Fognini - Haas

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  • theballsflop
    SBR MVP
    • 06-22-13
    • 1483

    #1
    Fognini - Haas
    I'm going big on Fognini @ 2.37..........
  • MagicDiceFlow
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-12
    • 4585

    #2
    Tough match to call. Gun to my head, I would say Haas just because of the home crowd advantage and motivation. Still, Fognini has been lights out lately. This will be his toughest match and biggest win of his current 7 match win streak. Might be a tough hard fought three setter with Haas coming out on top towards the end. I've got Haas in a couple of parlays but dont feel confident about it.

    Good luck
    Comment
    • GoBlue77
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-20-11
      • 9166

      #3
      Haas in 3

      revenge factor, home crowd. dont see an easy win for either honestly
      Comment
      • theballsflop
        SBR MVP
        • 06-22-13
        • 1483

        #4
        Understood, but I'm willing to gamble . Guessing the general sentiment will be on Haas so I'll hold off my bet till an hr or so before the match. GL to you too MagicDice!
        Comment
        • ParlayininHTown
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 06-27-10
          • 7561

          #5
          Leaning Haas, although the revenge factor seems overvalued to me. I believe Fognini should be the favorite based on the combination of his excellent form and last week's beatdown of Haas in Stuttgart.

          The somewhat fishy price pushes me farther toward Haas, although I imagine if a dog is going to bark today in Germany, it will be The Fogger.
          Comment
          • ohumad
            SBR MVP
            • 05-19-12
            • 2298

            #6
            Did anyone actually see the Haas match in Stuttgart vs FABio? I find it somewhat suspicious he lost in the 2nd round last year and in his 2nd match as well this year. Does he place more importance on Hamburg or maybe it's just coincidental.
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #7
              A desire for revenge isn't doing much for Haas. In fact, it's a clear positive having beaten Haas so decisively just the other week. Why do you think the odds look the way they do? Consider the circumstances people...

              That said, i find minimal value in Haas ML. As well as Fognini has been playing, Haas is the superior and above all more stable player (this year at least). He's also at home being a massive crowd favorite and mind you played an unusually poor match in Stuttgart.

              Also, Mayer just might make it to the semis. ML is too expensive though.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Price isn't really fishy. Books don't generally over react to a 1st meeting win for players fairly close in the rankings, unless the favorite frog stomps the dog. Considering the form of both on the surface this season and Haas success in Hamburg, price is fair.
                Comment
                • ParlayininHTown
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-27-10
                  • 7561

                  #9
                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                  Price isn't really fishy. Books don't generally over react to a 1st meeting win for players fairly close in the rankings, unless the favorite frog stomps the dog. Considering the form of both on the surface this season and Haas success in Hamburg, price is fair.

                  Good point, EP. I didn't think too much about it being their first meeting last week, but that helps set me straight on the prices that are on the board.
                  Comment
                  • Demonata
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-12-11
                    • 25829

                    #10
                    I took fognini to win first set. Feel he needs to win the first set to have a chance to win.
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #11
                      More or less fair with a little value in Haas @ 1.72.
                      Comment
                      • theballsflop
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-22-13
                        • 1483

                        #12
                        Haas @ 1.58 now, Fognini @ 2.53. Anyone still think Haas fair value?

                        Must be all the Germans whacking on Haas. I just placed 3 units on Fognini
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #13
                          Yup i took fognini first set +135 for 2 bills

                          live bet hope it holds
                          Comment
                          • Demonata
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 07-12-11
                            • 25829

                            #14
                            So far so good. Come on Fognini.
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #15
                              Wow, watch out fognini lookin like hes gonna win this tourney. Guy just dumped on Hass that first set.
                              Comment
                              • Demonata
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 07-12-11
                                • 25829

                                #16
                                Originally posted by matt1216
                                Wow, watch out fognini lookin like hes gonna win this tourney. Guy just dumped on Hass that first set.
                                Fognini hit so many great winners.
                                Comment
                                • theballsflop
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-22-13
                                  • 1483

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by matt1216
                                  Wow, watch out fognini lookin like hes gonna win this tourney. Guy just dumped on Hass that first set.
                                  Cross fingers, hope for more in the 2nd set.
                                  Comment
                                  • theballsflop
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-22-13
                                    • 1483

                                    #18
                                    Ship it holla balla
                                    Comment
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