there's a real shot that ag-rad or flipkens can win wimbledon

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  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #1
    there's a real shot that ag-rad or flipkens can win wimbledon
    i like these two because they have the craftiest games of anyone left in the draw. radwanska is priced at +560, and flipkens at a whopping +2500. i particularly like the way it works out for flipkens - she has a 2-1 H2H with kvitova and I have a parlay with her beating her tomorrow, and the winner of that match plays stephens/bartoli (which should be an absolute shitshow btw), and again, i think flipkens' game is well suited to beat the winner of that match. her backhand slice & running around the forehand on weak second serves, along with her decent serving has me seeing her in the final. the winner of ag-rad/li should also be in the final, and i have a future on ag-rad to win her quarter @ +135 ish, which will cash if she does indeed beat li tomorrow. does anyone else see a polish-belgian final, or am i crazy?
  • baconbets
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-11-13
    • 329

    #2
    pretty much all of the remaining players are fairly unreliable, which means yes, anyone can win.
    Comment
    • tevari
      SBR MVP
      • 02-02-07
      • 4959

      #3
      i mean, im not discounting lisicki or kanepi, but in the latter round matches, i like players who play good D with solid, consistent groundstrokes. the aforementioned two players can hit anyone off the court, but can also be pushed off the court themselves by the likes of flipkens/radwanska.
      Comment
      • lucasdawg
        SBR MVP
        • 02-19-13
        • 3399

        #4
        on this too i was also considering rad, if she pressures li na and causes them unforced errors we will be good, but she struggled yesterday which gets me iffy. flipkens has been doing aight also and i think if she comes out strong theres a real chance against kvitova. BOL
        Comment
        • benrama
          SBR MVP
          • 01-19-11
          • 1499

          #5
          I've been looking at this closely, for me I'm looking to put a bet on both Li and Rad at +527 and +645 respectively - to basically give +200 type odds for one of them to win. Per my other comments I'm discounting Lisicki (but may hedge her to win 2-1 in a potential semi) which leaves Kvitova, who I think A-Rad in particular matches up well with, and would generally have to show more mental stability than I've seen of late to win - which I'm not going to start assuming.

          Li concerns me only in that she can go on UE error binges at times, and doesn't have a stellar record on grass; but she has the weapons to win. Radwanska can out scrap every other girl left in the tourney, I also like that Rad now has the slam final experience against Serena, and in this slam last year. She won't be fazed by the occasion.

          As an outside speccy Flipkins is worth a shot, she's basically a poor mans Radwanksa and can allow the other girls to beat themselves.
          Comment
          • Bet10Heinekens
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-10-13
            • 10567

            #6
            Tough to put money on 2 pusher to win a grand slam
            Comment
            • face
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-31-11
              • 14740

              #7
              wow i disagree, but respect your opinion for sure

              two pushers is right, i think. am taking li na and kvitova myself but whatever, gl
              Comment
              • theballsflop
                SBR MVP
                • 06-22-13
                • 1483

                #8
                Raddy pushed Pironkova into oblivion. One thing though, her UE % is insanely low. Whether she can outlast Li's firepower is the main issue today.
                Comment
                • tevari
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-02-07
                  • 4959

                  #9
                  Getting interesting..
                  Comment
                  • Demonata
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-12-11
                    • 25829

                    #10
                    Good insight Tevari. Good call man. Appreciate it.
                    Comment
                    • Gus Fring
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-21-13
                      • 3423

                      #11
                      Shoulda parlayed Rad and Flipkens today lol
                      Comment
                      • gcd8
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-29-13
                        • 986

                        #12
                        i just hope fatoli doesn't win it all i rather see any of the other 3 just not a bartoli win that would be painful, what was bartoli's odds before tourny started had to be over 200-1
                        Comment
                        • jinxpro1313
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 05-01-13
                          • 171

                          #13
                          Originally posted by gcd8
                          i just hope fatoli doesn't win it all i rather see any of the other 3 just not a bartoli win that would be painful, what was bartoli's odds before tourny started had to be over 200-1
                          i hopped on board with EP when she was at 70 to 1.. would not mind that fat cow winning one bit.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #14
                            Bartoli is not winning.
                            Comment
                            • alta
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-08-06
                              • 1457

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tevari
                              Getting interesting..
                              Post match Qts, Chrissie Evert agrees with ya and picked Flip to take out Bartoli.
                              I'm sitting on Flip at +3200 to win it all.
                              Comment
                              • jinxpro1313
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-01-13
                                • 171

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                Bartoli is not winning.
                                I feel the same way, but I like your arrogance. It makes me feel like there is a chance.
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #17
                                  Radwanska @ 2.5 over Lisicki. Absolutely ridiculous!
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jinxpro1313
                                    I feel the same way, but I like your arrogance. It makes me feel like there is a chance.
                                    : )

                                    I just don't see her winning Wimbledon. That's my "reasoning".
                                    Comment
                                    • ohumad
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-19-12
                                      • 2298

                                      #19
                                      Thanks for the post. I actually had Flipkens straight up v Kivitova so why not take the future? Unfortunately I was on the wrong side having Li to win it all.
                                      Comment
                                      • theballsflop
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-22-13
                                        • 1483

                                        #20
                                        Raddy > Lisicki. Period.
                                        Comment
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