the problem is that you don't really know what you're talking about, you spout out stats without being familiar with the team your discussing. You claim Oregon has a bad defense when they were one of the statistically best defenses in the country last year despite playing in a system that makes it very VERY difficult to put up good defensive stats (I want to see the ravens or steelers in the NFL put up good stats with an offense that scores in 2 minute drives and forces the defense to be in the field non stop)
you claim cal has a good offense because they're averaging 35 points per game playing teams our local high school would beat and you're betting against a team that has won 8 straight home games by an average of 35-40 points
what more is there really to say?
didn't we see this last year with Oregon playing UCLA on a thursday night (basically same caliber team as cal) and winning by 57???