litter box tennis plays

[Snowball]

What you think about whitthoeft barthel?

don't like it.

[Snowball]

add:

Thiem, Berankis, Ward, Vesely, Bolelli, Dodig,
Jankovic, Kuznetsova, Ivanovic, Goerges, Radwanska, Lisicki
.02/9.73

[Snowball]

Melnikova .06/.16
Brianti .05/.3

[Snowball]

Tally +2.44

Lisicki, Radwanska .14/.16

[Pikachu]

wow ivanovic should have taken that 1st set.

[Snowball]

Lisicki .35/.1

[Snowball]

Lopez, Lisicki, Kvitova .12/.14

[Snowball]

Goerges, Halep .1/.19

[Snowball]

Goerges, Halep .15/.31

[Snowball]

Halep .45/.24

[Snowball]

Errani, Garcia, Robredo .2/.31

[Snowball]

Tally +1.82

Errani, Garcia, Robredo .2/.31

[Snowball]

Robredo/Granollers Under 20.5 .06/.05

[Snowball]

Tally +2.18

Fognini .37/.2

[Snowball]

Wozniacki .2/.18

[Snowball]

increase Fognini by .16/.1

[Snowball]

Tally +1.83

Kerber .35/.42

[Snowball]

Tally +2.25

[Snowball]

Sousa (ATP Estoril), Schmiedlova (WTA Marrakech), Kuznetsova (WTA Prague)
.11/.14

[Snowball]

Giorgi, Kuznetsova .67/.37

[Vinnie Paz]

Kuznetsova, what the hell

[Snowball]

Kuznetsova, what the hell

yep. bad. to be honest I've been doing better on other sports than tennis.
Think I will lay low the rest of the clay season. I certainly don't prefer it
from a wagering standpoint.

[Snowball]

Kyrgios, Sousa .34/.8

[Snowball]

Kyrgios line has dropped a lot, was 140 then 125 early today now 110.
Sousa played terribly today.

Kyrgios .47/.52

[Snowball]

Tally +1.65

[Snowball]

Robredo, Pennetta, Svitolina .32/.35

[fitguy67]

McHale's owning Svitolina in the H2H (not on clay, but in two important matches, 2012 Fed/2013 USO) 2-0 matches/4-1 sets...not a concern?...

motivation at these 250s hard to gauge...& i don't know how to find out if either/both of these two have points to defend that would cast additional light on the level of effort/tenacity we can expect

at first glance, tho', Svitolina seems the most likely of the three in your parlay to eff things up (as she did just days ago, if memory serves, versus Pereira...where she demonstrated zero composure and tenacity in a semi-final)

I will definitely start a manual parlay rolling with Robredo and Pennetta, tho'...but hard to trust a 21yo millionaire in a tournament that doesn't fit prominently in the grand scheme of her career, esp. against an opponent who's beaten her 4 sets out of 5 in important matches in the not so distant past

[fitguy67]

dang, i'm not very good at this tennis stuff...what did you see that hinted she could be relied upon enough to justify her pricetag (-333/1.3/77% implied probability)?...

turned out she was...what'd i miss that scared me off...problem may be that i limit myself at this stage to just what i can find within a few click radius of here:

http://www.tennisexplorer.com/match-detail/?id=1307304

were there "points to defend" motivational issues i missed, or just that svito has been relatively hot her last few tourneys, going quite deep in every one while mchale has been doing her usual journeyman thing with lots of r1 exits?

when my spidey sense proves to be obviously wrong, i like to do a bit of an autopsy, to help me from missing a similar angle in the future

[Snowball]

Tally +1.65

Robredo, Pennetta, Svitolina .32/.35
Krajinovic .12/.19

[Snowball]

well, it was just a shot.. i knew the weak spot of the bet was the Krajinovic just
isn't that good. anyway, i'll be fading Kyrgios again, if Robredo wins, he will play him.

[Snowball]

Tommy pulled out.

Tally +1.75

[Snowball]

Muller .11/.1
Dodig .14/.11
Knapp .1/.21

[Snowball]

Tally +1.86
went 2/3

[Snowball]

Garcia-Lopez .46/.2

[Snowball]

Tally +2.06

Gasquet .13/.16