Camoflauge and sportsbooks

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  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #36
    Originally posted by crazyl
    Justin as I touched on last night, occasionally make six team parlays and you will fly right under the radar brother.
    I've been backed off of 2 Vegas books, and Las Palmas for playing parlays... All 6+ teamers.
    Comment
    • durito
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-03-06
      • 13173

      #37
      justin -- are you a full time gambler or do you do something else? i recall someone mentioning you being an attorney. you don't have to answer here if you don't want.
      Comment
      • rake922
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-23-07
        • 11692

        #38
        Can somebody answer post# 19 ?

        Maybe even Justin
        Comment
        • Justin7
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-31-06
          • 8577

          #39
          Originally posted by durito
          justin -- are you a full time gambler or do you do something else? i recall someone mentioning you being an attorney. you don't have to answer here if you don't want.
          I used to be a practicing attorney. I am still licensed and do an occasional case, but I've been a full time gambler for 4 years. I was part time for a few years before that, bu t quickly realized my time was better spent in "applied mathematics" than ambulance chasing... Although I'm a pretty decent trial attorney.
          Comment
          • SBR Lou
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-02-07
            • 37863

            #40
            Originally posted by Justin7
            I used to be a practicing attorney. I am still licensed and do an occasional case, but I've been a full time gambler for 4 years. I was part time for a few years before that, bu t quickly realized my time was better spent in "applied mathematics" than ambulance chasing... Although I'm a pretty decent trial attorney.
            Did you pass the bar your first time?
            Comment
            • bigboydan
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-10-05
              • 55420

              #41
              Anyone else have any other tricks of the trade they care to share in order to stay under the radar?
              Comment
              • Peeig
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-06-08
                • 567

                #42
                Bump this thread, for chitz and gigglez
                Comment
                • sharpcat
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-19-09
                  • 4516

                  #43
                  I like to transfer funds between books by scalping, at the shop I am beating I will usually bet a huge dog and than I will bet the heavy favorite at another shop where my account is getting low or I am getting a good line. I would bet $500 to win on the dog and than bet to win $500 on the favorite this way if the favorite wins I get a free transfer and I look like a square to the book where I bet the dog, if the dog wins I lose $50 (losses can be minimized by line shopping) and have to try my transfer again.
                  Comment
                  • DukeJohn
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-29-07
                    • 1779

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Peeig
                    Bump this thread, for chitz and gigglez
                    LOL... I was reading over what I wrote on this 2 year old thread... man have things changed,

                    Thanks for the memories,

                    Comment
                    • Bluehorseshoe
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-13-06
                      • 15009

                      #45
                      Originally posted by sharpcat
                      I like to transfer funds between books by scalping, at the shop I am beating I will usually bet a huge dog and than I will bet the heavy favorite at another shop where my account is getting low or I am getting a good line. I would bet $500 to win on the dog and than bet to win $500 on the favorite this way if the favorite wins I get a free transfer and I look like a square to the book where I bet the dog, if the dog wins I lose $50 (losses can be minimized by line shopping) and have to try my transfer again.
                      I do that too. But it sucks when that big favorite loses.
                      Comment
                      • Dark Horse
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-14-05
                        • 13764

                        #46
                        Love camouflage. Camel E On Ice (The -independently moving- eyes of the invisibly blended in cameleon). My favorites are certain parlays as well, just a few per year, that will make me look squarer than square. I know the book thinks I lucked out and wants me to do it again.

                        And I try to reward generous bonus books. If you know how to win that should be no problem. Only way to keep those faucets of free extra cash flowing is to give them what they want. If you're not necessarily interested in playing long term at a book, you can also use the opposite of camouflage. Just tell a book straight up that you're a winning player, and that you will lose the money on purpose if they are generous as well. A win/win business relationship, in other words. Chances are they'll like it, but you have to be able to back it up (I've used an online record to back up my claim).
                        Comment
                        • GELATINOUS CUBE
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-09-09
                          • 4534

                          #47
                          So-if-you-lose-you-lose

                          AND-IF-YOU-WIN-YOU-GET-BANNED


                          THAT'S-WACK
                          blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
                          mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
                          gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
                          overall: 63-34 +$40,290
                          Comment
                          • Dark Horse
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-14-05
                            • 13764

                            #48
                            That can happen, but it (running up a winning record at the wrong place) usually happens to arbers who pick off the soft lines at the recreational book. Obviously, that's not how to reward such a book.
                            Comment
                            • thechaoz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12154

                              #49
                              Ugh I wish I knew how to get around the delay. Is it a software solution? Can you lead me in the right direction?
                              Comment
                              • luegofuego
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 06-16-10
                                • 96

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Dark Horse
                                Love camouflage. Camel E On Ice (The -independently moving- eyes of the invisibly blended in cameleon). My favorites are certain parlays as well, just a few per year, that will make me look squarer than square. I know the book thinks I lucked out and wants me to do it again.

                                And I try to reward generous bonus books. If you know how to win that should be no problem. Only way to keep those faucets of free extra cash flowing is to give them what they want. If you're not necessarily interested in playing long term at a book, you can also use the opposite of camouflage. Just tell a book straight up that you're a winning player, and that you will lose the money on purpose if they are generous as well. A win/win business relationship, in other words. Chances are they'll like it, but you have to be able to back it up (I've used an online record to back up my claim).
                                I know this is old, but I would LOVE if you would elaborate on this. You tell a bookie you will lose money to them if they give you a bonus? How is it even theoretically possible that both sides win in that scenario?
                                Comment
                                • Pokerjoe
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 04-17-09
                                  • 704

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Justin7
                                  On most bets, I have a good feel for what the win rate is. If you know how often a bet should win, you can figure out your expected value on a wager.
                                  You can never figure out your EV on a wager. You can guess at it, but the difference between "guessing" and "knowing" is not mere semantics.

                                  Even if a man offers to flip coins with you, paying you 3-1 when you win, you STILL don't know your EV.

                                  But it's actually probably negative.

                                  And it's also probably futile of me to argue the point here.

                                  And before someone chimes in and says they know their EV when they scalp, scalping isn't wagering, it is, in fact, the deliberate avoidance of wagering.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pokerjoe
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-17-09
                                    • 704

                                    #52
                                    But as to the OP question (and sorry I got off topic with reply above, but it's a pet peeve of mine, LOL)

                                    I remember doing what Sharpcat said in post 43, but I did it the other way. This was back when I seemed to almost always be betting dogs, so if I was up on a book, I'd bet the fave, hoping to lose (hopefully getting at least a push-scalp with Pinny). I'd do it a few times, either eventually losing (and effectively transfering money out) or at least making it seem like I was a fave-faver.

                                    But jeez, books would profile so freaking fast. I remember getting the Bowman's sharp line the second day I was in. Same with Bodog.

                                    Now, I understand that the Euro books profile right away, looking for arbers to boot or cripple-limit. Apparently they do it on one bet. All it takes is a single bet on a weak number to get booted, especially if you bet an odd number amount.

                                    So if you're arbing, apparently, don't just bet on one game, bet on a few; don't just bet on the one number the book offers that's the best in the world; and don't bet odd amounts. But then, you wouldn't be much good as an arber if you did all that, would you?
                                    Comment
                                    • trixtrix
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-13-06
                                      • 1897

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Pokerjoe
                                      Even if a man offers to flip coins with you, paying you 3-1 when you win, you STILL don't know your EV.
                                      at first i thought your post was just foolish

                                      and then i realized you might be referring to a biased coin, or maybe NOT betting heads/tails, in process of contemplating how many levels deep your post goes, my head asploded..
                                      Comment
                                      • ronald
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-31-05
                                        • 4919

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Pokerjoe
                                        But as to the OP question (and sorry I got off topic with reply above, but it's a pet peeve of mine, LOL)

                                        I remember doing what Sharpcat said in post 43, but I did it the other way. This was back when I seemed to almost always be betting dogs, so if I was up on a book, I'd bet the fave, hoping to lose (hopefully getting at least a push-scalp with Pinny). I'd do it a few times, either eventually losing (and effectively transfering money out) or at least making it seem like I was a fave-faver.

                                        But jeez, books would profile so freaking fast. I remember getting the Bowman's sharp line the second day I was in. Same with Bodog.

                                        Now, I understand that the Euro books profile right away, looking for arbers to boot or cripple-limit. Apparently they do it on one bet. All it takes is a single bet on a weak number to get booted, especially if you bet an odd number amount.

                                        So if you're arbing, apparently, don't just bet on one game, bet on a few; don't just bet on the one number the book offers that's the best in the world; and don't bet odd amounts. But then, you wouldn't be much good as an arber if you did all that, would you?
                                        Excellent post.
                                        Comment
                                        • big joe 1212
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-01-08
                                          • 19380

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Justin7
                                          Some bonus whores will use the casino to meet rollover. Many sportsbooks automatically profile a player as an idiot if you use a casino, so that is a plus. If you really want to stick around at a place, blow $50 in the casino.

                                          Another good idea... stay below half the limit bet. If they take $1k on a game, stay at $450 or less.

                                          Parlays... Also good. But don't do more than 3 teamers, unless there is a great promo.

                                          Very good advice!

                                          I do this at the SBR casino and they haven't shown me the door yet!
                                          Comment
                                          • mathdotcom
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-24-08
                                            • 11689

                                            #56
                                            What if you win $50 in the casino?
                                            Comment
                                            • durito
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-03-06
                                              • 13173

                                              #57
                                              The casino crap rarely works. And I can't believe how dumb I used to be.
                                              Comment
                                              • dodger33
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-14-09
                                                • 3962

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by mathdotcom
                                                What if you win $50 in the casino?
                                                Wait, people win at the casino?
                                                Comment
                                                • That Foreign Guy
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-18-10
                                                  • 432

                                                  #59
                                                  Wait, people stop at $50 in either direction at the casino?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Hoja Verdes
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-23-06
                                                    • 1403

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by MrX
                                                    Me too. Here's my normal procedure:

                                                    My Intuition: You're betting WHAT?! Are you nuts?
                                                    Math: All the data's right here. What's your question?
                                                    My Intuition: My question is how you think this pig could ever win this game.
                                                    Math: Just relax. There are a lot of factors at play.
                                                    My Intuition: Whatever, Math, throw your money away. See if I care.

                                                    --- 3 hours later

                                                    Math: See, was that so bad?
                                                    My Intuition: Damn, we got lucky on that one.
                                                    This is one of my favorite posts ever on SBR. Hilarious and so true!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Extra Innings
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 02-26-10
                                                      • 15058

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Justin7
                                                      Some bonus whores will use the casino to meet rollover. Many sportsbooks automatically profile a player as an idiot if you use a casino, so that is a plus. If you really want to stick around at a place, blow $50 in the casino.

                                                      Another good idea... stay below half the limit bet. If they take $1k on a game, stay at $450 or less.

                                                      Parlays... Also good. But don't do more than 3 teamers, unless there is a great promo.
                                                      Was unaware you could use the casino to complete a rollover...I'd look into that
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Peeig
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-06-08
                                                        • 567

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by durito
                                                        The casino crap rarely works. And I can't believe how dumb I used to be.
                                                        Agreed, have tried this and it hasn't been fruitful.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDaddy
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-01-06
                                                          • 8378

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Extra Innings
                                                          Was unaware you could use the casino to complete a rollover...I'd look into that
                                                          i don't know of any as well

                                                          a casino bonus is different from a sportsbook bonus and has a much higher rollover attached to it

                                                          im curious as well to learn what he is talking about.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • WendysRox
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 07-22-10
                                                            • 184

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by MrX
                                                            Me too. Here's my normal procedure:

                                                            My Intuition: You're betting WHAT?! Are you nuts?
                                                            Math: All the data's right here. What's your question?
                                                            My Intuition: My question is how you think this pig could ever win this game.
                                                            Math: Just relax. There are a lot of factors at play.
                                                            My Intuition: Whatever, Math, throw your money away. See if I care.

                                                            --- 3 hours later

                                                            Math: See, was that so bad?
                                                            My Intuition: Damn, we got lucky on that one.
                                                            I go through this on a weekly basis. Not that you care... But, back when I was "capping" my own games, I was a 50% winner at best. Now that I use a database, I am hitting around 60% minimum. And, again, half of the plays it selects have me thinking, "I should go light on this, it'll never win." Of course, I force myself to stay disciplined and bet what it tells me to bet, but it's nerve-racking sometimes.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Peregrine Stoop
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-23-09
                                                              • 869

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by WendysRox
                                                              I go through this on a weekly basis. Not that you care... But, back when I was "capping" my own games, I was a 50% winner at best. Now that I use a database, I am hitting around 60% minimum. And, again, half of the plays it selects have me thinking, "I should go light on this, it'll never win." Of course, I force myself to stay disciplined and bet what it tells me to bet, but it's nerve-racking sometimes.
                                                              you are not playing enough games if you are hitting at 60%
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sharpcat
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-19-09
                                                                • 4516

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by BigDaddy
                                                                i don't know of any as well

                                                                a casino bonus is different from a sportsbook bonus and has a much higher rollover attached to it

                                                                im curious as well to learn what he is talking about.
                                                                This thread has nothing to do with bonuses or rollovers

                                                                What he was referring to was making a few plays in the casino in order to make yourself look like a square.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BigDaddy
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-01-06
                                                                  • 8378

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by sharpcat

                                                                  What he was referring to was making a few plays in the casino in order to make yourself look like a square.
                                                                  i understand that part

                                                                  if you read the thread

                                                                  he did mention this and i would like to know what books allow you to roll over the bonus in the casino


                                                                  Originally Posted by Justin7
                                                                  Some bonus whores will use the casino to meet rollover. Many sportsbooks automatically profile a player as an idiot if you use a casino, so that is a plus. If you really want to stick around at a place, blow $50 in the casino.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CrimsonQueen
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-12-09
                                                                    • 1068

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I've done casino bonuses... so they might think I'm a square... OR that I'm really sharp... as I measure out each bonus to see its EV...and then only do it if it's +EV. (and have 130% ROI so far on 4 casino bonuses at the same site) And being that I bet $1 per hand of Blackjack thousands of times over on basic strategy...they probably also think I'm a bot.
                                                                    Come to think of it, I can't believe they haven't banned me for bonus whoring....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sawyer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                                      • 7761

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Well, I don't mess with square books but I must admit that many times I really miss their lines! For example, -5 in my book(s) but they have -4! Big & Reputable books' lines are usually sharp. However, safety is primary for me so I'm using A books only.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ForgetWallStreet
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 04-27-07
                                                                        • 342

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                                        Well, I don't mess with square books but I must admit that many times I really miss their lines! For example, -5 in my book(s) but they have -4! Big & Reputable books' lines are usually sharp. However, safety is primary for me so I'm using A books only.
                                                                        The only camouflage you need is your real name.
                                                                        Comment
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