Grinding Soccer: TARGET over 65%

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • BetGrinder
    Restricted User
    • 09-06-11
    • 168

    #1
    Grinding Soccer: TARGET over 65%
    I will not enter into many details regarding the picks selections (stats, math, systems, etc..) every time I post them, but I hope the thread will be full of meaningful discussions about mine and others soccer picks! Please no trash talk, insults etc..

    Before you guys start saying that I'm nuts in chasing 65% hit ratio, I will advise that some plays will be on heavily favorites with odds in the 1.40 zone. So I know that I'll probably get a positive % hit ratio but still lose money in the end (I'm a newbie here in the forum but not at sports betting, casinos, poker, forex...u name it I've done that, eheheh).

    I hope this thread will help me be more disciplined with myself (no chases...), a little less action junkie and more selective. I will also tail others picks and obviously will post them (but I'll always tell from who I'm tailing - I'm not here to gain others people credits for their work!!).

    All the plays will have the units and odds [if you guys want to check the odds I'm getting pls visit one of the three books that I use: partybets.com; Bet365.com; 188bet.com]

    My roll is €5K, 1 unit = 1% = 50€

    NOTE: when I bet 1 unit it's 1 unit regardless of the odd. I will put the odds in decimals not in the american way.

  • BetGrinder
    Restricted User
    • 09-06-11
    • 168

    #2
    Portuguese League

    1# FC Porto -2 vs Setubal @1.70
    1.43x

    2# Kleber to score at anytime (FC PORTO vs SETUBAL) @1.83
    1x
    Comment
    • BetGrinder
      Restricted User
      • 09-06-11
      • 168

      #3
      Bundesligue

      3# FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen @1.75
      1x
      Comment
      • ColdBeerHere
        SBR MVP
        • 03-25-11
        • 3626

        #4
        Welcome to the forum, and GL with your picks
        Comment
        • BetGrinder
          Restricted User
          • 09-06-11
          • 168

          #5
          Originally posted by ColdBeerHere
          Welcome to the forum, and GL with your picks
          thx
          Comment
          • BetGrinder
            Restricted User
            • 09-06-11
            • 168

            #6
            PORTO v SETUBAL

            30'' gone and Porto already send 3 to the post!! Kleber send one just now.....damn my bad luck!!!
            Comment
            • cogiditopapa
              SBR MVP
              • 08-03-10
              • 3489

              #7
              Originally posted by BetGrinder
              PORTO v SETUBAL

              30'' gone and Porto already send 3 to the post!! Kleber send one just now.....damn my bad luck!!!
              I am on the same bet, I still trust porto to bring us home
              Comment
              • BetGrinder
                Restricted User
                • 09-06-11
                • 168

                #8
                Originally posted by cogiditopapa
                I am on the same bet, I still trust porto to bring us home
                If only Kleber had scored that beautiful goal......damn it!!!
                Comment
                • Hebodk
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-06-10
                  • 321

                  #9
                  I'm waiting for that Porto goal also - do you guys watch the game?
                  Comment
                  • BetGrinder
                    Restricted User
                    • 09-06-11
                    • 168

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Hebodk
                    I'm waiting for that Porto goal also - do you guys watch the game?
                    I'm watching the game, I'm from Portugal

                    Setubal is just a crap team....and Porto's coach is such a wuss....just putting the key players after half-time.....my bet is gonna be a push!

                    Kleber went out at the 70''.....fkkkk it!
                    Comment
                    • BetGrinder
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-06-11
                      • 168

                      #11
                      and they SCORE!!!!!!!!!

                      3-0 for Porto!

                      Comment
                      • cogiditopapa
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-03-10
                        • 3489

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BetGrinder
                        and they SCORE!!!!!!!!!

                        3-0 for Porto!

                        Comment
                        • BetGrinder
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-06-11
                          • 168

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BetGrinder
                          Portuguese League

                          1# FC Porto -2 vs Setubal @1.70
                          1.43x WIN
                          2# Kleber to score at anytime (FC PORTO vs SETUBAL) @1.83
                          1x LOSS
                          Originally posted by BetGrinder
                          Bundesligue

                          3# FC Augsburg v Bayer Leverkusen @1.75
                          1x WIN
                          2-1-0 for the night +0.75 units

                          not the best of the starts but profit anyway
                          Comment
                          • BetGrinder
                            Restricted User
                            • 09-06-11
                            • 168

                            #14
                            Already booked one for tomorrow at the EPL and also leaning Sporting (Portugal), Liverpool (EPL), Man City -1.5 (EPL).

                            4# Sunderland vs Chelsea @1.70
                            1x

                            I have to keep my faith in Andre Villas-Boas, my only concern is F.Torres.....fkk him! 48€M for that....jesus!
                            Comment
                            • BetGrinder
                              Restricted User
                              • 09-06-11
                              • 168

                              #15
                              Portuguese League

                              5# Benfica vs Guimaraes OVER 2.5 @1.65
                              2.5x
                              Comment
                              • BetGrinder
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-06-11
                                • 168

                                #16
                                Spain Primera Division

                                6# Real Sociedad vs Barcelona, Barcelona HT @1.50
                                2x
                                Comment
                                • BetGrinder
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 09-06-11
                                  • 168

                                  #17
                                  7# 4 Team Parlay (not fan of parlays but I really like this 4 picks together giving really big odds!!)

                                  Real Sociedad v FC Barcelona
                                  [Away Team Total Goals] >2.5 @1.80
                                  Valencia v Atletico Madrid
                                  >2.5 @1.80
                                  Pacos Ferreira v Sporting Lisbon
                                  Sporting Lisbon @1.83
                                  Heracles v Ajax Amsterdam
                                  Ajax Amsterdam @1.50

                                  Parlay @8.89
                                  1.6x (to win +12.6x)
                                  Comment
                                  • BetGrinder
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-06-11
                                    • 168

                                    #18
                                    8# Stoke vs Liverpool @2.20
                                    1x

                                    9# Stoke vs Liverpool HT @2.80
                                    0.5x

                                    10# Roda vs Twente > 2.5 @1.61
                                    2x

                                    11# Bolton vs Man Utd > 2.5 @1.65
                                    2x
                                    Comment
                                    • PickApprentice
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-20-10
                                      • 1895

                                      #19
                                      Good luck!
                                      Comment
                                      • BetGrinder
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-06-11
                                        • 168

                                        #20
                                        11# Borussia Dortmund v Hertha Berlin >2.5 @1.75
                                        3x

                                        (Liked the pick from Sports Blue Pick)
                                        Comment
                                        • BetGrinder
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-06-11
                                          • 168

                                          #21
                                          sry for the late post at the German game!

                                          gl all
                                          Comment
                                          • BetGrinder
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 09-06-11
                                            • 168

                                            #22
                                            And at the 88" the Dortmund scored the 3rd GOAAAAAAL of the match cashing us the OVER!!!!!

                                            thx sports blue
                                            Comment
                                            • BetGrinder
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 09-06-11
                                              • 168

                                              #23
                                              Wtf happened with Barcelona?? I wasn't home and didn't see the game! They were leading 2-0 by HT.....
                                              Comment
                                              • BetGrinder
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 09-06-11
                                                • 168

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                already booked one for tomorrow at the epl and also leaning sporting (portugal), liverpool (epl), man city -1.5 (epl).

                                                4# sunderland vs chelsea @1.70
                                                1x win

                                                i have to keep my faith in andre villas-boas, my only concern is f.torres.....fkk him! 48€m for that....jesus!
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                portuguese league

                                                5# benfica vs guimaraes over 2.5 @1.65
                                                2.5x win
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                spain primera division

                                                6# real sociedad vs barcelona, barcelona ht @1.50
                                                2x win
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                7# 4 team parlay (not fan of parlays but i really like this 4 picks together giving really big odds!!)

                                                real sociedad v fc barcelona
                                                [away team total goals] >2.5 @1.80
                                                valencia v atletico madrid
                                                >2.5 @1.80
                                                pacos ferreira v sporting lisbon
                                                sporting lisbon @1.83
                                                heracles v ajax amsterdam
                                                ajax amsterdam @1.50

                                                parlay @8.89
                                                1.6x (to win +12.6x) loss
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                8# stoke vs liverpool @2.20
                                                1x loss

                                                9# stoke vs liverpool ht @2.80
                                                0.5x loss

                                                10# roda vs twente > 2.5 @1.61
                                                2x win

                                                11# bolton vs man utd > 2.5 @1.65
                                                2x win
                                                Originally posted by betgrinder
                                                11# borussia dortmund v hertha berlin >2.5 @1.75
                                                3x win

                                                (liked the pick from sports blue pick)
                                                6-3 for Saturday
                                                +4.99x profits made


                                                A nice day of work!

                                                cheers
                                                Comment
                                                • BetGrinder
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-06-11
                                                  • 168

                                                  #25
                                                  Season

                                                  8-4-0 66.7%
                                                  +5.74 units

                                                  (+287€ profit)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • GreatNate
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 09-08-11
                                                    • 21

                                                    #26
                                                    65% is totally possible especially with favorites. I'm 17 so I can't bet yet but I do predictions every year and track them in excel. I only watch Internationals, Champions League, and English Premier League, so those are the only league's I will make predictions for. I try to predict every single game that has odds posted on bodog.ca.

                                                    Last year, my winning average was 62.43% with average winning odds of 1.76. If you do calculations that would give you serious cash, so one more year of predictions and I'll be proper age and properly prepared to bet responsibly.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • GreatNate
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 09-08-11
                                                      • 21

                                                      #27
                                                      And I only try to predict results: This week so far in EPL:

                                                      Arsenal to beat Swansea at 1.36 - WIN
                                                      Stoke to draw Liverpool at 3.5 - LOSE
                                                      Everton to beat Aston Villa at 3.75 - LOSE
                                                      Manchester City to beat Wigan at 1.18 - WIN
                                                      Chelsea to beat Sunderland at 1.62 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
                                                      Tottenham to beat Wolves at 2.35 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
                                                      Manchester United to beat Bolton at 1.36 - [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]WIN[/COLOR]
                                                      West Brom to beat Norwich at 2.75
                                                      Fulham to beat Blackburn at 1.62
                                                      Newcastle to beat QPR at 2.9
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetGrinder
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 09-06-11
                                                        • 168

                                                        #28
                                                        Nate are u from the US? those odds u r getting suck!! u could have roughly 5 to 10% more!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BetGrinder
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 09-06-11
                                                          • 168

                                                          #29
                                                          12# Juventus vs Parma > 2.5 @2.00 (tailing mihaita666)
                                                          1x

                                                          13# PSG vs Brest @1.44 & Braga vs U.Leiria @1.44
                                                          PARLAY @2.07
                                                          1.5x

                                                          14# Wolfsburg x Schalke PK @2.05 (tailing Pema)
                                                          2x
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetGrinder
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-06-11
                                                            • 168

                                                            #30
                                                            PSG odd has dropped at Bet365 from 1.44 to 1.35!! Now that's what I like to see
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GreatNate
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 09-08-11
                                                              • 21

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BetGrinder
                                                              Nate are u from the US? those odds u r getting suck!! u could have roughly 5 to 10% more!
                                                              I'm from Canada. I know there are better odds elsewhere, some of the odds are poor because I look at them last minute when they have changed. When I'm of age I'll definately be using multiple sportsbooks to find the best odds.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetGrinder
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-06-11
                                                                • 168

                                                                #32
                                                                Schalke fkkd me....that's life! (they play like sh*t, won't be backing them anytime soon!)

                                                                Braga already leading 2-0 by 80"
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetGrinder
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-06-11
                                                                  • 168

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BetGrinder
                                                                  12# Juventus vs Parma > 2.5 @2.00 (tailing mihaita666)
                                                                  1x WIN

                                                                  13# PSG vs Brest @1.44 & Braga vs U.Leiria @1.44
                                                                  PARLAY @2.07
                                                                  1.5x WIN

                                                                  14# Wolfsburg x Schalke PK @2.05 (tailing Pema)
                                                                  2x LOSS
                                                                  2-1 Sunday
                                                                  +0.60x

                                                                  a small profit!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetGrinder
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 09-06-11
                                                                    • 168

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Season

                                                                    10-5-0 66.7%
                                                                    +6.34 units

                                                                    (+317€ profit)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetGrinder
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 09-06-11
                                                                      • 168

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Italy Serie B

                                                                      15# Empoli v Sampdoria > 2.5 @2.15
                                                                      1x

                                                                      Starting tomorrow we will have a Action week with the UEFA champs and Europa League!! Stay tunned!

                                                                      Norway - Tippeligaen

                                                                      16# Sarpsborg 08 v Rosenborg -1 @1.90
                                                                      1x
                                                                      (I'm tailing GO_CAPS_GO mainly bcs I like the write up that he made for this match, I hope this work ehehe)

                                                                      no more plays today
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...