Originally Posted by
KVB
Navy should have been favored by a TD, they weren't.
In fact, they couldn't even hold the 1 point favorite.
Something stinks there and the UPSET Basket sniffed it out.
Might be closer than the models predict.
Originally Posted by
RangeFinder
K, the Under got jammed. What's your model say?
That public gauge I make says navy wins 31-24.
Even CRIS opened this thing at Navy -3 but didn't hang the moneyline until dropping the line. Like I said, should have a better number on the BYU moneyline but they were tough to get even from the outset.
Books like 5D got away with bigger early moneylines on BYU but they can do that because as I mentioned in another post in some other thread lol, the risk managment quickly neutralizes us early buyers there.
Money is driving the market up for BYU, slowly but surely and while it does make some sense, the way the books are upping the line is a little odd. It's either hold off and blink, or move early or do nothing.
It seems there was the early move and while they appeared to hold off once all the houses picked up the line, it's been more of a slow bleed up. While things have slowed, it's possible we are seeing an attempt to create steam on BYU in light of what is basically split action.
In another hour we should see just what the books were planning here, they'll make the move, or make none. Does it give us the answer, not necessarily, but I see a competitive game here and if the BYU line continues to climb and they are not the answer, then Navy could make it embarrassing for the BYU backers as it's not what they bring...
Let's see what happens in that last hour of trading.