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  • DavidGoliath5003
    SBR MVP
    • 03-20-18
    • 4100

    #946
    Challenger Thailand:

    Kwon Soon ML @1.77 *8 x 1.5 units
    Janvier/Stakovsky Over 23 Games @1.78 *7 x 1 unit
    Comment
    • Conqueror
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-08-13
      • 16778

      #947
      Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
      Ill stick to wta in larger events... yup i usually hedge too
      Don't be afraid when you live-bet the WTA. Act like you're insane.
      Comment
      • DavidGoliath5003
        SBR MVP
        • 03-20-18
        • 4100

        #948
        Originally posted by Conqueror
        Don't be afraid when you live-bet the WTA. Act like you're insane.
        Yeah i usually go small, enough to cover my wager. Sometimes i go crazy haha. You could literally see it in that colombia match.... i wouldnt want to be american staying in colombia too many days anyways... its unsafe
        Comment
        • DavidGoliath5003
          SBR MVP
          • 03-20-18
          • 4100

          #949
          Does anyone in here have access to flight information... would be sick if some of these players booked their flights befor the match started...


          I bet Gaze would know this info ha
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #950
            I remember in 2008 when Marat Safin was drawn to play Novak Djokovic in the 2R of Wimbledon and Novak was still relatively raw and could crack if you get in early and break him down.

            Anyway they were saying because of his respect for Novak (good friends, same agent at the time and all) he had already booked his flight back home to Moscow before playing him. And well...we all know what happened after that. I think having the power game really helped him win matches like that.

            It was a fair point from Safin's point of view...Novak had reached the final of Queens where he lost to Nadal in a close one who ended up winning Wimbledon that year. And he was good going into Wimbledon pushing Nadal at the French further then anyone did that year.
            But Novak also from memory did drop a set to Michael Berrer in the first round so I think it was just a case of the veteran getting one over the rookie too.

            That is one situation that I remember clearly in relation to your point.
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #951
              Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
              If im ever stuck i like to read Jeff Blacks write ups too.. i consider him one of the best as well.
              Appreciate it. I'm just glad there are people posting on these threads outside of the bigger tournaments lol.

              And I know whenever one of us has the time for it, discussion happens. Regardless of whether there is agreement or disagreement. Always encouraged!
              Comment
              • DavidGoliath5003
                SBR MVP
                • 03-20-18
                • 4100

                #952
                Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                Appreciate it. I'm just glad there are people posting on these threads outside of the bigger tournaments lol.

                And I know whenever one of us has the time for it, discussion happens. Regardless of whether there is agreement or disagreement. Always encouraged!
                Hey no problem. Im just glad this isnt a tennis Graveyard any more. It was quiet around here for a few years up until this point (ish) last year
                Comment
                • DavidGoliath5003
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-20-18
                  • 4100

                  #953
                  ATP Marackech:

                  Kohlscriber 1st set @1.877 *7 x 2 units
                  Paire/Herbert Over 23 Games @1.925 *8 x 2 units

                  Munar +1.5 sets @2.10 *7 x 2 units


                  I’ll take a shot at Kohlscriber 1st set here. Ive noticed lately against higher opponents that andujar is a bit slower to start in General. Kohlscriber was runner up here in 2017 so i wont suggest lack of effort being an issue.Maybe at his age (35) this tourney may not be on his radar after this year.... alot of question marks. When both are at their best its fair to say Kohlscriber is a bit better. Andujar has been in good form but hes dropped a few sets and should have lost to players slightly worse than Kohly( Paire,Delbonis) i guess it shows heart on Andujars part.

                  Paire vs Herbert... two Frenchmen, Paires last 6 matches 4 of them have seen 3 setters. Paire has lapses in his game so vs quality opponents like Herbert that usually suggests an extra set.


                  Munar vs Zverev. Its tough to guage what Zverev will do here... this is a bit of a lower teir tourney for guys like him. He may mess around a bit and try to find his game. Zverev struggles a bit at times vs guys who can move and make him finish the point. Past events would suggest Zverev is using this a pit stop on his schedule. Munar at +300 is probably about +200 below where i thought it should be. Wouldnt be suprised to see anything happen here




                  Comment
                  • DavidGoliath5003
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-20-18
                    • 4100

                    #954
                    ATP Houston:

                    Tipserevic ML @2.42 *8 x 3 units




                    Comment
                    • DavidGoliath5003
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-20-18
                      • 4100

                      #955
                      WTA Lugano:

                      Pliskova ML @2.17 *8 x 2 units


                      Comment
                      • DavidGoliath5003
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-20-18
                        • 4100

                        #956
                        Kohl up 5-3 1st set promptly gets broken. Up 6-4 tiebreaker loses set 8-6. This is almost comical
                        Comment
                        • gorwin068
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-16-16
                          • 920

                          #957
                          Pretty bad luck for you recently
                          Comment
                          • ThinkingTrip
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-09-12
                            • 334

                            #958
                            Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                            Kohl up 5-3 1st set promptly gets broken. Up 6-4 tiebreaker loses set 8-6. This is almost comical
                            I'm cursed atm. Been losing on some very weird matches. Kohl almost winning this match all the time, till he suddenly loses in 2. Massive amount of breakballs wasted. 6-4 in firstset tiebreak, Kohl in full control of rally having a high short ball in middle of his court he throws into the net with a drop attempt, instead of just taking 1 more easy shot to end the set. Second set, full control of the set til 5-4, where he goes up 30-0 easy in own serve, to suddenly just lose the next 4 balls in a row. GSM Andujar.
                            Comment
                            • NYproGambler
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-11-18
                              • 178

                              #959
                              looks like paire game going under
                              Comment
                              • flabrah5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-11-12
                                • 1743

                                #960
                                I think Munar has a shot today? Worth a small play IMO.

                                Also love Steve Johnson in straight sets.
                                Comment
                                • flabrah5
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-12
                                  • 1743

                                  #961
                                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                  I need a quick breakdown on how this works if you dont mind.
                                  Sure thing, I'll start a thread later tonight to discuss the tennis daily fantasy ordeal and strategy.

                                  All I ask is if we tennis cappers start grinding there we can't be playing each other!
                                  Comment
                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-20-18
                                    • 4100

                                    #962
                                    Originally posted by ThinkingTrip
                                    I'm cursed atm. Been losing on some very weird matches. Kohl almost winning this match all the time, till he suddenly loses in 2. Massive amount of breakballs wasted. 6-4 in firstset tiebreak, Kohl in full control of rally having a high short ball in middle of his court he throws into the net with a drop attempt, instead of just taking 1 more easy shot to end the set. Second set, full control of the set til 5-4, where he goes up 30-0 easy in own serve, to suddenly just lose the next 4 balls in a row. GSM Andujar.
                                    he tossed the match.... he did this last year same tourney vs some scrub. He had no plans of sticking around. I was just cursed enough to have wagered on 3 of these players over my last 5 wagers
                                    Comment
                                    • DavidGoliath5003
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-20-18
                                      • 4100

                                      #963
                                      Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                      WTA Lugano:

                                      Pliskova ML @2.17 *8 x 2 units


                                      Comment
                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-20-18
                                        • 4100

                                        #964
                                        Finally Munar takes that set
                                        Comment
                                        • DavidGoliath5003
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-20-18
                                          • 4100

                                          #965
                                          Originally posted by flabrah5
                                          Sure thing, I'll start a thread later tonight to discuss the tennis daily fantasy ordeal and strategy.

                                          All I ask is if we tennis cappers start grinding there we can't be playing each other!
                                          Sure sounds good!
                                          Comment
                                          • Gaze73
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-27-14
                                            • 3291

                                            #966
                                            Good call on Munar, me and Jeff are probably losing the +4 spread because Zverev decided to play in the second set.
                                            Comment
                                            • DavidGoliath5003
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-20-18
                                              • 4100

                                              #967
                                              Originally posted by Gaze73
                                              Good call on Munar, me and Jeff are probably losing the +4 spread because Zverev decided to play in the second set.
                                              Dont stress zverev did this last year and lost
                                              Comment
                                              • DavidGoliath5003
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-20-18
                                                • 4100

                                                #968
                                                Match dumps all week.
                                                Comment
                                                • Gaze73
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-27-14
                                                  • 3291

                                                  #969
                                                  Zverev appears to be throwing lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-20-18
                                                    • 4100

                                                    #970
                                                    Originally posted by Gaze73
                                                    Zverev appears to be throwing lol.
                                                    Yes.. he is. Its a scrub tourney
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DavidGoliath5003
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-20-18
                                                      • 4100

                                                      #971
                                                      ATP Houston:

                                                      Garcia Lopez ML @2.85 *8 x 1 unit
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DavidGoliath5003
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-20-18
                                                        • 4100

                                                        #972
                                                        Originally posted by gorwin068
                                                        Pretty bad luck for you recently
                                                        Got it going 3 dogs in a row.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DavidGoliath5003
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-20-18
                                                          • 4100

                                                          #973
                                                          Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                          ATP Houston:

                                                          Tipserevic ML @2.42 *8 x 3 units




                                                          I was going to unload more on this. Shocked the books hang lines like this
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DavidGoliath5003
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-18
                                                            • 4100

                                                            #974
                                                            Paire vs Andujar Marrakech Final wait for it lol
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DavidGoliath5003
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-20-18
                                                              • 4100

                                                              #975
                                                              WTA Bogota:

                                                              Linette 1st set @1.69 *7 x 2 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-20-18
                                                                • 4100

                                                                #976
                                                                ATP Houston:

                                                                Johnson/Galan Riveiros Over 22 Games @1.73 *9 x 3 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Conqueror
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                                  • 16778

                                                                  #977
                                                                  Originally posted by DavidGoliath5003
                                                                  ATP Houston:

                                                                  Johnson/Galan Riveiros Over 22 Games @1.73 *9 x 3 units
                                                                  Line seriously moving against Johnson. Don't know why. Hope that makes it a 3-setter and you cash your bet easily.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-20-18
                                                                    • 4100

                                                                    #978
                                                                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                                    Line seriously moving against Johnson. Don't know why. Hope that makes it a 3-setter and you cash your bet easily.
                                                                    I try to predict the line befor hand and im usually bang on with this. The book is giving Riverios a ton of respect here. Line should be +300 imo +190 at a book who floats inflated lines when they know they will win tells me this will be close..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DavidGoliath5003
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-20-18
                                                                      • 4100

                                                                      #979
                                                                      Im going to lose my mind if Riveiros wins this in straights..... i was like surely Johnson can take a set here
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Conqueror
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-08-13
                                                                        • 16778

                                                                        #980
                                                                        Galan is only +104 to win the 2nd set. Duh.
                                                                        Comment
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