Stacocakes US Open Thread

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  • Stacocakes
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-10-08
    • 7126

    #246
    PIss poor from JCF. Broken in the second.He had two break points on Del Potros serve to but couldnt capitalize. Im waving the white flag here.No take out food for me tonight haha
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #247
      My DelPo future may be getting a massive boost today if Cilic doesn't implode. I won't believe it till I see it, but Cilic is about to go up 2-0 on Murray. Andy must have a case of the Dementievas! 5-1 in the 2nd? Wow.
      Comment
      • Stacocakes
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-10-08
        • 7126

        #248
        Oh my god Cilic up 2 sets to love and 2 bps on Murray. He was a +1000 dog

        Your del potro futures just got a big boost, my nadal and federer outrights got a huge boost. Murray just cant win in majors I dont know what it is. Still a long way from over though this match
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #249
          Murray has been an error machine in this match. This is the Cilic I've been waiting to see in majors though, this kid has great talent as well. He should offer a solid hedge price on my DelPo future in the QF. I think DelPo is going to repeat the Australian performance on Cilic though, 4 set win. Man Murray just looks like a POS today, bet anyone who had him in their futures wants to string him up.
          Comment
          • Stacocakes
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-10-08
            • 7126

            #250
            Yes couldnt believe Andy Murray today. What is it with him in majors?Just seems that all of the pressure from the media and the pressure that he puts on himself to win a major must be to hard to handle for him. Guarantee when he gets down a set or two he thinks to himself what they are going to say about him when he loses and shit like that.Was just a horrible match by Murray. The thing with Cilic is that I have seen him play this way before and when you see him play this way you think he is going to be great, then you will see that he will play someone like Rochus or something and lose in straight sets and you wonder where the hell the amazing player went. All I know is that you could have got Cilic at +40000 before this match to win it all and now he is +4100.Big drop. Guess I backed the wrong guy haha

            Still waiting for Nadal and Serena tonight to cap off my parlay. Clijsters was good to be today so it looks as though im going to be up some good units or even if that parlay loses.

            Looking ahead I was surprised to see Federers outright odds at -135 right now to win it all. Figured it would drop alot more then that with Murray out of the picture. Soderling and then Verdasco/Djokovic wont be able to beat Federer. Looks like a Federer vs Nadal/Del Potro final. Fed/Nadal would be great since i have both as my outrights. I dont think you will have much to worry about Eagles with Cilic next for Del Potro. Del Potro is alot better and very consistant so he should be able to get you into the semis

            Gonzo/Tsonga match is on right now. Tsonga is going to win the first set.From there who knows what will happen. Both players when they are on are lights out but you never know what you are going to get with them.Whether tsonga holds on to win or gonzo comes back,I wont be surprised

            Nadal tonight is kinda up in the air. If he is healthy enough to play he will beat Monfils.

            Serena/Pennetta...Serena should win. Zvonareva had so many oppurotunities to beat pennetta in straight sets but then she blew it and blew up completely mentally and the match was over.
            Comment
            • Stacocakes
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-10-08
              • 7126

              #251
              Serena Williams with a straight sets win over Pennetta. Now Just Nadal left to finish off the parlay
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #252
                Nadal down a break in the first.Not looking very good right now
                Comment
                • Stacocakes
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-10-08
                  • 7126

                  #253
                  break back nadal cmon
                  Comment
                  • Stacocakes
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-10-08
                    • 7126

                    #254
                    Well Monfils wins the first set in the tiebreak.Hopefully rafa can rebound from here
                    Comment
                    • Stacocakes
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-10-08
                      • 7126

                      #255
                      Nadal serving for the set.
                      Monfils looks done.Nadal is making him run to much

                      -200 or so odds for Nadal at this point. Might be worth jumping on.Not sure yet
                      Comment
                      • Stacocakes
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-10-08
                        • 7126

                        #256
                        Break Rafa.Just to good
                        Comment
                        • Stacocakes
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-10-08
                          • 7126

                          #257
                          Nadal up 2 sets to 1 now. Monfils is done
                          Comment
                          • Stacocakes
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-10-08
                            • 7126

                            #258
                            Nadal wins and the parlay cashes. Another very good day on the courts.

                            Looking ahead to tomorrow I dont really see much that is jumping out at me. Federer will win but his odds are ridiculous. Djokovic should beat Verdasco but I might just stay away from that.

                            I think Oudins time has come against Wozniacki. Wickmayer/Bondarenko is a toss up and a definate no play for me. Probably just going to watch the matches tomorrow and hope my outrights advance.

                            Hopefully you guys cashed the Clijsters/Serena/Nadal parlay

                            Best of luck tomorrow
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #259
                              Bondarenko/Djokovic parlay for me tomorrow. That's pretty much it. Absolutely love the Clijsters-Serena match-up. The winner there is going to win the whole thing. Serena should still be a pretty heavy favorite, so I should have a solid + money line to hedge with.
                              Comment
                              • alias69
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-21-09
                                • 1017

                                #260
                                andy murray= tim henman chokers
                                Comment
                                • Stacocakes
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-10-08
                                  • 7126

                                  #261
                                  I had a feeling that Murray was going to be my Rorger Federer outrights only obstacle and I am glad he got knocked out today. Very surprised that he just cant seem to get it done when it matters. Is he the Phil Mickelson of the ATP...or the Peyton Manning of the ATP? Where they have to go many years of not winning and everyone piling on them for not winning and then they eventually get over the hump....Its possible. Glad to see though with Rafas win tonight that he has regained the world number 2.He deserves it. Just seemed from watching him tonight that he could literally play an eight hour match and still be going.Guy is a machine.To bad his knees arent holding up for him and he is getting other injuries trying to compensate for the knee injury.

                                  That serena/Kim match is going to be great. Just hoping that it isnt going to be overhyped and then a big let down like lots of the matches in the past have been. Of the girls remaining Clijsters is definately the only one that I could see possibly beating Serena. Still think Serena wins this tournament in the end.She looked alot better tonight keeping the ball in play and controlling most of the points.Will be very difficult to beat

                                  I hope Oudin doesnt prove me wrong again tomorrow.Girl is possessed right now.Against SHarapova and Petrova there were points in both matches where it looked as though Oudin was done but I have to give her credit, she just doesnt give up. In the WTA you just have to hover around long enough for the other girl to completely collapse and anything can happen. I think WOz wins tomorrow and I agree that Bondarenko will win tomorrow.Not confident enough in bondarenko though to actually bet that match. On the mens side, gotta love Djokovic over Verdasco. Thing with Djokovic though is that he is not in that elite class with Nadal and Federer where you can feel confident putting a couple grand on him during any match.Djokovic still has those matches like Murray had today where he just goes out and completely shits the bed. With that said I think DJO/Fed will be the semi final matchup and it will be a great one. Federer will handle Djokovic just like he did a couple weeks ago when they played. On the other side of the draw, I still have my nadal outright BUT I am really scared about Del Potro I have to admit.I think Rafa will beat Gonzalez but against Del Potro who knows. Del Potro has blown Nadal off the court before and he does really scare me. If Del Potro gets to the finals though I still think that he will not beat Federer.Roger is just in a different class right now. Throw in the fact that Del Potro is going to be warn down by that point and that makes the Federer outright that I have even better

                                  Best of luck tomorrow guys. I dont really see any upsets happening. Looking for a Fed/Djokovic Woz/Bondarenko scenario
                                  Comment
                                  • alias69
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-21-09
                                    • 1017

                                    #262
                                    agree on murray, he deserves his no.2 but he is reminding me of safina. great in tournaments but cant clinch the big one. im liking verdasco to beat djoker. though djoker has won the last 3 against verdasco, all went to deciding set. i just think verdasco is ready for a long match. im liking the other picks. woz should beat oudin but who knows. lol
                                    Comment
                                    • Stacocakes
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-10-08
                                      • 7126

                                      #263
                                      Wickmayer wins in straight sets. Good thing I stayed away from that match

                                      Verdasco/Djokovic up next and I think Djokovic wins this match in four sets.Not going to bet on this one though just going to watch it

                                      Best of luck
                                      Comment
                                      • tbill11
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-15-09
                                        • 1451

                                        #264
                                        Hey Stack, you think Fed loses a set tonight? The odds are about +150 for Fed to not win 3-0. Seems like Soderling could pull at least a set from Fed. What do you think?
                                        Comment
                                        • Stacocakes
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-10-08
                                          • 7126

                                          #265
                                          I wouldnt do set betting with Federer.I remember back a couple years ago when Roger was dominating everyone and even then he would lose a set here and there to bums because he walks through his matches and falls asleep for a set here and there once in awhile. Fed will probably win this one 3-0 or 3-1 tops. Soderling is the kinda guy where if he starts out good and wins the first set then this match could be very good but if Fed comes out and breaks him a couple times and takes the first set easily then Soderling will probably be shot
                                          Comment
                                          • Stacocakes
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-10-08
                                            • 7126

                                            #266
                                            Djokovic wins in four as I stated.Not surprised at all.

                                            Hoping for Federer and Wozniacki to win tonight to preserve the outrights
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #267
                                              Great prices for me to hedge tomorrow. +230-ish for Clijsters. +360-ish for Cilic. Will bet one unit on Kim to cover my Serena future, if she wins, pretty much an even trade altogether. If Serena wins, still not subtracting a lot from her overall win because she will crush Wozniacki.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #268
                                                Nice moves Eagles.Always good to guarantee some profit when you can

                                                Fed wins the two sets and now is up 2-1 in a fourth set tiebreak on serve.Crazy match here......Going to be insane if Soderling can get this match to a fifth set..anything can happen then.Not looking good for my fed future here

                                                Woz wins easily over Oudin. Pretty much expected. Glad to see it.Was sick of hearing about Oudin non stop
                                                Comment
                                                • Stacocakes
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                  • 7126

                                                  #269
                                                  Fed wins the tiebreak and the match .Great fight by Soderling.Could easily have packed it up after the first two sets
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                    • 7126

                                                    #270
                                                    No women until friday so just a couple matches on the mens side for thursday.

                                                    Nadal and Del Potro look to be the plays for tomorrow. Not really sure what that parlay would pay.

                                                    Nadal is 6-3 career vs Gonzalez. Nadal has won the last 5 matches and 6 of the last 7. Only time besides the 2007 australian open that gonalez beat nadal was in 2003 and 2004 in which he faced a younger rafa so those can be discarded. The Australian Open that he beat Nadal is that one where he was on fire and made it to the final where he lost to Federer. No magic will be happening here.Nadal will beat Gonzalez.Rafas injury seems to be holding up fine because he was put to a long test against monfils and seemed to be able to go on forever so Rafa should be good to go here.

                                                    Del Potro won the only time these two have played and that was this year at the australian open. Cilic has a pretty good game but is very inconsistant. He would need another match like he played against Murray to have a chance to beat Del Potro here. Del Potro is just a bigger and better version of Cilic. I hate to see Del Potro move on here because I think he is a big big threat to my rafa future but I think Del Potro will win this match and I favor him to beat Rafa in the semis probably, especially if this cilic match is only 3 or 4 sets.

                                                    Probably not going to play the parlay because I already have outrights on Rafa so I am just going to watch the matches. Best of luck tomorrow guys
                                                    Comment
                                                    • j0hnnyv
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-06-09
                                                      • 3620

                                                      #271
                                                      I like them both Cakes!! we been doing good on the tennis over here
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tbill11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-15-09
                                                        • 1451

                                                        #272
                                                        I'm liking the under 38 games in Del Potro/Cilic. I've always been taught to fade the guy who just pulled off a big upset, so I think Cilic will lay an egg and lose in straights here. Should go well under 38. What do you think?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stacocakes
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-10-08
                                                          • 7126

                                                          #273
                                                          Johnny where the **** have you been man?Havent seen you in the forum for like 3 months. How are you doing??

                                                          Totally agree Tbill.So many times you see a player have a career type match to only shit the bed hard the next match.That would be typical cilic to a T. As I mentioned earlier, this is a guy that can look like a top 5 player one day and then lose to Ginepri the next day. I know because I have bet Cilic in those types of situations before and he has ****ed me.

                                                          Tough to bet the over/under games or set bets.Problem with those in three set matches is if a player loses the first two sets they sometimes throw in the towel and the third set is a 6-2 type of set.Of course that is good for the under bet though. Del Potros serve has been bailing him out of some tough situations this past week. It should keep up in this match and he should beat Cilic rather easily but its always tough to bet the game bets.I think Cilic might be able to grab a set in this match but I cant see much more then that. I think under 38 sounds like a good bet but I am not confident enough in it to recommend it to anyone.If you choose to go that path Tbill best of luck. The odds should be around +150 for that bet so those are pretty decent odds
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #274
                                                            I actually like the over some here. The Aussie Open match went to 40 games in the 4 set DelPo win. That scoreline could be similar to today, it was 5-7, 6-4, 6-4, 6-2 Del Potro wins. I don't think Cilic is going to be in danger of coming off the Murray win from high to low because it wasn't like he was involved in a grudge match where emotions got involved. He beat the shit out of Murray and that match wasn't in question after the 2nd set. DelPo hasn't been pushed much at all, so I think if Cilic is going to get the one set he needs to get an over done, he needs to win the 1st or 2nd set.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Stacocakes
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-10-08
                                                              • 7126

                                                              #275
                                                              Parlay for today

                                                              Del Potro/Nadal pays -160

                                                              If Cilic wins one set I would not be surprised. I dont think he will win the match though and I cant see Cilic winning more then one set either. Might catch Del Potro early and take the first set or something. If it goes four sets though it will be very close to that 38 games number.Could go either way
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #276
                                                                Well I am hoping that Cilic's serve is solid today and he just plays with nothing to lose like he did vs. Murray. If so, I envision a 7-6 or 7-5 set along the way. For me, if Cilic gets one set and there is at least one 7-5 or 7-6 set, the over will hit. If you have three 6-3 sets + one 7-5 or 7-6, that's a done deal.

                                                                Agree with your parlay.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stacocakes
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                                  • 7126

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Im just going to take the parlay.If I pick over 40 games it will land on 39.If I pick under 40 it will land on 41.Im not going to **** around haha
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                                    • 7126

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Cilic is on fire.What the hell is del potro doing.Down a break in the second set and unable to do anything on cilics serve. This is not good at all
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                                      • 7126

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Del Potro wakes up and takes the second set. Opens with a break in the third set so it looks as though Del Potro woke up and Cilic is going back to his usual play
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Del Potro in cruise control right now. up two breaks now in the fourth
                                                                        Comment
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