Grinding Soccer: TARGET over 65%

[BetGrinder]

Bankroll 3500€....I want to cry.....fkkk.....

so still 70 units to go! Official FADE thread!!

29# Udinese v Rennes @1.80
5x2.5x
buyed back half the bet putting 70€ in the Draw and 56€ in Rennes. (already -0.5x for the day)

30# 3 Team Parlay: Lazio & PSV & At.Madrid @2.67
2.5x

31# Steaua Buccaresti v Schalke DRAW @3.20
1x

32# Fulham v Twente > 2.5 @2.00
2x

[cogiditopapa]

I have been were you are quite of few times. a piece of advise. Do not bet more than 1.5%-3% of your bankroll in 1 play, if you like it that much bet 5% if you want, to but keep in mind that you still have the chance of losing the bet, is a good rule that I have been applying for a while after I lost quite of few nice bankrolls. I am sure you know this but I thought to share.
The season is long, allow yourself to stay in the game by betting smart and come out on the positive at the end of the season.
I know is hard when you are on tilt but trust me this is the time to put it together and do it. There are going to be tons of opportunities for you to get your money back and go on the positive, just be consistent. GL,

[The Special One]

Take out athletico they'll fuk you

[cogiditopapa]

Take out athletico they'll fuk you

for sure, There are 2 teams that I do not bet on because I got screwed quite of few times:

Atletico and Roma, both teams are inconsisten as hell

[BetGrinder]

Thx for the solid advice cogi!

I know Atletico is weird sometimes and specially now that they r still looking to get all the pieces together, but I have no faith at Scottish teams away from home! And the play is already booked

[cogiditopapa]

Thx for the solid advice cogi!

I know Atletico is weird sometimes and specially now that they r still looking to get all the pieces together, but I have no faith at Scottish teams away from home! And the play is already booked

Cool, if is already booked then GL my friend!!!

[TomJSports]

definitively Bayern has all it takes to get the win, but after what i've saw yesterday (not one single team winning away) I have my reserves...especially in a group like that, were every point at the home of ur opponent will mean everything in the end! So perhaps in the end a draw....

r u playing them?

Bayern actually ended up being my only win. Can't exactly say you're to fade; most people lost big yesterday. Just a rough day to call. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Schalke draws; they could win 4-0 or draw, tough team to call. Like Udinese, don't like Atletico. København is my team for tomorrow though; ho-hum Ukrainian side, and FCK historically loves piling on goals for the home crowd.

[TomJSports]

And those Porto seats are incredible. Very jealous.

[face]

soccer is WAY too hard to win at. 3 way bets, fixed matches, tons of random variables, not enough shots on goal for a reasonable edge on short favorites. 65% is not realistic. maybe if you play totals. But i speak for myself, as i have to admit that i am a losing soccer bettor. good luck, just my two cents after losing at soccer, not meant to be annoying.

[BetGrinder]

33# Besiktas v Maccabi Tel-Aviv > 2.5 @1.85
2.5x

34# FC København -1 v Vorskla Poltava @2.05
1x

35# PAOK v Tottenham > 2.5 @2.15
1x

[BetGrinder]

Udinese odd................... already at 2.00 (up 11%), the line movements at Champions league games didn't lie....so I'm heading for a -5u start of the day! fkkkkkkkkk

thinking in buyback and losing 8%

[BetGrinder]

BET of THE DAY: (lately equal to FADE of the CENTURY)

36# Atletico Madrid -1.25 v Celtic @1.975
6x

[BetGrinder]

attention to post #71 (change in Udinese play). Awful line move against me!

[latinrus]

Let's hope Patetico de Madrid will do it!

The problem with that team is that is fvcking unconsistent! And so far Falcao has dissapeared, he doesn't have the good midfield to provide him with chances!

on the other hand Celtic is not good, I think in ur side u have that a Scotish guy here in SBR is predicting a 3-0 of patetico

BOL

[BetGrinder]

Let's hope Patetico de Madrid will do it!

The problem with that team is that is fvcking unconsistent! And so far Falcao has dissapeared, he doesn't have the good midfield to provide him with chances!

on the other hand Celtic is not good, I think in ur side u have that a Scotish guy here in SBR is predicting a 3-0 of patetico

BOL

but the odd on Atletico is now on a staggering 1.44....from 1.36....just don't get it this past two days...lines are changing so much!!

[BetGrinder]

last plays:

37# PARLAY: AT.MAdrid -1 & PSV v Legia > 2.5 @2.70
2.5x

38# PARLAY: Lazio v FC Vaslui > 2.5 & PSV ml @2.467
3x

39# 6 Team PARLAY: Beşiktaş v Maccabi Tel Aviv > 2.5
FC København ml
Atletico Madrid
Schalke 04
AZ Alkmaar
Sporting +0.5
@14.35
1.5x

40# PARLAY: LAZIO ml & SCHALKE ml @2.80
3x

[BetGrinder]

I guess I'm just crazy....28.5units from my current 70u Bankroll.

40% on the Line! Please UEFA gods help a Portuguese once again eheheh

I hope this wont my near bankrupt in my soccer roll aka my gambling roll!!

(I guess I've said more than 10 times before "stop betting in soccer and spend more time capping football and hoops....fkking game is so hard to cap and others time is the easiest in the world!!)

[`User]

Best of luck

[birdmanweezy]

i lost faith in italian teams long ago...looks like you stayed afloat today

[BetGrinder]

RECAP: UEFA LEAGUE

[note :already starting the day with -0.5u bcs of the half buy back at Udinese game]

Winners
29# +2.00
31# +2.20
33# +2.125
BET of the DAY 36# +5.85
38# 4.40

Losers
30# -2.50
32# -2.00
35# -1.00
37# -2.50
39# -1.50
40# -3.00

PUSH
34#

TOTAL of the DAY: 5W - 6L - 1P
+3.575x +178.75€

[BetGrinder]

Season

18-21-1 46%
-26.14 units
(-1307€ loss)

[birdmanweezy]

nice day

[whyismycatcrying]

BG, here are some matches I think you should review:

Millwall vs West Ham United @ 2.47
Blackburn Rovers vs Arsenal @ 1.935
Aston Villa/Newcastle United (O 2.5) @ 2.040
Bolton Wanderers vs Norwich City @ 1.826
Everton vs Wigan Athletic (+0.5) @ 2.720
Swansea City vs W.B.A. (+0) @ 1.952
Wolverhampton Wanderers/Queens Park Rangers (O 2.5) @ 2.100
Fulham vs Manchester City (-1) @ 2.080
Sporting Gijon vs Valencia @ 2.290
Granada vs Villarreal @ 2.340
Mallorca vs Málaga @ 2.3
Levante vs Real Madrid (-1.5) @ 1.719
Herfølge Koge vs AGF Aarhus @ 1.758
FC Copenhagen/Aalborg (U 2.5) @ 2.140
Lazio vs Genoa @ 1.714

I've played them all individually for x1 each. it's 4am and just finished cappin my leagues, so I hope you don't mind that I can't follow this up with something special. I strongly recommend you look into the West Ham game and the three La Liga games for today.

[BetGrinder]

I was already leaning Real Madrid -1.5 & WBA for the win. The other games that u posted most of them seem at a 80% chance of hitting (would only trade the LAZIO for the Over).

Gl mate

[BetGrinder]

WEEKEND PLAYS:

BET of the DAY 41# Bayer Leverkusen -1.25 v FC Cologne @1.78
10x

42# Blackburn v Arsenal DRAW HT @2.20
1x

43# Bolton v Norwich @1.95
2x

44# Swansea v West Bromwich PK @1.875
2x

45# Nacional De Madeira v Pacos Ferreira > 2.5 @2.30
1.5x

46# Bayer Leverkusen HT v FC Cologne @1.80
3x

[BetGrinder]

BET of the DAY:

In the past 12 games at home against KOLN, BAYER has lost just one time (in 1996), draw another one and won 10!!!
05/12/2010 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 3:2
27/02/2010 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 0:0
24/10/2008 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
21/09/2005 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:1
08/05/2004 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
06/04/2002 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
10/02/2001 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:1
11/11/1997 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:0
30/11/1996 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:2
06/04/1996 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 1:2
03/12/1994 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 3:1
04/09/1993 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:1

They have scored 29 goals (almost 2.5 goals per game) and conceived just 10 (less than one per game). I'm capping this at 3-0 for Bayer with 1-0 at HT! Domestic momentum for BAYER also helps!

[beeps220]

I was already leaning Real Madrid -1.5 & WBA for the win. The other games that u posted most of them seem at a 80% chance of hitting (would only trade the LAZIO for the Over).

Gl mate

Just a note on playing Real Madrid, I read Ronaldo could be out.

[BetGrinder]

Just a note on playing Real Madrid, I read Ronaldo could be out.

I know, he had to take 3 stitch's in the ankle and missed the practice yesterday.

Sometimes without him they play even harder....that happened last year when he was out 4-5 games!

[birdmanweezy]

good luck

[BetGrinder]

all loses so far!!
closing thread!

will keep my word now, no more bets at Soccer!

It even wasn't fun....

[TomJSports]

BET of the DAY:

In the past 12 games at home against KOLN, BAYER has lost just one time (in 1996), draw another one and won 10!!!
05/12/2010 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 3:2
27/02/2010 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 0:0
24/10/2008 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
21/09/2005 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:1
08/05/2004 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
06/04/2002 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:0
10/02/2001 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:1
11/11/1997 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:0
30/11/1996 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 4:2
06/04/1996 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 1:2
03/12/1994 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 3:1
04/09/1993 Bundesliga Leverkusen vs. Colónia 2:1

They have scored 29 goals (almost 2.5 goals per game) and conceived just 10 (less than one per game). I'm capping this at 3-0 for Bayer with 1-0 at HT! Domestic momentum for BAYER also helps!

I understand your decision of saying to hell with football. But Bayer was 100% the correct decision in this match. True, derbies are unpredictable at times, but this one hadn't been and Köln was coming in with a patchwork d and a sketchy offense against leno and Bayer's solid if not strong d. Doubt many saw this coming.