Alert: Must bet NHL game.

HOT WINGS · 10-26-11, 05:52 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Rod bets too many DOGS..that does not work

False.... Dogs were 6-3 +5.93x last night alone. You pick Dogs in hockey or long term you will lose.

Cicima6709 · 10-26-11, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by dontbuythehook

Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:

Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:

Game 1:

Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%

Game 2:

Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%

So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%

******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.

Lol...whatever you say buddy. I like the Avs today, much better value in the odds. I think both Avs/Flyers have around the same chance of winning, yet Avs are + while Flyers are -140.

As for your %...just based on SBR Odds alone, im seeing 53% on the Avs.

You can do what you want man, just letting you know i think the value is on the Candiens and Avs. Obviously i might be wrong, but you dont have to be a dick about it? Theres a huge difference between a team being +110 and -140, long term, especially if i think both have similar chances to win.

Lol, this is one of the reasons why i dont post my picks here every day. People always hating, and most have no idea what their even hating about.

Glitch · 10-26-11, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Rod bets too many DOGS..that does not work

coyotes were the favorites. rod is stuck in last year like the books.

i think he'll maybe be able to pick ok later in the year when he realizes how much all these teams have changed.

jjgold · 10-26-11, 08:36 AM

Forget betting percentages they mean nothing

Fading so called public plays is so square it is not even funny

Watch the fukkin games, know the players, goalies, injuries, home ice advantage

Cicima6709 · 10-26-11, 08:41 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Forget betting percentages they mean nothing

Fading so called public plays is so square it is not even funny

Watch the fukkin games, know the players, goalies, injuries, home ice advantage

Agreed.

I dont care what people consider sharp or square...ill gladly eat the high juice if i think its worth it and has value. It all comes down to value. I'll take a -200 if i think the real line should be -300.

In this case i was just showing the guy who thinks COL is a huge public play, that it isnt.

Anyways, i like the Canadiens today. Think Price has a huge game...

Glitch · 10-26-11, 08:45 AM

betting percentage should only matter if the lines moving the wrong way in proportion to betting volume.

90 percent on a team but the odds to take them are becoming more favorable.

Ice House · 10-26-11, 10:04 AM

did rod win this?

jjgold · 10-26-11, 10:05 AM

No

No such thing as a must bet NHL game

Look for off sports for this type of bet

k13 · 10-26-11, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by opie1988

FUKK YES BITCHES!!!!

We kick ass.

Fade these Stars and its gonna be a long godd*m year.

They'll fade just like last year. Lose 30-40 games at least.

k13 · 10-26-11, 10:39 AM

Originally posted by k13

I think you can take the rest of the 8 dogs tonight and profit.

That was the better idea.

Shitty loss though Rod, hate when a team chokes in the last minute.

Then you know they lose for sure in OT.

opie1988 · 10-26-11, 10:41 AM

Originally posted by k13

They'll fade just like last year. Lose 30-40 games at least.

Why don't we make a wager about this?

onlooker · 10-26-11, 10:45 AM

WTF happen? The last I checked the score was 2-1 Coyotes with 2 minutes left.

BIGDAY · 10-26-11, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by onlooker

WTF happen? The last I checked the score was 2-1 Coyotes with 2 minutes left.

Sucks. Rod we need a winner pal.

onlooker · 10-26-11, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by opie1988

Why don't we make a wager about this?

Ice House · 10-26-11, 10:51 AM

ever since JJ told everyone Rod and TTrace were the best cappers he has been ice cold....

hopefully TTrace will keep up the hot streak

k13 · 10-26-11, 10:55 AM

Originally posted by opie1988

Why don't we make a wager about this?

Ok.

What's the exact line you think is fair or want to take at?

Rod1010 · 10-26-11, 11:21 AM

225 replies

No time to read it all

Can't catch a fukkin break these days, TIME TO REGROUP. Let's go!!!!

k13 · 10-26-11, 11:43 AM

Opie, how's 47.5 o/u on wins?

That's right in the middle of what I said. (35 losses)

dontbuythehook · 10-26-11, 12:28 PM

Originally posted by Cicima6709

Agreed.

I dont care what people consider sharp or square...ill gladly eat the high juice if i think its worth it and has value. It all comes down to value. I'll take a -200 if i think the real line should be -300.

In this case i was just showing the guy who thinks COL is a huge public play, that it isnt.

Anyways, i like the Canadiens today. Think Price has a huge game...

SBR Odds is inaccurate, and you should only gather betting percentages from sites you actually pay for the service for. Via SportsInsights:

Colorado Avalance (ML): 67%
Calgary Flames (ML): 33%

gg.

opie1988 · 10-26-11, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by k13

Opie, how's 47.5 o/u on wins?

That's right in the middle of what I said. (35 losses)

On my phone, but I'll look as soon as I get back to office. I'll definitely do something with you on this.

Cicima6709 · 10-26-11, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by dontbuythehook

Okay, so you state Philly is a huge public play and -140 is too much, then you turn around and take a dog b/c you assume getting + points = sharp, yet avs are obviously going to be a bigger public play here:

Percentages broken down of current bets on both games:

Game 1:

Flyers: 70%
Montreal: 30%

Game 2:

Avalanche: 84%
Calgary: 16%

So, it is more square to take Philly @ 70% on the ML, but it's totally sharp to take Avs +110 @ 84%

******* mush just refuses to lay juice but tries to make agreeable 'sharp' picks yet he's completely in denial about where the money is obviously going to go.

Originally posted by dontbuythehook

SBR Odds is inaccurate, and you should only gather betting percentages from sites you actually pay for the service for. Via SportsInsights:

Colorado Avalance (ML): 67%
Calgary Flames (ML): 33%

gg.

Habs up 4-1.

gg

dontbuythehook · 10-26-11, 08:42 PM

I have the Habs you ******* idiot lol. I just said the Avs would get smoked though.

dontbuythehook · 10-26-11, 08:43 PM

nice edit lol, wtf did you edit you typed 'Habs up 4-1. gg' Did you manage to spell wrong? LOL

Cicima6709 · 10-26-11, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by dontbuythehook

nice edit lol, wtf did you edit you typed 'Habs up 4-1. gg' Did you manage to spell wrong? LOL

just put your other quote in...

Lol, sure you have the Habs.

I was just telling people that both the Habs game and Avs games are 50/50 games...so take the dog in both. I dont care about %s and all that sharp/square bull shit. I was just warning the high % of people that were paying high juice for the Flyers, that they shouldnt do it. Dont know what your problem is, and why so many people here start all these E-fights. Sorry for trying to warn -140 Flyers backers that their bet wasnt good value.

Anyways, if you were on Habs, congrats on (most likely) cashing the + ticket.