Congrats SJ, that's outstanding work. Thanks for sharing your picks & insights, I've gotten a real education on capping & made $10k this season from following you. .
Comment
Salmon Steak
SBR MVP
03-05-10
2110
#107
the binomial distrobution is giving a 7.23% chance his sides are luck if I am doing my math right. Also, I don't understand why you are still flat betting? You should really look into Kelly http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_formula or something similar. Maybe speak with someone who knows more about investing money. Good run though man
Comment
Br0nxer
SBR Posting Legend
03-25-11
13665
#108
if true impressive.
Comment
sportfan
SBR Posting Legend
12-22-09
10111
#109
60% is great , congrats SJ
Comment
PlatinumBerg
SBR MVP
03-01-10
1058
#110
Good job buddy! Keep up the good work!
Comment
lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#111
So sad the NBA season is over
Comment
InTheDrink
SBR Posting Legend
11-23-09
23983
#112
All picks are posted on here or on twitter...or both? Tweets can be deleted easily
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#113
Originally posted by Salmon Steak
the binomial distrobution is giving a 7.23% chance his sides are luck if I am doing my math right. Also, I don't understand why you are still flat betting? You should really look into Kelly http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_formula or something similar. Maybe speak with someone who knows more about investing money. Good run though man
I don't flat bet, I have a 1-5 UNIT scale.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#114
Originally posted by InTheDrink
All picks are posted on here or on twitter...or both? Tweets can be deleted easily
All picks are posted on SBR and on twitter. I don't delete tweets, I have a pretty big following with my thread generating 1.5 million views and a lot of haters and they are just dieng for me to try and do something like that and call me out. I even had a guy this year create a twitter account claiming to be me and saying my twitter account was hacked. Here is the link to my NBA thread.
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
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JohnnyD4916
SBR MVP
04-14-10
1572
#115
Good job keep it up
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#116
I think Sweeter is legit with his picks
Comment
Rod1010
SBR Hall of Famer
09-01-10
6208
#117
If i was you I would go tout. You have to make money anyway possible these days .. dont listen to the idiots on this site.
SweetJones do it now before its too late.
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#118
SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
Comment
nyjets15
Restricted User
01-27-11
873
#119
Originally posted by vyomguy
You can hit more than 60% easily in NBA....I hit 68-70% this year in NBA....but I dont post any picks here...coz I dont want SBR mooching off of me. There are so many angles which are profitable in NBA...its ridiculous. So, 60% is not really a "impossible" percentage. It can be easily done. Most posters here dont have a clue about money management and are long term losers. So, 60% seems out of whack for them. But proper research, hard work and line study will give you amazing results.
lol......you must be amazing at life
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tofuman
SBR Wise Guy
01-11-10
887
#120
once you hit 1000 plays your percentage will definitely be under 60. but by then if you are still above 53% that would be good
local forum troll
Comment
Dutch
SBR MVP
09-21-10
4339
#121
I quietly followed SJ55's thread. Didn't really tail him, unless he had some really good reasons for taking a side, and I have no opinion on his style of betting or whatever but I can say he's not the type to edit or delete posts.
Congrats SJ!!
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#122
Originally posted by Ralphie1412
SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?
EGO is huge on this site. Look around Ralphie.
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InTheDrink
SBR Posting Legend
11-23-09
23983
#123
Originally posted by sweetjones55
All picks are posted on SBR and on twitter. I don't delete tweets, I have a pretty big following with my thread generating 1.5 million views and a lot of haters and they are just dieng for me to try and do something like that and call me out. I even had a guy this year create a twitter account claiming to be me and saying my twitter account was hacked. Here is the link to my NBA thread. http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...ml#post9728937
Makes sense. Nice work SJ!
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#124
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Lakers -3.5 -140 LOCKED (x2) WINNER!!
I am going to be rolling with the Lakers playing on the road in New Orleans. The series is tied 1-1 with New Orleans stealing game 1 and the Lakers winning game 2.This game is huge for the Lakers, they badly do not want to go down 2-1 to the Hornets having to still play another game in New Orleans. The Lakers have typically shown up big in the playoffs when the series is tied. They are 9-1 their last ten games when tied in a playoff series. The only loss was against the Boston Celtics in the Finals, obviously the Hornets are no where near the level of Boston. Going back further, since 1996 the Lakers are 21-7 (75%) SU when tied in a series.
I think the Lakers got back to what made them such a great team the last couple of years. They were never a high scoring team that would try to run you out of the building, it was always about defense. They held New Orleans to 78 points last game. I see the Lakers coming out focused on defense playing on the road, they will contest shots and make things very tough for New Orleans. I thought the move of putting Kobe on Paul was also a pretty smart move defensively.
The Lakers have yet to play a complete game in the playoffs thusfar and I think they will in game 3. They played pretty decently offensively game 1 scoring 100 points but played terrible defense allow 109 that game and then played great defense game 2 but didn't score much at all. Gasol has played terrible in the series so far and I think he will at least hit his averages tomorrow. Kobe struggled last game offensively but he usually bounces back in the playoffs. Odom should have a pretty nice game, he's playing confidently and is a matchup disaster for the Hornets.
I think the Hornets will have a real tough time outscoring the Lakers. I don't see them presenting any mismatches whatsoever. Chris Paul is a great player but he is by no means a great scorer. Chris Paul averages 15.9ppg this year and doesn't shoot very well for a PG at 46%. The Lakers did a good job defensively throwing Kobe on him and limiting him somewhat and that should continue game 3. Ariza is not a mismatch with Artest. Neither Landry or Okafor are mismatches on Gasol or Bynum. The Hornets bench doesn't have much fire power either with Green, Jack, Mbenga, Smith, or Grey (whose playing injured).
I think the Lakers will come out with a chip on their shoulder tomorrow night. They owned the Hornets in New Orleans during the regular season winning by 15 points and 6 points. The 15 point win was not even indicitive of the game as the Lakers led by 23 going into the 4th quarter. The 6 point win was a closer game with the Lakers up 6 at half, then blowing the lead in the 3rd quarter but regaining control in the 4th quarter and winning. I see LA winning this game by about 7-10 points.
Lakers smoke the Hornets from start to finish. Nice two unit winner, 1-0 +2 UNITS tonight.
For those that thought this thread would bite me in the butt,
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
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DDalton21
SBR Hustler
04-06-11
83
#125
It's possible but unlikely over a long period of time
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#126
Originally posted by Ralphie1412
SJ you are unstable man. Why do you care so deeply about your SBR rep. Its clear its very important to you. Was this really worth a separate thread to toot your own horn?
60% over 500 plays was a goal of mine so achieving it was big for me personally. I do care about my rep within a small group of posters but that's about it.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#127
Originally posted by sweetjones55
Lakers smoke the Hornets from start to finish. Nice two unit winner, 1-0 +2 UNITS tonight.
For those that thought this thread would bite me in the butt,
Why on earth would you buy that many points on LA?
Comment
dante1
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-31-05
38647
#128
Nice again, thanks
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#129
Originally posted by lakerboy
Why on earth would you buy that many points on LA?
Because in the case it's a close game the Lakers would still pull off the cover for me. Teams down by 3 will always foul. I have bought 1.5 points twice in the last week and both games won because I did so.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#130
Originally posted by dante1
Nice again, thanks
No problem
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
aman86
SBR MVP
08-29-09
3115
#131
nice you must be very very rich now
Comment
PlatinumBerg
SBR MVP
03-01-10
1058
#132
How much are you up this season?
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Git Lo
SBR MVP
02-20-11
3785
#133
thanks for answering those I am actually in the process of rewatching games so I can bet on more games, probably get into college bball too so I can look into prospects. congrats again and lets do it again next year
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#134
SJ are you hosting autograph sessions anytime soon?
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
Comment
sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#135
Originally posted by PlatinumBerg
How much are you up this season?
About 30 UNITS.
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#136
Originally posted by RoagBettor
When someone else can demonstrate 60% over 500 plays, then you can brag like SJ. Anyone can pick 60% over a small sample size. Very few professional cappers have hit around 60% with this many plays.
how do you know that?
the true professional sharps are not touts or posting their plays on a gambling forum.
im not at all saying that a ton of people hit 60% over 500 plays, but i think you're forgetting about all the pros there are that are not in the circles you seem to follow...
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sweetjones55
SBR Hall of Famer
04-07-09
5257
#137
Originally posted by paco
Originally posted by fsutomahawk
Well done! That really is a great accomplishment, and shows that old school capping is still viable. You don't have to be a computer nerd to make money doing this.
Originally posted by MrXYZ
Congrats SJ, that's outstanding work. Thanks for sharing your picks & insights, I've gotten a real education on capping & made $10k this season from following you. .
Appreciate it
Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFS
Comment
GTS925
Restricted User
11-06-10
1158
#138
Originally posted by GGRIF82
SO,WHAT IS IT TONIGHT
Grizzlies
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EasyHustlin
SBR Wise Guy
07-15-10
633
#139
I'll admit I stopped tailing you back when you hit a rough stretch in January. Glad to see you turned it around, congratulations sj.