Stacocakes US Open Thread

[Stacocakes]

Watching the venus match right now...horrible tennis.The inability for these top ranked girls to keep the ball in play amazes me. If you want to see inconsistant shots and dfs all over the place you can just walk to the club down the street and see the same thing
oh another df venus.Good work. brutal

[EaglesPhan36]

You should have seen some of the Almagro-Ginepri match. Unforced errors, breaks of serve, it was like watching WTA. Acasuso may lose in the 5th, but the guy looks like he's going to finish Ferrer off in the 4th to tie it at 2. Surprising after Ferrer rolled him in 2nd & 3rd.

[Stacocakes]

Best of luck with acasuso in the fifth

Whenever I watch Ferrers matches I wonder if he likes to play five set matches to keep fit or something. Guy always draws out his matches so long

[Stacocakes]

Venus wins. By no means was that easy. Rafa out next to destroy kiefer

[EaglesPhan36]

Acasuso up a break in the 5th! If he holds his serve in this game, he could have this. Always think the serving game right after you break your opponent is the tell tale sign.

[Stacocakes]

Good win with Acasuso

Kiefer must not have known there was a match tonight. Points up to this point are 16-2 for rafa and he has 3 breaks. Bagel time. Kiefer probably will retire during this match.To emberassing to keep going

[Stacocakes]

Dent/Navarro match is unbelievable. No one wants to take these chances.Dent has had so many oppurotunities...oh he finally won now.Good for Dent. Big comeback since all the back surgeries.Good crowd there to

[Stacocakes]

Dent grabbed the mic from the chair ump and talked to the crowd and said they were unbelievable.Crazy haha

[Stacocakes]

Well I am full of ****ing rage. I had a whole write up down here for all of the matches tomorrow and then the ****ing blue screen of death and now its all ****ing gone.**** you computer you ****ing piece of ****ing shit

ANYWAYS, going to be an abbreviated one because I dont want to write it all again

Blake/Robredo

Was hoping Blake would be a bit smaller or even a dog in this match but he is -178 and I am definately passing on that.He has cost me to much in the past I just feel I should stay away from him all together. Blake is 4-2 against Robredo so I think he will win but will pass

Soderling/Querrey

GOing to put soderling in the parlay. He is 3-0 lifetime over Sam. Blah blah like I said above

Verdasco/Haas

Verdasco has been on fire lately. PLaying alot of tennis though which concerns me a bit. He is a -166 fav over Haas though Haas has won both prior meetings. This match is a pick em so I am going to stay away from it. Either play could win

Kuznetsova/Peer

Wow line of the day for sure. A major champion -248 over a girl that has done nothing in her career.Sign me up. Kuz is 3-2 lifetime vs Peer.Has won the last 3 matches they played. Everything is pointing to Kuz for this match.Will include her in the parlay.

Wozniacki/Cirstea

Wozniacki is a -312 fav.Woz is 1-2 vs Cirstea in her career. The two losses came this year. The one win for Woz was back in challengers in 2006. Woz may be a bit overpriced here given that she usually bows out early in majors and she has lost the last two to cirstea. Cirstea or no play on this one. Will think about it overnight if I am going to bet it or not

Petrova/Zheng

Wow petrova is 6-1 lifetime vs Zheng. Won the last meeting against her. Line is a pick em. I am definately taking Petrova here eventhough she has been pretty shitty the last four weeks leading up to this tournament. Sometimes a players just has the other players number.Petrova will be added to the parlay

Oudin/Sharapova

Not going to bet this match but the Oudin train stops here.No way she beats SHarapova. If she plays a player with no heart, Dementieva, she has a chance to win like she did but Maria wins this one.Not going to bet the -495 though at all


Thats about all I like for tomorrow. Kuz/Soderling/Petrova parlay looks like it.Will have a nice juicy number. Just hope I can get up to put it in haha. Best of luck tomorrow guys

[Stacocakes]

Here we go.Finally got up early to get a parlay in

Soderling/Petrova/Kuznetsova parlay plays +316.48

Also going to put some money on Kuz by herself at -260

Best of luck today guys

[Stacocakes]

Federer loses the first set to Hewitt but comes back and is now looking like he will finish off the match in four.
Djokovic loses the first set to but has rebounded well
Good play on stepanek if you ended up betting him.Looks like he is about to finish off kohl

[Stacocakes]

Petrova wins in straight sets.Good way to start the day. 1/3 of the parlay done

Maria playing blah but still winning. Won the first set and will probably win this in two

[Stacocakes]

Sharapova down a break in the third.Crazy. Her serve has been so bad today.At least 12 double faults that I know of

[Stacocakes]

Maria in alot of trouble.This is looking really good for my safina outright

[Stacocakes]

Maria loses.Brutal.Do be fair Maria lost that match, oudin didnt win. 30 winners and 63 errors for Sharapova. Horrible. 21 Double faults. Oudin, 22 winners 44 unforced errors. Ugly match. Loss of Masha opens up the draw for Safina.She just needs to get her head on straight and quit shitting the bed and it could be a safina/Kuz semifinal.That scares me though because Kuz usually kills her,especially when its important. Hope Kuz loses sometime before then haha

Soderling playing well.Dropped the third set but looks to be back on track in the fourth up a break

[Stacocakes]

Soderling wins in the fourth set. 2/3 of my parlay now complete.Just waiting for Kuznetsova to hopefully win and it will be a good day

Verdasco/Haas match looks like a great one

[Stacocakes]

Roddick about to be down 2 sets to 0. Wow.Didnt see that coming.

[Stacocakes]

1st set Kuz 7-5 very nice

[Stacocakes]

Kuznetsova wins rather easily as I figured she would. That line was ridiculous. Caps off the +316 parlay and the -260 straight bet on Kuz. Great day today. Got back all of the lost parlay money from yesterday and alot more.

Roddick right now in-game is free money in my opinion. Isner had to win the match in three or else he was done and he didnt so I like Roddick from here on out. Isner just doesnt have the fitness to keep going the five sets.

Hopefully you guys all had a good saturday.Still some night matches tonight but I am going to pass on those

[Stacocakes]

Isner wins a fifth set tiebreak.Wow.Didnt think he had it in him to go the distance. Props to him.Will be a good fade for next round haha
Pretty much sets it up for a Federer/Djokovic semi which I think Federer should be able to win. It was either going to be Djokovic or Roddick but since Roddick is gone the picture is getting more clear.
Props to anyone that hit isner whether it was in-game or before the match started

[Stacocakes]

Safina loses the first set. Pretty much the only thing that could put a dent in my day geez.......Well hopefully she comes back or else my outright is toast

[EaglesPhan36]

Sooner or late that broad is toast brother. She can't keep flirting with disaster and get away with it. She should be an auto fade for as long as she lasts.

[Stacocakes]

And there goes Safina. Back and forth match.Was crazy. Finally loses in a tiebreak and there goes my outright. Bah. Oh well

You were right Eagles...if she managed to win this match it was only a matter of time before she lost anyways

Some decent matches for tomorrow. YOu can put Murray,Del Potro, Nadal and Tsonga on the do not bet list.Not worth the prices.

Cilic should never be -720 against anyone. Will pass on playing against him though

Simon/Ferrero

Liking Ferrero in this match. He is a dog which is nice.Simon has been really bad this year while JCF has been on fire. 2-0 JCF head to head. Not really sure why Simon is the favorite here.I will definately take +138 on Ferrero

Monfils/Acasuso

Monfils is overpriced at -365. He is 1-0 lifetime vs acasuso. Acasuso is definately playing better and more consistant then monfils ocming into this.Add into the equation that you always have to worry about monfils health all of the time and that makes the +326 for acasuso tempting.Might add this to a parlay

Gonzo/Berdych

Cant tell you who will win this match, 3-3 lifetime, but I can tell you that it will take awhile. I am liking the over games played in this. Will look more into it tomorrow

Clijsters/Williams

Venus as a dog...wow.... 6-4 lifetime vs Clijsters. Venus has the injury concerns and kim is playing some great tennis so I definately think that Clijsters has a real good chance of beating Venus. HOWEVER the chance to get venus as a dog is very very very tempting.I am going to think about this overnight and decide whether or not to pull the trigger on this match.If I do, it will be on Venus

Pennetta/Zvonreva

1-1 career head to head. Pennetta is one of the hottest players right now on the womens side.Has got her ranking to 10th in the world. She has steamrolled all three players that she has played in this tournament. She is a -155 favorite here. Zvonreva is the better player though and at +143 will be very hard to pass up. Will think about this match

Best of luck tomorrow guys.Will have some plays in the morning

[Stacocakes]

Missed my chance to get the Ferrero bet in.Oh well

Here are the plays for today:

Venus Williams +116

Tsonga/Monfils/Cilic parlay pays -156

Juan Carlos Ferrero in-play at 1 set all +136

Best of luck today guys

[Stacocakes]

Serena wins her match easily.Going to be tough to beat her this year

Ferrero had a break chance in the third but blew it.Match still on serve now

[Stacocakes]

Looks as though Simon is injured so hopefully he retires haha.Still on serve in the third set

Didnt really catch what it was but they just showed the trainers really quick

Nadal was broken early but got the break back and has 3 bps so he will probably break again. Almagro has no chance in this match really

[Stacocakes]

messageboards are saying that simon is limping alot right now

Odds for Simon should be close to the starting odds but I can lay off my Ferrero bet at +350 right now so obviously the market is believing in the injury and a possible retirment.

[Stacocakes]

**** it, injured or not I am taking Simon at +500 in this tiebreak. Dont trust JCF or any injury reports. The line should be close to even not +500 so I am taking Simon and greening out my JCF bet

[Stacocakes]

and of course five seconds after I do that there is a mini break and Simon is now +800.Oh well

[EaglesPhan36]

I hope Simon retires. Unfortunately, I backed him today. Didn't know anything of the knee issue before the match, but he's been playing with that wrap all match I believe.

[EaglesPhan36]

Guess he's playing on. He's probably gonna get rolled in this set.

[Stacocakes]

and Ferrero takes the third set tiebreak and breaks to open up the fourth set.Should have let my bet ride.Oh well. simon is done now

[EaglesPhan36]

YES! Simon retired. Saved my money.

[Stacocakes]

Any other plays today eagles?

[Stacocakes]

Glad the retirement saved you Eagles. Means you get out of your bet and I still win