Can you make a lot of money betting correlated parlays?

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  • OmgUrMom
    Restricted User
    • 02-07-10
    • 8481

    #1
    Can you make a lot of money betting correlated parlays?
    did a parlay on the game, Levante +1 and the total under 3.

    is this what they call a correlated parlay?

    can this be profitable?

    what is best way to maximize profit?
  • yisman
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-01-08
    • 75682

    #2
    yes, it's correlated.

    More correlated would be fave+over, though.
    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
    [/quote]

    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
    Comment
    • OmgUrMom
      Restricted User
      • 02-07-10
      • 8481

      #3
      Can you make a lot of money betting correlated parlays?

      for example i found a place where say Real Madrid is playing Levante, lines are Madrid +1, Levante -1, Over 3/Under 3.

      Can you make a +ev play out of this?

      What would be the best play? +1 and under 3? -1 and over 3??

      thanks for any help
      Comment
      • pavyracer
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 04-12-07
        • 82839

        #4
        Ask trixtrix. He has exploited this before.
        Comment
        • OmgUrMom
          Restricted User
          • 02-07-10
          • 8481

          #5
          pavy do you know? i just need answers
          Comment
          • trixtrix
            Restricted User
            • 04-13-06
            • 1897

            #6
            both are +ev, how much is debatable and depending on the odds you get..

            don't expect any real answers out of pavy, he wouldn't know a +ev bet unless he's cheating by betting a -350 line at -110
            Comment
            • OmgUrMom
              Restricted User
              • 02-07-10
              • 8481

              #7
              a lot of chalk on the soccer picks....ill give you a sample from tomorrow

              Portimonense 0 -140 vs Vitoria de Sebutal +110 total 2 over -110, under -120

              this game there would be NO +ev bet right?

              next game

              Club Nexaca -.5 (+110) vs +.5 (-140) Over under 2.5 Over (Even) Under (-130)

              any plus ev plays on the 2nd or is that too much chalk?
              Comment
              • OmgUrMom
                Restricted User
                • 02-07-10
                • 8481

                #8
                bigger goal differentials are usually better as well correct? like -1.5 ect...
                Comment
                • yisman
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-01-08
                  • 75682

                  #9
                  yes, bigger goal differentials

                  you would bet fave and over

                  like if real madrid were -2 and the total were 3

                  that's why basically no books offer them.
                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                  [/quote]

                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                  Comment
                  • OmgUrMom
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-07-10
                    • 8481

                    #10
                    lol my threads were merged, makes this a bit confusing.
                    Comment
                    • OmgUrMom
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-07-10
                      • 8481

                      #11
                      would of preferred the mods to just delete one oh well
                      Comment
                      • trixtrix
                        Restricted User
                        • 04-13-06
                        • 1897

                        #12
                        lower the projected total the higher the correlation

                        but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82839

                          #13
                          Be careful. The book may be allowing you to bet them on purpose so that when you request a payout they will confiscate your balance and boot you.
                          Comment
                          • OmgUrMom
                            Restricted User
                            • 02-07-10
                            • 8481

                            #14
                            [quote=trixtrix;8241237]lower the projected total the higher the correlation

                            but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

                            i don't think that will work.

                            If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?
                            Comment
                            • OmgUrMom
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-07-10
                              • 8481

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              Be careful. The book may be allowing you to bet them on purpose so that when you request a payout they will confiscate your balance and boot you.
                              wouldnt that look bad for them?

                              its an option so i should be able to bet it. i will look in the rules and see if there is anything there
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82839

                                #16
                                [QUOTE=OmgUrMom;8241321]
                                Originally posted by trixtrix
                                lower the projected total the higher the correlation

                                but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

                                i don't think that will work.

                                If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?
                                They don't care. You are small fish in a big pond full of sharks.
                                Comment
                                • trixtrix
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-13-06
                                  • 1897

                                  #17
                                  [quote=OmgUrMom;8241321]
                                  Originally posted by trixtrix
                                  lower the projected total the higher the correlation

                                  but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

                                  i don't think that will work.

                                  If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?
                                  ask pavy on the errant line cheating part, that's not my cup of tea

                                  in regards to cps, yes if they accept the bet they should honour it, you can resort sbr as a recourse
                                  Comment
                                  • RollPlayer
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-26-10
                                    • 779

                                    #18
                                    SBR will be hesitant to help a player who knowingly cheated the system though, especially if you made a thread asking how to best cheat the system...
                                    Comment
                                    • OmgUrMom
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-07-10
                                      • 8481

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by RollPlayer
                                      SBR will be hesitant to help a player who knowingly cheated the system though, especially if you made a thread asking how to best cheat the system...
                                      how am i cheating the system? Im confused how i would be cheating if 1. they book the bet. 2. no where in their rules does it say i can't make a correllated parlay bet.

                                      isnt the point of this game to win money?

                                      im not gonna win trying to play -110 sides thats for sure, and pretty much no one else does either.
                                      Comment
                                      • latinrus
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-01-10
                                        • 11188

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by OmgUrMom
                                        did a parlay on the game, Levante +1 and the total under 3.

                                        is this what they call a correlated parlay?

                                        can this be profitable?

                                        what is best way to maximize profit?
                                        Yes correlated but bookies don't let u do it!
                                        Comment
                                        • sickler
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-05-08
                                          • 15006

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by latinrus
                                          Yes correlated but bookies don't let u do it!
                                          You can occasionally find bookies with their head up their ass not realizing they're allowing it. Keep it to yourself and place the correlated bets.
                                          Comment
                                          • latinrus
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-01-10
                                            • 11188

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by sickler

                                            You can occasionally find bookies with their head up their ass not realizing they're allowing it. Keep it to yourself and place the correlated bets.
                                            I use Pinny and Betfair they wont ahve that kind of errors with correlated parlays!

                                            I'm also on a local bookie I've never seen that also!
                                            Comment
                                            • Doug
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 6324

                                              #23
                                              There is no online book that I'd trust to pay these anymore. You're too late to the party. A dumb local may take it for awhile.
                                              Comment
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