EP36's Equalizers

EaglesPhan36 · 02-24-10, 03:31 PM

2010 Record: 23-11-4 (+8.77)
Overall Updated Record: 153-101-13 (+39.70)

The man today. Pato!

Smogs · 02-24-10, 03:36 PM

EP - congrats on your recent run, you know it;s good when you're staring down the barrel and then Pato pops up

I just wish i'd get a friggin break, but i guess i can blame the ref if Inter end up winning this

vitconxauxi · 02-24-10, 10:20 PM

any tips today, bro?

TurkzZ · 02-24-10, 10:40 PM

Patooooooooooooooooooooo, thats 4 goals in a row v fioren

sockeye · 02-25-10, 07:59 AM

Congrats!.... again and again EP! You are on fire !

DIESELHEEL · 02-25-10, 12:05 PM

Nothing today ???

EaglesPhan36 · 02-25-10, 12:53 PM

Play #38: [Europa League] Red Bull Salzburg vs. Standard Liege OVER 2.5 (-118)
The 1st leg was a goal fest with 5 coming home. A whopping 33 shots on goal were recorded in that one. Salzburg coughed up the lead, losing 3-2 so they must head into this looking for goals. Salzburg showed good form at home over the weekend with an easy 3-0 win over LASK Linz in Austria Bundesliga play. At home dating back to late 2009, they have tallied multiple goals in 3 of their last 5. In Europa League play in the fall, they scored two goals in two of their three matches at home. Liege heads into this one having allowed four goals in their last two competitive matches. Away from home, their defense has been iffy with the Belgian side yielding multiple goals in 6 of their last 8 on the road. Salzburg needs to win by one goal here to progress as they tallied those two important away goals in the 1st leg. Since restarting Bundesliga play from the winter break, they have scored 7 goals in three matches (including EL). Expecting Salzburg to leave no doubt that they will advance today, but Liege also knows they have to score here most likely to keep their chances alive. If the offenses keep anywhere close to the pace of the first match with almost three dozen shots on goal, I expect that three goals will happen here.

theplagy · 02-25-10, 12:57 PM

go EP, with you on this one

doxinho · 02-25-10, 02:06 PM

was on it before the post... definitely liking it now!!! cheers... let's cash this one in

DIESELHEEL · 02-25-10, 04:24 PM

Jinxed. FML

EaglesPhan36 · 02-25-10, 04:26 PM

Was due a loss pretty soon. Looks like today is that day.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-25-10, 04:41 PM

2010 Record: 23-12-4 (+7.59)
Overall Updated Record: 153-102-13 (+38.52)

Oh well. Most of the ones I capped and decided between today would have lost. Think it was inevitable coming off the late win yesterday. Upward and onward.

m3xtreme · 02-25-10, 05:14 PM

Keep it up EP.. lets get em' next game.. THanks always!!

Spaceviews · 02-25-10, 05:20 PM

The one day I put a 3rd of my bankroll on a pick.........what can you do. Get up dust myself off and study
$$ management 101 again. I knew this one looked too easy.......Thanks for the work you put into these picks E.P.

EaglesPhan36 · 02-25-10, 05:55 PM

Yeah Europa League picks especially are NEVER easy. I would always suggest lightening the load for these matches. Champions League matches are usually a bit closer to what is expected, but the EL is always a surprise.

TWEETS · 02-25-10, 09:17 PM

Europa league is always a crapshoot

sockeye · 02-26-10, 07:06 AM

Got anything for today EP?

DIESELHEEL · 02-26-10, 08:20 AM

Ep, come back strong !

whatsgood5 · 02-26-10, 10:29 AM

GL if you're playing anything today EP!

DIESELHEEL · 02-26-10, 11:11 AM

Where's my heady redemption pick EP ?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-26-10, 01:13 PM

Didn't really have a lot of time to look for today. My company is moving offices today, so been occupied with that so far. I took the over in the Turkey Super League game at the last minute, but had no time to write anything or even post until now. It was 2.5 at +102, seemed worthwhile. Not sure if I will play it, but the German Bundesliga match offers some value on the over too at quick glance. I think the split 2/2.5 line at -110 would be the way to go. Dortmund hasn't been shut out since the break and they have conceded 9 in their last 3 on the road. Schalke scores two a lot at home. Worst case could be two goals and a half stakes loss there.

DIESELHEEL · 02-26-10, 01:16 PM

There is a great article on ESPN soccernet about the importance of the game to Dortmund. It basically says they are going for the win, so that means they will be attacking, and vulnerable to a counter. I could see upwards of 4 goals in this match, but it could go either way. BOL on whatever you play.

whatsgood5 · 02-26-10, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Didn't really have a lot of time to look for today. My company is moving offices today, so been occupied with that so far. I took the over in the Turkey Super League game at the last minute, but had no time to write anything or even post until now. It was 2.5 at +102, seemed worthwhile. Not sure if I will play it, but the German Bundesliga match offers some value on the over too at quick glance. I think the split 2/2.5 line at -110 would be the way to go. Dortmund hasn't been shut out since the break and they have conceded 9 in their last 3 on the road. Schalke scores two a lot at home. Worst case could be two goals and a half stakes loss there.

GL

EaglesPhan36 · 02-26-10, 01:21 PM

Turkey match looks good. 2 goals in 20 minutes. If that cashes, I will be on the OVER 2/2.5 in Germany and probably take it at the SBR book for 2.5. I want to break them.

emeka · 02-26-10, 03:06 PM

Can you tell me please, whats ir SBR book, its with virtual money(SBR points) ? and where are these bets?

EaglesPhan36 · 02-26-10, 09:47 PM

SBR points.

http://book.sbrpicks.com/

EaglesPhan36 · 02-27-10, 12:48 AM

Play #40: [Austria Bundeliga] LASK Linz vs. Strum Graz OVER 2.5 (-141)
Lay the chalk here. Don't over-react to LINZ getting shutting out on the road last time out. This team at home is a goal magnet. Their home matches have averaged almost 5 goals per match. In their one match at home after the break, LINZ hit for four goals against Rapid Wien and yielded two. In 10 home matches this season, nine have easily hit 3 goals or better. They've played Strum Graz twice with both matches hitting for more than four goals. Strum Graz has tallied 7 goals in two matches since the break, conceding zero. Away from home though, they have yielded goals in four of their last five. In three of those, multiple tallies from the home team. LINZ' leaky defense is likely to be pentrated for multiple goals and I see them unlikely to get shut down at home. Three goals seems fairly likely here. You can also find the split 2/5/3 at lower chalk if that's your game.

sockeye · 02-27-10, 02:09 AM

Nice Pick EP!

DIESELHEEL · 02-27-10, 01:14 PM

Great pick, let's crush it tomorrow !!!

doxinho · 02-27-10, 01:16 PM

3rd goal just scored... cashing this one in for 20% of my bank roll... thanks EP you're rolling!

beefcake · 02-27-10, 01:37 PM

more more!!!!

EaglesPhan36 · 02-27-10, 06:02 PM

2010 Record: 24-12-4 (+6.59)
Overall Updated Record: 154-102-13 (+39.52)

Man I just got in from working on moving my office all day. Had no internet and was itching to know this one! Might have a Mexico play for tonight, gotta crunch some numbers first now that I can drink a cerveza and relax!

sockeye · 02-27-10, 06:17 PM

COngrats EP

You're the Man

EaglesPhan36 · 02-28-10, 12:29 AM

Play #41: [German Bundesliga] Hannover vs. Wolfsburg OVER 3 (-119)
Hannover has had major issues stopping their opponents with 14 goals allowed in their last four overall in Bundesliga. At home, they have allowed three or more in four straight and have allowed at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 on home soil. Wolfsburg has had a remarkable run of 13 straight in Bundesliga where they have scored and conceded at least one goal. In that stretch, all but one match have hit at least three goals. 8 of Wolfsburg's 11 away matches have hit for at least three goals. Overall, Wolfsburg totals have hit for at least three goals in 13 of their last 15 in Bundesliga. These are the two worst defenses in the league, both allowing 45 goals thus far. This one seems solid that both will score and given the defensive deficiencies here for both clubs along with Wolfsburg solid offense - three should be the worst case scenario here with four a very realistic shot.

beefcake · 02-28-10, 01:05 AM

on it like white on rice..