My First Thread <3 – ATP and WTA picks

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  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #1
    My First Thread <3 – ATP and WTA picks
    I figure I should try contributing something. At any rate it will be an interesting experiment.

    My thread will feature mainly dogs, predominently match lines and some set betting. It's unlikely to include all bets I make but will only include bets I place myself. There will be no live bets for now.

    Unit measurement will be in standard 1-10 format for understandability, but will only apply even numbers.

    No 'crazy American' lines format. You'll just have to adjust to the outside world for once and learn the logical nature of decimal odds.

    Simply put though, decimal odds specify total payout (stakes + winnings). Think of the decimal as a multiplier for your stakes:

    Betting one unit at odds of 3.0 means the total payout is three times the initial stake (1 unit stake + 2 units profit), which would of course equal +200 in 'crazy American' odds. Betting one unit at odds of 1.5 means the total payout is one and a half time the initial stake (1 unit stake + .5 units profit) which would of course equal -200 in 'crazy American' odds. This causes evens to occur at odds of 2.0, which should (?) of course equal +-100 in 'crazy American' odds.

    Please feel truly free to criticize and discuss! "Ask... and learn!", Or teach me a thing or two!

    Thanks for reading!
  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #2
    Gulbis @ 4.5 6 units

    With Pinnacle.
    Comment
    • CaptainOmar111
      SBR MVP
      • 02-11-13
      • 2024

      #3
      Nice to see you finally opened your personal thread !!! I will now ask in your thread , not chatting with you at others threads LOL , Have a good luck man !!!
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #4
        Luck only matters so much, but in the short run no doubt.

        Thank you!
        Comment
        • Michael_Flieger
          SBR Sharp
          • 03-04-13
          • 290

          #5
          Originally posted by Hardcoar
          Luck only matters so much, but in the short run no doubt.

          Thank you!
          Good luck, Hardcoar! Do you claim any particular expertise or focus?
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #6
            Expertise: Absolutely not. Logical thinking: Yes.

            Focus: Elaborate please.
            Comment
            • CaptainOmar111
              SBR MVP
              • 02-11-13
              • 2024

              #7
              Help

              @ Hardcoar - did Pinny asked any documents from you ?? I just joined and afraid they do not accept my arabic documents , also I contacted them and they told me they can not identify my documents but they said

              " Note that your withdrawal options are Neteller, WebMoneys and Banks wire. Withdrawing funds through these payments DOES NOT require ID documentation. We hope that the matter is clarified now, and that it will not be raised again in the future. "

              what should I do in your opinion ? I know it is not your thread idea , but sorry for that I should end this case
              Comment
              • Michael_Flieger
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-04-13
                • 290

                #8
                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                Expertise: Absolutely not. Logical thinking: Yes.

                Focus: Elaborate please.
                Like swiss on doubles. Any particular thing, like totals, or ML or games, or players you have a particular bead on.
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #9
                  Contact them and solve everything before making any deposits. Make sure you suffer no restrictions on free withdrawals (one per calendar month by their rules) or your bankroll or risk anything. They are a serious company though for all I know so I would trust them if they made a promise. Just be sure to ask for confirmation if it's something important.

                  Start by asking them if you get free withdrawals without ID documentation, and what restrictions you suffer from it (lack of ID-documentation).

                  My exceptionally neutral and non-violent driver's license was all I had to provide them with IIRC, although I may have also uploaded a bank statement/utility bill. I'm not quite sure, as it was a long time ago. In fact I don't even know if they asked me for anything. Some bookies are more troublesome than others, but they could differentiate between different nationalities for sure. That's reality for you unfortunately...

                  Oh, and also I should warn you: DO NOT USE PINNACLE FOR PARLAYS. Parlays, while fun, are a bad idea in general, but Pinnacle have massive odds deductions when building parlays of any size. They have a 98 % payout on ML and set betting, however...

                  You might also want to check taxation laws and regulations for Egypt when betting outside the country.
                  Comment
                  • Hardcoar
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 02-17-13
                    • 15606

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                    Like swiss on doubles. Any particular thing, like totals, or ML or games, or players you have a particular bead on.
                    Ah like a niche.

                    I never engage in doubles betting to be specific, and the rest is in my OP.

                    If you have any more questions about focus or otherwise after reading it, I'd be happy to answer them at that point!
                    Comment
                    • CaptainOmar111
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-11-13
                      • 2024

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                      Contact them and solve everything before making any deposits. Make sure you suffer no restrictions on free withdrawals (one per calendar month by their rules) or your bankroll or risk anything. They are a serious company though for all I know so I would trust them if they made a promise. Just be sure to ask for confirmation if it's something important.

                      Start by asking them if you get free withdrawals without ID documentation, and what restrictions you suffer from it (lack of ID-documentation).

                      My exceptionally neutral and non-violent driver's license was all I had to provide them with IIRC, although I may have also uploaded a bank statement/utility bill. I'm not quite sure, as it was a long time ago. In fact I don't even know if they asked me for anything. Some bookies are more troublesome than others, but they could differentiate between different nationalities for sure. That's reality for you unfortunately...

                      Oh, and also I should warn you: DO NOT USE PINNACLE FOR PARLAYS. Parlays, while fun, are a bad idea in general, but Pinnacle have massive odds deductions when building parlays of any size. They have a 98 % payout on ML and set betting, however...

                      You might also want to check taxation laws and regulations for Egypt when betting outside the country.
                      I do not make parlays at all !!! Iam on ML only at Tennis !!!

                      but this message means they will not ask me for documents !!! Iam sure you used CC or DC

                      " Note that your withdrawal options are Neteller, WebMoneys and Banks wire. Withdrawing funds through these payments DOES NOT require ID documentation. We hope that the matter is clarified now, and that it will not be raised again in the future. "
                      Comment
                      • Hardcoar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-17-13
                        • 15606

                        #12
                        I have nothing to add. Please for your own sake read what I wrote in my last post.
                        Comment
                        • CaptainOmar111
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-11-13
                          • 2024

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                          I have nothing to add. Please for your own sake read what I wrote in my last post.
                          Ok , I contacted them again !!! what method did you use to deposit ?
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #14
                            Debit-card. No fees, but there may be a built in currency exchange rate charge by your bank or the card issuer (or both). No, actually – just the bank. Pinnacle is the one taking it in the ass from the card conglomerates.
                            Comment
                            • CaptainOmar111
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-11-13
                              • 2024

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                              Debit-card. No fees, but there may be a built in currency exchange rate charge by your bank or the card issuer (or both). No, actually – just the bank. Pinnacle is the one taking it in the ass from the card conglomerates.
                              Ok cool , sorry about Gulbis !!! I wonder if you bet on +1,5 Gulbis @ 2.50 ... but anyway Good luck tomorrow specially with Federer against Nadal
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #16
                                No I did not.

                                Where were those odds? Rofl...
                                Comment
                                • CaptainOmar111
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-11-13
                                  • 2024

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                  No I did not.

                                  Where were those odds? Rofl...
                                  10bet.com !!! anyway , I wanna ask for your opinion today for Nadal X Federer !!! Nadal said yesterday after the match that he is not in that strength to win Roger tonight but he will do his best !!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #18
                                    Nice odds in any case!

                                    Doesn't Nadal always say he can't beat anyone? That statement doesn't mean much to me.

                                    I'd give the slight edge to Federer and @ 1.85 I find value in him. Haven't decided on a bet yet, if I'll make any at all. I'm also considering Federer 1:st set if the odds appeal to me.
                                    Comment
                                    • Demonata
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 07-12-11
                                      • 25829

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                      Nice odds in any case!

                                      Doesn't Nadal always say he can't beat anyone? That statement doesn't mean much to me.

                                      I'd give the slight edge to Federer and @ 1.85 I find value in him. Haven't decided on a bet yet, if I'll make any at all. I'm also considering Federer 1:st set if the odds appeal to me.
                                      If fed wins its because he wins firsts et in my opinion. He wont win a 3 setter in this match if nadal wins firsts et.
                                      Comment
                                      • CaptainOmar111
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-11-13
                                        • 2024

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                        Nice odds in any case!

                                        Doesn't Nadal always say he can't beat anyone? That statement doesn't mean much to me.

                                        I'd give the slight edge to Federer and @ 1.85 I find value in him. Haven't decided on a bet yet, if I'll make any at all. I'm also considering Federer 1:st set if the odds appeal to me.
                                        Same is here !!! Did not decide till now but thinking to take Roger Federer +1,5 Sets so if he wins any set , I hit it !!! @ 1.34
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Demonata
                                          If fed wins its because he wins firsts et in my opinion. He wont win a 3 setter in this match if nadal wins firsts et.
                                          I agree that would be much less likely. However, I think he is quite a lot likelier than Nadal to win 1:st.

                                          Federer takes first and third sets is my call.
                                          Comment
                                          • Hardcoar
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-17-13
                                            • 15606

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                            Gulbis @ 4.5 6 units

                                            With Pinnacle.
                                            0-1
                                            -6 units
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #23
                                              Anderson @ 4.92 – 2 units
                                              Federer 1:st set @ 1.91 – 4 units


                                              With Pinnacle.
                                              Comment
                                              • CaptainOmar111
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-11-13
                                                • 2024

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                Anderson @ 4.92 – 2 units
                                                Federer 1:st set @ 1.91 – 4 units


                                                With Pinnacle.
                                                Why it is not better ??? I agree that If Roger lost his 1st set , getting back will be hard but still it means any set should be OK !!! I will search more since last meeting between them was in here in Indian wells 2012 and Rafa without Injury LOST 2-0 !!!
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #25
                                                  That is correct.

                                                  (I believe) it is worse because there is less value in the odds.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                    • 15606

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                    Anderson @ 4.92 – 2 units
                                                    Federer 1:st set @ 1.91 – 4 units


                                                    With Pinnacle.
                                                    F-f-f-failure.

                                                    0-3
                                                    -12 units.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CaptainOmar111
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-11-13
                                                      • 2024

                                                      #27
                                                      I do not know what is happening to Federer !!! I just watched the full match after my internet connection got back !!! horrible play !!! Hard Luck , Man
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #28
                                                        After getting one hour of sleep the night before I went to bed at a somewhat reasonable time last night, so I was unable to watch the match.

                                                        Perhaps Federer's back troubled him.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CaptainOmar111
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-11-13
                                                          • 2024

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                          After getting one hour of sleep the night before I went to bed at a somewhat reasonable time last night, so I was unable to watch the match.

                                                          Perhaps Federer's back troubled him.
                                                          My connection lost before the game starts with 9 hours or more so I did not bet !!! and I slept also but woke up when 1st set was 4-4 !!! so I did not bet and Iam praying because of that !!! I was going strongly @ 1,5+ sets for Roger but the GOD saved me !!! Thanks God
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ohumad
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-19-12
                                                            • 2298

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by CaptainOmar111
                                                            My connection lost before the game starts with 9 hours or more so I did not bet !!! and I slept also but woke up when 1st set was 4-4 !!! so I did not bet and Iam praying because of that !!! I was going strongly @ 1,5+ sets for Roger but the GOD saved me !!! Thanks God
                                                            LOL! You gotta be good to be lucky and lucky to be good.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Hardcoar
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-17-13
                                                              • 15606

                                                              #31
                                                              Tsonga to win first set @ 5.5 – 2 units

                                                              With Bet365.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ohumad
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-19-12
                                                                • 2298

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                Tsonga to win first set @ 5.5 – 2 units

                                                                With Bet365.
                                                                You really are a gambling man BOL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hardcoar
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                                  • 15606

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I am, but I don't mind as long as the bet isn't bad value, even though that's a matter of opinion as one may never know in the short run.

                                                                  My reasoning is Tsonga can be really, really good, and it's hot as hell out there. Djokovic hasn't exactly been his usual gargoyle of stability in the last few matches either. In addition to which the odds are very high, of course.

                                                                  Unfortunately, it appears Tsonga fails to impress tonight, while Djokovic looks like he is bashing noobs.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Nadal @ 1.58 – 10 units
                                                                    Nadal 2-0 @ 2.47 – 8 units


                                                                    With Pinnacle.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Del Potro @ 2.87 – 6 units

                                                                      With Bet365.
                                                                      Comment
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