retirement and the gutty Clijsters win helped save what was looked like a total shit day.

                      Love Soderling tomorrow. Think I will book that as soon as my book puts the line up because I think he's going to be a popular mark. Thinking about Isner. Pinnacle has him at almost +180. Verdasco wasn't exactly great vs. Haas and Isner showed some great nerves. I know most people either love or hate the guy, I'm in the love category because he's made me some good change this summer at plus prices. Kuznetsova also will be a play I think. Wozniacki is in a great groove, but she's now in crunch time and I don't trust her to do that just yet. Will wait and see where the line goes, pretty much a Pick Em right now. Oudin going for the Russian trifecta ... difficult call there, but I think I like Petrova. Oudin hasn't gotten lucky, but Sharapova and her doubles were ridiculous and Dementieva is Dementieva in majors. I dunno, hard not to like Oudin's guts. Probably should be a no bet, right?
                      Comment
                      • Stacocakes
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-10-08
                        • 7126

                        #186
                        Tsonga is definately looking good.Nadal has to get by monfils before he faces Tsonga and either of those guys could knock him out.Wouldnt be surprised.Wont be easy thats for sure. Good price you have on that Tsonga bet though.He has the game to get there thats for sure

                        Looking ahead Federer will destroy Robredo.Wont be close. Soderling right now is -144 vs Davy. Very tough match. I agree with you with Soderling.He should over power Davy.Soderling is 4-2 lifetime vs Davy,winning the last three matches, which makes it look that much better.

                        Djokovic will beat down Stepanek. Djokovic 3-1 career vs Stepanek, winning the last two. Dont see Djokovic having any problems with him

                        Verdasco/Isner Both are playing very well coming into this match. I favor Verdasco since Isner is going to be dead after that five set match vs roddick.He gets a day off to rest but I could see this match going four or five sets as well so Verdasco will definately be the more fit player at that point. -195 on verdasco though isnt exactly value.

                        Oudin/Petrova I dont know about this one.Really surprised by the odds. I agree with you that Petrova is the play in this match. I dont know how much longer Oudin can keep this up. She didnt beat Sharapova, maria beat herself in the last match. Oudin had double the unforced errors over winners so she didnt play good at all. Petrova will be one of my plays

                        Kuznetsova an underdog vs Woz? wow. I am going to take Kuz as well.Woz has proved that she can never get it done when it matters and Kuz is a major champion so you have to go with Kuz in this match especially as a dog

                        By the way for tonights match, zvonreva all the way up to +170. Very surprising. I am going to pass on the match but I like Zvonreva
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #187
                          Yeah I took Zvonareva at +160 about 5 minutes ago, figured I'd see how high the price went. Still pissed me off that CBS f*cks the weekend coverage at night.
                          Comment
                          • Stacocakes
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-10-08
                            • 7126

                            #188
                            Good luck with the zvonreva play.I think she will win but not going to bet it because I am still waiting my parlay to come through. Hope Monfils can beat Acasuso really fast and then I may try to hedge it out a bit because I am starting to get some bad feelings about Cilic
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #189
                              Yeah I decided to stay away from Cilic because of the price and what happened last match. Still, he's got all the talent to beat Isotomin easily. Zvonareva already hacked up a break. Great way to start.
                              Comment
                              • Stacocakes
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-10-08
                                • 7126

                                #190
                                Good fight from Zvonreva.Up a break now

                                Do you think Pennetta looks like Johnny depp ? haha Check it out if you are watching this match
                                Comment
                                • Stacocakes
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-10-08
                                  • 7126

                                  #191
                                  Monfils break.Cmon serve out this set. Doubles match almost done so I need monfils to finish off his match asap.

                                  Can still hedge out my parlay at +450 and guarantee some good good money.Cilic should win though yes
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #192
                                    Acasuso quit. Zvonareva actually held serve? Wooo! Up 5-3.
                                    Comment
                                    • Stacocakes
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-10-08
                                      • 7126

                                      #193
                                      Monfils with the win on the acasuso retirement. Going to monitor the cilic match and if he is having trouble at any point I am going to hedge out my parlay. Even a set down I should be able to hedge it out for some profit since Cilic was such a big fav to start

                                      Zvonreva wins the first set.still a long way to go in this match but looking really good. This is going to be a battle
                                      Comment
                                      • Stacocakes
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-10-08
                                        • 7126

                                        #194
                                        Cilic early break nice
                                        Comment
                                        • Stacocakes
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-10-08
                                          • 7126

                                          #195
                                          Cilic up 4-0

                                          This is to good to be true. Keep it up

                                          Zvonreva still on serve in the second
                                          Comment
                                          • Stacocakes
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-10-08
                                            • 7126

                                            #196
                                            Cilic wins the first set and is up a break in the second

                                            Pennette broke and is serving for the second set. Match is just breaks back and forth. Classic WTA for you
                                            Comment
                                            • Stacocakes
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-10-08
                                              • 7126

                                              #197
                                              Cilic up 2-0 in sets perfect

                                              Zvonreva blew so many match points in that second set.Pennetta wins the tiebreak so we are going to a third set.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #198
                                                Geez having trouble getting into this forum all of last night. Missed my chance to get a bet on the davydenko match. Its going to a tiebreak in the first set it looks like but I am going to pass on betting on it

                                                Just a couple straight bets for today:

                                                Petrova +110 over Oudin

                                                Kuznetsova +100 over Wozniacki

                                                Best of luck guys

                                                Soderling just took the opening set and Dulko is about to be double bageled by Bondarenko haha
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #199
                                                  I'm with you today bro. Like the Russians (yikes) + Soderling.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                    • 7126

                                                    #200
                                                    Lets make some money Eagles
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                      • 7126

                                                      #201
                                                      Davy and Soderling tied at one set a piece. Still think Soderling will win this match but I am going to stay away.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #202
                                                        Up a break in the 3rd is Soderling. If he can get a 2-1 lead, he should get it. Petrova looking good early.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stacocakes
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-10-08
                                                          • 7126

                                                          #203
                                                          Petrova looking really good.Up a set and a break

                                                          Soderling won on a davy retirement after the third set so everyone that bet on him SHOULD have the bets graded. Usually books have it after one or two sets
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stacocakes
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-10-08
                                                            • 7126

                                                            #204
                                                            Oudin continues her amazing run. I have to stop betting against this girl haha

                                                            Oh well.Hopefully Kuz makes up for this later
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #205
                                                              Let's be honest again though, that was Petrova's to win, but she choked and then Oudin took advantage in the 3rd. Russian chicks have to be the most mentally unstable players PERIOD. Kuznetsova is the only one I half trust because she's actually won majors and shown some guts. Par for the course for me, I got saved by retirement yesterday on Simon, screwed today by Davydenko. I took Isner at +190, why not?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stacocakes
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-10-08
                                                                • 7126

                                                                #206
                                                                +190 is a decent price for Isner. Verdasco is a bit overpriced. No way you can lay -230 or whatever with him.Its either Isner nor nothing
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Isner got a nice early break. 1st set should be his if he doesn't F around.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #208
                                                                    And he blows a 40-15 lead at 3-1 to let Verdasco back on-serve. Numbnuts.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Nice.Broke Verdasco and grabbed the set, 6-4.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Have to favor verdasco if this match goes very long. Isner looks like he is running out of gas
                                                                        Comment
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