So I was square as sh*t in my picks last week/ Went with NE to start and lost big. Went with the Giants, Pack, and Steelers (on a -5.5 spread) a nd made hella money in the squarest, douchey manner possible. So I apologize to all the sharps and whosees and whatzeez that hang out here for how rookie my picks are. I try to base my selections on just knowing football and gut feeling; meanwhile, I do not play the statistical analyss game. There is a theme to the picks this week.
Tampa Bay Bucs to cover against Carolina Panthers: IN TAMPA BAY CURRENT LINE IS 6.5
I have had great luck betting against the straight sh*t teams in the league this year. This one is special, though. TB is coming off of a very well played game against one of the best teams in the NFC right now, and they opened up shop on the road in Carolina earlier in the year. What's the difference between then and now? Bucs are better and the Panthers suck even more now then they did in week 2 or 3 or whenever that game was. Their running game is looking good, Mike Williams is really coming into his own at WR and impressing me as is Freeman.
Now dont get me wrong, Carolina has a good defense. But continuous sh*t field position and turnovers will result in points. Bucs actually have some ball hawks on defesne. As for Carolina's offense, they are in the midst of a QB controversy between Jim Clausen, Timmy or Tony or Tom or Ricky Pike or whoever the hell that no name from Cinnci is. And I think there is also some talk of some sh*t WR on the practice squad or something getting some reps. Yikes. Then you have both heads of the two-headed monster at running back out. I think their is some practice squad dude starting at RB.
Theme: Bucs see themselves as a playoff contender. To be in the discussion, this is a MUST WIN for TB to stay alive in the South. And after last week's loss, they HAVE to come out and make a statement to stay alive. Freeman will lead a very energetic team to a home win with the cannon shooting off from that pirate ship and the crowd will be VERY into it. Bucs are playing for a post-season birth and the Panthers are playing for the 1st round draft pick. I LOVE fading (or whatever the heady insider w3rd is) on sh*t teams.
TN covers on the road @ Miami (-1.5 currently for TN):
THis will be a physical game, but I LOVE TN to come out and just punch the Dolphins in the mouth. I think TN played well against the Chargers and should have won that game (on a side note, this is the time of year that the Chargers turn it around and do awesome- shockingly enough, if you think about it they have a great chance to win the west again, lolzzz).
Enough about the Chargers. So yea, I am a huge believer in Coach Fisher coming off of a bye week against a team who is going downhill. And to start Pennington now in midseason, well that sounds like a mess to me. Timing between QB and recievers doesnt just happen (refer to Big Ben's first few games back and how the timing was off). Titans have always been a tough, smashmouth football team. I see no reason why they cant just stack the box to stop the run and try to stop the short stuff, because there is no way in hell that Pennington is going downfield at all. Longest play he throws is maybe what, 12-15 yards. Dolphins offense is looking terrible lately, they dont make big plays, and a rusty Pennington will not fix that. I am just not that impressed by them.
On the TItans side of things, the Moss acquisition is SO big for Chris Johnson. Safetys have been cheating up all season to get at Johnson and stop him before he gets into open field. With Moss, that is done now. No more cheating with a spy on Johnson. That Safety will have to double up over top on Moss every time, thus freeing Chris Johnson up more than he has seen in his time in the NFL. And if they cheat that safety up On Johnson, say hello to the Vince/Randy combo.
Theme: Titans have so much potential and they are in a great position to win their division. They are coming off of a tough loss to SD, but with the bye and the motivation to get a playoff spot in their division, they will come out firing on all cylinders in thiis game where they HAVE to make a statement. And the Dolphins, just not feeling them. Very generic. This is the gut thing here.
KC Chiefs favored by 1 in Denver
I think the coaching staff has lost this team. I dont care that they are coming off of a bye week and I dont care that they are playing in Denver one mile above sea level. The Broncos suck and I love betting against sh*t teams. Hell, they just let Troy Smith show them up and I remember back in Week 3 the Cheifs just dominating the niners. Cheifs have lost a few tough ones, mostly due toi their lack of defensive prowess. But the Denver offsense is not scaring me. They suck. Betting against terrible teams like the Broncos can work. I know I sound square as hell and all of the heady sharps will go Denver since the public is taking KC, and that the Broncos will be a heady insider pick.
I think it is as simple as this. Cheifs have the best rushing attack (may have changed after this weekend, but they have one of the best) and Broncos have the worst rushing defese. Cassell does not impress me at all, but again, the Broncos are terrible and the Cheifs run game will open up this suspect Broncis defense who has even been switching schemes midseason (think they are now operating out of the 4-3). McDanils has lost this team and should be on the hot seat. I have no idea how they could win this game.
Theme: Just like the above teams are trying to win their divisions and make the playoffs, I see the Chiefs coming out winning and making a statement. Tough loss last week, and to stay competitive in the division, they need to beat up on the sh*t team in the division. Now I am not completely sold on the Chiefs and I have thought them to be pretenders for awhile due to a suspect quarterback, but this is a bet against the Broncos who truly truly suck in my opinion. And the Chiefs will bring it since they need this win to stay in the playoff picture.
Recommendation on Baltimore at Atlanta
Just stay away from this game. No way to really know how this one will shape up. I live in Baltimore and am well versed on the Ravens, and if they have an area of vunerability it is ther secondary (and their D overall just is not what it is). With this, the Ryan/White/Jenkis passing game could open up, and that can help to open up the Turner rushing attack. Or, the Ravens show up on primetime if they truly are a Super Bowl candidate and contune their solid play from last week. Flacco has been a little inconsistent this year, but that has just as much to do with Cam Cameron's playcalling than anything else. And they also need to give Rice WAY WAY WAY more opportunities than they have been giving um.
Literally anything can happen between these two teams. Not sure how you can predict this with any confidence considering how much Atloanta seems to win at home. I think 7 out of 10 of these games the Ravens take the win in Atlanta, but those other three are not out of the realm of responsibility at all. Gun to my head I take the Ravens, but I will just sit back and enjoy watching football Saturday and not be putting any action in. Just some oldschool watching football with a pizza and a few beers and enjoying the no stress envorionment.
Philadelphia to cover the -3 at Washington
Depending on how my weekend goes, I would like to put some kind of action on Philly. They looked really impressive against the Colts and have been really playing well. And again, the Redskins are really sucking now and are just going downhill. Similar to my OFFICAL SQUARE PLAYS ABOVE (this is not official yet since I am not picking until I see how my weekend plays out) the Eagles are in a similar spot with the playoffs and keeping pace with the Giants. And the Skins are terrible. I know of the Rivalry and bad blood jere etc..., but I dont think it will really matter here because the skins are just bad and in drama. Also- the Skins kick/punt returner who has been their entire offense will be out of this game.
BEST OF LUCK TO ANYONE AND EVERYONE ON YOUR PLAYS THIS WEEKEND- FEEL FREE TO FADE FADE FADE ON MY SQUARES
Tampa Bay Bucs to cover against Carolina Panthers: IN TAMPA BAY CURRENT LINE IS 6.5
I have had great luck betting against the straight sh*t teams in the league this year. This one is special, though. TB is coming off of a very well played game against one of the best teams in the NFC right now, and they opened up shop on the road in Carolina earlier in the year. What's the difference between then and now? Bucs are better and the Panthers suck even more now then they did in week 2 or 3 or whenever that game was. Their running game is looking good, Mike Williams is really coming into his own at WR and impressing me as is Freeman.
Now dont get me wrong, Carolina has a good defense. But continuous sh*t field position and turnovers will result in points. Bucs actually have some ball hawks on defesne. As for Carolina's offense, they are in the midst of a QB controversy between Jim Clausen, Timmy or Tony or Tom or Ricky Pike or whoever the hell that no name from Cinnci is. And I think there is also some talk of some sh*t WR on the practice squad or something getting some reps. Yikes. Then you have both heads of the two-headed monster at running back out. I think their is some practice squad dude starting at RB.
Theme: Bucs see themselves as a playoff contender. To be in the discussion, this is a MUST WIN for TB to stay alive in the South. And after last week's loss, they HAVE to come out and make a statement to stay alive. Freeman will lead a very energetic team to a home win with the cannon shooting off from that pirate ship and the crowd will be VERY into it. Bucs are playing for a post-season birth and the Panthers are playing for the 1st round draft pick. I LOVE fading (or whatever the heady insider w3rd is) on sh*t teams.
TN covers on the road @ Miami (-1.5 currently for TN):
THis will be a physical game, but I LOVE TN to come out and just punch the Dolphins in the mouth. I think TN played well against the Chargers and should have won that game (on a side note, this is the time of year that the Chargers turn it around and do awesome- shockingly enough, if you think about it they have a great chance to win the west again, lolzzz).
Enough about the Chargers. So yea, I am a huge believer in Coach Fisher coming off of a bye week against a team who is going downhill. And to start Pennington now in midseason, well that sounds like a mess to me. Timing between QB and recievers doesnt just happen (refer to Big Ben's first few games back and how the timing was off). Titans have always been a tough, smashmouth football team. I see no reason why they cant just stack the box to stop the run and try to stop the short stuff, because there is no way in hell that Pennington is going downfield at all. Longest play he throws is maybe what, 12-15 yards. Dolphins offense is looking terrible lately, they dont make big plays, and a rusty Pennington will not fix that. I am just not that impressed by them.
On the TItans side of things, the Moss acquisition is SO big for Chris Johnson. Safetys have been cheating up all season to get at Johnson and stop him before he gets into open field. With Moss, that is done now. No more cheating with a spy on Johnson. That Safety will have to double up over top on Moss every time, thus freeing Chris Johnson up more than he has seen in his time in the NFL. And if they cheat that safety up On Johnson, say hello to the Vince/Randy combo.
Theme: Titans have so much potential and they are in a great position to win their division. They are coming off of a tough loss to SD, but with the bye and the motivation to get a playoff spot in their division, they will come out firing on all cylinders in thiis game where they HAVE to make a statement. And the Dolphins, just not feeling them. Very generic. This is the gut thing here.
KC Chiefs favored by 1 in Denver
I think the coaching staff has lost this team. I dont care that they are coming off of a bye week and I dont care that they are playing in Denver one mile above sea level. The Broncos suck and I love betting against sh*t teams. Hell, they just let Troy Smith show them up and I remember back in Week 3 the Cheifs just dominating the niners. Cheifs have lost a few tough ones, mostly due toi their lack of defensive prowess. But the Denver offsense is not scaring me. They suck. Betting against terrible teams like the Broncos can work. I know I sound square as hell and all of the heady sharps will go Denver since the public is taking KC, and that the Broncos will be a heady insider pick.
I think it is as simple as this. Cheifs have the best rushing attack (may have changed after this weekend, but they have one of the best) and Broncos have the worst rushing defese. Cassell does not impress me at all, but again, the Broncos are terrible and the Cheifs run game will open up this suspect Broncis defense who has even been switching schemes midseason (think they are now operating out of the 4-3). McDanils has lost this team and should be on the hot seat. I have no idea how they could win this game.
Theme: Just like the above teams are trying to win their divisions and make the playoffs, I see the Chiefs coming out winning and making a statement. Tough loss last week, and to stay competitive in the division, they need to beat up on the sh*t team in the division. Now I am not completely sold on the Chiefs and I have thought them to be pretenders for awhile due to a suspect quarterback, but this is a bet against the Broncos who truly truly suck in my opinion. And the Chiefs will bring it since they need this win to stay in the playoff picture.
Recommendation on Baltimore at Atlanta
Just stay away from this game. No way to really know how this one will shape up. I live in Baltimore and am well versed on the Ravens, and if they have an area of vunerability it is ther secondary (and their D overall just is not what it is). With this, the Ryan/White/Jenkis passing game could open up, and that can help to open up the Turner rushing attack. Or, the Ravens show up on primetime if they truly are a Super Bowl candidate and contune their solid play from last week. Flacco has been a little inconsistent this year, but that has just as much to do with Cam Cameron's playcalling than anything else. And they also need to give Rice WAY WAY WAY more opportunities than they have been giving um.
Literally anything can happen between these two teams. Not sure how you can predict this with any confidence considering how much Atloanta seems to win at home. I think 7 out of 10 of these games the Ravens take the win in Atlanta, but those other three are not out of the realm of responsibility at all. Gun to my head I take the Ravens, but I will just sit back and enjoy watching football Saturday and not be putting any action in. Just some oldschool watching football with a pizza and a few beers and enjoying the no stress envorionment.
Philadelphia to cover the -3 at Washington
Depending on how my weekend goes, I would like to put some kind of action on Philly. They looked really impressive against the Colts and have been really playing well. And again, the Redskins are really sucking now and are just going downhill. Similar to my OFFICAL SQUARE PLAYS ABOVE (this is not official yet since I am not picking until I see how my weekend plays out) the Eagles are in a similar spot with the playoffs and keeping pace with the Giants. And the Skins are terrible. I know of the Rivalry and bad blood jere etc..., but I dont think it will really matter here because the skins are just bad and in drama. Also- the Skins kick/punt returner who has been their entire offense will be out of this game.
BEST OF LUCK TO ANYONE AND EVERYONE ON YOUR PLAYS THIS WEEKEND- FEEL FREE TO FADE FADE FADE ON MY SQUARES