Berdych +260 is definitely worth a shot vs Nadal today

[MagicDiceFlow]

I'm aware that Nadal dominates the h2h 15-3 and that many are giving Berdych no chance here but I really believe Berdych has a shot here. Berdy is in great form at the moment and I think he has a good shot at an upset here today. I think the one important factor that the books are overlooking is that Nadal has played a ton of tennis the last 10 days. He's played 8 matches in 10 days with 3 of those matches being tough three setters. He's basically been playing almost every single day the past ten days.

Berdych on the other hand has been breezing through his matches this week so his fitness level should be the fresher of the two. Now given Nadal is one of the fittest players on tour, his knees at some point should start aching especially on this surface.

Call me nuts to fade Nadal here but I really like these odds and given the circumstances, will play Berdych for a few units.

Best of Luck

[SCS]

I think this has a definite chance to be a 3-setter, but don't have the guts to take Tomas ML. BOL though!

[ItsMeMrMattE]

great. literally locked in nadal right as you post this. you know your stuff. i dont like being on the opposite side.

[MagicDiceFlow]

I think this has a definite chance to be a 3-setter, but don't have the guts to take Tomas ML. BOL though!

If it can get to a three setter then we've made an excellent play at +260. I'll take those odds all day in a three setter which most of the times, turns into a 50/50 match.

BOL

[MagicDiceFlow]

great. literally locked in nadal right as you post this. you know your stuff. i dont like being on the opposite side.

Sorry Matt, I just woke up after staying up last night watching that crazy Japanese baseball. I would have posted this earlier. Take Berdych on the games line to taper off the bet some.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

what do you think about hedging a little on the over 22? if Berd ends up getting this one i dont see it happening in straight sets.

[MagicDiceFlow]

what do you think about hedging a little on the over 22? if Berd ends up getting this one i dont see it happening in straight sets.

Yep, thats a smart hedge right there.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Also don't forget, Berdych has beaten Murray twice and Djokovic earlier this year so he knows how to beat the best. Given this is Berdych's best surface today, that gives him a good shot at the upset. Confidence won't be missing today.

[RichardGeorge]

I'm on +4 but don't like it now that you are on the ml. Nadal will probably win 6-3, 6-3.

Btw.. He's not just 15-3.. He's won 14 in a row and actually gave advice to fognini how to best him back in may. It's been personal ever since berdych showed him up in 2006

[ItsMeMrMattE]

eh screw it. im just gonna let it ride. ive already risked too much money today.

[Hangoverblack]

Sponsored by... Geodon

[SCS]

Another agonizing Isner-DelPo set to suffer through before we can watch this game.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

Another agonizing Isner-DelPo set to suffer through before we can watch this game.

its good tennis at least, but ya im ready for the next one.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Another agonizing Isner-DelPo set to suffer through before we can watch this game.

Delpo's fitness sucked in that 3rd set. His serve looked weak as hell that last set. I don't think it was the back injury either because he was serving good that first set. I'm gonna fade Delpo in the later rounds at the US Open when he faces one of the top tens.

[Gus Fring]

MDF, just reloaded.

[MagicDiceFlow]

I also put a play on the Berdych +1.5 sets at +110. I can relax if Berdych takes a set and be on a freeroll for the rest of the match.

[MagicDiceFlow]

MDF, just reloaded.

What did you bet on, baseball or tennis?

[Bet10Heinekens]

Both guys coming out strong

[Gus Fring]

What did you bet on, baseball or tennis?

Nothing yet lol. Just did it.

[smartgamer]

Bad luck for berdych today, nadal is in amazing form today.

[jjgold]

close match

You watch a guy like Berdy play and you figure he wins a few tourneys here and there

he rarely wins any event..thats how hard it is

[RichardGeorge]

I'm on +4 but don't like it now that you are on the ml. Nadal will probably win 6-3, 6-3.

Btw.. He's not just 15-3.. He's won 14 in a row and actually gave advice to fognini how to best him back in may. It's been personal ever since berdych showed him up in 2006

I win and MDF loses. Yep, thats right.. as usual.

[alexus110]

Funny berdych https://twitter.com/tomasberdych/sta...74421224308736