Bonanza extravaganze 4-0 start, i know me some soccer

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  • NguyenImproved
    SBR High Roller
    • 06-13-14
    • 226

    #36
    Originally posted by sballen
    BTW dipshit my Uruguay pick was posted halfway thru the match because I bet it at halftime, learn to effin read bro. You are a retard, please leave my thread.
    NO-ONE would have a losing record if that was standard operating procedure.




    Ie. Just post a comment in your thread halfway through a match you're losing and say you bet on the other side.
    It inflates your record and makes you feel good but that's FAKE bro. In effect it's LYING.
    That's NOT LEGIT. And you know it.
    Comment
    • sballen
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-26-14
      • 815

      #37
      Originally posted by NguyenImproved
      NO-ONE would have a losing record if that was standard operating procedure.




      Ie. Just post a comment in your thread halfway through a match you're losing and say you bet on the other side.
      It inflates your record and makes you feel good but that's FAKE bro. In effect it's LYING.
      That's NOT LEGIT. And you know it.
      I bet england for first half ONLY and then took Uruguay to win at halftime bc it was a good price and I liked how they were playing. Maybe you don't understand halftime bets. Sigh. Tired of all the morons here.
      Comment
      • Ebumdude
        SBR MVP
        • 11-15-12
        • 2189

        #38
        Post #20 was your first half England bet.


        Keep posting winners.
        Comment
        • sballen
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-26-14
          • 815

          #39
          Taking two bets, one being a group future:

          1) will costa rica qualify from their group? I chose yes at -120
          2) toms 9am game: taking costa rica at +550. Obviously betting smaller than normal given the large payout and lower chance of hitting. This payout indicates a 15.4% chance of hitting (in a break even scenario), whereas I believe costa rica has more like 25% (+/- a few points) chance of winning. Thus making this a +ev play.

          will follow up at some point tom. Not sure about the later games because im gonna be busy and might not be able to post my plays. Will post if i can tho. Tail or fade. BOL to all.
          Comment
          • sballen
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-26-14
            • 815

            #40
            Booommm. Nice +550 hit and the costa rica win also automatically qualifies them past the group stage, thus both of the abive bets won. Now at 11-3 including a +550, +475, and +300.
            Comment
            • sballen
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-26-14
              • 815

              #41
              Taking Switzerland at +.5 (+110). Tail or fade. BOL all.
              Comment
              • sballen
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-26-14
                • 815

                #42
                Sorry guys, terrible pick. Now 11-4 overall with +550, +475, and +300 wins.
                Comment
                • sballen
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-26-14
                  • 815

                  #43
                  Taking BTTS at -120. Ghana has to come out attacking as this is a must win for them. The germans are one of the best teams in this world cup and should definitely be able to score. I like this bet but tail or fade. BOL all.
                  Comment
                  • sballen
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-26-14
                    • 815

                    #44
                    Winner winner chicken dinner. At 12-4 now guys.
                    Comment
                    • fishtot
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-01-09
                      • 650

                      #45
                      What BTTS mean?
                      Comment
                      • fishtot
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-01-09
                        • 650

                        #46
                        who you like in the Nigeria Bosnia match?
                        Comment
                        • DA_MOSS
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-11
                          • 1830

                          #47
                          Originally posted by fishtot
                          What BTTS mean?
                          both teams to score
                          Comment
                          • sballen
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-26-14
                            • 815

                            #48
                            Taking Bosnia moneyline at -125. Tail or fade. BOL all.
                            Comment
                            • sballen
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-26-14
                              • 815

                              #49
                              Record is 12-5 now. Taking algeria moneyline for +190. Sorry i dont have time for a writeup.
                              Comment
                              • sballen
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-26-14
                                • 815

                                #50
                                looking good so far guys. I almost took algeria 1h for +300 amd am kicking myself for not taking it. Anyways, still a lot of the game left to play but couldnt ask for a better start.
                                Comment
                                • smarotta09
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-18-12
                                  • 834

                                  #51
                                  who do you have for tonights game?
                                  Comment
                                  • sballen
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-26-14
                                    • 815

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by smarotta09
                                    who do you have for tonights game?
                                    Still undecided at the moment. Would feel unpatriotic betting against USA so ill look at totals and team/player props to see if i see anything of value. Will let you know if i decide to make a play.
                                    Comment
                                    • sballen
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-26-14
                                      • 815

                                      #53
                                      Nice +190 payout game. Looking to be 13-5 now guys barring a miracle let down. 13-5 record includes +550, +475, +300, and +190 wins. Killin it guys. Im thinking of quitting the posts though because not many ppl seem to be following and might not be worth the time. Anyways, cheers to those who tailed.
                                      Comment
                                      • fishtot
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-01-09
                                        • 650

                                        #54
                                        Waiting on the evening pick
                                        Comment
                                        • Dmoneytx
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-09-12
                                          • 6450

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by sballen
                                          Nice +190 payout game. Looking to be 13-5 now guys barring a miracle let down. 13-5 record includes +550, +475, +300, and +190 wins. Killin it guys. Im thinking of quitting the posts though because not many ppl seem to be following and might not be worth the time. Anyways, cheers to those who tailed.
                                          This is what TOUT's do when they try to get business They make a new thread, see if they can hit a hot streak, then walk away HOPING people follow. What most don't know is that these guys makes TONS of threads and if it is losing, just walk away - start a new one...

                                          PLENTY of people were following this guy, but right when people start asking & waiting for picks..... POOF!!! He's gone & if you want "more" picks, find where he went and pay $$$, LOL!!! Old old trick, shouldn't fool anyone...

                                          I was tailing his plays, but now I know what's up, just glad I made some money before he bailed, too bad he bailed - would of been a great poster to follow..... Now it screams "TOUT", lol.... BOL.
                                          Comment
                                          • sballen
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-26-14
                                            • 815

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Dmoneytx
                                            This is what TOUT's do when they try to get business They make a new thread, see if they can hit a hot streak, then walk away HOPING people follow. What most don't know is that these guys makes TONS of threads and if it is losing, just walk away - start a new one...

                                            PLENTY of people were following this guy, but right when people start asking & waiting for picks..... POOF!!! He's gone & if you want "more" picks, find where he went and pay $$$, LOL!!! Old old trick, shouldn't fool anyone...

                                            I was tailing his plays, but now I know what's up, just glad I made some money before he bailed, too bad he bailed - would of been a great poster to follow..... Now it screams "TOUT", lol.... BOL.
                                            Lol you're fukkin clueless dude. I have no interest in being a tout lol. Stop tailing me I couldn't care less. BTW I'm going to try and pick up a live line in the USA game bc I won't get home in time for kickoff. I'll let you all know if I take a line (am going to watch the game and bet only if I get a line I see as having value).
                                            Comment
                                            • Dmoneytx
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-09-12
                                              • 6450

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by sballen
                                              Lol you're fukkin clueless dude. I have no interest in being a tout lol. Stop tailing me I couldn't care less. BTW I'm going to try and pick up a live line in the USA game bc I won't get home in time for kickoff. I'll let you all know if I take a line (am going to watch the game and bet only if I get a line I see as having value).
                                              NEVER said I was going to stop tailing you. Not sure where u got that?? I said "I am glad I made money BEFORE he bailed...".

                                              And I am def NOT clueless, I know quite a few people who have done and do exactly what I have stated, that is old news really...

                                              Sorry if I pinned ya as a tout, it seemed obvious to me, should of been a compliment, but you got all pissy... BOL.
                                              Comment
                                              • sballen
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-26-14
                                                • 815

                                                #58
                                                And also the reason i said i was considering leaving was because it seemed nobody was following and i don't have a ton of free time so posting didnt seem like it was worth the time. I have no interest in operating a tout service Please feel free to leave my thread tho. Guys like you make me less likely to post, not me trying to create some touting service to charge ppl $
                                                Comment
                                                • sballen
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-26-14
                                                  • 815

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Dmoneytx
                                                  NEVER said I was going to stop tailing you. Not sure where u got that?? I said "I am glad I made money BEFORE he bailed...".

                                                  And I am def NOT clueless, I know quite a few people who have done and do exactly what I have stated, that is old news really...

                                                  Sorry if I pinned ya as a tout, it seemed obvious to me, should of been a compliment, but you got all pissy... BOL.
                                                  fair enough. I hear what you're saying and could see touts doing that, however, that's not what im doing so i resent the accusation since ive made anybody who's tailed a fair amount of money. I see portugal just acored yikes. As stated previosuly, i'm going to be on the lookout for a live line in this game (just got home). Will post my play as soon as i take anything but im only going to take a line if i perceive value.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sballen
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-26-14
                                                    • 815

                                                    #60
                                                    Just took usa +1 (+130) with a live bet. 60th Min into 2nd half.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sballen
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-26-14
                                                      • 815

                                                      #61
                                                      I wanted the +1.5 line but the juice was too much imo. BOL all.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sballen
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-26-14
                                                        • 815

                                                        #62
                                                        Ohhhh goalllllll, hahahaah what timing!! I doubt if there was enough time to tail when i posted (about 2-3 mni) but if you got it in congrats!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sballen
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 02-26-14
                                                          • 815

                                                          #63
                                                          Still got a lot of time left though and any portugal goal puts us back into push territory.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sballen
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-26-14
                                                            • 815

                                                            #64
                                                            USA USA USA!! If i only had enough balls to take them moneyline when they were down 1-0 and attacking hard, the line was at +1100 lol. Can't get greedy though, good win being at +130. Hopefully some saw the post and were able to tail within the couple of minutes until they scored. Anyways, cheers to those who tailed and be back tom for some more action. Flying for a good part of tomorrow so will have to post what plays i can.

                                                            Updated record: 14-5 with tonights +130 winner.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sballen
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-26-14
                                                              • 815

                                                              #65
                                                              Wow what a fail to let them tie at the end. My bet's still a winner but i cant believe we let them score on literally the last play. We had it in the bag and were set to advance. WTF.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sballen
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-26-14
                                                                • 815

                                                                #66
                                                                So did anybody end up tailing the usa +1 in live?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sballen
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-26-14
                                                                  • 815

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Taking two picks for tom games. I'll let you know if i take anything else but i didnt like the other two games and doubt ill be able to watch and get a live line. Tail or fade.

                                                                  Netherlands/chile - taking netherlands +.5 (-210). I know, i know, it's a lot of juice and i hate taking juice, however, i think this is a good spot for the netherlands. The winner/runner up of group B plays the runner up/winner of group A, and Brazil should win group A. Although both netherlands and chile are guaranteed to advance, neither of them want to face brazil. They're both tied for first but netherlands has a better goal differential (5 vs. 4) so a win or tie gives netherlands the best spot in their group. I think the netherlands end this match with at least a tie (which is a win for this bet).

                                                                  Mexico/croatia - taking over 2.5 (+115) - both these teams are playing to get in, but croatia must get a win, whereas mexico can get a win or tie to advance. Brazil will most likely beat cameroon and has a better goal differential so mexico and croatia are most likely playing for 2nd, but mexico has one more point than croatia. Neither team is obviously safe here and although this could end up being more of a defensive battle, i see a game with much attacking and thus the over 2.5. Mexico hasn't scored much this world cup but they got screwed out of a few legit goals in their first game. Croatia must come out attacking as a draw does them no good, it's win or go home.

                                                                  BOL all.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bolek
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-27-12
                                                                    • 1419

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I am thinking about the +0.5 with over 2 goals as a parlay. Any thoughts ?
                                                                    Thanx and gl
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • fishtot
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-01-09
                                                                      • 650

                                                                      #69
                                                                      great read
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sballen
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-26-14
                                                                        • 815

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by bolek
                                                                        I am thinking about the +0.5 with over 2 goals as a parlay. Any thoughts ?
                                                                        Thanx and gl
                                                                        I couldn't get a good read for the total on this game. On the one hand both these teams have scored a lot of goals, on the other, netherlands just need to not allow any goals and this could become a defensive battle.
                                                                        Comment
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