So why is Tsonga favored of Dolgo?

[bababooey13]

tsonga hasn't looked right for several months now what up with this line? are the bookies begging me to take dolgopolov as a trap or is the public on tsonga here? dolgo leads the recent h2h including recently on clay. i know dolgo's quality has dipped from a couple months ago but he still should beat tsonga i would think.


nebody on tsonga here? why?

[professionalAD]

tsongas a joke but hes due for a win

[EaglesPhan36]

You put this much thought into why a line is set for what reason and all and you're bound to regret whatever you pick.

The line seems absolutely appropriate to me. We know books base their lines some on rankings and public perception, both of which lend to Tsonga being the favorite. They're pretty much identical records wise on this Euro clay swing. You could actually say Dolgpolov's losses have been worse than Tsonga's.

[bababooey13]

You put this much thought into why a line is set for what reason and all and you're bound to regret whatever you pick.

The line seems absolutely appropriate to me. We know books base their lines some on rankings and public perception, both of which lend to Tsonga being the favorite. They're pretty much identical records wise on this Euro clay swing. You could actually say Dolgpolov's losses have been worse than Tsonga's.

you are probably right. prob over thinking it. i have a small worry the books are giving an edge to tsonga here for some reason i dont know about..
just figured tsonga should be closer to even money, so when it comes down to it I guess i just like dolgopolov here

[frugalgambler]

I am leaning over, both players can play at high level but both seem to have ups and downs recently. Also, I'd say they are evenly matched as the odds suggest.

[matt1216]

the dog has looked worse believe it or not lately. The dog beat Fognini recently but I think that was more of a mental block on fogs part. To be completely honest I wouldn't be suprised to see either guy win easily, in such circumstances I believe you have to take the Dog, or no play.

[Hardcoar]

I'm liking Konga at these odds.

[matt1216]

I'm liking Konga at these odds.

I get what your saying, how was he vs giraldo? I actually didn't catch the match

[jjgold]

pick em type match no matter what line is, your better off playing one hand of online black jack than betting this match

[riffraff24]

pick em type match no matter what line is, your better off playing one hand of online black jack than betting this match

[EaglesPhan36]

I get what your saying, how was he vs giraldo? I actually didn't catch the match

Not good. Serve lacked and you know that's a big part of his game. Not sure I remember entirely accurate, but it seemed like he did not have too many clean service games. For me, I am trying Dog. Good story on the ATP website about him committing to the game again& having his Dad working as his coach.

[matt1216]

Not good. Serve lacked and you know that's a big part of his game. Not sure I remember entirely accurate, but it seemed like he did not have too many clean service games. For me, I am trying Dog. Good story on the ATP website about him committing to the game again& having his Dad working as his coach.

Yeah the dog seems mentally geared to go this year. He wasn't bad vs gulbis in Madrid either. I think he has to be the play here as well.

[bababooey13]

i would love to know if the public is on tsonga here.

[bababooey13]

guess what? dolgopolov is now favored on pinnacle. odds are now where I expected them to open.
pretty huge shift.
good luck guys.

[frugalgambler]

I am leaning over, both players can play at high level but both seem to have ups and downs recently. Also, I'd say they are evenly matched as the odds suggest.

I changed my mind: I was putting too much stock in the Dog's recent win over Foggs. Foggs clearly sucks major d.ck right now. I would not be surprised to see Tsonga 2-0.

[frugalgambler]

guess what? dolgopolov is now favored on pinnacle. odds are now where I expected them to open.
pretty huge shift.
good luck guys.

LOL, Foggs' line was also pounded by the general pulic. Foggs 2-0 went from -115 to -145. I would not put too much stock in such minor line movements. I know it b/c I played Foggs 2-0 at -115 and the stupidly decided not to hedge out at +125.

[Cappinpicks]

both guys are scrubs, hard to pick

[marniblitz]

I would have taken Dolgo at the opening line, but now it's Tsonga or pass for me.

[frugalgambler]

both guys are scrubs, hard to pick

right you are my main man. both guys are top-20 scrubs.

[Cappinpicks]

right you are my main man. both guys are top-20 scrubs.

well Babbo usually calls many players in top 20/30 scrubs.. just saying cause songa sucks but dog can be dogshit at times

[Phillip7]

Cappinpicks who are you taking tsonga or dolgo?

[Cappinpicks]

Cappinpicks who are you taking tsonga or dolgo?

i guess take underdog

[Phillip7]

So you're taking Dolgo? Lol damn man does that mean i will have to take Tsonga...

[bababooey13]

LOL, Foggs' line was also pounded by the general pulic. Foggs 2-0 went from -115 to -145. I would not put too much stock in such minor line movements. I know it b/c I played Foggs 2-0 at -115 and the stupidly decided not to hedge out at +125.

fogs was the public play of the day. i mentioned in EP's thread the fognini -1.5sets seemed like a trap. how do you even know the public is pounding dolgopolov here and not tsonga? this movement is not minor at all. last night tsonga was 1.65 now hes over 2 to 1. Yes, a lot of times tennis odd line movement means absolutely nothing, but not always, and ignoring line moves is a mistake in my opinion.

[Cappinpicks]

So you're taking Dolgo? Lol damn man does that mean i will have to take Tsonga...

im 11-1 currently so dangerous choice

[bababooey13]

if dolgopolov is getting pounded im worried.

[Phillip7]

Not completely sure but my record in rome so far isn't great. I'm even right now.....wanted to take dolgo but then this morning somethings telling me i'm wrong and Tsonga is gonna take this. I'm probably just going not make a play. I'm even so why risk loosing when something odd seems to be going on...

[Bumdeal]

Took Dog last night at +105


GL all.

[Cappinpicks]

How do you see who the public is on? im sure apetard will win if every1 is on dog

[Phillip7]

I am on dolgo like you cappinpicks hopefully you are right for once since i don't really believe that 11-1 record haha

[Cappinpicks]

my bad prolly 12-3 dont pay too much attention just give lot of winners

[Phillip7]

You give a lot of winners?

[Cappinpicks]

You give a lot of winners?

3-1 today yeah check my thread from 2 days ago 4-0 when ferrer won quarters

[Bumdeal]

I see nothing has changed with Cappin :P

[bababooey13]

dolgo loving the net early.