I've had a few people PM me and asking if I had my own picks thread, and I told them I didn't do those because it wasn't worth the trouble or the time. Especially the trouble, since on this forum, as soon as you lose a few in a row you are worse than gutter slime and last week's sour milk. But let's just say fuk that for now, start this thread, and see if I can keep from losing my bankroll in the blink of an eye. I can guarantee you this: This will be a no-bullshit capping thread (for NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB and MLB) with carefully tracked wagers and bankroll status. What I post is what I believe, and even though every opinion is subject to change over time, all game-time wagers are live and verifiable right here, post by post.
One thing is for sure: I will make some very long posts on this thread, beginning with the first one right here. If you don't have time to read my wild-ass betting strategies and capping rationale, you can just keep track my picks in this thread from the bold blue type, because if I put it in bold blue, then I have already bet it myself.
Lemme start by citing my ultra-hot, verifiable stats to get you all excited:
NFL Football: 19-4-1 +20.7 units in Beat the prick Contest for the last 6 weeks (8-18-1 in the first 6 weeks), currently 83rd of 1,000 players:
NFL Football: 18-6-2 +46.20 units in NFL Bodog Contest, finishing 1st of 123 players:
NBA Basketball: 13-6-2, +23.02 units in weekly SBR capping contest, finishing 3rd of 31 players:
College Football: 8-2-0, +9.60 units in weekly SBR capping contest, finishing 1st of 24 players:
These results are proof that I can get hot at least once in my life! And in fact, I have gotten hot a lot more than once. But when it comes to getting on a hot streak, I think most players never really know when the streak will begin and when it will end. The same rule applies to me. I've had a hot streak going for about three weeks now, but I have no idea why it began or when it will end. But with any luck it will continue going for a few more weeks.
Fair Warning: I am not your conventional bettor. I've been sports gambling for about 30 years, since my little brother and I used to hit up Vegas a few times a year to bet sports, play blackjack, get free rooms, get drunk, smoke pot, get laid, and have fun. That was a blast and I kept it up for many years, but I didn't take sports gambling seriously until a couple years ago. I won and lost a lot of money those past couple years and I hope I've learned a few things about gambling and my personal approach to risk taking.
I'm no genius, but I understand what it takes to be consistently successful in sports gambling over a long period of time. Finding the best line, judging public trends, capping the game itself, beating the closing line, knowing when to escalate risk and hedging high risk, and achieving 54% winners.
It's all groovy stuff, but like many others on this forum, I am into high-risk, high-reward gambling. This approach is not profitable over a long period of time, but I am only looking for success in the next two or three months, not the next two or three decades. If I can hit a few between now and February, I can set up for NBA and MLB betting in 2011. Then I can re-evaluate my risk strategy.
Old-timers on this forum may recall that last year I posted some wild threads about "Morrison Twists" that made some heavy cash most of the time. This thread will do the same, as I try to leverage some systems and delicately balanced capping strategies to lock in a few big winners. If you are an amateur gambler who's willing to take risks, you can tail me, but don't blame me if you lose. Because I never blame anyone if I lose my ass gambling; I make my own picks based on what I believe, not what anyone else believes.
This is already way too long for a first post, so I will launch this thread now and follow up with some picks in a little while. These picks include NFL and NBA picks that conclude on Monday, December 6, so stay tuned. Just be prepared for some rather unconventional betting strategies that may end up getting ridiculed for being "too-high risk" right here in this thread. I can handle the criticism, because most of the critics are pretty lousy gamblers themselves. And if the smart money critics give me any shit, then rest assured I will listen to their critiques. Because I know I am not the best capper on this forum by a long shot. But I just might be the most fun.
I like to have fun while I'm losing.
One thing is for sure: I will make some very long posts on this thread, beginning with the first one right here. If you don't have time to read my wild-ass betting strategies and capping rationale, you can just keep track my picks in this thread from the bold blue type, because if I put it in bold blue, then I have already bet it myself.
Lemme start by citing my ultra-hot, verifiable stats to get you all excited:
NFL Football: 19-4-1 +20.7 units in Beat the prick Contest for the last 6 weeks (8-18-1 in the first 6 weeks), currently 83rd of 1,000 players:
NFL Football: 18-6-2 +46.20 units in NFL Bodog Contest, finishing 1st of 123 players:
NBA Basketball: 13-6-2, +23.02 units in weekly SBR capping contest, finishing 3rd of 31 players:
College Football: 8-2-0, +9.60 units in weekly SBR capping contest, finishing 1st of 24 players:
These results are proof that I can get hot at least once in my life! And in fact, I have gotten hot a lot more than once. But when it comes to getting on a hot streak, I think most players never really know when the streak will begin and when it will end. The same rule applies to me. I've had a hot streak going for about three weeks now, but I have no idea why it began or when it will end. But with any luck it will continue going for a few more weeks.
Fair Warning: I am not your conventional bettor. I've been sports gambling for about 30 years, since my little brother and I used to hit up Vegas a few times a year to bet sports, play blackjack, get free rooms, get drunk, smoke pot, get laid, and have fun. That was a blast and I kept it up for many years, but I didn't take sports gambling seriously until a couple years ago. I won and lost a lot of money those past couple years and I hope I've learned a few things about gambling and my personal approach to risk taking.
I'm no genius, but I understand what it takes to be consistently successful in sports gambling over a long period of time. Finding the best line, judging public trends, capping the game itself, beating the closing line, knowing when to escalate risk and hedging high risk, and achieving 54% winners.
It's all groovy stuff, but like many others on this forum, I am into high-risk, high-reward gambling. This approach is not profitable over a long period of time, but I am only looking for success in the next two or three months, not the next two or three decades. If I can hit a few between now and February, I can set up for NBA and MLB betting in 2011. Then I can re-evaluate my risk strategy.
Old-timers on this forum may recall that last year I posted some wild threads about "Morrison Twists" that made some heavy cash most of the time. This thread will do the same, as I try to leverage some systems and delicately balanced capping strategies to lock in a few big winners. If you are an amateur gambler who's willing to take risks, you can tail me, but don't blame me if you lose. Because I never blame anyone if I lose my ass gambling; I make my own picks based on what I believe, not what anyone else believes.
This is already way too long for a first post, so I will launch this thread now and follow up with some picks in a little while. These picks include NFL and NBA picks that conclude on Monday, December 6, so stay tuned. Just be prepared for some rather unconventional betting strategies that may end up getting ridiculed for being "too-high risk" right here in this thread. I can handle the criticism, because most of the critics are pretty lousy gamblers themselves. And if the smart money critics give me any shit, then rest assured I will listen to their critiques. Because I know I am not the best capper on this forum by a long shot. But I just might be the most fun.
I like to have fun while I'm losing.
