milan 2 -3 united
-
Comment -
nice hit
Comment -
leans on arsenal porto tomorrow ? i think everyone will be on the under, while the over stands at +120 at least...what do u think ?Soccer record (2010) : 244-160-24
2010-2011 season (soccer) : 144-95-11
NBA Record (2010-2011 season) : 17-12-1
Comment -
Not sure on that one. Haven't looked a whole lot for tomorroe just yet. Porto Champions League matches are tricky though, usually not a lot of goals.Comment -
Play #28: [Holland Eredivisie] NEC vs. Willem II OVER 2.5 (-116)
Willem II is the third worst road defense in Eredivisie play this season, allowing just two goals less on the season than the worst defense. They have allowed 26 goals in 11 away tilts. Since returning from the break, Willem II has shown no signs of slowing their ability to allow goals as they have conceded 10 goals in four matches with seven of those goals allowed coming on the road. Willem II has scored in 3 of those 4, being shut out in their last match on the road 3-0. NEC meanwhile has been up and down in 2010. At home, they have jammed home 7 goals in three matches, while allowing 3. In their two other matches away from home, they have allowed 3 and scored just once. At home this season in Eredivisie play, NEC has hit for a goal in 6 of their last 8 at home with 10 goals in their last 4 at home. They have conceded at least once in 10 of 11. Willem II has alternated getting a road goal and being held scoreless in their last 8. Good news, it's the week for them to get a goal on that form. NEC has also conceded the 4th most goals at home, so that should help. In the first match-up back in October at Willem, the match ended with a 1-1 draw. NEC is squarely in Eredvisie pergatory in 11th place with little chance of moving up into 8th any time soon for a Europa League playoff spot, trailing by 8 points. Willem II though is squarely on the hook for relegation in 17th place. They are 6 points out of 15th which would clear them from a relegation playoff spot, but have just one win on the road. NEC would seem a likely winner at home, but they are the lone team in Eredivisie to lose to bottom feeding RKC at home. So, I'll side with the OVER as NEC is coming off a solid offensive performance and faces one of the faultiest defenses in the league.Comment -
nice job, too easyComment -
Congrats on M Utd over and goodluck for NEC over
Comment -
eagles get on b muenchen -1 , florenz is the worst team, which is still playing in the cl and bayern is among the best teams in europe right now .Comment -
Good luck today EP36!"I have never seen a wild thing feel sorry for itself. A little bird will fall dead, frozen from a bough, without ever having felt sorry for itself."
- D.H. LawrenceComment -
2010 Record: 16-9-3 (+3.77)
Overall Updated Record: 146-99-12 (+34.70)
Cut that one kinda close.
Comment -
Play #29: [Europa League] Ajax vs. Juventus OVER 2/2.5 (-106)
Heavy chalk here, but this is one where two goals seems like the worst case scenario. Ajax has been stellar at home scoring goals with 11 in their last three matches in Holland's Eredivisie. They also feature one of the best goal scorers on the planet in Luis Suarez who has 23 goals in 23 league matches. He also tallied eight goals in the group stages in the EL. Juventus has given effort for their new manager, scoring and conceding in his three games behind the bench. Juventus' defense is still a question mark, conceding in six straight matches in all competitions. They will be pressured from the opening minute by Suarez and his mates and I don't think Ajax is going to be denied a goal at home. Juventus may well want to try and play for a draw and then hope to pull off a home win in the 2nd leg, but I think that means they need to score at least once. Ajax conceded in four of their six EL matches in the group stages at home, so that is a probable occurrence. I can see both teams scoring here and will not put it past Ajax to show their scoring class at home with multiple goals, especially if Juventus shows up disinterested in being in this competition.
Comment -
EP, I have it on my book at 2.5 +150, the juice is nice, but do you think it's risky with my line or should I go for it?Comment -
I like both Ajax PK (-115) and the Over in that one.Comment -
I think +150 is worth it. My only other option is 2/2.5 at -110, but I'm going to protect against a two goal final. I still believe with all being said that three is a solid shot, but do keep in mind it is the Europa League so you may want to adjust your wager size accordingly because some of these matches end up nowhere close to how we think they should end.Comment -
last two times these two played..1-0 both times..but that was a waaaaaaay different juve team. good luck epComment -
Play #30: [Europa League] Liverpool vs. Unirea Urziceni UNDER 3/2.5 (-119)
Like this one as Liverpool has allowed just one goal in their last five matches in the Premier League against better outfits that Urziceni. Liverpool also hasn't scored more than two goals at home since September. Believe the Romanians will come in here trying their best to keep this a low scoring draw with the hopes of springing a supreme upset at home in the 2nd leg. Urziceni also has several players who have yellow cards and could be suspended for that home tilt if they pick up another booking. Liverpool is likely to use some of its younger players here, but I think would be happy with a 1-0 or 2-0 win and a lead to protect on the road. Even though Urziceni showed some flair in the group stages with some surprise results, I would be shocked if they penetrate the Liverpool defense on the road. I think this match is all on Liverpool and if they score more than three, something they have not done in over two dozen matches, I'll gladly take the full stakes loss.
Comment -
Also still debating taking that split 2/2.5 line on the Ajax-Juventus match. Will wait and see where the money goes if anywhere tomorrow before finalizing that one. Will play it for sure, but waiting to try and get the best price.
Will put down the unit size on these when they are finalized, but it's always good practice in the Europa League especially in the first legs here to keep yourself in check and not go crazy.Comment -
What ir Ajax PK ? i dont know what means pk
newbie
Comment -
Good Luck EP
Comment -
Alright, final calls in. The flat 2 goal line is gone at my book and most places I believe for Play #29, so went with 2/2.5 at -106 and took Play #30 at -119. Oh and decided just to wing it with the normal one unit wager size.Comment -
Interesting picks, bol!Comment -
Good pick as always EP, too bad I took AJAX too !
Hoping for some goals in the Madrid fixture at 3 pm.Comment -
nice winner!
lets get the 2nd!Comment -
Betting on sides in these are tough regardless of lineups because you still don't know how the players are going to come out and play, especially when the Italians are used to a level higher than this. Expected Ajax's best against a big time name. Juve obviously has some desire and direction with their new manager, but I think you'd have been in the minority to think they walked out with the win today. A draw perhaps, but I think the win was a surprise and a huge result for them going forward.Comment -
nice hit on MAN UComment -
2010 Record: 18-9-3 (+5.77)
Overall Updated Record: 148-99-12 (+36.70)
Two Europa League wins? Must be hormonal.
Comment -
Nice wins EP.
If there was a jinx game it would have been Ajax v Juventus. A lot of people said things like "Juventus are crap, Ajax win with Suarez scoring 3 etc..." But looking at the line up pre game Juve were serious about a win adn they got it.
Anyways time to get back to some more predictable plays this weekend.Comment -
Might be a worthy play on Friday too, just looking at a couple.Comment -
Nice Europa picks!Comment
