Field wins us open/not joker @1.65

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • sluggy1616
    SBR MVP
    • 07-21-13
    • 1317

    #1
    Field wins us open/not joker @1.65
    Pounce on this mess??
  • SirtySree
    SBR MVP
    • 12-19-13
    • 2370

    #2
    Better of just picking a few players rather then the field at those odds if you think Joker loses.

    Despite this grand slam being quite open compared to before, in reality over a 5 set match, there's only a few contenders.
    Comment
    • sluggy1616
      SBR MVP
      • 07-21-13
      • 1317

      #3
      Originally posted by SirtySree
      Better of just picking a few players rather then the field at those odds if you think Joker loses.

      Despite this grand slam being quite open compared to before, in reality over a 5 set match, there's only a few contenders.
      If Joker does make it to the final I can always hedge with the dog. The opponent WOULD be a dog wouldn't he?
      Comment
      • SirtySree
        SBR MVP
        • 12-19-13
        • 2370

        #4
        Originally posted by sluggy1616
        If Joker does make it to the final I can always hedge with the dog. The opponent WOULD be a dog wouldn't he?
        The opponent would be a dog but if it's Federer, the odds would pretty much be like the one above. If it's like Raonic or some first time slam finalist, then probably like 1.2 on Novak lol.
        Comment
        • sluggy1616
          SBR MVP
          • 07-21-13
          • 1317

          #5
          I pounded it
          Comment
          • SirtySree
            SBR MVP
            • 12-19-13
            • 2370

            #6
            Originally posted by sluggy1616
            I pounded it
            Good luck.

            Personally, i wouldve waited a bit longer for the draw to come out to see if novak gets like a cilic or even isner early on which could b his problem games.
            Comment
            • O
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-12
              • 1980

              #7
              What site where you on?
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Originally posted by O
                What site where you on?
                5dimes
                Comment
                • poet
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-11-13
                  • 796

                  #9
                  Good luck, sluggy. I'll be rooting for you as I can't stand Djoker anymore. He is so transparently insecure and insincere (trying to say all the right things) in that weird Eastern European way. After years of putting his foot in his mouth someone talked some sense into him and so he has toned his act down but had they let him continue in his ways (especially when he senses the crowd turn against him) I have no doubt he would have ended up looking like one of these guys:


                  Comment
                  • O
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-21-12
                    • 1980

                    #10
                    Originally posted by sluggy1616
                    5dimes
                    Thanks man
                    Comment
                    • frugalgambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-30-13
                      • 3418

                      #11
                      Djoker looked really out of sorts during the warmups, yet he is a super-fav to win. No Nadal, but still, wow.
                      Comment
                      • Brooklyn Dick
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-12-08
                        • 1070

                        #12
                        You Got a Bad Line I Played at Pinny yesterday

                        I layed -143 and -147 Does Not Win Joker. Currently -152
                        Comment
                        • bruceBRUCEbruce
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-20-09
                          • 2560

                          #13
                          with rafa out, you'd figure that roger and murray will be on the other side of the draw so djoko should have a very easy path to the final...
                          Comment
                          • Brooklyn Dick
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-12-08
                            • 1070

                            #14
                            The way Joker is playing nothing will be easy.
                            Comment
                            • frugalgambler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-30-13
                              • 3418

                              #15
                              Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                              with rafa out, you'd figure that roger and murray will be on the other side of the draw so djoko should have a very easy path to the final...
                              Why would murray be on the other side ? It is a 50/50 chance for murray to be on either Djoker's or Feds' side.
                              Comment
                              • brodie
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-13
                                • 2212

                                #16
                                this is the squarest of square plays imo. guess what, you guys don't know more than the books. novak is gonna run through this tourney
                                Comment
                                • Brooklyn Dick
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-12-08
                                  • 1070

                                  #17
                                  I guess laying a cheap price that an out of form player does not win 7 matches against some very good players is a "square bet".
                                  Comment
                                  • sluggy1616
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-21-13
                                    • 1317

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by brodie
                                    this is the squarest of square plays imo. guess what, you guys don't know more than the books. novak is gonna run through this tourney
                                    If he does then I'll hedge the final on a big dog...We can't all be as brilliant as you brodie. You are killing it in your pick threads!!! Keep up the good work.
                                    Comment
                                    • poet
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-11-13
                                      • 796

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                      If he does then I'll hedge the final on a big dog...We can't all be as brilliant as you brodie. You are killing it in your pick threads!!! Keep up the good work.
                                      I like the bet Sluggy but not sure what you mean by hedging against a big dog. If Djoker makes it to the final against a big dog there is no hedge for you, as Djoker will be -500 or so. All you can do then is to throw some more money on the dog and hope he wins.
                                      Comment
                                      • brodie
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-25-13
                                        • 2212

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Brooklyn Dick
                                        I guess laying a cheap price that an out of form player does not win 7 matches against some very good players is a "square bet".
                                        yeah u right bro. go all in on it then, easy money right?

                                        Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                        If he does then I'll hedge the final on a big dog...We can't all be as brilliant as you brodie. You are killing it in your pick threads!!! Keep up the good work.
                                        Lol I wasn't coming at your neck buddy. Would you rather me come in after the fact and be like 'Djok was a lock from the start!'. Do you guys really think you are outsmarting the books on this one? Djok was at +120 before his collapse in the 1000 tournaments (which I think was planned) and now the lines still only at +130

                                        with fukking fed and murray the only other 2 under +1000

                                        none of these guys are beating him. your only hope is that his collapse in these last tourneys was legit (slim chance), and even then who's taking out djok in 3 sets?

                                        And I love how when people get offended all of the sudden they've had a problem with me all along.

                                        Originally posted by poet
                                        I like the bet Sluggy but not sure what you mean by hedging against a big dog. If Djoker makes it to the final against a big dog there is no hedge for you, as Djoker will be -500 or so. All you can do then is to throw some more money on the dog and hope he wins.
                                        Ill save you the trouble sluggy...

                                        We can't all be as brilliant as you poet. You are killing it in your pick threads!!! Keep up the good work.
                                        Comment
                                        • sluggy1616
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-21-13
                                          • 1317

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by poet
                                          I like the bet Sluggy but not sure what you mean by hedging against a big dog. If Djoker makes it to the final against a big dog there is no hedge for you, as Djoker will be -500 or so. All you can do then is to throw some more money on the dog and hope he wins.
                                          Yes Sluggy thought about the hedge in reverse. I'm an IDIOT!!! My bad Brodie im an idiot!!! Thx for straightening me out Poet. I'll see about getting some Djok futures when the draw comes out. Maybe price will get a little better for me or maybe i STAND PAT. Put 3 units risk on this so wont kill me or anything
                                          Comment
                                          • poet
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-11-13
                                            • 796

                                            #22
                                            [QUOTE=brodie;22441573]yeah u right bro. go all in on it then, easy money right?



                                            Lol I wasn't coming at your neck buddy. Would you rather me come in after the fact and be like 'Djok was a lock from the start!'. Do you guys really think you are outsmarting the books on this one? Djok was at +120 before his collapse in the 1000 tournaments (which I think was planned) and now the lines still only at +130

                                            with fukking fed and murray the only other 2 under +1000

                                            none of these guys are beating him. your only hope is that his collapse in these last tourneys was legit (slim chance), and even then who's taking out djok in 3 sets?

                                            And I love how when people get offended all of the sudden they've had a problem with me all along.



                                            Ill save you the trouble sluggy...

                                            We can't all be as brilliant as you poet. You are killing it in your pick threads!!! Keep up the good work.[/QUOT
                                            E]

                                            What did I do to deserve this sarcasm?
                                            Comment
                                            • brodie
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-25-13
                                              • 2212

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                              Yes Sluggy thought about the hedge in reverse. I'm an IDIOT!!! My bad Brodie im an idiot!!! Thx for straightening me out Poet. I'll see about getting some Djok futures when the draw comes out. Maybe price will get a little better for me or maybe i STAND PAT. Put 3 units risk on this so wont kill me or anything
                                              Lol ok guy I'm apparently just a bully even though I just came in here with my opinion and you got all sarcastic with me.


                                              Originally posted by poet

                                              What did I do to deserve this sarcasm?
                                              That was clearly a shot at Sluggy, not you.
                                              Comment
                                              • w@lt
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-08-10
                                                • 2594

                                                #24
                                                Let's do this.

                                                You can't win ALL of them, Rory.

                                                As a previous poster mentioned, if Djok makes it to the final, whoever he plays will be the dog. After Rory doesn't win, I can hedge appropriately.

                                                Easy, right?

                                                $1,000.00 $997.30 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                Pending 8/21/14 7:00am PGA Golf 92 Field wins The Barclays -530* vs R.McIlroy wins The Barclays
                                                Pending 8/25/14 11:00am Props Tennis 2 Field wins US Open -147* vs N.Djokovic wins US Open
                                                Comment
                                                • sluggy1616
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-21-13
                                                  • 1317

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by w@lt
                                                  Let's do this.

                                                  You can't win ALL of them, Rory.

                                                  As a previous poster mentioned, if Djok makes it to the final, whoever he plays will be the dog. After Rory doesn't win, I can hedge appropriately.

                                                  Easy, right?

                                                  $1,000.00 $997.30 Pending 2 Team Parlay
                                                  Pending 8/21/14 7:00am PGA Golf 92 Field wins The Barclays -530* vs R.McIlroy wins The Barclays
                                                  Pending 8/25/14 11:00am Props Tennis 2 Field wins US Open -147* vs N.Djokovic wins US Open
                                                  U can't hedge. Thats were i messed up. Its a double reverse curve ball and I'm slow. we have joker to lose so we would need to bet joker to win in the final. I still think he will lose before this though.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • slayer14
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-12-13
                                                    • 22019

                                                    #26
                                                    When federer was at his best he use to be a 4/9 shot to win some of these grand slams
                                                    Comment
                                                    • w@lt
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-08-10
                                                      • 2594

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                      U can't hedge. Thats were i messed up. Its a double reverse curve ball and I'm slow. we have joker to lose so we would need to bet joker to win in the final. I still think he will lose before this though.
                                                      Whoops. Duh. I don't know where my mind was. Well, I guess I'll have to hope that if he makes the final, he's only a moderate favorite. That, or I can hedge with Djok to win if/when Rory wins.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sluggy1616
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-21-13
                                                        • 1317

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by w@lt
                                                        Whoops. Duh. I don't know where my mind was. Well, I guess I'll have to hope that if he makes the final, he's only a moderate favorite. That, or I can hedge with Djok to win if/when Rory wins.
                                                        Its still a solid bet. Joker going down 4th rd or qtrs!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tipsadontlikehim
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-14-13
                                                          • 2569

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by brodie
                                                          this is the squarest of square plays imo. guess what, you guys don't know more than the books. novak is gonna run through this tourney
                                                          +100

                                                          really risk bet IMO especially at these odds I believe Novak got a strong chance to win, Nadal is not here, Federer is old and not playing as well as people say. Maybe Wawrinka could be dangerous you never know with him...

                                                          One thing is for sure, Djokovic would never lose to Tsonga or Robredo at the US open.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sluggy1616
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-21-13
                                                            • 1317

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                            +100

                                                            really risk bet IMO especially at these odds I believe Novak got a strong chance to win, Nadal is not here, Federer is old and not playing as well as people say. Maybe Wawrinka could be dangerous you never know with him...

                                                            One thing is for sure, Djokovic would never lose to Tsonga or Robredo at the US open.
                                                            I really have to disagree with you. This year there are quite a number of players that have made huge strides and have played themselves into decent seeds by going deep in big tournys.

                                                            Dimitov,cillic,nishi(if he can stay healthy will be a tough out), milos,gulbis,agut,lopez,verdasco (always plays big guys good),monfils(on fire right now)

                                                            The old order (non top 5 has been over-thrown. Youzney and garbage like that has been pushed aside by the young guys who have put up very solid wins and who have also gone deep into torneys this year.

                                                            They will take nibbles out of joker until joker has no more left.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sluggy1616
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-21-13
                                                              • 1317

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by sluggy1616
                                                              I really have to disagree with you. This year there are quite a number of players that have made huge strides and have played themselves into decent seeds by going deep in big tournys.

                                                              Dimitov,cillic,nishi(if he can stay healthy will be a tough out), milos,gulbis,agut,lopez,verdasco (always plays big guys good),monfils(on fire right now)

                                                              The old order (non top 5 has been over-thrown. Youzney and garbage like that has been pushed aside by the young guys who have put up very solid wins and who have also gone deep into torneys this year.

                                                              They will take nibbles out of joker until joker has no more left.
                                                              Like little freakin piranha they will weaken the Joke and he will lose!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brodie
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-25-13
                                                                • 2212

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                                +100

                                                                really risk bet IMO especially at these odds I believe Novak got a strong chance to win, Nadal is not here, Federer is old and not playing as well as people say. Maybe Wawrinka could be dangerous you never know with him...

                                                                One thing is for sure, Djokovic would never lose to Tsonga or Robredo at the US open.
                                                                im wondering if parlaying all of djok's wins throughout the tourney would have a better payout? open parlay?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Brooklyn Dick
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-08
                                                                  • 1070

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by brodie
                                                                  im wondering if parlaying all of djok's wins throughout the tourney would have a better payout? open parlay?
                                                                  Over the course of 7 matches it should definitely be more than +150 or 160.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Brooklyn Dick
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-12-08
                                                                    • 1070

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Murray will play Joker if they advance. Joker seeded 1 and Murray 8.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sluggy1616
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-21-13
                                                                      • 1317

                                                                      #35
                                                                      IMO joker has a pretty tough qtr.

                                                                      Could meet queer dick or LU in 3rd round

                                                                      kornscriber,isner or tsonga in 4th round(I think I got this right)

                                                                      and murray in the qtrs(verdasco is also in here with murray)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...