Nickyyyyyy

Nicky Santoro · 10-23-10, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

1-9 on NHL plays tonight (got the best price on EVERY fuckin game by at least 5 cents)

Fortunately a few CP's and soft lines in foots has kept me slightly ahead on the day, but still.

i've seen your definition of best price and you're doing it wrong. i bet only 1 of those 10 bets were +ev.

anyway,even then, betting weak lines doesn't guarantee you a profit after 10 bets or even 1000 bets. it's over a lifetime..or 25,000+ bets.

TPowell · 10-23-10, 09:41 PM

Nicky, I beat the closing line by 5 cents in EVERY book on sbr lines

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 09:41 PM

A bet is not +EV if you beat the closing number.......you have to beat the no-vig line kid

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Nicky, I beat the closing line by 5 cents in EVERY book on SBR lines

It only matters if you beat Pinny

Who cares if you beat a line on a hockey game with a 40 cent moneyline at -200

TPowell · 10-23-10, 09:46 PM

I dont understand the purpose of the no vig line. Pinny doesn't offer 1st period spreads in NHL. My local does and his prices were constantly 5 cents better or more.

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 09:50 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

I dont understand the purpose of the no vig line. Pinny doesn't offer 1st period spreads in NHL. My local does and his prices were constantly 5 cents better or more.

Yeah they do

5 cents better than who?

5 cents better on a 20 cent line (or higher) is not +EV

rfr3sh · 10-23-10, 09:51 PM

pinny line is pretty much the one you wanna beat as stated in this thread
do you know how to calc a no vig line

TPowell · 10-23-10, 09:54 PM

I do now. San Jose +160 and Edmonton -185. You would have to have San Jose +172/173 or Edmonton -182/183

right?

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 09:57 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

I do now. San Jose +160 and Edmonton -185. You would have to have San Jose +172/173 or Edmonton -182/183

right?

In that situation for the smallest of edges play it at -168 or +169

But that is an extremely small edge...maybe a few cents better than that before you made a play

Nicky Santoro · 10-23-10, 10:00 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

Edmonton -185. You would have to have Edmonton -182/183

right?

are you kidding me? quit now. you are so -ev, it's scary. no wonder you're losing.

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by Nicky Santoro

are you kidding me? quit now. you are so -ev, it's scary. no wonder you're losing.

He was only about 13 cents off, Nicky..........

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 10:03 PM

Nicky what would you give to book this kids action? Playing the entire fukkin card because he thinks he has an edge on every fukkin game

TPowell · 10-23-10, 10:03 PM

Okay is this right?

Team A= +150
Team B= -160

No vig line is Team A -155 and Team B +155. You would have to have Team A -152 or better or Team B +158 or better to have an edge correct?

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 10:04 PM

No

Nicky Santoro · 10-23-10, 10:06 PM

beemore, i leave you in charge to teach this kid. he has a lot of learning to do.

TPowell · 10-23-10, 10:07 PM

sorry I got the teams mixed up. I dont understand how that wasn't right though

10 point diff in line, divide by 2 add 5 to current spread and you have -155 and +155 as the no vig line

durito · 10-23-10, 10:07 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

I dont understand the purpose of the no vig line. Pinny doesn't offer 1st period spreads in NHL.

They most certainly do.

BeeMore · 10-23-10, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by durito

They most certainly do.

Guy is clueless, read whole thread

Nicky I am not teaching the kid

TPowell · 10-23-10, 10:09 PM

Originally posted by durito

They most certainly do.

where are the prices???? I don't see any on SBR lines.

durito · 10-23-10, 10:09 PM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/11994-introduction-betting-lines-percentages.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

durito · 10-23-10, 10:10 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

where are the prices???? I don't see any on SBR lines.

I can't speak for sbr's shitty line service.

You might try this site for pinnacles prices:

https://www.pinnaclesports.com

TPowell · 10-23-10, 10:14 PM

thanks for the links

rfr3sh · 10-23-10, 10:19 PM

Powell can you convert the numbers to the no-vig implied probability

Team A= +150 = 150/(100+150) = 40%
Team B= -160 = 160/(100+160)= 61.54%

Fav = 40%/101.54% = 39.39%
Dog = 61.54%/101.54% = 60.61%

TPowell · 10-23-10, 10:27 PM

I understand what you did, didn't know that before. I just assumed you did the no vig line the same as a spread