To All Those Who Said It's Impossible to hit 60%...

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  • MrXYZ
    SBR MVP
    • 02-18-11
    • 2342

    #106
    Congrats SJ, that's outstanding work. Thanks for sharing your picks & insights, I've gotten a real education on capping & made $10k this season from following you. .
    Comment
    • Salmon Steak
      SBR MVP
      • 03-05-10
      • 2110

      #107
      the binomial distrobution is giving a 7.23% chance his sides are luck if I am doing my math right. Also, I don't understand why you are still flat betting? You should really look into Kelly http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_formula or something similar. Maybe speak with someone who knows more about investing money. Good run though man
      Comment
      • Br0nxer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-25-11
        • 13665

        #108
        if true impressive.
        Comment
        • sportfan
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-22-09
          • 10111

          #109
          60% is great , congrats SJ
          Comment
          • PlatinumBerg
            SBR MVP
            • 03-01-10
            • 1058

            #110
            Good job buddy! Keep up the good work!
            Comment
            • lunchbawks
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-31-10
              • 12873

              #111
              So sad the NBA season is over
              Comment
              • InTheDrink
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-23-09
                • 23983

                #112
                All picks are posted on here or on twitter...or both? Tweets can be deleted easily
                Comment
                • sweetjones55
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-07-09
                  • 5257

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Salmon Steak
                  the binomial distrobution is giving a 7.23% chance his sides are luck if I am doing my math right. Also, I don't understand why you are still flat betting? You should really look into Kelly http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_formula or something similar. Maybe speak with someone who knows more about investing money. Good run though man
                  I don't flat bet, I have a 1-5 UNIT scale.
                  Scared money don't make money

                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                  Comment
                  • sweetjones55
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-07-09
                    • 5257

                    #114
                    Originally posted by InTheDrink
                    All picks are posted on here or on twitter...or both? Tweets can be deleted easily
                    All picks are posted on SBR and on twitter. I don't delete tweets, I have a pretty big following with my thread generating 1.5 million views and a lot of haters and they are just dieng for me to try and do something like that and call me out. I even had a guy this year create a twitter account claiming to be me and saying my twitter account was hacked. Here is the link to my NBA thread.
                    Scared money don't make money

                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                    Comment
                    • JohnnyD4916
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-14-10
                      • 1572

                      #115
                      Good job keep it up
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #116
                        I think Sweeter is legit with his picks
                        Comment
                        • Rod1010
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-01-10
                          • 6208

                          #117
                          If i was you I would go tout. You have to make money anyway possible these days .. dont listen to the idiots on this site.


                          SweetJones do it now before its too late.
                          Comment
                          • Ralphie1412
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-08
                            • 13963

                            #118
                            SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?
                            "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                            Goat Milk
                            Comment
                            • nyjets15
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-27-11
                              • 873

                              #119
                              Originally posted by vyomguy
                              You can hit more than 60% easily in NBA....I hit 68-70% this year in NBA....but I dont post any picks here...coz I dont want SBR mooching off of me. There are so many angles which are profitable in NBA...its ridiculous. So, 60% is not really a "impossible" percentage. It can be easily done. Most posters here dont have a clue about money management and are long term losers. So, 60% seems out of whack for them. But proper research, hard work and line study will give you amazing results.
                              lol......you must be amazing at life
                              Comment
                              • tofuman
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-11-10
                                • 887

                                #120
                                once you hit 1000 plays your percentage will definitely be under 60. but by then if you are still above 53% that would be good
                                local forum troll
                                Comment
                                • Dutch
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-21-10
                                  • 4339

                                  #121
                                  I quietly followed SJ55's thread. Didn't really tail him, unless he had some really good reasons for taking a side, and I have no opinion on his style of betting or whatever but I can say he's not the type to edit or delete posts.

                                  Congrats SJ!!
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                    SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?

                                    EGO is huge on this site. Look around Ralphie.
                                    Comment
                                    • InTheDrink
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-23-09
                                      • 23983

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by sweetjones55

                                      All picks are posted on SBR and on twitter. I don't delete tweets, I have a pretty big following with my thread generating 1.5 million views and a lot of haters and they are just dieng for me to try and do something like that and call me out. I even had a guy this year create a twitter account claiming to be me and saying my twitter account was hacked. Here is the link to my NBA thread.
                                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ml#post9728937
                                      Makes sense. Nice work SJ!
                                      Comment
                                      • sweetjones55
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-07-09
                                        • 5257

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                        Lakers -3.5 -140 LOCKED (x2) WINNER!!

                                        I am going to be rolling with the Lakers playing on the road in New Orleans. The series is tied 1-1 with New Orleans stealing game 1 and the Lakers winning game 2.This game is huge for the Lakers, they badly do not want to go down 2-1 to the Hornets having to still play another game in New Orleans. The Lakers have typically shown up big in the playoffs when the series is tied. They are 9-1 their last ten games when tied in a playoff series. The only loss was against the Boston Celtics in the Finals, obviously the Hornets are no where near the level of Boston. Going back further, since 1996 the Lakers are 21-7 (75%) SU when tied in a series.

                                        I think the Lakers got back to what made them such a great team the last couple of years. They were never a high scoring team that would try to run you out of the building, it was always about defense. They held New Orleans to 78 points last game. I see the Lakers coming out focused on defense playing on the road, they will contest shots and make things very tough for New Orleans. I thought the move of putting Kobe on Paul was also a pretty smart move defensively.

                                        The Lakers have yet to play a complete game in the playoffs thusfar and I think they will in game 3. They played pretty decently offensively game 1 scoring 100 points but played terrible defense allow 109 that game and then played great defense game 2 but didn't score much at all. Gasol has played terrible in the series so far and I think he will at least hit his averages tomorrow. Kobe struggled last game offensively but he usually bounces back in the playoffs. Odom should have a pretty nice game, he's playing confidently and is a matchup disaster for the Hornets.

                                        I think the Hornets will have a real tough time outscoring the Lakers. I don't see them presenting any mismatches whatsoever. Chris Paul is a great player but he is by no means a great scorer. Chris Paul averages 15.9ppg this year and doesn't shoot very well for a PG at 46%. The Lakers did a good job defensively throwing Kobe on him and limiting him somewhat and that should continue game 3. Ariza is not a mismatch with Artest. Neither Landry or Okafor are mismatches on Gasol or Bynum. The Hornets bench doesn't have much fire power either with Green, Jack, Mbenga, Smith, or Grey (whose playing injured).

                                        I think the Lakers will come out with a chip on their shoulder tomorrow night. They owned the Hornets in New Orleans during the regular season winning by 15 points and 6 points. The 15 point win was not even indicitive of the game as the Lakers led by 23 going into the 4th quarter. The 6 point win was a closer game with the Lakers up 6 at half, then blowing the lead in the 3rd quarter but regaining control in the 4th quarter and winning. I see LA winning this game by about 7-10 points.
                                        Lakers smoke the Hornets from start to finish. Nice two unit winner, 1-0 +2 UNITS tonight.

                                        For those that thought this thread would bite me in the butt,
                                        Scared money don't make money

                                        182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                        37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                        Comment
                                        • DDalton21
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 04-06-11
                                          • 83

                                          #125
                                          It's possible but unlikely over a long period of time
                                          Comment
                                          • sweetjones55
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-07-09
                                            • 5257

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                            SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?
                                            60% over 500 plays was a goal of mine so achieving it was big for me personally. I do care about my rep within a small group of posters but that's about it.
                                            Scared money don't make money

                                            182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                            37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by sweetjones55
                                              Lakers smoke the Hornets from start to finish. Nice two unit winner, 1-0 +2 UNITS tonight.

                                              For those that thought this thread would bite me in the butt,

                                              Why on earth would you buy that many points on LA?
                                              Comment
                                              • dante1
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-31-05
                                                • 38647

                                                #128
                                                Nice again, thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • sweetjones55
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                  • 5257

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy


                                                  Why on earth would you buy that many points on LA?
                                                  Because in the case it's a close game the Lakers would still pull off the cover for me. Teams down by 3 will always foul. I have bought 1.5 points twice in the last week and both games won because I did so.
                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweetjones55
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                    • 5257

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by dante1
                                                    Nice again, thanks
                                                    No problem
                                                    Scared money don't make money

                                                    182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                    37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aman86
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-29-09
                                                      • 3115

                                                      #131
                                                      nice you must be very very rich now
                                                      Comment
                                                      • PlatinumBerg
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-01-10
                                                        • 1058

                                                        #132
                                                        How much are you up this season?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Git Lo
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-11
                                                          • 3785

                                                          #133
                                                          thanks for answering those I am actually in the process of rewatching games so I can bet on more games, probably get into college bball too so I can look into prospects. congrats again and lets do it again next year
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Ralphie1412
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-08
                                                            • 13963

                                                            #134
                                                            SJ are you hosting autograph sessions anytime soon?
                                                            "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                            Goat Milk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sweetjones55
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-07-09
                                                              • 5257

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
                                                              How much are you up this season?
                                                              About 30 UNITS.
                                                              Scared money don't make money

                                                              182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                              37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Dexter
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 25829

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by RoagBettor
                                                                When someone else can demonstrate 60% over 500 plays, then you can brag like SJ. Anyone can pick 60% over a small sample size. Very few professional cappers have hit around 60% with this many plays.
                                                                how do you know that?

                                                                the true professional sharps are not touts or posting their plays on a gambling forum.

                                                                im not at all saying that a ton of people hit 60% over 500 plays, but i think you're forgetting about all the pros there are that are not in the circles you seem to follow...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sweetjones55
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                                  • 5257

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  Originally posted by fsutomahawk
                                                                  Well done! That really is a great accomplishment, and shows that old school capping is still viable. You don't have to be a computer nerd to make money doing this.
                                                                  Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                  Congrats SJ, that's outstanding work. Thanks for sharing your picks & insights, I've gotten a real education on capping & made $10k this season from following you. .
                                                                  Appreciate it
                                                                  Scared money don't make money

                                                                  182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
                                                                  37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • GTS925
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-06-10
                                                                    • 1158

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by GGRIF82
                                                                    SO,WHAT IS IT TONIGHT
                                                                    Grizzlies
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EasyHustlin
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-15-10
                                                                      • 633

                                                                      #139
                                                                      I'll admit I stopped tailing you back when you hit a rough stretch in January. Glad to see you turned it around, congratulations sj.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • GatorFan
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-19-07
                                                                        • 2969

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Nice work. Congratulate to you SJ !!!
                                                                        Comment
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