Giving this theory a shot....

[matt1216]

By the way congratulations on your method! Maybe you could use that in Hajek and Brands games too though

Monaco wont defend his points here lose 500 and will be world number 30 after this week, when he was 10 last year.

And it is not unlikely that he will lose today

Lol

[kenz]

Dude I won by bet in the 2nd set did not sweat through the 3rd

Congratulations though! Still Pico is a mediocre player among the top players at best

[kenz]

Did you bet Monaco on Dİmitrov game too? Or did you watch the game?

If you bet on Monaco that was a big donation Monaco is #30 on live rankings, and he probably wont win here. Even if he did, he is still "Pico" for me

[matt1216]

You forgot to mention Monaco also struggled in the first set and had a very tough time when it was 1-4 15-40 in his service.

My pick is Paire +1.5 sets @1.55

Solid play kenz!

[kenz]

Thanks man!

[matt1216]

Dude I won by bet in the 2nd set did not sweat through the 3rd

Congratulations though! Still Pico is a mediocre player among the top players at best

I had a decent wager 220$ on monaco ml then 100$ on monaco and almagro. I also have foginni and Hass parlay

[kenz]

I got 21.5 over for Haas

I always think single handed BH players have tough time sweeping opponents. I expect some resistance from Berlocq

Also Have Haas ML

Hope Fognini finishes the match in this set for you

[matt1216]

Hass in 3 sets or a tight 2 setter

[matt1216]

Lopez 1set win +110 vs F .Mayer

[Hardcoar]

I got 21.5 over for Haas

I always think single handed BH players have tough time sweeping opponents. I expect some resistance from Berlocq

Also Have Haas ML

Hope Fognini finishes the match in this set for you

That's an interesting proposition. How so?

[matt1216]

Ill be posting my first set winners within the next day for hardcour Atl and Clay Sussie. + odds only

[matt1216]

Suisse open:

Gimeno-Traver to win First set -133 risk 300$ to win 200$ vs De Schepper

I know i said + plays, but there wasnt as many advantages heading into this tournament. Traver is solid on Clay this year. De Schepper prefers hard courts as he will not be as mobile on clay tomorrow. I think traver wins this SU but the odds are better on set one.


Bol

[Bet10Heinekens]

DGT fav surface is the clay, but he's 9-14 on the dirt this year

[matt1216]

DGT fav surface is the clay, but he's 9-14 on the dirt this year

I willing to bet that De Chepper dosnt want to even be in this Tourney. De chepper hasnt played on clay in awhile. Not saying gimeno is in good form but he shouldnt have a problem with de chepper

[kenz]

DGT is a nutcase, terrible at holding his serve and a mental midget

GL matt

[kenz]

This clay is a bit faster I think.

And De Schepper took a set from Haase and beat Darcis (not a clay player) at Marakesh

He beated Guido Pella on clay too and Pella vs DGT may be a close match.

I think DeScpeer set handicap may be good. And this clay is a bit faster as I mentioned

[Bet10Heinekens]

does Roger-Vasselin qualify for this theory with Hewitt change of surface and layoff

[matt1216]

does Roger-Vasselin qualify for this theory with Hewitt change of surface and layoff

In theory yes, just not sure how grass to hardcourt will be for hewitt. Remember roger vasselin has played a shit ton of tennis lately with travel.... Be careful

[kenz]

I think over is good for hewitt game

[matt1216]

I think over is good for hewitt game

Ya vasselin with early start then Hewitt figuring it out with the next 2 sets

[matt1216]

DGT is a nutcase, terrible at holding his serve and a mental midget

GL matt

Thanks kenz, good luck to u too!

[matt1216]

Suisse open:

Gimeno-Traver to win First set -133 risk 300$ to win 200$ vs De Schepper

I know i said + plays, but there wasnt as many advantages heading into this tournament. Traver is solid on Clay this year. De Schepper prefers hard courts as he will not be as mobile on clay tomorrow. I think traver wins this SU but the odds are better on set one.


Bol

Pretty easy win there. Dechepper didnt even touch travers serve

[kenz]

Congrats! Kenny made DGT Isner today

I lost my bet. Any more today?

[matt1216]

Congrats! Kenny made DGT Isner today

I lost my bet. Any more today?

Damn, i have andujar/garcia-lopez parlay, delbonis for 3 units ml. Ill check

klizan/Hasse parlay. Also andujar/ traver parlay.

[matt1216]

Atp Atlanta Hardcourt:

Lucas Lacko to win First set +130 vs Denis Istomin risk 200$ to win 250$

Lacko has been having an alright year and is decent on hardcourt. Lacko is also coming off a solid run at grandby tourney losing to Dancevic on hardcourt. Istomin hasnt played since wimbeldon. Istomin is having a sub-par year and is only 10-10 on hardcourts. I expect rist from Istomin and Lacko to take the first set.



bol!

[kenz]

Good luck man.

Watched him this SUnday. Did not like how he played against Dancevic. Dancevic was 3/3 on break points while Lacko was something like 0/9.

Istomin is not in good form this year and did not play on hard courts but If Istomin serves well, Lacko may have trouble. But I can see the logic, and it sounds good

[matt1216]

Damn, i have andujar/garcia-lopez parlay, delbonis for 3 units ml. Ill check

klizan/Hasse parlay. Also andujar/ traver parlay.

Just need klizan for a perfect morning

[matt1216]

Zeballos sets 2-0 -195 risk 120$ to win 62$
Berankis/zeballos parlay risk 100$ to win 87$

bol!

[matt1216]

Evgeni Donskoy -125 first set winner vs Ram risk 100$ to win 72$
Roger Vasselin +185 first set winner vs Hewitt risk 75$ to win 138$

donskoy has had success on on hardcourt and hes beaten big tall servers. Regeet Ram is coming of grass, he has had mediocre success on grass.
Vasseline coming off hard courts, hewitt coming off grass, rule applys here


Bol !

[matt1216]

Russle to win 1st set+105 vs Fish risk 100$ to win 105$

Good chance here Fish will be rusty.



Bol!

[Noleafclover]

hey i just noticed your math is off -

Evgeni Donskoy -125 first set winner vs Ram risk 100$ to win 72$

should win 80 even at those odds

Lucas Lacko to win First set +130 vs Denis Istomin risk 200$ to win 250$

wins 260

Gimeno-Traver to win First set -133 risk 300$ to win 200$ vs De Schepper

225.5

you may want to go back and check your other math i just saw that just glancing you're shorting yourself money some places. parlaycalculator.com is very useful for calculating singles even.

[Noleafclover]

where do you find these lines btw, cause 5dimes doesn't seem to have these types of props for most matches.

[matt1216]

where do you find these lines btw, cause 5dimes doesn't seem to have these types of props for most matches.

Hey man, your right. What usually happens is that i place the wager in Ml like istomin to win first set on my book its 1.71 but i know most are american on this book and im just bad at converting. So the money risked and the money to win is bang on, im just bad at converting to american ratios.

As for the two earlier picks i messed up a bit. Lacko coming off a major tournament final, i should have left him as a no play. Russle just sucks but i thought fish would be super rusty, oh well.

Up almost a 1000$ today. I was somethin like 6/6 on my early plays and parlays. The first set wagers work best after The 4 majors.

[matt1216]

A nice start to the morning...

Win
Jul 24, 2013 02:06:42 AM
Single #301398582


Tennis - IN PLAY (Prop) Moneyline


LIVE - ATP Gstaad - 1st Set Winner


Mikhail Youzhny (1st Set) 1.56 Jul 24/13@01:30a




Final Scores


Pablo Andujar (1st Set) 3


Mikhail Youzhny (1st Set) 6






Outcome: Win


Date settled: Jul 24, 2013 02:24:53 AM


Web CA$ 160.00 CA$ 88.89

[matt1216]

Nice start to the morning...
Youhzny a bit lucky, but came thru

Jul 24, 2013 03:14:14 AM
Single #301399052


Tennis - IN PLAY (Prop) Moneyline


LIVE - ATP Gstaad - Match Winner


Mikhail Youzhny 1.95 Jul 24/13@01:30a




Final Scores


Pablo Andujar 1


Mikhail Youzhny 2






Outcome: Win


Date settled: Jul 24, 2013 03:50:30 AM


Web CA$ 200.00 CA$ 190.48