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Lol...whatever you say buddy. I like the Avs today, much better value in the odds. I think both Avs/Flyers have around the same chance of winning, yet Avs are + while Flyers are -140.Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:
Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:
Game 1:
Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%
Game 2:
Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%
So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%
******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.
As for your %...just based on SBR Odds alone, im seeing 53% on the Avs.
You can do what you want man, just letting you know i think the value is on the Candiens and Avs. Obviously i might be wrong, but you dont have to be a dick about it? Theres a huge difference between a team being +110 and -140, long term, especially if i think both have similar chances to win.
Lol, this is one of the reasons why i dont post my picks here every day. People always hating, and most have no idea what their even hating about.Comment -
Forget betting percentages they mean nothing
Fading so called public plays is so square it is not even funny
Watch the fukkin games, know the players, goalies, injuries, home ice advantageComment -
Agreed.
I dont care what people consider sharp or square...ill gladly eat the high juice if i think its worth it and has value. It all comes down to value. I'll take a -200 if i think the real line should be -300.
In this case i was just showing the guy who thinks COL is a huge public play, that it isnt.
Anyways, i like the Canadiens today. Think Price has a huge game...Comment -
betting percentage should only matter if the lines moving the wrong way in proportion to betting volume.
90 percent on a team but the odds to take them are becoming more favorable.Comment -
did rod win this?Comment -
No
No such thing as a must bet NHL game
Look for off sports for this type of betComment -
WTF happen? The last I checked the score was 2-1 Coyotes with 2 minutes left.
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ever since JJ told everyone Rod and TTrace were the best cappers he has been ice cold....
hopefully TTrace will keep up the hot streakComment -
225 replies
No time to read it all
Can't catch a fukkin break these days, TIME TO REGROUP. Let's go!!!!Comment -
Opie, how's 47.5 o/u on wins?
That's right in the middle of what I said. (35 losses)Comment -
Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:
Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:
Game 1:
Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%
Game 2:
Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%
So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%
******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.
Habs up 4-1.
ggComment -
I have the Habs you ******* idiot lol. I just said the Avs would get smoked though.Comment -
nice edit lol, wtf did you edit you typed 'Habs up 4-1. gg' Did you manage to spell wrong? LOLComment -
just put your other quote in...
Lol, sure you have the Habs.
I was just telling people that both the Habs game and Avs games are 50/50 games...so take the dog in both. I dont care about %s and all that sharp/square bull shit. I was just warning the high % of people that were paying high juice for the Flyers, that they shouldnt do it. Dont know what your problem is, and why so many people here start all these E-fights. Sorry for trying to warn -140 Flyers backers that their bet wasnt good value.
Anyways, if you were on Habs, congrats on (most likely) cashing the + ticket.Comment
