Tennis Plays Few and Far between... shooting for 70% and above.

[matt1216]

14. Seppi 2-0 sets 1.71 x 2 units



GL

Play 15.^^^

[JC1186]

Not a market trend exactly, more of a book trend. I get what your saying

In what sense? Books don't decide the odds on that 2-0 bet above for example. Not anymore Matt.

Punters do! On Betfair. And the books are influenced accordingly.

So how can that be "part of the trend"?

I do wish you the best though. Genuinely. If you are in fact betting real money this time I hope you're betting low stakes during this experimental stage.

[matt1216]

In what sense? Books don't decide the odds on that 2-0 bet above for example. Not anymore Matt.

Punters do! On Betfair. And the books are influenced accordingly.

So how can that be "part of the trend"?

I do wish you the best though. Genuinely. If you are in fact betting real money this time I hope you're betting low stakes during this experimental stage.

I am, 2-2.25 units max, around 50$. It's actually been hitting decent.

[matt1216]

16. Thiem 1st set 2.25 x 2 units

[matt1216]

YTD: 9-7 +2.5 units

* I made a stupid decision on the Simon 1st set ML, and the over under between Davy/vessly missed by 1 game. 6-1 first set killed it. The first set total for the trend is 11-0 between my last two sets. I went against it with Thiem today... I figure with a set under Thiems belt in France, he would have the upper hand.

[matt1216]

17. Garcia 1st set winner 1.71 x 2 units

18. Vesley 1st set winner 1.87 x 2 units



GL

[matt1216]

19. Simon 1st set winner 1.87 x 2 units

[matt1216]

20. Keys 1st set Winner 1.71 x 2 units



GL

[matt1216]

21. Barthel 1st set winner 1.61 x 3 units



GL

[matt1216]

all of the plays part of the trend this morning.

[matt1216]

YTD: 13-8 +5.8 units

*4-1 today on the first set wager trends. Barthel was the lone loss 4-6..... Svitolina had the same starting 1st set ML as Istomin so maybe I'll take a look at that line as well.


GL

[xauwatroi]

Can you post the plays a bit earlier matt? I missed those play lol. Thanks

[matt1216]

22. Bouchard 2-0 sets 1.67 x 2 units

23. Simon 1st set winner 1.70 x 2 units



GL

[matt1216]

Can you post the plays a bit earlier matt? I missed those play lol. Thanks

Yeah sorry, was just waiting on books

[matt1216]

YTD: 14-9 +5.2 units

1-1 today.... Bouchard cruised through her match. Simon shit the bed. On to the next



GL

[matt1216]

24. Delbonis Over 111/2 Games won 1.80 x 2 units

25. Puig + Dellaqua/Barty Doubles 1.77 x 2 units

[matt1216]

26. Pliskova Over 10 games won 1.80 x 2 units

27. Puig 2-0 sets 2.10 x 2 units

[matt1216]

Play 25. Does not count***** I posted 3 mins after start time

[SirtySree]

Play 25. Gotta love that typical WTA meltdown one game away from victory. Up a set and 5-1 to lose 6 games straight and then the match tiebreak. Happens over once every 10 matches in the WTA.

[xauwatroi]

What does Over 111/2 in #24 mean?

[kenz]

What does Over 111/2 in #24 mean?

delboner to win at least 12 game, over 11.5

[matt1216]

Play 25. Gotta love that typical WTA meltdown one game away from victory. Up a set and 5-1 to lose 6 games straight and then the match tiebreak. Happens over once every 10 matches in the WTA.

I know right, WTA, what a rollercoaster

[kenz]

Sh-t Last time I checked Barty/Dellacqua was toast. Wonder what was their ML when down 0-1 on sets and 1-5 in games

[matt1216]

Sh-t Last time I checked Barty/Dellacqua was toast. Wonder what was their ML when down 0-1 on sets and 1-5 in games

Yeah man, they were getting stomped, then out of nowhere won 6 games in a row

[Hardcoar]

I don't get this thread. What is your interpretation of its title, Matt??

[matt1216]

I don't get this thread. What is your interpretation of its title, Matt??

There plays HC, when was my last trend play? 3 days ago. This thread was mainly for my trends, but I also want to post plays that I feel have a great chance. I'm not posting my usuall 10 a day lol. I've cut it down considerably.

[Hardcoar]

I don't understand what you mean by "There plays HC, ..." (honestly).

Are you saying the title only applies to a small portion of the bets posted within?

Wouldn't it be less misleading, and just generally speaking better to post the bets that don't apply to this thread, in another thread?

[matt1216]

YTD: 16-10 +8.5 units

[matt1216]

I don't understand what you mean by "There plays HC, ..." (honestly).

Are you saying the title only applies to a small portion of the bets posted within?

Wouldn't it be less misleading, and just generally speaking better to post the bets that don't apply to this thread, in another thread?

I tried that, but I get shit on for making new threads... I figured I would just put an asterix by the plays that are part of my trend picks, mainly first setters.

[Hardcoar]

If anyone gives you shit for creating one new thread with good reason... f*ck 'em!

[fitguy67]

solution:

1. use this NEW thread ONLY FOR the "few and far between" TREND PLAYS (to keep the result of this experiment clear...why you originally set it up)...to do so properly...figure out a "W-L, U" record for that small handout of plays that really belong here, post it...then carry on from there

2. as for all other garden-variety plays designed to make money more than test out an idea...

EITHER either go back to your previous thread = http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-bet...-picks-p4.html and update it with all the non-trend plays that have cluttered up this thread since its beginning (probably a big pain in the ass)... OR

start a new one at "0-0, 0u" and carry on from there...if anyone doesn't like it (almost always people who've never taken the trouble to run a thread themselves, let alone account for it accurately)...as HC says, fukk'em...

_________

u'v stored up enough "street cred" around this place to open threads whenever the hell you want...i just suggest that if you're interested in logging the progress of an idea, to the point that you're seriously curious enough about it to bother to set up a new thread to announce it...then, bloody-well keep the new thread restricted to those plays related to this new idea...then the "W-L, U" of the "new idea" thread will mean something and actually satisfy your curiosity

and lump all the plain-vanilla "plays to make money" in a separate thread with their own "W-L, U" that also means something

[matt1216]

solution:

1. use this NEW thread ONLY FOR the "few and far between" TREND PLAYS (to keep the result of this experiment clear...why you originally set it up)...to do so properly...figure out a "W-L, U" record for that small handout of plays that really belong here, post it...then carry on from there

2. as for all other garden-variety plays designed to make money more than test out an idea...

EITHER either go back to your previous thread = http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-bet...-picks-p4.html and update it with all the non-trend plays that have cluttered up this thread since its beginning (probably a big pain in the ass)... OR

start a new one at "0-0, 0u" and carry on from there...if anyone doesn't like it (almost always people who've never taken the trouble to run a thread themselves, let alone account for it accurately)...as HC says, fukk'em...

_________

u'v stored up enough "street cred" around this place to open threads whenever the hell you want...i just suggest that if you're interested in logging the progress of an idea, to the point that you're seriously curious enough about it to bother to set up a new thread to announce it...then, bloody-well keep the new thread restricted to those plays related to this new idea...then the "W-L, U" of the "new idea" thread will mean something and actually satisfy your curiosity

and lump all the plain-vanilla "plays to make money" in a separate thread with their own "W-L, U" that also means something

Thats a good idea. What I might just do is keep two records within the thread. One for regular plays one for trends. Thanks again Fitguy

[Hardcoar]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wItuvvV_hnc&t=1m05s

[matt1216]

YTD: 16-10 +8.5 units

if anybody is curious the trend record is:

11-5 avg odds @1.70

reg picks:

5-5 avg odds 1.90

[matt1216]

28. Cetkovska 1st set 1.74 x 2 units

29. Govortsova 1st set 1.69 x 2 units



GL