The Seer's 2011 NCAAF & NFL thread

SimonSayz · 12-29-11, 10:18 AM

Lets get em today Seer. I got hit for 10x yesterday so it is back to basics.

Leans...FSU, Baylor, unders in both games.

The Seer · 12-29-11, 03:58 PM

Lost about 1.5 units yesterday.
No indepth write ups today. Pressed for time. I Had a lean on FSU earlier but not so much now. I'm just playing the dog there, really no other reason. As far as Washington, Art Briles' bowl record is 0-4 and 1-3 ATS. RG III winning the heisman has this number inflated. Baylor's defense won't be able to stop the Huskies. No totals.
Notre Dame +3.5 -115 1 unit
Washington +10 2 units

jihadvillager · 12-29-11, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

Lost about 1.5 units yesterday.
No indepth write ups today. Pressed for time. I Had a lean on FSU earlier but not so much now. I'm just playing the dog there, really no other reason. As far as Washington, Art Briles' bowl record is 0-4 and 1-3 ATS. RG III winning the heisman has this number inflated. Baylor's defense won't be able to stop the Huskies. No totals.
Notre Dame +3.5 -115 1 unit
Washington +10 2 units

Thank you seer

james4512 · 12-29-11, 05:01 PM

awkward on opposite sides

rake922 · 12-29-11, 05:23 PM

At least one Dog will cover today I say

shocktopme · 12-29-11, 07:23 PM

.

So far lookin good on ND +3.5.......Great stuff bud!!

jihadvillager · 12-29-11, 09:04 PM

Late money on Washington- one of my lines dropped from +9.5 to +7.5 in the last 10 minutes.

rake922 · 12-29-11, 09:07 PM

here

rake922 · 12-29-11, 10:03 PM

RG3 is fuckin on roids or something.. come on this guy !!!!!!

shocktopme · 12-30-11, 12:20 AM

.

Seer is either cappin BYU/Tulsa game or gettin laid!!!We got a tough one here bud!!!!!Lean Tulsa but which BYU QB will start??If its Heaps then its all Tulsa......Waitin on my buds input.....

sweethook · 12-30-11, 12:32 AM

100 point game , its like basketball here

jgray · 12-30-11, 12:41 AM

He tends to play unders so maybe he got away from one here...

jihadvillager · 12-30-11, 12:45 AM

wow. why did fat boy even grab the ball- bad beat. lets kill it Friday and Saturday- 9 games to go +NFL sunday

The Seer · 12-30-11, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

wow. why did fat boy even grab the ball

I wanted to fukking shoot that bastard. They should castrate both of these defensive coordinators. I got home just in time to catch the 4th quarter debacle. Today sure took a good chunk out of those bowl profits.

jaeguyoon · 12-30-11, 12:55 AM

I was really clueless to why he grabbed it...... at least hold on to the ball..... Oh well let's get em tmr seer.

jihadvillager · 12-30-11, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by The Seer

I wanted to fukking shoot that bastard. They should castrate both of these defensive coordinators. I got home just in time to catch the 4th quarter debacle. Today sure took a good chunk out of those bowl profits.

Variance- still will be riding your plays without a doubt- even with today still up huge since i've been tailing- guess the books go down w/ us tonight as everyone and their moms were on baylor /baylor ML/baylor/over teasers

Really dont understand what that guy was doing though- he ran in there like he was intercepting the ball from the designated returner

The Seer · 12-30-11, 01:12 AM

Originally posted by shocktopme

Seer is either cappin BYU/Tulsa game or gettin laid!!!We got a tough one here bud!!!!!Lean Tulsa but which BYU QB will start??If its Heaps then its all Tulsa......Waitin on my buds input.....

BYU has not used all of their allotted practices for this bowl among other reasons. I'm not convinced they are trying to win it. I just put 2 units on Tulsa at -1 and another 2 units on Iowa +14. Today has me a tad shy though but I'm going to keep doing what I've been doing. I'm going to grind these other games out too.

grizzy · 12-30-11, 01:20 AM

I strongly believe we would have got the back door had Washington not fumbled that kick-off. Hate guys who don't know their role and try to be hero's. What was he trying to do there? What an idiot. Good work Seer.

What are your thoughts on the Iowa game? I have okie -13.5 as the last leg of a parlay that I will be hedging - just looking for more info to determine the hedge amount. Thx again for all the hard work Seer!

The Seer · 12-30-11, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by The Seer

BYU has not used all of their allotted practices for this bowl among other reasons. I'm not convinced they are trying to win it. 2 units on Tulsa at -1 .

BYU coach Bronco Mendenhall is a good coach but I think Tulsa's QB dual threat G.J. Kinne will be the difference here.
Tulsa's 4 losses were to No 1 Oklahoma, no 8 Oklahoma St, No 4 Boise, and no 8 Houston.

jihadvillager · 12-30-11, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

BYU has not used all of their allotted practices for this bowl among other reasons. I'm not convinced they are trying to win it. I just put 2 units on Tulsa at -1 and another 2 units on Iowa +14. Today has me a tad shy though but I'm going to keep doing what I've been doing. I'm going to grind these other games out too.

On it

The Seer · 12-30-11, 12:05 PM

FYI: BYU only sold 3000 tickets for this game. This a big recruiting area for Tulsa as they have players from this area. GL

jihadvillager · 12-30-11, 12:07 PM

CAn we expect possible mid day adds on the other games? Or are you sticking with these two selections for the day

The Seer · 12-30-11, 12:10 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

CAn we expect possible mid day adds on the other games? Or are you sticking with these two selections for the day

still working on those

shocktopme · 12-30-11, 12:14 PM

.

Im on Tulsa too my friend!!!Should go over too!!!

james4512 · 12-30-11, 01:29 PM

on tulsa as well no line movement in the wake game makes me think they make it a game might add them hmmm

The Seer · 12-30-11, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by shocktopme

Im on Tulsa too my friend!!!Should go over too!!!

I'm getting tired of this fluke shit happening in these bowls though. I can't believe that dumbass muffed the punt with seconds left in the half. Tulsa is way better than BYU and has a 4 point lead to show for it. I leaned under though.

Originally posted by james4512

on tulsa as well no line movement in the wake game makes me think they make it a game might add them hmmm

I'm leaning Wake but it won't be more than a unit.

Holtgetsback · 12-30-11, 01:41 PM

Roll Cane!!!!!!

The Seer · 12-30-11, 01:49 PM

In case anyone is interested: I have about 25 pages of stats, trends, angles, practice info, bowl history, coaching records, ticket sales info & anything else that I can find on these bowl match ups and just about everything I've got on the Mich-VTech match up points to a Michigan blow out. I went ahead and put 3 units on it at -2.5 but if I can be up enough + units, I may go ahead and make it a 5 unit play. It would easily be my biggest bowl play. If something happens or I find something contrary to playing Mich then I can probably buy some VT back at +3 later as I expect it will get there.

opie1988 · 12-30-11, 01:59 PM

Good luck, Seer.

Have really enjoyed your insight this year. Looking forward to the rest of the year.

The Seer · 12-30-11, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by opie1988

Good luck, Seer. Have really enjoyed your insight this year. Looking forward to the rest of the year.

Thanks Opie, I just enjoy betting on football games and trying to pick the right side. Sharing info is the main reason I post here. I don't get involved in all of the drama as much as some posters but I will on occasion. I'm glad I kept everything in one thread this year. It has actually kept me more organized and accountable to myself. I have had better money management this year as well because of it. If I have helped others in the process then that is just a bonus. I have enjoyed it and everyone that has participated. We are here to make money. I plan on doing it in this format next year as well and I recommend it to others. Here's to the New Year

canepole · 12-30-11, 02:16 PM

Seer appreciate your picks thanks for help

paco · 12-30-11, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

In case anyone is interested: I have about 25 pages of stats, trends, angles, practice info, bowl history, coaching records, ticket sales info & anything else that I can find on these bowl match ups and just about everything I've got on the Mich-VTech match up points to a Michigan blow out. I went ahead and put 3 units on it at -2.5 but if I can be up enough + units, I may go ahead and make it a 5 unit play. It would easily be my biggest bowl play. If something happens or I find something contrary to playing Mich then I can probably buy some VT back at +3 later as I expect it will get there.

Gl. I also put in Michigan 3 weeks ago when line first came out.

The Seer · 12-30-11, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by canepole

Seer appreciate your picks thanks for help

Originally posted by paco

Gl. I also put in Michigan 3 weeks ago when line first came out.

The Seer · 12-30-11, 03:15 PM

Iowa St -1.5 1 unit
It scares me that Shiano is 4-0-1 ATS in bowls and that this is basically a home game but I think this team thinks about how they blew their shot at winning the Big East and a BCS bowl. Iowa state played much tougher opponents and has a slight motivational edge.

The Seer · 12-30-11, 03:16 PM

this shit is getting old, it all really comes down to that useless muffed punt before the half