Giving this theory a shot....

[matt1216]

Im making a wager on 1st set winners. Im trying to pick letdown situations, and surface changes

ex) mayer wins first set vs Delgopolov today. Today was Dolgopolovs first match on clay in awhile where as F.Mayer has played a couple matches. Tennis form being the point. This went 2-0 today as Tursonov took out Chardy as a decent dog as well.

Here are my picks for tomorrow ATP Hamburg:

Guillerme lopez 1st set +150 vs Youhzny
Ramos 1set +125 vs Fognini**** just hoping Fognini starts lazy
Granollers 1st set +120vs Seppi*** seppi hasnt played in a few weeks

Struffj 1st set +140 vs F.Lopez**** Lopez last match was wimbeldon.
Delbonis 1st set +145 vs Robredo



bol!

[MagicDiceFlow]

I like that Delbonis bet. He's been in some strong form lately.

[matt1216]

I like that Delbonis bet. He's been in some strong form lately.

I wanted to take the others for full wagers, but as dogs if they cant win the first set, i doubt they would win the match anyhow. Really just hoping for 3/5 .

[lucasdawg]

i like your struff pick

[ohdecas]

Thank you for Delbonis pick..

[MagicDiceFlow]

Delbonis smoked Robredo that first set......nice win.

[matt1216]

Thanks granollers just hit as well 2/2 so far.... 5 picks just need 1 more...

[MagicDiceFlow]

I put a couple of units on Struff at +150 right before tip off. The youngster has a good chance against Lopez here.

[matt1216]

I put a couple of units on Struff at +150 right before tip off. The youngster has a good chance against Lopez here.

Yes he does... Lets hope he does well!
i also had Granollers to beat Seppi full game! Suprised he held up

[MagicDiceFlow]

I like this Struff kid. Big lanky 6 foot 5 but with good movement and great touch for a big man. Reminds me of an unrefined version of Janowicz......still raw but good potential.

[ohumad]

So far so good with the theory

[lucasdawg]

struff just stuffed that set all up..

[matt1216]

Im making a wager on 1st set winners. Im trying to pick letdown situations, and surface changes

ex) mayer wins first set vs Delgopolov today. Today was Dolgopolovs first match on clay in awhile where as F.Mayer has played a couple matches. Tennis form being the point. This went 2-0 today as Tursonov took out Chardy as a decent dog as well.

Here are my picks for tomorrow ATP Hamburg:

Guillerme lopez 1st set +150 vs Youhzny
Ramos 1set +125 vs Fognini**** just hoping Fognini starts lazy
Granollers 1st set +120vs Seppi*** seppi hasnt played in a few weeks

Struffj 1st set +140 vs F.Lopez**** Lopez last match was wimbeldon.
Delbonis 1st set +145 vs Robredo



bol!

So far 3/4 on this with 1 remaining. Struff choked serving for the set or it would have been 4/4. Considering this is all+$$$$ i guess chokes are inevidable. Go Ramos! Ill post tickets when i get home from work if anyone is interested.

Bol guys

[matt1216]

struff just stuffed that set all up..

Ya Shoulda seen Lopez catching on quick. Tough to see it coming tho

[matt1216]

I like this Struff kid. Big lanky 6 foot 5 but with good movement and great touch for a big man. Reminds me of an unrefined version of Janowicz......still raw but good potential.

Ya this guy will be good next year!

[matt1216]

Well 3/5 all at + $$$$$ Ramos was a mistake. I forgot Foginin just came off a clay tourney

[ParlayininHTown]

Well 3/5 all at + $$$$$ Ramos was a mistake. I forgot Foginin just came off a clay tourney

I like what you're doing here, Matt. Good work. Maybe I should give it a shot. It worked much better than taking seven dogs straight up like I did.

Ramos ML was a bigger mistake on my part. Barring an epic comeback, I will need Bautista-Agut to upset Verdasco or it's a 3-4 day with the dogs in Hamburg. Not a good feeling to be up less than $20 when you hit on three underdogs and the only tourney left to bet on is the Copa Coca ... errr, I meant Claro.

Pinche Ramos

[matt1216]

I like what you're doing here, Matt. Good work. Maybe I should give it a shot. It worked much better than taking seven dogs straight up like I did.

Ramos ML was a bigger mistake on my part. Barring an epic comeback, I will need Bautista-Agut to upset Verdasco or it's a 3-4 day with the dogs in Hamburg. Not a good feeling to be up less than $20 when you hit on three underdogs and the only tourney left to bet on is the Copa Coca ... errr, I meant Claro.

Pinche Ramos

I find these tourneys always have 1 bog dog day. Not easy to predict. Ill see what i can spot for tomorrow. U fortunately everyone will have had a match on clay by tomorrow. Could be back to Favs winning

[matt1216]

I like what you're doing here, Matt. Good work. Maybe I should give it a shot. It worked much better than taking seven dogs straight up like I did.

Ramos ML was a bigger mistake on my part. Barring an epic comeback, I will need Bautista-Agut to upset Verdasco or it's a 3-4 day with the dogs in Hamburg. Not a good feeling to be up less than $20 when you hit on three underdogs and the only tourney left to bet on is the Copa Coca ... errr, I meant Claro.

Pinche Ramos

Hasse to take first set off Janowicz. Jano to comeback and win tho in 3 sets.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Nice job today on the theory picks.

[matt1216]

Nice job today on the theory picks.

Thanks man! I have 1 more for today

[matt1216]

Hasse to take first set off Janowicz. Jano to comeback and win tho in 3 sets.

Hasse 1st set win +175 vs Janowicz *** theres a shot here that Jano may start slow
Karlovic 1 set win +130 vs Sjsling ***** this rule applys. Sjsling coming off grass.

[Hardcoar]

Jerzy!? Janowicz!!? Start slow!!!?

[joco]

both of those look good. for some reason i dont have 1st set bets on todays games on my book but if i did i would play both of those for the chance at + money...best of luck matt

[matt1216]

both of those look good. for some reason i dont have 1st set bets on todays games on my book but if i did i would play both of those for the chance at + money...best of luck matt

Thanks man. I think Karlovic wins if that helps

[matt1216]

Thanks man. I think Karlovic wins if that helps

There we go Karlovic @+140 wins plus he won first set @+120

lets go giraldo! Finish off that parlay with Verdasco

[joco]

awesome...i took karlovic..very nice call

[matt1216]

awesome...i took karlovic..very nice call

Thanks dude, i think thats it for dogs today. 6-7 dogs came thru today.




gl

[matt1216]

Monaco+ Almagro -110 risk 100 to win 89$

i like Manaco here. He played Paire and lost in 3 sets last time out. Remember, Monaco was in horrible form and still won a set. Paire won his first match but it was against Montanes. Montanes came off his first win in 6 games and still only lost 6-4 6-4 to Paire. All in all i think the win for Monaco will give him confidence moving forward. Both players can be flakes but i will take my chances on Monacos baseline game and the fact that theres points to defend here
Im taking Almagro tomorrow because he was steady in his first match. Garcia won his first match but had solid problems vs Youzny. Youzny is not a great clay court player. I see almagro in straight sets here

Bol

[kenz]

You forgot to mention Monaco also struggled in the first set and had a very tough time when it was 1-4 15-40 in his service.

My pick is Paire +1.5 sets @1.55

[matt1216]

You forgot to mention Monaco also struggled in the first set and had a very tough time when it was 1-4 15-40 in his service.

My pick is Paire +1.5 sets @1.55

against Monfilis, who is in better form than Paire at the moment

[kenz]

Monfils is not in better form than Paire

Paire is not a bad player on clay.

Monaco is not a good server, is a stressful player who puts unnecessary pressure on himself, sometimes never plays risky and does not hit some deep returns, has very poor drop shots, not very succesful on saving break points, and a bad tie break player.

some books now has Paire as low as @2.20s

I think yours is not the most valueable pick in the game but good luck

[Allen24]

this parlay wont hit sorry matt you just donated 100 dollars to someone or some book

[kenz]

By the way congratulations on your method! Maybe you could use that in Hajek and Brands games too though

Monaco wont defend his points here lose 500 and will be world number 30 after this week, when he was 10 last year.

And it is not unlikely that he will lose today

[matt1216]

this parlay wont hit sorry matt you just donated 100 dollars to someone or some book

Yet another who has no clue