There is only ONE who can actually LOCK games

[ssk13809]

ssk13809



I base my picks on my NFL analysis. After about 4 weeks, as I get used to each NFL team as they are now and am able to properly analyze them,

I actually start locking games.



Last year after watching the NFL for 4 weeks, I went 7-0 on "posted" ATS locks (As "posted" is all that counts these days). It was on another forum, I've already given links to proving this. You can find them in my thread if you care.


And as I said I need a little bit of time to get used to each team, so after 4 weeks, I made my own NFL thread as I now had a good grip on each NFL team,
So far I'm 4-0 in all my posted ATS locks in my thread. I sign them by betting ML as well. I only bet both ML + ATS on my LOCK Picks, as they are my picks of the week.



Overall, in my thread, I am 4-0 ATS Locks, and 6-0-1 ATS overall. I don't like ATS that much, so the only other ATS bets I make are "Near Locks". I'm 2-0 so far in those. I average about 0.8 locks/week and 1.2 "near locks"/week.

Though I think I am capable of betting more ATS games, as I am 15-5 (75%) in the past 4 weeks ATS in a contest where 5picks/week are required. I just got such a good grip on each NFL team and how each team plays. But as an NFL expert, I just don't like ATS that much, for reasons talked about later. And do I think I will continue hitting 100% every week ATS? No. I think I'll hit about 90% long-term LOCKS, which are highly selective btw.





With all that talk about ATS and LOCKS, it is still not my biggest strength. They are limited being so selective. Because after all, the team who you bet on does not have the same exact goal as you. They play to win. And that's why I love MLs and my NFL expertise is most useful for them. Though in my thread I'm off to a slow start there. 9-4 (70%) on avg. of +110 odds. So it's not like I bet huge ML favorites every week. Never even have bet a -200 ML.



So overall, that's


11-0 Career "Posted" ATS Locks (Posted in my thread & forum from last year (Both post week 4))
4-0 Lock ATS this year (Posted in my thread)
6-0-1 ATS Overall (Posted in my thread)
9-4 ML with avg. odds of +110 (The +110 makes it a little more difficult, also posted in my thread)





And one more time, all these results are from my NFL Thread
(and they can be confirmed there)
(So no "Made-up fake shi*t talk please)

[ssk13809]

Oh I almost forgot.


Here is my thread confirming my post above

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/777461-ssks-nfl-thread.html

The domination will continue

[Indecent]

Oh I almost forgot.


Here is my thread confirming my post above

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/777461-ssks-nfl-thread.html

The domination will continue

You wanted to know how math helps in sportsbetting? Look up sample size.

[cartonhead]

you'll post here, I imagine. Or pay service (I suppose)?

[rfr3sh]

you picked like 20 games relax pal

[crustyme]

scamdicapper loser alert

[coloradobuff]

weird tone by this guy

[TexansFan]

He'll be on VH1 in the near future on their "One Hit Wonder" show.

[dante1]

He'll be on VH1 in the near future on their "One Hit Wonder" show.

Is this straight? Or a modified straight? hmmm

[ChileCheese]

Keep posting here, and everyone will ridicule the Rubber Band Play master here.

[opie1988]

Easy fellas. This guy is a complete tool! 100%. Go back and look at some of his threads discussing some of his "wagers". He apparently has a very compassionate local that allows him to back out of plays DURING THE GAMES if injuries occur. Quite a system.

SSK.....I am not trying to be mean. I know you mean well. But, come on, you're 15 years old for God's sakes! Go talk to a girl! Turn off Call of Duty II, clean your glasses, pop that zit on your chin and get out there!! Trust me.....you'll thank me later.

[ssk13809]

Easy fellas. This guy is a complete tool! 100%. Go back and look at some of his threads discussing some of his "wagers". He apparently has a very compassionate local that allows him to back out of plays DURING THE GAMES if injuries occur. Quite a system.

SSK.....I am not trying to be mean. I know you mean well. But, come on, you're 15 years old for God's sakes! Go talk to a girl! Turn off Call of Duty II, clean your glasses, pop that zit on your chin and get out there!! Trust me.....you'll thank me later.

Nice try hater. Its sad you have to MAKE up things to try and bring me down. All my plays that were posted, injuries occurring or not, counted.



You want to try using facts next time? I can make up things to about your age and plays. "opie" is 10 and only places his wagers after game. That's the only reason he ever won a bet.

Yeah that's about as lame as your comment







Next

[ssk13809]

you'll post here, I imagine. Or pay service (I suppose)?

I've posted all my plays in my thread and will continue to do so

[ssk13809]

you picked like 20 games relax pal

You wanted to know how math helps in sportsbetting? Look up sample size.

What do you want? 500 plays?


Considering I average about 0.8 locks/week, 15 max/season, it would take 33 years for me to post 500 locks lol. And even 6-7 years for 100 locks.


These are highly selective picks after all.

[ssk13809]

He'll be on VH1 in the near future on their "One Hit Wonder" show.

Last year I went 7-0 in locks. (Evidence already given)
That would be my 1 hit wonder.

The same trend is occurring again.

[B1GER1C828]

read his other thread..."i have alot of fans" hahahah someone says good luck and he responds with "thanks but i usually don't need it"

[Sawyer]

Pride is not the opposite of shame, but its source. True humility is the only antidote to shame.

[ChileCheese]

You guys should ask him why he isnt rich yet?!?!!?!
His answer.... He sometimes is not in a situation to optimize his cash options.

[ChileCheese]

Actually here, Ill show you :

[COLOR=#000000 ! important] Quote:
Originally Posted by ssk13809
That's my #1 problem. How to optimally convert your winnings to cash.


Winning is a given for me. But turning that into the most possible cash will be the main obstacle for me.

What the hell does this mean?[/color]

[ChileCheese]

He responds to me later with :

It means you don't always receive how much you can win

[ssk13809]

You guys should ask him why he isnt rich yet?!?!!?!
His answer.... He sometimes is not in a situation to optimize his cash options.

Well my bankroll is pocket money. I currently go to college so I don't make that much lol.


I'll be honest, I started with $80 bankroll for the year. I'm over $360 now. Yeah go ahead and laugh. But it's all I got.





But the answer you gave is about something else. This is what I was referencing to when I answered that question

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/634565-how-get-rich-fast-off-sports-betting.html

[ssk13809]

He responds to me later with :

It means you don't always receive how much you can win

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/634565-how-get-rich-fast-off-sports-betting.html

This is what I was referencing to. You can hit 97% long-term, doesn't mean you will actually become a billionaire or even a millionaire off that rate (without going out of your way and doing things BESIDES just winning bets)

In other words, WINNING alone is not enough to become a "millionaire" as you so asked. There is more to it. And that's what I was talking about in that post.

[Sawyer]

You should go to a psycholog. I think you have some problem with your ego.

[rfr3sh]

yes I want 500 plays for you to have any credibility

[ChileCheese]

Actually, if you hit 90% long term. Than ya, you would be a millionaire.
If you cant miss with your Locks... then you should bet 50% of your bankroll each time.

So your next bet will be $200, $300, $500, $750, $1100 and so on. If you never miss with your picks, why would you be afraid to do so?
Who bets 5% of their Bankroll while hitting the marks you supposedly do.

[B1GER1C828]

yes I want 500 plays for you to have any credibility

i mean...at the very least 100 right?

hes 7-0 through 10 weeks...id rather be 40-25.

im 9-0 my last 9 plays...can i lock games too? and i did this in 2 days not 10 weeks of the nfl.

[ssk13809]

yes I want 500 plays for you to have any credibility

Well it will take 33 years for you to see 500 locks. I hope you live, though by then you would have missed out on a lot of winning of which you could've enjoyed your life with.


500 plays in general? Maybe not that long, but I am pretty selective. After all, I hit 90+% Locks long-term, overall ATS I should hit 70-90% since overall I am very selective these days with the ATS games I really bet, with only 2/week in that percentage range. (So these are not all LOCK picks).

MLs I bet more often. But 500 is still a while to go.






So I'll just put it this way.

You can enjoy the ride or watch from the side

[ssk13809]

You should go to a psycholog. I think you have some problem with your ego.

So posting my record shows ego lol?

[ssk13809]

Actually, if you hit 90% long term. Than ya, you would be a millionaire.
If you cant miss with your Locks... then you should bet 50% of your bankroll each time.

So your next bet will be $200, $300, $500, $750, $1100 and so on. If you never miss with your picks, why would you be afraid to do so?
Who bets 5% of their Bankroll while hitting the marks you supposedly do.

Welcome to this thread

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/634565-how-get-rich-fast-off-sports-betting.html

Your strategy above won't work. Thats what I was telling you in my thread. Books cut of your action, blacklist, etc. It becomes very tough for you to even place your bets. And that's all assuming you actually GET paid those heavy amounts. Which book is going to place a 250k bet after I get to 500k? Or a 300+k bet after that?

Read thread above. It's as difficult to get your money as it is to win it imo.

[mcbaseball10]

I submitted a thread awhile back that got no attention (negative or positive) which would help you out here.

The "LOCK" word is thrown around loosely on this site and many people have fell victim to tailing a LOCK. Those of us that have been around know who is blowing smoke and who has a decent track record. Newcomers are not so fortunate.

I propose SBR Forum develop a new "lock in your locks" record keeping mechanism. Just like "beat the prick" records and standing are displayed under a post, a person's record on LOCKS could be tallied. If you are bold enough to declare a game can't miss, you put the play in as a lock which will keep a running total of your record that can not be reset. I think this is one way to keep some accountability for people constantly throwing picks out there. Just an idea that obviously could use a lot of tweaking but thought I would put it out there for discussion.

[rfr3sh]

ever heard of a hot streak pal
get a clue
if you want to challenge me in a capping contest over 100 plays lets do it

[ssk13809]

i mean...at the very least 100 right?

hes 7-0 through 10 weeks...id rather be 40-25.

im 9-0 my last 9 plays...can i lock games too? and i did this in 2 days not 10 weeks of the nfl.

I'd rather be 40-25. And in that forum last year, it wasn't just LOCKS I bet and went 7-0 on that. If you read the link, you'd see that I also NEVER had a losing week. And had multiple 3-0 weeks. I think I bet 2-3 plays a week. So do the math. 1-1, 2-1, 3-0, 3-0, 2-1, 1-1, type weeks for 10 weeks. Maybe a odd 2-2 or something here and there. But overall, we are estimating around 60-70% at the very least.

And this year is off to a solid start too/.




And the difference between your run and mine....you HAVE had losses and bad stretches. I haven't.

An extreme example, which team would you bet on?

The 10-10 team on a 10 game winning streak, or the 10-0 team on a 10 game win streak.
I'll take the 10-0 anyday. It hasn't been proven that they can be beaten or go on bad stretches yet.

[ChileCheese]

Welcome to this thread

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/634565-how-get-rich-fast-off-sports-betting.html

Your strategy above won't work. Thats what I was telling you in my thread. Books cut of your action, blacklist, etc. It becomes very tough for you to even place your bets. And that's all assuming you actually GET paid those heavy amounts. Which book is going to place a 250k bet after I get to 500k? Or a 300+k bet after that?

Read thread above. It's as difficult to get your money as it is to win it imo.

Stop referring to your million dollar challenge.
Bet $1000.00 per game. You will have a nice life.
No book will stop you from $1,000.00 every week or two.
However, anyone here will tell you... Its easy to pick winners in your head for for $5. Put a Nickel or Dime on the line, and everything starts to change.

[ssk13809]

ever heard of a hot streak pal
get a clue
if you want to challenge me in a capping contest over 100 plays lets do it

I'm already in 1 against last year's winner of "Beat the Prick NFL"


Guess what? The contest was supposed to be season-long, and it's already over. I've got such a big lead that a comeback for him is next to impossible.


You sure you want to mess with me?

[ssk13809]

Stop referring to your million dollar challenge.
Bet $1000.00 per game. You will have a nice life.
No book will stop you from $1,000.00 every week or two.
However, anyone here will tell you... Its easy to pick winners in your head for for $5. Put a Nickel or Dime on the line, and everything starts to change.

1. If I bet 1k every week or 2....I will have A LONG WAY to go for a million lol. Honestly, I'd rather go 10-5 every 2 weeks betting $500 pre game, and I'll make more.

2. Even then, if I keep winning my 1k/week bets, LONG before I get near a million I will have my action cut-off. Because I have been winning consistently for so long. I mean, it will take around 110-120 plays to get to 100k, if you hit 90% there, you are getting you action cut-off.


So overall, you're NOT going to get rich just simply by "winning" your bets LONG-TERM. This is not even about making a million. Eventually, you will have to find other ways to just place your actions.



Lastly, I use an objective procedure to pick winners. Little subjectivity involved. So whether its $5 or $5k, picks will be the same.