The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

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  • jihadvillager
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-11
    • 2134

    #1751
    Originally posted by The Seer
    what sucks is the other bets I talked about: SF & under teaser, SMU, & 2nd half Oreg/ASU under are all gonna hit.
    There is still a great chance to go 2-2-1 which is better than it was looking.
    Seer picks 2012: 59%
    Seer leans 2012 96%


    jk
    Comment
    • The Seer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-29-07
      • 10641

      #1752
      SMU has 385 yds (100 less than Hou) and has 66 pts

      These announcers that keep blowing Oregon for the national championship will never learn. The last times they played teams with real defenses with time too prepare: Rose Bowl -Ohio St 26 Oregon 17, Nat Chshp- Auburn 22- Oregon 19 (Aub had an average SEC D then), 1st gm lyr LSU 40 Oregon 27.
      I hope they do make it and play Florida or Alabama.
      Comment
      • tr4sh
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-06-12
        • 311

        #1753
        Seer, you have any opinion on Texas A&M this weekend? That Maisel kid is scary good and that team will be amped up. With LSU struggling on offense, I think they might win outright.
        Comment
        • moodyt2
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-04-09
          • 448

          #1754
          Alabama would beat Oregon 38-20
          Comment
          • Ca$hfloW
            SBR MVP
            • 10-16-09
            • 1196

            #1755
            Originally posted by tr4sh
            Seer, you have any opinion on Texas A&M this weekend? That Maisel kid is scary good and that team will be amped up. With LSU struggling on offense, I think they might win outright.
            I'm am aggie and ill be at the game so I hope so, Kyle field is going to be loud but it will be interesting to see how Johnny handles the tough defense of lsu.
            Comment
            • moodyt2
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-04-09
              • 448

              #1756
              Will the under bust in this PAC 12 puzzy football game?
              Comment
              • moodyt2
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-04-09
                • 448

                #1757
                Wow this is ridiculous
                Comment
                • sheepz
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 08-26-12
                  • 83

                  #1758
                  did not like that final 13 secs !
                  Comment
                  • moodyt2
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-04-09
                    • 448

                    #1759
                    Originally posted by sheepz
                    did not like that final 13 secs !
                    Me too . That's a good win
                    Comment
                    • eldian
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 09-23-10
                      • 180

                      #1760
                      Originally posted by CanuckG
                      ORE over 69 lock
                      Comment
                      • jihadvillager
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-25-11
                        • 2134

                        #1761
                        reverse jinx worked.
                        Comment
                        • The Seer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-29-07
                          • 10641

                          #1762
                          2-2-1, -.20 units today so no damage done


                          Originally posted by tr4sh
                          Seer, you have any opinion on Texas A&M this weekend? That Maisel kid is scary good and that team will be amped up. With LSU struggling on offense, I think they might win outright.
                          I'm on A&M. They were in the leans I posted earlier today.
                          Originally posted by moodyt2
                          Alabama would beat Oregon 38-20
                          you are giving Oregon too much credit
                          Originally posted by sheepz
                          did not like that final 13 secs !
                          me either, he would have felt stupid if a star player got hurt
                          Comment
                          • groovybrandone
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-22-12
                            • 456

                            #1763
                            nice, got the middle on that. i had a teaser with 60.5 over, and tailed seers under 68.5
                            Comment
                            • sneakerhead
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-14-10
                              • 7727

                              #1764
                              nice call on 2h under Seer, thanks for that for sure!
                              Comment
                              • casinobones
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-15-12
                                • 233

                                #1765
                                Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                Not at all. Just sharing my happiness, because the antagonists were out in force on me in a couple other threads for this pick. My pat on the back comes in the way of taking the stroll to the pay window to collect my money!
                                Good Job there Urban,That Teaser we talked about cashed too! 49ers & Ducks Ca-Cing! which I did have, I wanted to pound the Ducks @ -8 but I let all the damn Ariz St talk and with the line moving down and all the $ on Oregon made me steer clear and play conservative.That's alright though,plenty of money to be made this weekend! Good Luck this week-end!
                                Comment
                                • CanuckG
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-23-10
                                  • 21978

                                  #1766
                                  Originally posted by eldian
                                  Reverse jinx worked
                                  Comment
                                  • Urbanwildlife
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-06-11
                                    • 5958

                                    #1767
                                    Originally posted by casinobones
                                    Good Job there Urban,That Teaser we talked about cashed too! 49ers & Ducks Ca-Cing! which I did have, I wanted to pound the Ducks @ -8 but I let all the damn Ariz St talk and with the line moving down and all the $ on Oregon made me steer clear and play conservative.That's alright though,plenty of money to be made this weekend! Good Luck this week-end!
                                    Much appreciated and good luck in your picks for the rest of the week, as well as for the rest of the season! It sure was fun seeing this so called SBR "know it alls" have to eat there own bullshit.
                                    Comment
                                    • Lakers714
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-17-09
                                      • 4671

                                      #1768
                                      Originally posted by Urbanwildlife
                                      Much appreciated and good luck in your picks for the rest of the week, as well as for the rest of the season! It sure was fun seeing this so called SBR "know it alls" have to eat there own bullshit.
                                      Now now Urb., some people lost some descent coin on ASU tonight. U should know better than to gloat after a nice win. Gotta act like you've done it before.
                                      Comment
                                      • casinobones
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-15-12
                                        • 233

                                        #1769
                                        Originally posted by The Seer
                                        SMU has 385 yds (100 less than Hou) and has 66 pts

                                        These announcers that keep blowing Oregon for the national championship will never learn. The last times they played teams with real defenses with time too prepare: Rose Bowl -Ohio St 26 Oregon 17, Nat Chshp- Auburn 22- Oregon 19 (Aub had an average SEC D then), 1st gm lyr LSU 40 Oregon 27.


                                        I hope they do make it and play Florida or Alabama.
                                        Great Job " The Seer" I been following you and i must say "you are the Man" keep up the good work,it's much appreicated!I also agree with you on how good Alabama is.I don't see anybody beating them this year! I see the Tide & The Ducks in the Big game! Good Luck to you!
                                        Comment
                                        • Urbanwildlife
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-06-11
                                          • 5958

                                          #1770
                                          Originally posted by Lakers714
                                          Now now Urb., some people lost some descent coin on ASU tonight. U should know better than to gloat after a nice win. Gotta act like you've done it before.
                                          And I feel for anyone that loses money, but my post was directed only to the antagonists who were on my case all week with insults, as well as talking like they were gurus of the SBR forum, telling me I was stupid, that I was giving my money away, that I did not know what the frick I was doing, and much more, so yes, it was a lot of fun slamming it down there throats, as they were pretty hard on me.
                                          Last edited by Urbanwildlife; 10-19-12, 01:12 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • wakeforestfan
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 10-05-12
                                            • 20

                                            #1771
                                            Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                            nice, got the middle on that. i had a teaser with 60.5 over, and tailed seers under 68.5
                                            +1 , tailed as well
                                            cheers
                                            Comment
                                            • caoutlaw
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-27-12
                                              • 130

                                              #1772
                                              uconn/ syr I have looked this game over hard to pick either team looks like a coinflip to me however the under may be a play conn is ranked 15th overall only allowing 16.3 pts per game and 111th overall scoring 19 pts per game syr is 65th overall allowing 25.7 pts per game and 96th overall scoring 22.8 pts per game do u think this will be a defense battle tonight???
                                              Comment
                                              • Zulagin
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-01-12
                                                • 132

                                                #1773
                                                Leaning Syc -4 and Over.
                                                Comment
                                                • moodyt2
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-04-09
                                                  • 448

                                                  #1774
                                                  The Alabama Crimson Tide are 43-0 since the start of the 2008 season when they run for at least 150 yards in a game. On Saturday, the Crimson Tide will play the Tennessee Volunteers, who rank last in the SEC in rushing.

                                                  This season, Alabama is averaging 6.2 yards per carry on designed run plays. That happens to be the same amount the Tennessee Volunteers allow per carry, which ranks last in the SEC.

                                                  Why is Alabama averaging so many yards per carry? On those designed run plays the Tide average 4.6 yards before contact with a defender. They have made it at least five yards past the line of scrimmage without being touched on 38.8 percent of their designed runs, including on 20-of-42 runs last week against Missouri.

                                                  When head coach Nick Saban’s team isn’t gaining yards by the bunches on the ground, quarterback A.J. McCarron is more than holding his own under center.

                                                  McCarron ranks fourth in FBS in third-down passing efficiency this season (minimum 20 attempts). One reason for McCarron’s success is his improvement when opponents send five or more pass-rushers. He’s completing 70.6 percent of his passes against the blitz on third down this season, up from 46.7 in 2011.

                                                  When Alabama sends five or more pass-rushers, opponents are completing 42.9 percent of their passes with more combined sacks and interceptions (13) than first downs (12). On Saturday, Missouri completed 1-of-9 passes and was sacked twice when Alabama blitzed, the third time in the past four games that Alabama had more sacks than its opponent had completions.

                                                  Tennessee quarterback Tyler Bray this season has completed a similar number of attempts when being blitzed by SEC opponents (43.3 percent). While Bray put up good numbers in non-conference play, he’s been average at best in Tennessee’s three SEC games, all losses. He’s completed just over 52.2 percent of his passes and has thrown just as many touchdowns as interceptions (6) in losses to Florida, Georgia and Mississippi State.

                                                  Alabama -20 23 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • tusky26
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-27-07
                                                    • 40

                                                    #1775
                                                    Originally posted by moodyt2
                                                    Alabama would beat Oregon 38-20
                                                    Never would have guessed which side you'd be on moody.

                                                    Also just saw your post above. That is why I went back to read Seer's posting in last years forum. After I saw his comment on the first half in the game this weekend and what his play was, I was like and then after I read it I was like .... So like, I'm gonna probably like the Seer and tail his play, then during the game. After, I'm gonna my off while I collect the green.
                                                    Last edited by tusky26; 10-19-12, 01:32 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • moodyt2
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-04-09
                                                      • 448

                                                      #1776
                                                      Originally posted by tusky26
                                                      Never would have guessed which side you'd be on moody.
                                                      Haha. Wanted to see what Seer had to say.

                                                      Did you see his play against Alabama last week and last years National Championship game ?
                                                      Last edited by moodyt2; 10-19-12, 02:38 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • moodyt2
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-04-09
                                                        • 448

                                                        #1777
                                                        Jk on message above.

                                                        Mr. Seer what you leaning toward tonight? GL in advance! I will be tailing as always.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smutbucket
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-14-08
                                                          • 3996

                                                          #1778
                                                          Alabama in national championship last year was easiest pick ever, they dominated LSU in season game but loss by some luck, I had my entire roll on bama in national championship, something I never EVER do, but that shit was easiest pick ever...literallly....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Rivald1
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 10-19-12
                                                            • 1

                                                            #1779
                                                            Tailed last night and broke even, I would've bet the other way and lost. Thanks Seer! What's the call tonight?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lyon804
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-02-09
                                                              • 6526

                                                              #1780
                                                              Seer, I understand you know your football and either I believe coached it in college or played or both. Can you explain to me why so many schools like Texas or even Auburn which is perceived to have good athletes look so bad tackling? I see so many schools which should have good athletes that can't tackle. Is that a byproduct of not doing contact in practice? Or a product of poor technique from little coaching.I wonder if schools are not working on this in fear of getting injuries in practice. Take Alabama, they have NO problem tacking, but so many schools do. It seems on a fundamental level most schools are not near as good as they use to be. Your thoughts?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • The Seer
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-29-07
                                                                • 10641

                                                                #1781
                                                                Originally posted by caoutlaw
                                                                uconn/ syr I have looked this game over hard to pick either team looks like a coinflip to me however the under may be a play conn is ranked 15th overall only allowing 16.3 pts per game and 111th overall scoring 19 pts per game syr is 65th overall allowing 25.7 pts per game and 96th overall scoring 22.8 pts per game do u think this will be a defense battle tonight???
                                                                Originally posted by caoutlaw
                                                                uconn/ syr I have looked this game over hard to pick either team looks like a coinflip to me however the under may be a play conn is ranked 15th overall only allowing 16.3 pts per game and 111th overall scoring 19 pts per game syr is 65th overall allowing 25.7 pts per game and 96th overall scoring 22.8 pts per game do u think this will be a defense battle tonight???
                                                                Yes I do. Both are coming off real disappointing losses from last week. UCONN lost in OT to Temple and Syracuse had twice as many yards & had 23 first downs while Rutgers had 12 but turned it over 4 times. To me, the only things I would consider are: take the points, the under, both, or nothing. I think taking the points is slightly stronger but I'm not playing anything more than a unit tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • The Seer
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-29-07
                                                                  • 10641

                                                                  #1782
                                                                  Originally posted by moodyt2

                                                                  Alabama -20 23 units
                                                                  moody, do you not remember the game last year where the Vols were without all of their star offensive players, started Matt Sims at QB, and had no run game whatsoever play Bammer to a 6-6 tie at halftime at Bammer just on pure emotion? You can throw all those stats out of the window. Considering Alabama hasn't played an offense with a pulse yet, that would be lunacy to play that many units laying that many points. The vols average over 180 rushing yards now and put up 200 vs Georgia & MS State and have the weapons to get a backdoor with ease. The best offense they played, Ole Miss put 14 points on them had as many first downs and lost by 19. I highly doubt they would lose by anymore than they did to Florida which was 17.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jakeloftin2186
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-06-11
                                                                    • 595

                                                                    #1783
                                                                    Play tonite?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • The Seer
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-29-07
                                                                      • 10641

                                                                      #1784
                                                                      Originally posted by lyon804
                                                                      Seer, I understand you know your football and either I believe coached it in college or played or both. Can you explain to me why so many schools like Texas or even Auburn which is perceived to have good athletes look so bad tackling? I see so many schools which should have good athletes that can't tackle. Is that a byproduct of not doing contact in practice? Or a product of poor technique from little coaching.I wonder if schools are not working on this in fear of getting injuries in practice. Take Alabama, they have NO problem tacking, but so many schools do. It seems on a fundamental level most schools are not near as good as they use to be. Your thoughts?
                                                                      From what I've observed, offenses are stretching the field horizontally and making the defenses defend more space in that way. It's has created more opportunities for offenses to get the ball in the hands of their wrs by way of short passes and hitches, etc and put them in more one on one matchups with defenders where the defender has to make an open field tackle. That's the hardest thing for a defender to do & what defenses try to keep from having to do. When they miss, they give up huge chunks of yardage since they're stretched. That's why defenses look like they are terrible at tackling. Also when it is stretched this way & just one defender is caught out of position, it opens up opportunities for huge gashes in the run game too. Think about how many times lately you've seen players on jet sweeps turn up in a lane and go the distance because of the open space. It happens on wr screens too and with these hurry up offenses alot of times you can catch a LB covering a back or Wr in the slot. It makes teams tired too since it takes more energy to play defense so they get sloppy in technique and have mental lapses & get caught out of position. Teams with alot of depth on defense that have ability to run players in all the time can defend it. Alabama is a team that can do that plus their have superior athletes that are bigger and just as fast on their defense compared to the other teams offense. If you have excellent cover corners you can shrink the field back down some and give the offense less space to work with. Shrinking the field down is a goal of any defense and a team like Alabama is able to do that. It also much easier when you can contain and not give up the edge & control the line of scrimmage so much so with your OLBers & Dline that there is no run game whatsoever. At that point you can play games with the QB. Alabama is well coached and very disciplined so they are rarely caught out of position so that helps also.
                                                                      Last edited by The Seer; 10-19-12, 06:39 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • The Seer
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-29-07
                                                                        • 10641

                                                                        #1785
                                                                        Originally posted by jakeloftin2186
                                                                        Play tonite?
                                                                        This is all I did
                                                                        UCONN +5 -110 1 unit
                                                                        Comment
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